At the final round of talks in Brasília before COP30, officials and civil society groups told Climate Home News they were disappointed by a lack of detail and limited opportunities to discuss a keenly awaited roadmap for how to raise $1.3 trillion of climate finance a year by 2035.
A scheduled update on the “Baku to Belém Roadmap to 1.3T”, an initiative launched as part of the new climate finance goal (NCQG) agreed at COP29, had generated high expectations ahead of this week’s pre-COP meeting in Brazil.
The roadmap builds on a core commitment for donor governments to raise $300 million annually for developing countries by 2035, as part of a wider $1.3 trillion coming from all sources including the private sector.
Little was understood at COP29 in Baku about what the roadmap would entail, but some clarity emerged at June’s mid-year talks in Bonn. It would be a report prepared jointly by the COP29 and COP30 presidencies on how to scale up financing, including information and recommendations from a range of consultations. A complementary report is also being prepared by finance ministers from nearly 40 countries.
Prior to this week’s meeting in Brasilia, COP30 President André Corrêa do Lago had anticipated that the roadmap “will be information that will not necessarily be reflected in decisions” at COP30.
He said the pre-COP meeting would discuss how to integrate the roadmap into the formal negotiating agenda at Belem, where it currently has no place. But that conversation has yet to happen.
A one-hour roadmap update session scheduled for late morning on Monday was postponed until the end of the day and cut short because the organisers said ministerial statements from the nearly 70 delegations attending had been extended.
In the end, the session began only at 6:30 pm local time and lasted less than 20 minutes. It was limited to a presentation on the structure of the forthcoming roadmap and included no time for questions or interventions by countries.
“Tentative solutions sets”
COP29 Lead Negotiator Yalchin Rafiyev, who presented the update, described it as enabling all actors to come together to scale up finance in the near term, as well as out to 2035, and to identify their potential joint actions.
Rafiyev said the summary report to be submitted to negotiators in Belem will be five to seven pages long, listing “tentative solutions sets”. They include boosting grants, concessional and low-cost sources of capital, creating fiscal space and tackling debt distress, mobilising transformative private finance, and driving system change for equitable capital flows.
On the developing country side, the roadmap may suggest strengthening their capacity and coordination to scale up climate finance and project portfolios.
Loss and damage fund will launch call for proposals at COP30
There will also be a 50-page background document with more details on the proposed solutions, thematic actions, financial pathways to raise $1.3 trillion, and the way forward. In addition, an online catalogue will help users “identify key ideas, initiatives and instruments” referenced in the 224 submissions made during the roadmap consultations.
Many government delegates and civil society representatives left the pre-COP venue dissatisfied with what had happened. Some even told Climate Home News they thought the session had been pushed to the end of the day, so there wouldn’t be an opportunity for further discussion.
Roadmap not a magic bullet
Rebecca Thissen, global advocacy lead at Climate Action Network International, told Climate Home News she had very low expectations for the roadmap update at the pre-COP, but was glad to see the potential solutions included creating fiscal space and tackling debt distress in cash-strapped countries.
Claudio Angelo, international policy coordinator with Brazil’s Observatório do Clima, said he had been expecting “something a little deeper”. “I was hoping for more substance on where to find the resources and how much they are expecting of it to be public,” he added.
Sandra Guzmán, director general of the Climate Finance Group for Latin America and the Caribbean (GFLAC), warned that if the roadmap doesn’t include elements with scope beyond COP30, “the greatest risk could be having a document that could die in Belém.”.
The Brazilian presidency told Climate Home News that its mandate is to present the report – without elaborating further. Monday’s presentation mentioned that the roadmap “does not prejudge or interpret how Parties [countries] may respond to the NCQG”.
