Ye Huang is a senior researcher at Global Energy Monitor (GEM), where she tracks and analyses global renewable energy developments. Christine Shearer is project manager of GEM’s Global Coal Plant Tracker (GCPT).
As batteries redefine how power systems handle peak demand in the United States, a central question for the global clean energy transition is whether China can follow a similar path and move beyond coal-based backup power.
Batteries now regularly provide roughly one-quarter of California’s peak demand during high-load periods following rapid growth in the US in recent years. In contrast, power generation from natural gas-fired plants fell by 17% year-on-year during the spring and summer of 2025.
Highlighting the strides made in the country’s most populous state, the battery fleet of the California Independent System Operator (CAISO), the state power system, set a new record on August 6, 2025 – discharging 11.2 gigawatts (GW) during the evening peak.
California’s experience mirrors a wider national shift. US battery storage has grown at an annual rate of more than 60% for the past five years, increasing its share of the power mix and reducing dependence on fossil fuel-powered “peakers” – plants which operate for brief periods to avert outages at times of high demand.
Clean alternative to polluting peakers
The US had 999 peaker units in 2021, most fuelled by natural gas. Peakers typically run fewer than 100 to 400 hours per year, usually for short intervals of less than four hours.
As well as being costly to operate due to low efficiency, frequent cycling and rising maintenance costs, the peaker units also emit disproportionately high levels of air pollutants. The Clean Energy Group has found that more than 4.4 million Americans live within one mile (1.6 km) of a peaker plant, largely low-income and historically disadvantaged urban neighborhoods, exposing them to worse air pollution and increased health risks.
But with about 150 GW of peak capacity expected to retire in the US over the next 15 years, battery storage is emerging as a viable alternative.
Compared to the peakers, batteries offer a faster response, greater efficiency and significant environmental benefits. Technological advances are expanding the range of services batteries can provide, making medium-duration storage (less than 12 hours) an increasingly viable option to meet the integration needs of high-renewable systems.
Trump leaves battery incentives alone
Federal policy has laid the foundation for the transition to battery storage in California and elsewhere.
FERC Order 841 allows energy storage to participate directly in wholesale electricity markets, enabling batteries to compete with conventional generators for energy and grid services, as well as receive capacity payments in the same way as fossil peakers.
The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 further accelerated deployment by extending the Investment Tax Credit to standalone storage, supporting private-sector investment. Unlike incentives for wind and solar, those for battery storage have been largely preserved under the Trump administration.
States are increasingly leveraging storage to replace peakers. California, for instance, explicitly targets battery storage to meet reliability and emissions goals, planning to add 15.7 GW of four-hour batteries and 2.8 GW of eight-hour batteries while cutting natural gas use by 70% by 2035.
China’s critical clean energy juncture
China is facing growing flexibility needs due to its recent record-breaking solar and wind capacity additions.
It has been heavily promoting the use of “flexible” coal-fired power to back up its growing variable power sources and meet peak demand. “Flexible” coal power in China refers to retrofitting coal-fired units so that their minimum output can fall to 35% or lower of rated capacity. At present, nearly half of China’s coal fleet (600 GW) is categorised as dispatchable for flexibility needs.
Global renewables goal slips off course after Trump, China moves
However, this reliance on coal is problematic. As historically base-load units, coal plants inherently have slower response times and generate significant pollution, making them ill-suited for frequent ramping. Even with generous and guaranteed capacity payments, many of these coal units struggle to operate profitably. Additionally, the “flexible” coal power policy has been used to justify the continued large buildout of coal power in China, which hit a 10-year record for construction in 2024.
China is already the world’s largest market for battery storage, and installations are accelerating rapidly. Battery storage and demand response could together provide nearly 60% of China’s short-term flexibility needs by 2030, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA).
The US shows what is possible when policy, markets and technology align. China needs to take swift, decisive action to shift from “flexible” coal to battery storage. If batteries are to play a central role, strengthening market mechanisms is a key step.
China risks emissions rebound amid policy shifts, experts warn
China is on track to establish provincial electricity spot markets in which battery storage will be formally recognised as a market participant for grid peak regulation services. Additionally, establishing capacity mechanisms, including implementing capacity payments for battery storage, would further incentivise deployment. Increasing utilisation is also essential: recent policy explicitly calls for higher dispatch levels of battery storage and prioritising its use in system regulation.
