Connect with us

Published

on

Los ciudadanos mexicanos acudirán a las urnas el 2 de junio de 2024 para elegir a un nuevo presidente, una nueva legislatura y otros miles representantes de cargos públicos locales.

Tres candidatos –dos de ellos mujeres– contienden para suceder al actual presidente de izquierda, Andrés Manuel López Obrador. Esta podría ser la primera vez que una mujer es elegida presidenta de México.

En México, los candidatos presidenciales pueden ser presentados por una coalición de distintos partidos políticos que comparten objetivos y agendas comunes.

La candidata que lidera las encuestas, la Dra. Claudia Sheinbaum, representa a una coalición de izquierdas, que incluye al partido gobernante de Obrador, el Movimiento de Regeneración Nacional (Morena).

Xóchitl Gálvez representa a varios partidos de oposición de derecha y centro-izquierda, incluido el Partido Acción Nacional. Jorge Álvarez Máynez es el candidato del partido de centro-izquierda Movimiento Ciudadano.

México –un país con más de 126 millones de habitantes y considerado la segunda economía más grande de América Latina, después de Brasil– tuvo la 11ª mayor emisión de gases de efecto invernadero del mundo en 2018. (Más información en el perfil de México de Carbon Brief).

Dentro del G20, México es el único miembro que no ha establecido un objetivo de emisiones netas cero. El país sigue dependiendo en gran medida del petróleo, el gas y el carbón. Se enfrenta a varios retos en la descarbonización de su economía, la aplicación de su ley nacional sobre el clima y la protección de su biodiversidad mediante, por ejemplo, preservar su agencia de biodiversidad.

En el cuadro que figura a continuación, Carbon Brief compara las propuestas de los tres candidatos presidenciales en materia de energía, clima y biodiversidad, basándose en sus plataformas electorales, páginas web oficiales y otros documentos oficiales clave.

Cada entrada del cuadro representa una cita directa de uno o más de estos documentos.

¿Cuál es la situación del país?

En su compromiso actualizado ante la ONU sobre sus acciones y ambiciones climáticas –su contribución determinada a nivel nacional– México afirma que contribuye con el 1.3% de las emisiones mundiales de gases de efecto invernadero (GEI).

El país busca reducir sus emisiones de gases de efecto invernadero un 35% por debajo de la línea base para 2030, aumentando hasta el 40% con ayuda financiera internacional.

Según el documento, las emisiones en 2020, sin incluir las absorciones terrestres, se situaron en 804 millones de toneladas equivalentes de dióxido de carbono (MtCO2e), cifra que aumentaría a 991MtCO2e si no se aplicaran medidas de mitigación.

Esto significa que alcanzar el objetivo inferior supondría recortar las emisiones un 25% por debajo de los niveles de 2020 y el objetivo condicional, una reducción del 35% desde el mismo punto de partida.

Su referencia para 2030 es de 991MtCOe sin esfuerzos de mitigación para ese mismo año, alcanzando hasta un 40% de reducción de emisiones con apoyo financiero internacional.

Los combustibles fósiles representan el 86% del suministro total de energía, mientras que las renovables sólo suponen el 8%.

En 2022, la asociación de investigación y ONG Transparencia Climática concluyó que México “necesita adoptar políticas para eliminar gradualmente el uso de combustibles fósiles [por ejemplo] carbón y petróleo pesado, reduciendo al mismo tiempo la brecha de desigualdad social”.

Sandra Guzmán es directora general del Grupo de Financiamiento Climático para América Latina y el Caribe (GFLAC) y miembro de México resiliente, un grupo de organizaciones de la sociedad civil que envió a los candidatos presidenciales una propuesta de plan climático para el país.

Esta elección es particularmente importante debido a la necesidad de reducir rápidamente las emisiones globales en esta década, dice a Carbon Brief. Guzmán agrega:

“Este es el sexenio más importante para alcanzar las metas climáticas. Si alguien sin interés en el cambio climático llega al poder, estaríamos desdeñando y desechando todo compromiso que México haya hecho y difícilmente después de esto vamos a lograr ponernos en la senda de cumplimiento”.

