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The United Nations, Germany and Brazil joined diplomatic forces this week to convince the world of the national and economic security benefits of pursuing ambitious climate action in challenging geopolitical times on a fast-warming planet.

In a speech to the Petersberg Climate Dialogue in Berlin, UN Secretary-General António Guterres called on countries to ensure they deliver new national climate plans by September that are strong enough to limit global warming to 1.5C and to provide finance to developing countries in line with promises.

He added that climate goals would only be met “with stronger collaboration – between governments, and across society and sectors”.

“The rewards are there for the taking, for all those ready and willing to lead the world through these troubled times,” he told delegates from 40 countries by video link on Wednesday. “I urge you to seize this moment; and seize the prize.”

Electricity demand surges, expanding renewables and fossil fuels in 2024

Both Guterres and UN climate chief Simon Stiell highlighted new data from the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) showing record growth of 15.1% in renewable electricity capacity – mainly solar and wind – in 2024, accounting for 92.5% of total power expansion.

“Renewables are renewing economies. They are powering growth, creating jobs, lowering energy bills, and cleaning our air. And every day, they become an even smarter investment,” said Guterres.

Nonetheless IRENA said progress is still falling short of the amount of clean electricity needed to reach a global goal to triple renewable energy capacity by 2030, which requires annual expansion of 16.6%.

Clean growth opportunities

Stiell, speaking at the “Europe 2025” conference also in Berlin, noted that renewables grew in Asia last year at double the rate in Europe – with China accounting for 64% of new global capacity – adding that “there is still so much opportunity for Europe to step up the pace”.

“In a global clean energy boom that hit $2 trillion last year, the dividends on offer are monumental,” the UN’s top climate official said. “The clean energy transition can be Europe’s economic engine-room, now – when new sources of growth are vital to buttress living standards – and for decades to come.”

On the other hand, failure to pursue a green transition and tackle the climate crisis could carve up to 2.3% off Europe’s gross domestic product (GDP) by mid-century, he warned, calling that “a recipe for permanent recession”.

Australian economist Steve Keen told Climate Home that the figure cited by Stiell – based on European Commission data – is likely an under-estimate and out of step with what climate scientists view as a global warming trajectory that could lead “to the collapse of civilisation”.

Germany’s foreign minister, Annalena Baerbock, told journalists in Berlin that “climate protection and economic growth are not contradictions”, adding Europe wants to “tap into the potential” of clean technologies.

“If others like the US decide that they want to stay outside, then it is their decision,” she said, referring to President Donald Trump’s efforts to reverse green policies and withdraw from global climate diplomacy.

“But we make it clear that we see opportunities for companies here in Europe, but also cooperation with companies and countries in Latin America and Africa and other regions of the world,” she added.

Greenpeace is calling on the heads of state and government at the Petersberg Climate Dialogue to demonstrate global unity and step up their efforts to tackle the escalating climate and biodiversity crisis on the road to this year’s UN COP30 summit. (Photo: © Paul Lovis Wagner / Greenpeace)

Greenpeace is calling on the heads of state and government at the Petersberg Climate Dialogue to demonstrate global unity and step up their efforts to tackle the escalating climate and biodiversity crisis on the road to this year’s UN COP30 summit. (Photo: © Paul Lovis Wagner / Greenpeace)

Benefits for all?

The strong messaging around the economic benefits of acting to reduce planet-heating emissions was reinforced by new analysis, commissioned by the German government and released at the Petersberg dialogue, showing that higher climate ambition makes economic sense – even in the near term.

The research, done jointly by the United Nations Development Programme and the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, estimates that if countries delivered new climate plans (NDCs) that can meet the Paris Agreement goals, the world’s GDP in 2040 would be 0.2% higher than with today’s policies – equal to the current GDP of Sweden.

By 2050, it adds, strong NDCs would reduce the risk of climate-induced events, prevent significant economic losses and increase global GDP by up to 3% – and up to 13% by 2100.

UNDP head Achim Steiner told the Petersberg conference on Tuesday that while the growth percentages may look small, they translate into “billions” of dollars – and 175 million more people would be lifted out of extreme poverty with the right investments in energy transition, food security and other basic services.

The policy discussions in Germany this week represent a push at the highest international level to counter the arguments of opponents of a low-carbon transition who say the social and economic changes required will be chaotic and unaffordable, with the financial burden falling on ordinary consumers.

Brazil’s COP30 president: Climate summits must move from words to real action

Brazil’s COP30 president André Aranha Corrêa do Lago, who will chair this year’s UN climate summit in the Amazon city of Belem, said not enough effort has been made to explain the benefits of climate action to the public – and get all levels of society involved in implementing their countries’ plans.

“That’s why we want to increase as much as possible the participation of sub-national governments [at COP30] because they, at the end of the day, are the ones that are applying many of the orientations and solutions that are given in these [UN] negotiations – and the private sector, because we have to be realistic: the creation of new jobs, the adoption of new technologies, all this depends so much on the private sector,” he added.

European Commissioner for Climate Action Wopke Hoekstra praised the contribution of the Paris Agreement and the UN climate process to reining in runaway climate change, but said progress was not yet sufficient and it was important to keep going.

“I’m convinced that if we manage to succeed, and if we see more rather than less multilateralism, at COP30, we will send a very strong signal to the real economy that the transition to a net zero world is not just possible, but actually it is fully underway,” he told the same press conference.

“National security crisis”

In addition to the economic benefits, Germany’s foreign minister emphasised that tackling climate change is also “tough security policy” because “the climate crisis inflames and fuels conflicts about scarce land resources, drinking water and other resources”, threatening lives.

“The opposite is true as well,” said Baerbock. “Every centigrade of global warming that is less makes our world more secure.”