Encouraging battery storage to replace fossil peaker plants is not only an effective way to accelerate China’s “dual-carbon” goals, but also helps China to consolidate its global leadership in the battery storage industry. China has the resources, the market momentum and the industrial know-how to leapfrog “flexible” coal and make batteries the backbone of its clean and flexible grid. The question is not whether it can, but how quickly it will do so.
The authors are grateful to Xing Zhang for helpful discussions that informed this article.
The post To break its coal habit, China should look to California’s progress on batteries appeared first on Climate Home News.
To break its coal habit, China should look to California’s progress on batteries
Climate Change
Ahead of Davos, climate drops down global elite’s list of pressing concerns
Environmental issues including climate change, pollution and biodiversity loss have dropped down an international ranking of short-term concerns for high-profile business leaders, academics and politicians.
Each year in August and September, the Global Risks Perception Survey run by the World Economic Forum (WEF) asks more than 1,300 experts – largely from the Global North – what they are most worried about. It is released in the run-up to an annual gathering of leaders in the Swiss ski resort of Davos, which takes place next week.
This year, the number of respondents citing environmental issues as top concerns over the next two years fell, while more warned of economic risks like geoeconomic confrontation, economic downturn, inflation and asset bubbles bursting.
The report on the survey’s results said that “environmental concerns, especially in the short term, are slipping down the ranking of leading risks for the first time in many years”.
After months of announcements on new US tariffs and sanctions under President Donald Trump, “geoeconomic confrontation” shot from third to first on the list of concerns, leapfrogging “extreme weather events”. This year’s survey found respondents generally more worried about the state of the world than last year.
Commenting on the report, climate scientist Johan Rockström, director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), told Climate Home News “priorities shift but it doesn’t mean that they’re not interconnected”. He said recent trends like a retreat from multilateralism and the rise of misinformation interact with the climate crisis, as do the solutions to these problems.
He noted, for example, that a healthier online environment for public debate and less polarisation helps efforts to tackle climate change. “Aiming to reduce inequality also means providing energy in the cheapest way possible – and that’s with renewables. Governing well in a time of risk means you need to be able to be clear-eyed about what choices are going to bring about the most benefits,” he added.
Looking further ahead, survey respondents still put environmental concerns at the top of their list of longer-term concerns. Over the next ten years, their top concerns were extreme weather followed by biodiversity loss and critical changes to Earth systems.
Report author Saadia Zahidi told a press conference it is “very concerning that if we do lose the focus on [climate change and biodiversity loss] in the short term, we’re not going to be ready to adapt and mitigate 10 years out. So while it does show up in the longer-term rankings higher, it actually is a here-and-now risk.”
Scientists announced this week that the last three years have been the warmest on record and, in 2025, the head of the United Nations accepted that exceeding the goal of limiting global warming to to 1.5C, set in the Paris Agreement, was inevitable.
Despite rising impacts from climate change, a study by the Media and Climate Change Observatory found that media coverage of climate change was far lower in 2025 than previous years, having peaked in 2021-2023.
Trump takes over
The WEF’s annual Davos meeting kicks off on Monday, with political opponents of climate action attending in force. The US government will send what WEF organiser Børge Brende described as the largest US delegation ever, including President Trump and Energy Secretary Chris Wright.
Brende said he was “pleased to welcome back” Trump after a six-year absence from Davos, adding that there will also be a “very strong delegation” from Saudi Arabia. Argentina’s President Javier Milei, who has flirted with leaving the Paris Agreement, will give a special address.
On the other hand, politicians supportive of climate action including Brazilian Environment Minister Marina Silva and former US Vice-President Al Gore will speak on panels, as will Rockström and green Australian businessman Andrew Forrest.
In November, the Financial Times reported that, in order to persuade Trump to attend, WEF organisers gave assurances that “woke” topics like climate change and international development finance would not be too prominent at the forum.
Nonetheless, climate issues remain on the agenda although several panels are framed as questions that cast doubt on the clean energy transition such as “can EVs [electric vehicles] really dominate?” and “unstoppable march of renewables?”.
Last year’s programme featured a “road to COP30” event but there is no COP31-focused event this time. One panel on this year’s agenda will discuss “should we bet on climate moonshots?” such as nuclear fusion, an unproven clean energy technology on which the Trump administration has funded research.
As well as panel events, which are broadcast to the public online, WEF usually organises informal discussions on a range of issues including climate change.