¿Cuáles son las propuestas?

La doctora Claudia Sheinbaum es la candidata de la coalición “sigamos haciendo historia”, integrada por el partido gobernante de izquierda, Movimiento Regeneración Nacional (Morena), el Partido del Trabajo y el Partido Verde. Es doctora en ingeniería energética y fue jefa de gobierno de la Ciudad de México de 2018 a 2023.

La hoja de ruta de Sheinbaum para 2024-2030 tiene como objetivo “descarbonizar la matriz energética lo más rápido posible”. Sin embargo, el documento de 381 páginas señala que su administración estaría “en línea” con la política energética de Obrador, que se basa en la autosuficiencia energética a través del fortalecimiento de la paraestatal Petróleos Mexicanos (Pemex), y la rehabilitación y adquisición de refinerías. Al igual que la hoja de ruta, la plataforma electoral de la coalición no menciona ninguna referencia a las emisiones netas cero.

Además, recientemente ha dado a conocer un plan para invertir más de $13 mil millones de dólares en nuevos proyectos de generación de energía hasta 2030, según Reuters. Esto incluiría el aumento de la generación de energía eólica y solar, así como la modernización de cinco centrales hidroeléctricas.

Mexico’s second presidential debate was held on 28 April 2024. From left to right, stands Xóchitl Gálvez, candidate of the “strength and heart for Mexico” coalition; then Claudia Sheinbaum, candidate of the coalition “let’s keep making history” and finally Jorge Álvarez Máynez, candidate of Citizen’s Movement. Credit: Mexico’s National Electoral Institute (INE).
El segundo debate presidencial de México se realizó el 28 de abril de 2024. De izquierda a derecha, se encuentra Xóchitl Gálvez, candidata de la coalición “fuerza y corazón por México”; después Claudia Sheinbaum, candidata de la coalición “sigamos haciendo historia” y finalmente Jorge Álvarez Máynez, candidato de Movimiento Ciudadano. Crédito: Instituto Nacional Electoral de México (INE).

Durante el segundo debate presidencial, emitido el domingo 28 de abril, Sheinbaum reafirmó su propuesta de impulsar las fuentes de energía renovables. Esto incluye paneles solares domésticos, así como el crecimiento del transporte eléctrico, mientras se depende del gas y de más centrales de ciclo combinado para la transición energética.

La candidata de “sigamos haciendo historia” tiene actualmente una ventaja sustancial en las encuestas, pero no está muy claro si su coalición logrará la mayoría de dos tercios en la legislatura que necesitaría para promulgar sus deseadas reformas constitucionales.

Xóchitl Gálvez es la candidata de la coalición de varios partidos de oposición de derecha y centro-izquierda, entre ellos el Partido Acción Nacional, el Partido Revolucionario Institucional y el Partido de la Revolución Democrática. Es ingeniera informática, empresaria, ex alcaldesa de la alcaldía Miguel Hidalgo de la Ciudad de México de 2015 a 2018 y ex senadora de 2018 a 2023.

La plataforma electoral de su coalición esboza un plan de descarbonización y promete recursos para impulsar planes locales y nacionales de transición energética. Una de sus propuestas energéticas más destacadas, esbozada en su página web oficial, es que el país alcance las “emisiones netas cero de carbono” en 2050.

En el debate televisivo, Gálvez reafirmó su compromiso de lograr cero emisiones netas en 2050, hacer más eficiente el modelo de negocio de Pemex y promover rondas de energías limpias y subastas eléctricas. En una nueva propuesta, sugirió que el 50% de la energía proceda de fuentes renovables para 2030.

Jorge Álvarez Máynez es el candidato del partido de centro-izquierda Movimiento Ciudadano. Fue diputado del congreso de México en los periodos 2015-2018 y 2021-2024.