Separately, UN climate chief Stiell warned that a global failure to rein in climate change would fuel disasters making a growing number of regions unlivable and harming food production, forcing millions more people to migrate.

“Unquestionably, the climate crisis is an urgent national security crisis that should be at the top of every cabinet agenda. Surrender is not an option. And half measures are a recipe for failure,” he emphasised.

The post UN, Germany say tackling climate crisis is path to economic and national security appeared first on Climate Home News.

UN, Germany say tackling climate crisis is path to economic and national security

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Climate Activists Stage Mock Funeral for Landmark Climate Rule

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The Trump EPA’s repeal of the 2009 endangerment finding revokes the agency’s authority to regulate climate pollution. Environmental activists are mourning the loss while vowing to resurrect it.

A procession of mourners representing sea level rise, melting permafrost, ecocide and other climate calamities grieved the demise of a groundbreaking climate rule outside the Environmental Protection Agency’s Region 9 headquarters in downtown San Francisco on Tuesday.

Climate Activists Stage Mock Funeral for Landmark Climate Rule

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IEA slashes pre-war oil demand forecast by nearly a million barrels per day

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Global oil demand is expected to be almost one million barrels per day less than was forecast before the Iran war, as shortages and soaring costs prompt drastic cutbacks by consumers and businesses, a report by the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Wednesday.

With the closure of the Strait of Hormuz choking off supplies and keeping prices high, less oil is being used to make products such as jet fuel, LPG cooking gas and petrochemicals, the Paris-based IEA said in its monthly oil report, forecasting the biggest quarterly demand drop since the COVID pandemic.

The Iran war “upends our global outlook”, the government-backed agency said, adding that it now expects oil demand to shrink by 80,000 barrels per day in 2026 from last year.

Before the conflict began, the IEA said in February it expected oil demand to rise by 850,000 barrels per day this year, meaning the difference between the pre-war and current estimates is 930,000 barrels a day, or 340 million barrels a year.

That could have a significant impact on the outlook for planet-heating carbon emissions this year.

At an intensity of 434 kg of carbon dioxide per barrel of oil – the estimate used by the US Environmental Protection Agency – the annual reduction in carbon dioxide emissions from oil for 2026, compared with the pre-war forecast, is similar to the amount emitted by the Philippines each year.

Harry Benham, senior advisor at Carbon Tracker, told Climate Home News that he expects at least half of the reduction in oil demand to be permanent because of efficiency gains, behavioural change and faster electrification.

The oil shock is leading to oil being replaced, especially in transport, with electricity and other fuels, just as past oil shocks drove lasting reductions in consumption, he said. “The shock doesn’t delay the transition – it reinforces it,” he added.

Demand takes a hit

While demand for oil has fallen significantly, supplies have fallen even further. Supply in March was 10 million barrels a day less than February, the IEA said, calling it the “largest disruption in history”.

This forecast relies on the assumption that regular deliveries of oil and gas from the Middle East will resume by the middle of the year, the IEA said, although the prospects for this “remain unclear at this stage”.

    Last month, US Energy Secretary Chris Wright told the CERAWeek oil industry conference that prices were not high enough to lead to permanent reductions in demand for oil, known as demand destruction.

    But the IEA said on Wednesday that “demand destruction will spread as scarcity and higher prices persist”.

    Industries contributing to weaker demand for oil include Asian petrochemical producers, who are cutting production as oil supplies dry up, the report said, while consumers are cutting back on liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), which is mainly used as a cooking gas in developing countries, the IEA said.

    Flight cancellations caused by the war have dampened demand for oil-based jet fuel, the IEA said. As well as cancellations caused by risk from the conflict itself, airports have warned that fuel shortages could lead to disruption.

    Across the world, governments, businesses and consumers have sought to reduce their oil use after the war. The government of Pakistan has cut the speed limit on its roads, so that people drive at a more fuel-efficient speed, and Laos has encouraged people to work from home to preserve scarce petrol and diesel.

    Nepal’s EV revolution pays off as oil crisis causes pain at the pumps

    Consumers in Bangladesh are seeking electric vehicles (EVs) to avoid fuel queues and, in Nigeria, more people are seeking to replace petrol and diesel generators with solar panels, Climate Home News has reported.

    In the longer term, the European Union is considering cutting taxes on electricity to help it replace fossil fuels and France is promoting EVs and heat pumps.

    IEA urged to help “future-proof” economies

    Meanwhile, the IEA came under fire last week from energy security experts, including former military chiefs, who signed an open letter in which they accused the agency of offering “only a temporary response to turbulent markets”, calling for stronger structural action “to future-proof our economies”.

    They said that besides releasing emergency oil stocks and offering advice on how to reduce oil demand in the short term, the IEA should show countries how to reduce their exposure to volatile oil and gas markets.

    The IEA has also been under pressure from the Trump administration to talk less about the transition away from fossil fuels.

    This article was amended on 15 April 2026 to correct the drop in 2026 forecast oil demand from “nearly a billion” to “nearly a million”

    The post IEA slashes pre-war oil demand forecast by nearly a million barrels per day appeared first on Climate Home News.

    IEA slashes pre-war oil demand forecast by nearly a million barrels per day

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    Iowa Moves to Shield Farmers, Ethanol Plants, From Lawsuits Over Emissions

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    Climate lawsuits are a largely nonexistent threat to farmers in the state, but ethanol producers could benefit from the law.

    DES MOINES, Iowa—Aaron Lehman has many concerns about the fate of Iowa’s farmers. Climate lawsuits aren’t one.

    Iowa Moves to Shield Farmers, Ethanol Plants, From Lawsuits Over Emissions

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