The U.S. solar industry has seen a rapid expansion since President Joe Biden signed the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) in August 2022. The act has been instrumental in increasing domestic solar panel production capacity more than fivefold. This is a crucial step in Biden’s goal of building clean energy supply chains within the country.
Globally, the International Energy Agency (IEA) recently published its World Energy Outlook 2024 which shows that solar power generation could increase fourfold by 2030. The report suggests that solar energy could be a leading source of electricity by 2033, surpassing nuclear, wind, hydro, and natural gas. It could eventually even overtake coal, positioning itself as the largest electricity source globally.
IRA Fuels Solar Investments but Leaves Gaps
Renewable energy is set to significantly outpace electricity demand growth, per IEA data. In one scenario renewable output is expected to expand by nearly 2,200 TWh by 2035, more than tripling its 2023 level. This increase will boost renewables’ share of electricity generation from 22% to 58%, with solar PV seeing the largest growth.

Key factors of this growth include high-quality renewable resources, established markets with low technology costs, and strong federal and state policy support.
The IRA is a cornerstone of Biden’s clean energy policy. It offers up to $1.2 trillion in tax incentives over 10 years. These incentives aim to boost the production and deployment of clean energy technologies.
One of the IRA’s key elements is the advanced manufacturing tax credit, which has led to over a dozen new or expanded solar module manufacturing plants across the U.S.
- Since the IRA’s passage, solar companies have invested over $34 billion in building new factories.
According to federal data, the U.S. now boasts over 45 gigawatts (GWdc) of solar module manufacturing capacity. At maximum production, these facilities could meet most of the U.S. solar demand expected by 2025 as reported by S&P Global Commodity Insights.

However, the solar industry’s expansion has not been uniform. The bulk of investments has gone into the assembly of modules, trackers, inverters, and other downstream components. In contrast, there’s a lack of domestic production for crystalline-silicon ingots, wafers, and cells—key components of the solar supply chain.
Navigating Market Risks and Government Support
Industry leaders see these gaps as a significant hurdle to achieving a fully self-reliant solar industry.
Ray Long, the president and CEO of the American Council on Renewable Energy, describes this surge as a “clean energy manufacturing renaissance.” Despite the positive momentum, Long emphasizes that the rapid growth of solar manufacturing in the U.S. comes with challenges.
For instance, the potential threat from cheaper Asian imports is one challenge. Some U.S. manufacturers seek more federal support to level the playing field, believing that additional measures are necessary to ensure their success.
Moreover, the outcome of the upcoming presidential election could significantly shape future policies. While both political camps support bringing manufacturing back to the U.S., their strategies differ.
Donald Trump, for example, advocates for broader tariffs on imports, which could raise costs for consumers. Kamala Harris, on the other hand, criticizes such tariffs as a “sales tax” on American buyers.
Experts believe that consistent support from the federal government is crucial to sustain the growth of domestic solar production.
Notably, the U.S. Treasury Department is working to enhance support for the solar industry. It recently clarified that solar ingot and wafer manufacturing facilities qualify for a 25% investment tax credit under the 2022 CHIPS and Science Act.
Solar Industry Moves Forward Despite Challenges
Industry leaders are divided on the future direction of U.S. solar manufacturing. Some are optimistic about the role of government support in boosting domestic production.
Steven Zhu, president of Trina Solar (U.S.) Inc., emphasized the importance of diversifying manufacturing locations, including expanding into the U.S., to manage risks from policy changes. Trina Solar is set to open a 5-GW solar module facility in Texas, with plans to expand production in 2025.
Yet, others are skeptical about the sustainability of new U.S. solar plants. T.J. Rodgers, CEO of residential solar company Complete Solar and former chairman of SunPower, argues that most of the new solar factories in the U.S. are unlikely to be profitable without continuous government subsidies. He believes the reliance on taxpayer support to maintain operations could become a long-term challenge for the industry.
These varying perspectives reveal the uncertainty surrounding the U.S. solar manufacturing industry, especially with the presidential election approaching. While both parties agree on the importance of reducing reliance on Chinese solar components, their differing approaches could significantly impact the industry’s trajectory.
Worldwide, the IEA forecast shows that solar and wind energy could transform the global power landscape, potentially contributing nearly 60% of global electricity by 2050. The agency further projects that solar power alone could see a massive expansion. It can go beyond 16,000 gigawatts (GW) by 2050, compared to today’s levels.
In the U.S., renewable energy sources are on track to grow much faster than the electricity demand. Under one scenario, STEPS (Stated Policies), solar power will see the most significant growth. Together with wind energy, together they could provide 50% of electricity by 2035, up from 15% in 2023.