La plataforma electoral del partido busca establecer una fecha límite para eliminar gradualmente el uso de combustibles fósiles. Su partido dice estar comprometido con la transición energética y reconoce que esto implicará reemplazar los ingresos de los combustibles fósiles, sugiriendo que los ingresos de la producción de litio, viento y energía hidroeléctrica compensarán el déficit. Aunque la plataforma electoral promete objetivos más ambiciosos de reducción de emisiones, no menciona el cero neto.

Durante el debate, Máynez reiteró algunas de las propuestas esbozadas en su plataforma electoral. Entre ellas, la importancia de la transición a fuentes de energía limpias, como la solar y la eólica, el cambio de un impuesto sobre el petróleo por un impuesto verde para la electromovilidad y el transporte público, y el cierre de una planta de refinería y termoeléctrica. Dijo que su administración instalaría paneles solares en todas las escuelas y hospitales, e impulsaría el desarrollo sostenible en el sur del país.

Temas ausentes

El segundo debate presidencial fue el primero en México que incluyó el cambio climático y el desarrollo sostenible como una de sus áreas temáticas. Los tres candidatos debatieron sus propuestas sobre mitigación y transición energética, mientras que la adaptación apenas se mencionó.

México se enfrenta actualmente a la escasez de agua y sequía. De octubre del año pasado a abril de este año, las 210 presas del país registraron cifras de almacenamiento por debajo de los promedios históricos, según la comisión nacional del agua de México. Añade que casi el 80% del país atraviesa actualmente algún nivel de sequía, siendo las regiones noroeste y centro las más afectadas. Todos los candidatos reconocieron ambos problemas en el debate.

Sheinbaum dijo que pondría en marcha un plan nacional del agua centrado en la tecnificación del riego agrícola, y el reciclaje y el impulso de nuevas fuentes de agua, como la desalinización del agua de mar. También mantendría el programa de agroecología Sembrando Vida, cuestionado por expertos por sus impactos en la deforestación y las comunidades, y por no contar con indicadores ambientales en Centroamérica.

Gálvez propuso crear una agencia trinacional entre México, Estados Unidos y Canadá para hacer frente a los incendios forestales. En materia de agua, dijo que su gobierno dotaría de recursos financieros a la comisión nacional del agua y trataría el 100% de las aguas residuales para 2040.

Máynez planea duplicar el presupuesto para infraestructura hídrica, incluidas presas, acueductos y reparación de fugas. Propone nuevas condiciones para las empresas que se instalen en el país, ya que actualmente la mayor parte del agua está concesionada a grandes compañías.

Guzmán dice a Carbon Brief que, en lo que se refiere a políticas climáticas, las mayores lagunas en las propuestas de los candidatos están en la adaptación y el financiamiento. Ella critica a los candidatos por no ver el cambio climático como un tema transversal y por no etiquetar fondos o reformas fiscales para abordar el asunto.

La biodiversidad, las pérdidas y daños y el Acuerdo de Escazú –un acuerdo ratificado por 16 países de América Latina y el Caribe para proteger a los defensores ambientales– también están ausentes, según Anaid Velasco, directora de país de GFLAC México y miembro de México resiliente.

Ella dice a Carbon Brief que la biodiversidad es “crucial”, ya que el Marco Global de Biodiversidad de Kunming-Montreal ordena a los países presentar sus estrategias nacionales de biodiversidad (NBSAPs, en inglés) este año. México “debería estar trabajando en ello”, afirma.

The post Elección de México 2024: qué dicen las plataformas electorales sobre energía y cambio climático appeared first on Carbon Brief.

Elección de México 2024: qué dicen las plataformas electorales sobre energía y cambio climático

Continue Reading

Climate Change

Week One at COP30: Reflections from the Amazon

Published

on

Standing in the Blue Zone in Belém, Brazil, surrounded by thousands of negotiators, activists, scientists, and Indigenous leaders, I’m struck by how profoundly location shapes conversation. This is the first COP held in the Amazon rainforest—not symbolically nearby, but actually within it.