Many of the high-profile participants travel to Davos by private jet, however, drawing accusations of hypocrisy from Greenpeace. On Thursday, it released figures showing that private jet flights to the annual WEF meeting tripled between 2023 and 2025.
“It’s pure hypocrisy that the world’s most powerful and super-rich elite discuss global challenges and progress in Davos, while they literally burn the planet with the emissions of their private jets,” said Greenpeace transport campaigner Herwig Schuster.
The post Ahead of Davos, climate drops down global elite’s list of pressing concerns appeared first on Climate Home News.
Ahead of Davos, climate drops down global elite’s list of pressing concerns
Climate Change
New EPA Proposal Would Strip States’ and Tribes’ Authority to Block Oil and Gas Pipelines, Other Infrastructure Projects
Environmental advocates warn the changes deprive states and tribes of their rights and weaken freshwater-quality protections.
The Trump Administration on Tuesday proposed a new rule aimed at speeding up and streamlining the permitting process for large energy and infrastructure projects, including oil and gas pipelines and facilities tied to artificial intelligence.
Climate Change
Cropped 14 January 2026: Wildfires scorch three continents; EU trade; Food and nature in 2026
We handpick and explain the most important stories at the intersection of climate, land, food and nature over the past fortnight.
This is an online version of Carbon Brief’s fortnightly Cropped email newsletter. Subscribe for free here. This is the last edition of Cropped for 2025. The newsletter will return on 14 January 2026.
Key developments
EU trade impacts
AG EXCEPTION: France and Italy are “at least temporarily” seeking a carve-out for fertilisers from the EU’s carbon border tax in order to “protect struggling European farmers”, reported Reuters. The first-of-its-kind levy, which came into effect on 1 January, “imposes CO2 emissions fees on imports…to ensure they do not have an unfair advantage over products made in Europe”, the newswire explained. Following the “fertiliser backlash”, the European Commission said it will assess a temporary suspension if the tax leads to “significant inflationary pressure on food prices”, said S&P Global.
MERCOSUR IMMINENT: The EU is set to sign the Mercosur trade deal – an agreement “more than 25 years in the making” – in Paraguay on 17 January, reported the Buenos Aires Times. The deal will create a free trade zone between the EU and the five Mercosur countries: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay. Bloomberg wrote that the deal is “meant to signal independence from the world’s two largest economies [the US and China] – and to show that broad multilateral deals remain possible in a global order upended by Donald Trump”.
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FARMERS FUMING: Meanwhile, “dozens” of farmers in France and Greece have been protesting the trade deal, “halting traffic and blocking key roads with tractors”, according to the Associated Press. Farmers in Greece “halt[ed] all traffic except emergency vehicles”, the newswire said, while French farmers “set up roadblocks across the country”. French farmers also drove into Paris yesterday, reported Reuters, warning that the trade deal “threatens local agriculture by creating unfair competition with cheaper South American imports”. Greek farmers have been protesting “delayed EU subsidy payments, rising production costs and other grievances” for more than a month, according to Kathimerini.
DEFORESTATION LAW ‘HOLLOWED OUT’: The EU deforestation regulation has been “hollowed out”, the architect of the original legislation told the Guardian. Hugo Schally told the newspaper that the removal of reporting obligations from traders “will make enforcement and eventual prosecution more difficult”. The Guardian noted that the law had come under “intense pressure” from rightwing groups, as well as “some of the biggest exporters to the EU”. A spokesperson for the commission told the newspaper that the law “has already led to positive developments and action on the ground to fight deforestation, climate change and biodiversity loss”.
Wildfires worldwide
‘MAJOR FIRES’ IN OZ: Nearly a dozen “major fires” burned across the Australian state of Victoria over the weekend, according to the Sydney Morning Herald. The newspaper reported that more than 130 structures have been destroyed and more than 400,000 hectares of land have been “blackened in the fires”. A separate Sydney Morning Herald article noted that the fires had “prompt[ed] grave fears for vulnerable animals”, such as dingoes, critically endangered frogs and several endangered bird species.
WESTERN CAPE WILDFIRES: Thousands of people were also displaced following wildfires in South Africa’s Western Cape, according to Xinhua News Agency. The Daily Maverick wrote that “homes and farms were consumed within minutes, while neighbours and volunteers scrambled to protect property”. Several factors may have contributed to the blazes, including exceptionally dry weather, strong winds, unmanaged vegetation and invasive tree species, the newspaper said.