Ultimately, the U.S. solar manufacturing sector is in a period of rapid growth, driven by strong demand for renewable energy and significant federal incentives. As solar companies push forward with ambitious expansion plans, their success will depend on continued government support and favorable market conditions.
The post Biden’s IRA Spurs $34 Billion U.S. Solar Boom, But Can It Overcome Industry Risks? appeared first on Carbon Credits.
Carbon Footprint
Trafigura to Buy 80,000 Tonnes Over 10 Years from U.S. Smackover Project
Trafigura has signed a long-term offtake agreement to purchase lithium carbonate from the South West Arkansas (SWA) Project. Smackover Lithium is a joint venture between Standard Lithium Ltd. and Equinor ASA.
Trafigura Secures Long-Term Lithium Supply
Trafigura will purchase 8,000 metric tonnes of battery-grade lithium carbonate each year from the SWA Project. The agreement runs for ten years, bringing the total contracted supply to about 80,000 tonnes.
The contract follows a take-or-pay structure. This means Trafigura must purchase the agreed volume every year or pay for it regardless. Agreements like this are common in mining and energy because they provide financial certainty for new projects.
Deliveries will begin once the project enters commercial production. The partners expect production to start in 2028, while the final investment decision is planned for 2026. Notably, for developers, long-term supply contracts often play a key role. They signal market confidence and make it easier to secure project financing.
Gonzalo De Olazaval, Head of Metals and Minerals at Trafigura, commented:
“We are pleased to have signed this offtake agreement with Smackover Lithium, further strengthening our North American critical minerals footprint. The SWA Project is expected to provide a reliable source of battery-grade lithium carbonate produced in the United States, enhancing domestic supply chains. We look forward to collaborating with Smackover Lithium on this strategic project and to delivering this material to customers across North America and globally.”
Unlocking The South West Arkansas Lithium Project
The SWA Project sits in southern Arkansas near the borders of Texas and Louisiana. It lies within the Smackover Formation, a geological region known for lithium-rich brine deposits.
- Smackover Lithium operates the project as a joint venture. Standard Lithium owns 55%, while Equinor holds 45%, and Standard Lithium serves as the operator.
The project covers roughly 30,000 acres of brine leases. The first phase of development focuses on the Reynolds Brine Unit, which spans more than 20,800 acres. Regulators approved the unit without objections from local stakeholders. And this approval marked an important milestone for the project’s development.
The first stage of the project aims to produce about 22,500 tonnes of battery-grade lithium carbonate each year. Nearby leases offer additional space for future expansion if production increases.
Direct Lithium Extraction at the Core
The project will rely on direct lithium extraction (DLE) technology to recover lithium from underground brine.
Traditional lithium operations often use evaporation ponds that take months or even years to produce lithium chemicals. In contrast, DLE removes lithium directly from brine using specialized materials and chemical processes.
After extraction, the remaining brine is usually pumped back underground. This process helps maintain reservoir pressure and reduces surface water use.
Because of these advantages, DLE has attracted strong attention across the lithium industry. It can shorten production times and reduce the land footprint of operations. The company has spent several years testing and refining this technology. The SWA Project aims to apply it on a commercial scale.
Smackover Formation: A Rising Center for U.S. Lithium Production
The Smackover Formation stretches from central Texas to the Florida Panhandle. It is widely considered one of the most promising lithium brine regions in North America. Lithium concentrations in the formation are comparable to those found in major production areas in Argentina and Chile.
Arkansas sits at the center of this resource. The region already has a long industrial history. Oil and gas production began there in the early twentieth century. Later, the region became a key hub for bromine extraction from brine.

This industrial background created several advantages for lithium development. Infrastructure such as wells, pipelines, and processing facilities already exists. In addition, the local workforce has decades of experience handling brine extraction.
Because of this foundation, lithium production can build on existing systems rather than starting from scratch. Furthermore, the region also faces fewer water stress challenges than some lithium-rich areas in South America or the western United States. This improves the long-term feasibility of brine-based lithium projects.
Strong Resources Support the Project
The company revealed that resource estimates suggest the SWA Project holds significant lithium potential. Current studies project about 447,000 tonnes of proven lithium carbonate equivalent reserves.
This represents roughly 38 percent of the project’s measured and indicated resource base, which totals about 1.17 million tonnes of lithium carbonate equivalent.
The operation will begin production with lithium concentrations of around 549 milligrams per liter in the brine. Over its estimated 20-year operating life, the project is expected to process about 0.20 cubic kilometers of brine. The average lithium concentration during that period is expected to remain around 481 milligrams per liter.
Higher lithium grades play a major role in project economics. Strong concentrations allow producers to recover more lithium from each unit of brine. As a result, processing costs fall, and efficiency improves.
Because of this, projects with both strong grades and large resources tend to attract greater interest from investors and long-term buyers.