Through Climate Generation’s support, I’m able to spend two weeks here building strategic relationships and supporting mission-driven organizations. Their partnership — rooted in a mission to ignite and sustain the ability of educators, youth, and communities to act on systems perpetuating the climate crisis — enables Terra40 to deliver strategic event campaigns that include comprehensive Event Planning, Marketing, and Delegation Management to organizations like HBCU Green Fund at COP30.

Here’s what the first week has taught me.

The Beautiful Congregation

One of my favorite aspects of global forums is the congregation itself: diverse nations, peoples, and languages weaving together in one space. You hear Portuguese, Spanish, French, Chinese, Indigenous languages, Arabic — all at once. It’s a powerful reminder that we’re interconnected yet unique, each bringing something distinct to the table, yet all here for the same urgent purpose. But that diversity isn’t just poetic — it’s strategic. Different cultures approach negotiation, relationship building, and decision-making in fundamentally distinct ways. Understanding these differences determines whether you can build coalitions that actually drive policy change. For Climate Generation’s work with educators and youth, teaching students about these diverse approaches prepares them to be more effective climate advocates.

Indigenous Leadership Takes Center Stage

The most significant shift at COP30 is the centrality of Indigenous voices. In previous COPs, Indigenous peoples often felt relegated to side events. Here in Belém, they’re in the negotiating rooms, leading pavilions, and setting the agenda.

Indigenous leaders from Brazil, Peru, Ecuador, and beyond are presenting traditional ecological knowledge that challenges and complements Western scientific frameworks. They’re not asking for a seat at the table — they’re reminding everyone that this is their table, their land, their knowledge systems that have sustained these ecosystems for millennia.

This directly connects to acting on systems perpetuating the climate crisis—one of those systems is the marginalization of Indigenous knowledge in climate solutions. For Minnesota classrooms, this means teaching students that climate solutions already exist in communities worldwide. Our job is to listen, learn, amplify, and support.

The Unglamorous Reality

Let me be honest about what Week One actually looked like: jet-lagged client meetings, navigating a massive venue, negotiations stretching past midnight, building relationships over coffee in crowded corridors, and adjusting strategy in real-time. Global forums look polished from the outside. Inside, they’re an organized chaos that requires flexibility, cultural competence, strategic thinking, and stamina. But this is also where the magic happens — where an environmental justice leader from Louisiana connects with an Indigenous forest guardian from Acre, where relationships form that outlast the two-week conference.

This messiness matters for climate education. Real climate action isn’t always tidy. It’s a mix of coalition-building, compromise, setbacks, breakthroughs, exhaustion, and hope. Preparing young people for this reality — while sustaining their ability to act — is precisely what Climate Generation’s mission describes.

Connecting Global to Local

What does COP30 mean for Climate Generation’s work with Minnesota educators, youth, and communities?

  • Local solutions matter globally. Minnesota’s work on agricultural climate adaptation and renewable energy transition is part of conversations happening here. Small-scale innovations can influence international policy.
  • Relationship-building is a strategy. Just like at COP30, meaningful climate work requires cultural intelligence, trust-building, and long-term relationship investment—not just data and messaging.
  • Diverse voices strengthen solutions. Climate Generation’s vision of ‘a just and abundant world beyond climate crisis’ requires centering voices often marginalized: Indigenous communities, communities of color, rural communities, and young people.
  • Personal connection drives action. The most effective negotiators here connect abstract targets to individual experience. This transforms information into action—exactly what Climate Generation does in Minnesota classrooms and communities.

Looking Ahead

As we head into Week Two, negotiations intensify. I’ll continue sharing insights through this partnership — because understanding how global climate policy happens should be accessible to everyone, from international negotiators to teachers in Minnesota. The climate crisis is global. But so are the solutions, relationships, and movements being born here in Belém. When educators, youth, and communities in Minnesota learn from these global convenings, they’re better equipped to act on the systems perpetuating the crisis — right where they are.