CRITICAL SITUATION: In Argentine Patagonia, tourists were evacuated and homes burned as fires “scorched more than 15,000 hectares” of forest, reported Agence France-Presse. Rain on Sunday afternoon provided “relief” to some residents of the Chubut region, but the province’s governor, Ignacio Torres, said that the situation “remains very critical”. Torres said that people should “never again…downplay the implications of climate change”, the newswire reported.
BRAZIL FIRES FALL: The number of wildfires in the Brazilian Amazon dropped by 69% in 2025, compared to the previous year, reaching the lowest level in 28 years, reported EFE Verde. The newswire said the decline was “attributed by specialists to less severe climatic conditions than in 2024 [and] to shorter and less rigorous periods of drought”.
News and views
SOYA MORATORIUM ‘ENDED’: A major Brazilian soya industry association has announced it will “withdraw” from the “soya moratorium” – an agreement to refrain from selling soya grown on recently deforested land, reported the Associated Press. The newswire noted that the moratorium “has been widely credited with helping curb rainforest loss”. It added: “Environmentalists and government officials said the withdrawal essentially ended the agreement, even though no participant has formally declared it over.”
US TREATY RETREAT: US president Donald Trump announced that the country will withdraw from 66 international bodies, including the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, saying these bodies “no longer serve US interests”, reported Politico. Among the other organisations are two major scientific bodies – the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES), reported Carbon Brief. Several legal experts told the Guardian that the move to withdraw from the treaties “may be illegal”.
ALTERNATIVES FOR ENGLAND: Seven out of England’s 10 wildlife targets under the Environment Act 2021 are unlikely to be met by 2030, reported the Guardian. The outlet added that some of the targets could be hindered by the proposed planning and infrastructure bill. Elsewhere, English livestock farmers could profit more from improving the environment than producing meat, according to analysis by thinktank Green Alliance covered by the Grocer.
DIETARY CHANGE: The Trump administration released new dietary guidelines that “take a dramatic turn toward encouraging the consumption of animal protein, including red meat”, said Inside Climate News. It added that the “meat industry celebrated the new guidelines”, while health and environmental groups “called them a dangerous reversal of science-based health advice that could worsen the climate and ecological impacts of livestock”. Previous iterations of the dietary guidelines have not directly considered environmental sustainability, but have encouraged plant-based proteins from a health perspective.
LARGE SEIZURE: Indonesia is planning to reclaim millions of hectares of land it believes are being used illegally, reported Bloomberg. The country has so far seized 4m hectares of palm oil plantations, mining concessions and processing facilities, and officials say this could soon double. The outlet added that much of the land has been given to a state-owned company responsible for managing palm oil plantations, as part of Indonesian president Prabowo Subianto’s efforts to combat “malfeasance in the commodities sector”. Palm oil traders fear land seizures could hurt Indonesia’s palm oil supply, reduce investment and impact smallholder plantations, the article said.
FOOD SECURITY RISK: The head of Iran’s meteorological organisation warned that climate change is becoming a serious threat to the country’s food security, according to NatureNews Africa. The official said that sea level rise in the Persian Gulf could cause flooding and saltwater seep into coastal provinces of south-western Iran, damaging soil and food production. The official also pointed out that high temperatures are already reducing crop yields, damaging soil and harming marine life, the outlet reported, and called for “urgent” policy changes and climate adaptation strategies.
Spotlight
2026 FLAN moments to watch out for
This week, Carbon Brief compiles a non-exhaustive list of international policies and negotiations in 2026 that concern food systems, biodiversity and climate change, as well as major reports expected this year.
The coming year is another “triple COP” year, as countries will meet to negotiate outcomes under three major environmental treaties – the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), the UN Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) and the UN Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD).
The world is coming out of an “intense period on the climate policy side”, Oliver Camp, an environment and food systems advocacy advisor at the Global Alliance for Improved Nutrition (GAIN), told Carbon Brief. Following 2025, which saw many – but not all – countries update their climate pledges (“nationally determined contributions”, or NDCs), Camp said he expects new focus on accelerating implementation in the coming year.
This means “moving from what and why to how”, he continued. On the policy front, countries need to begin implementing high-level plans, such as their NDCs, national adaptation plans (NAPs), food system pathways and national nutrition plans, he added.
Policies
Regarding global agricultural policies, Camp said he expects the focus to shift towards food-based dietary guidelines, national agroecology transition plans, livestock strategies and food loss and waste reduction roadmaps.