U.S. Lithium Potential in a Global Context
Lithium resources in the United States come from several geological sources.
- According to the latest data from the U.S. Geological Survey, measured and indicated lithium resources in the country are estimated at around 30 million tons.
These resources occur in different types of deposits, including continental brines, oilfield brines, geothermal brines, claystone deposits, hectorite, and hard-rock pegmatites.
Global exploration continues to expand the lithium resource base. And worldwide, measured and indicated lithium resources are estimated at 150 million tons. As exploration advances and new extraction technologies emerge, more regions are becoming viable sources of lithium supply.

Rising Demand from EVs, Energy Storage, and AI
Lithium demand continues to increase across several sectors. The largest driver remains the electric vehicle market.
In the United States, lithium demand for EV batteries is expected to grow by about 25% per year over the next decade. This growth rate exceeds the projected global EV demand growth of about 13 percent annually.

Energy storage is another rapidly expanding market. Large battery systems help store electricity from renewable sources such as solar and wind power and release it when demand rises.
At the same time, digital infrastructure is creating new pressure on electricity systems. Data centers that support artificial intelligence require massive amounts of energy. This trend is pushing utilities to expand battery storage capacity.
Because of these factors, the U.S. energy storage market could grow by roughly 29 percent per year, further increasing the need for lithium-based batteries.
A Practical Shift in the U.S. Lithium Story
For many years, the United States relied heavily on imported lithium materials. However, that approach is slowly changing.
Projects like the SWA development show how companies are trying to rebuild parts of the battery supply chain domestically. Instead of shipping raw materials across several continents, producers are exploring ways to supply lithium closer to battery and vehicle manufacturing centers.
The Smackover region fits naturally into this transition. Its geology, infrastructure, and long history of brine extraction already support industrial operations.
The agreement with Trafigura adds another layer of confidence. Commodity traders usually commit to long-term supply deals only when they believe a project has strong potential.
If development moves forward as planned, the SWA Project could turn southern Arkansas into a new center for lithium production. Over time, the region may shift from its long history of oil, gas, and bromine toward a growing role in supplying the battery metals needed for modern energy systems.
- READ MORE: U.S. Lithium Push: How Washington’s Bet on Lithium Americas Could Reshape the Global Market
The post Trafigura to Buy 80,000 Tonnes Over 10 Years from U.S. Smackover Project appeared first on Carbon Credits.
Carbon Footprint
Building global awareness: Green Earth’s outreach to independent analysts and commentators
At Green Earth Group N.V. (Euronext Amsterdam: EARTH, ISIN: NL0009169515), we are committed to engineering possibilities for a greener planet with a mission to make regeneration scalable and investable for people and the planet. We are a leading end-to-end developer of high-quality, large-scale nature-based solutions that restore ecosystems and improve livelihoods.
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Carbon Footprint
Boeing Locks In 40,000 Tons of Carbon Removal Credits in Major Biochar Climate Deal
Aerospace giant Boeing has signed a multi-year agreement with carbon removal platform Carbonfuture to purchase at least 40,000 tonnes of durable carbon dioxide removal (CDR) credits. The deal ranks among the largest carbon removal procurements in the aviation sector so far.
The carbon credits will come from a portfolio of biochar carbon removal projects, mainly located across the Global South. Biochar is created by heating plant material in a low-oxygen environment. The process converts biomass into a stable form of carbon that can be stored in soil for long periods.
Carbonfuture will track each credit using its digital monitoring system. The platform records the entire carbon removal process—from biochar production to soil application. It also verifies ownership of the credits.
The agreement helps Boeing tackle emissions that technology or fuel changes can’t eliminate yet. The company plans to apply these credits to Scope 3 emissions linked to business travel.
Allison Melia, VP Global Enterprise Sustainability, Boeing, said:
“To support long-term global demand for air travel, the aviation industry has set goals to reduce emissions. We’re excited to team up with Carbonfuture to support technological innovation in carbon removals to help meet these needs.”
This partnership reflects a broader shift in corporate climate strategies. Many industries now combine emissions reductions with carbon removal to manage their climate impact.
Why Aviation Is Turning to Carbon Removal
Decarbonizing aviation is difficult. Aircraft can last for decades, and alternatives like hydrogen planes or fully electric aircraft are still years away from wide use.
The aviation sector produces around 2–3% of global carbon dioxide emissions, based on research from energy and industry studies. When scientists look at the warming effects of contrails and other non-CO₂ emissions, aviation’s climate impact gets bigger.

Demand for flights also continues to grow. Rising global travel has offset many efficiency improvements in aircraft design and operations.
Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) is one promising solution. However, SAF still accounts for less than 1% of global jet fuel supply and often costs two to ten times more than conventional jet fuel.