___

Fuzieh Jallow is the Founder & CEO of Terra40. This blog was written in partnership with Climate Generation
About This Partnership: Climate Generation provided COP30 credentials to Terra40 in exchange for on-the-ground insights and educational content. Learn more at climategen.org. Follow Terra40 @terra40global for real-time COP30 updates.

The post Week One at COP30: Reflections from the Amazon appeared first on Climate Generation.

Week One at COP30: Reflections from the Amazon

Continue Reading

Climate Change

COP30: Spain’s unions say just transition means renewing communities beyond jobs

Published

on

Unions in Spain are calling for a new just transition strategy that goes beyond plant closures to revive the fabric of life in affected regions, linking public services with jobs and investment. 

“When a power plant closes in a rural area, you don’t just lose jobs,” said Manuel Riera of UGT, one of Spain’s largest unions. “You risk losing the life of the place – the families, the neighbours, the school, the bus line. To keep people rooted, we have to rebuild whole economies.”

The end goal is to safeguard workers, diversify rural economies, and keep families rooted.

Spain’s breakthrough: dialogue and territorial pacts

Spain is among the few countries to have managed coal closures through negotiated territorial pacts. Since 2018, 15 agreements have been signed between national, regional and local governments in areas hit by mine and power plant shutdowns. The government also reached tripartite accords with unions and coal companies, guaranteeing solutions for affected workers.

“For the first time, workers and their communities had a seat at the table. It demonstrated that a just transition is possible and that social dialogue with trade unions must be the first step” Riera said. “That gave people dignity in a moment of loss.”

These frameworks funded retraining, supported job-creating projects and ensured public participation. They became an international reference for how social dialogue can guide decarbonisation.

A just transition for renewables: Why COP30 must put people before power

Lessons learned: from energy to social transition

But the experience has also exposed key limits. Job creation alone has not been enough to sustain rural life.

“Again and again we heard: in addition to employment, what decides if families stay is whether there is transport, housing, health care, education,” Riera said. “That is what keeps a territory alive. We have to move from an energy transition to a social transition.”

Judit Carreras Garcia, director of the Instituto para la Transición Justa (ITJ), reflected on the government’s efforts to respond to these challenges:

“Over the years, we have sought to make the just transition a reality through concrete policies and actions — walking the talk through a wide range of measures that include employability schemes, training, funding lines for job-creating business initiatives, just transition energy tender grids, municipal support programmes and environmental restoration,” she explained.

“All of them aim at minimising the impacts of decarbonisation and optimising outcomes based on participation and social dialogue. This effort has come with its own challenges — from managing timing gaps to addressing very different territorial starting points — but our commitment remains firm.”

Both unions and government acknowledge that anticipation is crucial: closures must be aligned with new opportunities, and support must adapt to vastly different territorial realities – from regions facing depopulation to those with stronger infrastructure.

Workers in Teruel province, Aragon, are worried that coal plant closures are hollowing out rural life.

Workers in Teruel province, Aragon, are worried that coal plant closures are hollowing out rural life.

The next phase for just transition

UGT is now working with its federations to shape Spain’s next Just Transition Strategy (2026–2030). Visits to pact areas, including Aragón, where a coal plant closed in 2020, reveal a rising sense of frustration.

“People are tired of waiting,” Riera said. “We have projects on paper, but they don’t see them materialising. Without effective coherent planning, workers retrain and then have to move to Madrid or Barcelona. That is not territorial justice.”

The unions’ demand: keep the territorial approach, but expand it across ministries and sectors, ensuring that services and infrastructure grow alongside jobs.

For Indian women workers, a just transition means surviving climate impacts with dignity

Behind the technical debates lies a deeper fear: the hollowing out of rural Spain, where thousands of villages have already lost their young people and their future. A mishandled transition could accelerate that trend.

“This is not only about jobs,” Riera said. “It is about whether towns survive at all. When a power station shuts, it’s not just the jobs inside the gates that disappear. The bus stops running, the school risks closing, the clinic can’t keep going, housing starts to deteriorate. Families leave, and a town empties. And once they leave, they rarely come back.”