On nature, a key moment will be the delivery of countries’ biodiversity plans (NBSAPs) and national reports, the latter of which must be submitted to the CBD by 28 February.
At the EU level, countries are required to submit their national restoration plans to the European Commission by mid-2026, which detail how they will meet their targets for restoring ecosystems. This is part of the Nature Restoration Law, which the bloc approved in 2024. This aims to restore at least 20% of EU land and sea by 2030, and all ecosystems in need of restoration by 2050.
Several global and regional agreements and policies focus on the ocean.
The High Seas Treaty, also known as the agreement on “biodiversity beyond national jurisdiction”, will enter into force on 17 January. The treaty – already ratified by 81 of 145 signing countries – aims to govern the conservation and sustainable use of the world’s oceans outside of national waters and was agreed upon in March 2023.
The first conference of parties to the treaty is supposed to take place within one year after the treaty enters into force and will address the rules of procedure, permanent bodies and rules of funding and budget, as well as priorities for implementing the treaty.
The European Ocean Act is planned for adoption by the end of this year and will seek to improve the implementation of marine governance at EU level by structuring all the marine conservation and sustainable use targets adopted by the bloc. The act also aims to streamline EU ocean policies and reporting.
Reports
The Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) will release its “business and biodiversity assessment” in February. This report will examine the impacts and dependence of companies on nature and the methods they use to measure and report their impacts. The report is expected to be adopted at the IPBES 12th plenary session, held from 3 to 8 February 2026 in Manchester, UK.
Marie Cosquer, food systems and climate advocacy analyst for Action against Hunger, told Carbon Brief that she is looking forward to an upcoming report on Indigenous peoples’ food and knowledge systems. That report will be produced by the High Level Panel of Experts on Food Security and Nutrition of the UN Committee on World Food Security and released in October.
International negotiations
The first of the UN conventions to meet will be the UNCCD, which will convene COP17 from 17 to 28 August in Ulaanbaatar, the capital of Mongolia. It is expected to deliver solutions for land restoration, sustainable land use, resilience and mitigation of climate impacts. This occurs during the International Year of Rangelands and Pastoralists, which will gather efforts for the conservation, restoration and sustainable use of rangelands.
COP17 of the CBD will be held from 19 to 30 October in Armenia’s capital Yerevan. It will deliver the first global review of nations’ progress in the implementation of the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework.
Finally, COP31 of the UNFCCC will be held in Antalya, Turkey from 9 to 20 November, with rival bidder Australia acting as “president of negotiations”. In its coverage of COP30 in Belém last November, Carbon Brief compiled a list of the key meetings and milestones leading up to the summit in Turkey.
Watch, read, listen
LAST BAOBAB STANDING: The Guardian asked whether the city of Kinshasa – the capital of the Democratic Republic of the Congo – can save its sole remaining baobab tree.
BEAVER HEROES: A National Geographic video explored how beaver dams can be beneficial to ecosystems and other species.
‘MICRO-FOREST’ MOVEMENT: NPR’s Short Wave podcast discussed the rise of “micro-forests” – small forests that can help restore degraded lands, take up CO2 and preserve biodiversity.
THE LIVING RIVER: The story of how Indigenous knowledge of New Zealand’s Māori community helped grant recognition of legal rights to the Whanganui River was told by Inside Climate News.
New science
- Dog food accounts for around 1% of total greenhouse gas emissions in the UK, with a “65-fold variation” between different foods due to their meat content and composition | Journal of Cleaner Production
- Deforestation leads to more intense drought in “more than half” of the Earth’s climate zones – particularly in the boreal forests of the far northern hemisphere | Science Advances
- Around one-third of terrestrial vertebrates in protected areas are projected to be subjected to increased human land-use pressures by 2050 | Nature Ecology & Evolution
In the diary
- 17 January: High Seas Treaty enters into force
- 26-27 January: UN Water Conference preparatory meeting | Dakar, Senegal
- 3-8 February: Plenary session of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services | Manchester, UK
Cropped is researched and written by Dr Giuliana Viglione, Aruna Chandrasekhar, Daisy Dunne, Orla Dwyer and Yanine Quiroz. Ayesha Tandon also contributed to this issue. Please send tips and feedback to cropped@carbonbrief.org
The post Cropped 14 January 2026: Wildfires scorch three continents; EU trade; Food and nature in 2026 appeared first on Carbon Brief.
Cropped 14 January 2026: Wildfires scorch three continents; EU trade; Food and nature in 2026
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