Because of these limits, aviation companies are turning to carbon removal technologies. These systems physically remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere rather than simply avoiding emissions.
Boeing’s deal with Carbonfuture shows how carbon removal can complement other decarbonization strategies.
Biochar Carbon Removal: Turning Biomass Into Long-Term Carbon Storage
The credits in Boeing’s deal come from biochar-based carbon removal projects. Biochar forms through a process called pyrolysis. Organic waste, such as crop residues or forestry by-products, is heated in a low-oxygen environment. This converts the biomass into a carbon-rich charcoal.

When biochar is added to soil, it can store carbon for hundreds of years while improving soil health and water retention.
The projects in Boeing’s agreement also provide environmental benefits beyond carbon storage. Biochar can increase soil fertility, improve crop yields, and support agricultural resilience in regions facing land degradation.
Carbonfuture’s digital platform tracks every stage of the carbon removal process. This monitoring system aims to increase transparency and trust in carbon credit markets.
High-quality verification matters. Voluntary carbon markets have faced criticism for weak oversight and questionable offset projects.
Inside Boeing’s Emissions Footprint and Net-Zero Strategy
The carbon removal agreement is part of Boeing’s broader sustainability strategy. Like many aerospace companies, the aerospace giant faces large emissions from its value chain. Most of its climate impact comes from Scope 3 emissions. These include airline aircraft operations and other indirect activities.
Boeing’s total carbon footprint is estimated at around 374 million metric tons of CO₂ equivalent for 2024. Of this, about 373 million tons are from Scope 3 sources.
Direct emissions from Boeing operations are much smaller. The company reported about 517,000 tons of Scope 1 emissions and 464,000 tons of Scope 2 emissions from purchased electricity.
Because Scope 3 emissions dominate aviation’s footprint, companies must work across the entire ecosystem. That includes airlines, fuel suppliers, airports, and aircraft manufacturers.

The ariplane maker says its strategy focuses on four main areas:
- improving aircraft fuel efficiency,
- supporting sustainable aviation fuel development,
- advancing new propulsion technologies, and
- using carbon removal for residual emissions.
Carbon removal purchases help address emissions that cannot yet be eliminated through technological change.
Corporate Demand Is Fueling the Carbon Removal Market
Boeing’s deal also reflects rapid growth in the carbon removal market. Corporate demand for carbon dioxide removal has expanded in recent years. Many companies now view durable removals as a key tool for meeting net-zero climate targets.
Recent data shows that high-durability carbon removal credits hit nearly 8 million metric tons in 2024. This is up from about 2.4 million tons in 2023. That’s a jump of around 233% in just one year, according to CDR.fyi.

Analysts expect carbon removal demand to rise sharply over the next decade as climate targets tighten. BCG estimates that annual demand for carbon removal might hit 40–200 million tons of CO₂ by 2030. It could grow further to 80–900 million tons by 2040 as more companies commit to net-zero goals.
New technologies such as biochar, direct air capture, and mineralization are gaining attention from investors and large corporate buyers.
Early demand will likely come from voluntary corporate buyers. These buyers could make up about 90% of carbon removal purchases soon as companies are looking for high-quality solutions to tackle hard-to-eliminate emissions.
Large technology companies such as Alphabet, Stripe, and Microsoft currently dominate the market. Microsoft alone purchased about 5.1 million tons of durable carbon removal credits in 2024, representing around 63% of total market demand.
Earlier, Boeing signed another major removal agreement with carbon removal firm Charm Industrial. That deal targeted up to 100,000 tons of CO₂ removal, showing the company’s growing interest in durable climate solutions.
Aviation’s Net-Zero Path: Fuel Innovation Meets Carbon Removal
The Boeing–Carbonfuture agreement highlights a growing trend in hard-to-abate industries. Aviation, steel, shipping, and cement all face similar challenges. These sectors depend on energy-dense fuels and long-lived infrastructure.
Because of this, companies are exploring multiple climate strategies at once. These include:
- new aircraft designs,
- sustainable aviation fuels,
- operational efficiency improvements, and
- carbon removal technologies.
Durable carbon removal is increasingly viewed as a bridge solution. It can help manage emissions while new technologies mature.
As global air travel grows, airlines and aircraft makers will face more pressure. They need to show clear paths for decarbonization.
Scaling Climate Solutions for Hard-to-Abate Sectors
Boeing’s carbon removal partnership with Carbonfuture marks an important step in aviation’s evolving climate strategy. The agreement will secure at least 40,000 tonnes of durable carbon removal credits, making it one of the largest such deals in the aerospace sector.
Carbon removal won’t solve aviation’s emissions issue by itself. However, it can support fuel innovation, improve efficiency, and help with cleaner energy systems.
As industries move toward net-zero targets, carbon removal markets are likely to grow rapidly. For companies across transportation, the path to a low-carbon future will rely on a mix of technological breakthroughs and credible climate solutions.
The post Boeing Locks In 40,000 Tons of Carbon Removal Credits in Major Biochar Climate Deal appeared first on Carbon Credits.
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