Sharing lessons internationally

In September, Riera met unions from around the world to share Spain’s experience. His message was simple: we must fight for social dialogue and territorial agreements, but these are the beginning — not the end — of a just transition.

“If decisions are only made in the capital, they miss what life is like in a village. What Madrid sees as energy policy, a small town sees as survival: will there still be a bus, a clinic, a school? That is why workers and communities must always be in the room.”

For Riera, the work that goes into the just transition is also a chance to imagine something new.

“We can use this moment not just to protect people from loss, but to renew rural life — to make villages places where families want to stay, where children can imagine their future. This is about dignity, but also about love: love of place, love of community, love of life itself.”

“Water is worth more than lithium,” Indigenous Argentine community tells COP30

A call for Belém – and beyond

Now in Belém for COP30, Riera is bringing a clear message to world leaders: Spain’s experience shows that the just transition must be built from the ground up. The Belém Action Mechanism that has been proposed, he argues, should require cross-sector transition plans – not just energy policies; guarantee participation from workers and communities; and secure public finance capable of delivering not only jobs but the services that sustain life around them.

“The Global South faces the same challenge: how to transition without abandoning people. Without public finance, that is impossible,” he said. “If we treat the just transition as a bargaining chip, we betray them. But if we take it seriously, we can create hope — from Spain to Brazil, from Santander to Belém.”

“This is not only about closing coal or opening renewables,” he added. “It is about whether people can imagine a future for their children. That is what the just transition means.”

The post COP30: Spain’s unions say just transition means renewing communities beyond jobs appeared first on Climate Home News.

COP30: Spain’s unions say just transition means renewing communities beyond jobs

Continue Reading

Climate Change

COP30 Bulletin Day 6: COP’s climate march takes to the streets again 

Published

on

Indigenous peoples, climate activists, feminist organisations, clowns, friars, cyclists and more came together on Saturday under Belém’s baking sun for the “Great People’s March”, a demonstration demanding climate justice and territorial protection.

Thousands joined the first march outside the COP venue in four years, as the last three summits were held in Egypt, the United Arab Emirates and Azerbaijan, places where street protests outside the COP venue were not permitted by the authorities.

Week 1 of COP30 ends with uneven progress and many thorny issues still unresolved. Want clarity on what’s at stake? Sign up for our Monday event.

Saturday’s march in Belém ended peacefully at the Aldeia COP, a village designated by the Brazilian government to host the more than 3,000 Indigenous people who travelled to attend the conference.

During the first week of COP, it was mainly Indigenous people who led the two biggest civil society actions: a flotilla sailing on the Amazon River delta on Wednesday and a blockade of the conference centre’s entrance on Friday. Thousands also participated on Saturday.

The props seen at the march included a statue of US President Donald Trump riding on the back of a worker and a figure of Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva using a straw to drink “oil from the Amazon”. A network of green groups dressed in black staged a funeral for fossil fuels, carrying three huge coffins emblazoned with coal, oil and gas.

An effigy shows President Lula of Brazil drinking Amazonian oil through a straw at a COP30 climate march in Belem, Brazil on November 15, 2025. (Photo: Mariel Lozada)

An effigy shows President Lula of Brazil drinking Amazonian oil through a straw at a COP30 climate march in Belem, Brazil on November 15, 2025. (Photo: Mariel Lozada)

One of the Indigenous leaders present, Nelson of the Amazon Munduruku people – who organised the blockade of the COP venue entrance – said they were here “to fight, to bring the people’s vindication of resistance and struggle,” and reiterated their demand for a meeting with President Lula.

The soundtrack to the march changed from group to group of marchers, ranging from Indigenous chants and Brazilian music to shouts of Free Palestine and Free Congo.

Adaptation talks held hostage by finance

Finalising a list of 100 metrics to measure progress on adapting to more extreme weather and rising seas after two years of work may have seemed like a relatively straightforward technical win for the UN climate summit in Belém. The COP30 presidency were hoping they might even get it wrapped up in week one of the talks, which winds up on Saturday.

    No such luck, as the negotiating groups for Africa, Latin America and the Arab countries have decided they want to use the talks on indicators for the Global Goal on Adaptation as a place to press for more funding from wealthy governments. Earlier in the week, as we reported, they asked for two more years to discuss the metrics, which include “means of implementation” – code for how adaptation will be paid for.

    By the mid-point of the talks – when negotiators compile their work into texts that are either ready to be approved or need further refinement by ministers who arrive on Monday – the latest version of the adaptation text was entirely inside square brackets, meaning that none of it has yet been agreed among countries. It will now fall to the presidency to find a way forward.

    The text they’ve been handed shows no sign of any convergence of views, and includes two main options on adaptation finance – one which would have nothing at all and the other which reflects developing-country proposals for a new quantitative goal of either $120 billion (from the Least-Developed Countries) or $150 billion (Arab Group) a year by 2030.

    Under a current target set at COP26 in 2021, donor governments pledged to deliver at least $40 billion a year by 2025. But with aid budgets being cut by many, current predictions are that they are on track to deliver little more than $25 billion, which leaves a huge gap compared with needs.

    Global South’s climate adaptation bill to top $300 billion a year by 2035: UN

    Parts of the proposed text released on Saturday also aim to prevent developing countries from being expected to fund their own adaptation measures and say that the indicators would be voluntary and left to countries to decide how to use them, in a bid to avoid being told what they should do to make their agriculture, water and health systems and other infrastructure more resilient.

    Debbie Hillier, Mercy Corps’ UNFCCC policy lead, noted that the new text brings together the full spectrum of positions raised by negotiators. “The large number of options and brackets underscores how much work still lies ahead and how crucial ministerial engagement will be in resolving the core political divergences,” she said.

    She pointed to the reference to providing at least $120 billion in adaptation finance for developing countries as a signal that “pressure is mounting for a serious response to the scale of adaptation needs,” adding that the text “recognises the urgency of delivering additional and predictable public finance”.

    On Friday, African Group of Negotiators Chair Richard Muyungi told Climate Home News that a two-year extension of discussions on the metrics may not be needed if there is political will to unlock more funding for adaptation.

    “[If] we get the means of implementation in the indicators, I think we’ll be able to agree [them] within the shortest time possible,” he added.

    Business-as-usual: Donors pour climate adaptation finance into big infrastructure, neglecting local needs

    While adaptation finance has erupted as an issue in the discussions on the metrics, negotiators on this track don’t actually have a mandate to decide finance matters. That is why the hot topic of whether and how to set a new target is also part of talks on the broader finance goal (NCQG) that was decided in Baku last year.

    Sources told Climate Home News it may be more likely that adaptation could be allocated a share of the $300 billion a year developed countries agreed to mobilise for poorer nations by 2035 under the NCQG.

    Participants visit the Green Zone during the 30th Conference of the Parties (COP30) in Belém, Brazil. (Photo: Alex Ferro/COP30)

    Participants visit the Green Zone during the 30th Conference of the Parties (COP30) in Belém, Brazil. (Photo: Alex Ferro/COP30)

    Future of $1.3-trillion roadmap uncertain at COP30

    COP30 President André Corrêa do Lago today hosted a much-anticipated event on the Baku-Belém Roadmap, a document building on last year’s finance COP. It is meant to chart a way forward to meet a new goal to deliver $1.3 trillion-a-year for developing nations by 2035. But experts said the session failed to provide clear guidance and raised concerns that the roadmap could die in Belem.

    The event, which is not part of formal negotiations, was originally scheduled for Tuesday but got pushed back to the weekend after countries failed to decide whether to start a conversation on finance at COP30.

    Seven speakers – among them UN climate chief Simon Stiell – read statements for the first half of the 40-minute event, reiterating the roadmap’s main points — a shopping list of measures that could deliver the $1.3 trillion. A handful of governments and observers gave mostly positive feedback.

    Ali Mohamed, special climate envoy of Kenya, proposed incorporating its short-term recommendations in the decisions made at COP30. One of those recommendations invites developed countries to consider working together on a delivery plan to achieve the $300 billion they are due to mobilise annually by 2035.

    China’s delegate Chen Zhihua told the event that “greater clarity is needed on the implementation path” of that goal.

    Corrêa do Lago emphasised that only the $300-billion core goal approved in Baku “is in the process of negotiation” and that the roadmap to 1.3T “is still something open”.

    Roadmap to $1.3 trillion seeks to tip climate finance scales but way forward unclear

    A representative of Colombia said, on behalf of the AILAC group of Latin American countries, that the report confuses actions to support developing countries with actions to transform all financing flows, and requested to discuss it formally in the UN climate regime.

    Some observers were critical of the Brazil-led event at COP30, arguing that it risks leaving the formal negotiations with no clear guidance on finance.

    “What happened today was not a conversation. It was not even a format that allows interaction with the presidency,” said Sandra Guzmán, director of the nonprofit Climate Finance Group for Latin America and the Caribbean (GFLAC).

    She added that not enough developing countries were represented because at the time climate finance negotiators were in other rooms, attempting to carry the talks forward.

    Joe Thwaites, senior climate finance advocate at the Natural Resources Defense Council (NRDC), said the risk of lacking clear guidance is that developed countries could fail to deliver the finance goal, as happened in the past with a previous $100bn goal that was delivered two years late. “I’m really worried that we’re going to be in the same position for the $1.3 trillion, which is a goal 13 times the size,” he added.

    Azerbaijani lead finance negotiator Elmaddin Mehdiyev told Climate Home that the mandate to deliver the Baku-Belem roadmap has been completed and focusing on implementation is now “much more important”.

    He added that getting the roadmap endorsed or welcomed formally by governments at COP30 was not key to taking it forward as it is a “non-negotiated document”.

    Asked about this possibility after the event, Corrêa do Lago told Climate Home News: “There’s a movement starting, but we’ll see how the countries react. I think it’s unlikely to happen in Belém.”

    Environmental activists protest to urge world leaders to commit to a strong climate finance deal during the United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP29), in Baku, Azerbaijan November 16, 2024. (Photo: REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov)

    Environmental activists protest to urge world leaders to commit to a strong climate finance deal during the United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP29), in Baku, Azerbaijan November 16, 2024. (Photo: REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov)

    Brazil launches flagship climate and trade forum

    The COP30 presidency this Saturday launched a forum for countries to discuss climate and trade, seen by Brazil as one of its “flagship” initiatives outside of the formal talks.

    Trade has been one of the most contentious issues at the summit in Belém, after the Like Minded group of emerging economies pushed for an agenda item on the topic at the start of the UN climate talks.

    Several countries in that group – among them China, India and Iran – have been hit by US or European trade restrictions such as the recent US tariffs on solar imports. “Collaboration remains the only viable path to solving the global crisis; only through unity can we overcome it,” said Li Gao, China’s head of delegation at the launch event for the Integrated Forum on Climate Change and Trade (IFCCT).

    After a week of consultations, countries have yet to agree on whether to hold such a conversation at COP30 and the first reactions to the IFCCT were lukewarm. A senior EU negotiator said on Wednesday that the bloc does not want to address trade disputes at COP that belong in the World Trade Organization.

    For now, the Brazil-led forum is in a consultation phase, including on “modalities and thematic focus”, according to its official website. The IFCCT is intended to run for an initial phase of three years from early 2026 to end 2028 and is open for countries to join, it says.

    The post COP30 Bulletin Day 6: COP’s climate march takes to the streets again  appeared first on Climate Home News.

    COP30 Bulletin Day 6: First week ends with a colourful march and much work left to do

    Continue Reading

    Trending

    Copyright © 2022 BreakingClimateChange.com