Comment: How COP30 could deliver an ambitious outcome on global finance flows
“They could propose or suggest a way forward or recommendations if they wish, but that’s up to Parties to decide,” Thissen explained. Angelo added that the COP29 decision to produce the roadmap had not been negotiated. “That’s why the mandate is so weak,” he said, adding that it should be incorporated into COP30 in a formal way
Soenke Kreft, deputy head of the risk and adaptation department at the United Nations University Institute for Environment and Human Security, explained to Climate Home News that the roadmap probably will not form a COP30 agenda item on its own, but could signal aspects to outside actors and processes.
For example, if the COP30 presidency aims to have a cover decision, which they have so far resisted, that could be a good place to welcome it or pass on relevant recommendations.
“Many aspects of the roadmap relate to the NCQG in general and should be reflected in relevant climate finance work. It might also relate to other discussions like the indicators for the Global Goal on Adaptation,” Kreft said.
The COP30 presidency believes countries are more focused on other financing issues, such as the provision of resources from the public sector.
Foreign aid cuts put adaptation finance pledge at risk, NGOs warn
“It’s important not to spend too much time thinking this [roadmap] would solve all the climate finance problems,” said Thissen, adding it was more important to discuss how to implement the core NCQG, and focus on finance quality, provision and accountability.
Angelo, however, noted that both developing and developed countries included the roadmap in their ministerial statements during the pre-COP. “Many countries were saying that the roadmap is very important. They want it to be complete and credible,” he said.
The representative of Barbados, for example, was emphatic at the meeting in Brasilia: “The roadmap is the token of trust. Without a credible roadmap, trust will be broken.”
From Brasilia to Belém, what next?
The COP presidencies of Azerbaijan and Brazil will work on preparing the report in the coming weeks, considering submissions from countries and other groups, as well as two other reports that could serve as inputs.
The report from the “circle of finance ministers” is one of those. An initiative created by Brazil, it will provide a view of the roadmap by finance ministers from 37 countries. On Wednesday, an updated draft of their report will be shared at the annual meetings of the World Bank and International Monetary Fund in Washington, and the final version will be presented during the first week of November.
The second report will be led by Brazilian economist José Alexandre Scheinkman, who, along with other economists, will contribute an academic perspective on increasing climate finance.
October 27 had been mooted as the date for the publication of the main roadmap, but Monday’s presentation referred only to “the week of October 27”.
Meanwhile, the COP30 presidency has not ruled out a possible delay. As the deadline for its publication is before the COP, which starts with a leaders’ summit on November 6, that leaves a few days’ leeway at the start of November, a presidency source told Climate Home News.
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https://www.climatechangenews.com/2025/10/14/at-pre-cop-in-brazil-climate-finance-roadmap-to-1-3-trillion-remains-hazy/
Climate Change
UN chief warns climate crisis “in overdrive” as El Niño threatens to fuel the fire
The United Nations Secretary-General and foreign ministers from the UK, France and Spain have blamed the deadly wildfires engulfing Europe on climate change, using the disaster to renew calls for faster cuts to greenhouse gas emissions.
António Guterres told journalists on Friday that the “climate crisis is in overdrive”, adding that global heat seen so far is just a “warm up act” as a phenomenon known as El Niño intensifies “adding fuel to a planet already on fire”.
A new World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) report published on Friday predicts that the weather pattern will grow into a “strong event” between now and October, increasing the risk of higher than normal temperatures across much of the world and disrupted rainfalls.
“That risks shattering every seasonal record – and driving even more severe effects worldwide,” Guterres said.
El Niño builds on top of an already warming world, driven primarily by the burning of fossil fuels. A WMO scientist, who did not want to be named, told journalists that all the heatwaves and other climate impacts seen so far this year are “before the effects of El Niño are really kicking in at a global scale”.
Fossil fuellling the fires
Fires have broken out across much of Europe but are threatening the most people in the south-west of France near Bordeaux and in Central Spain near Madrid. Nearly a quarter of a million people have been evacuated in France with hundreds of homes destroyed while in Spain 80,000 people have had to leave their homes and at least 13 died in one village.
A scientific study published on Friday by the World Weather Attribution group found that man-made climate change made deadly fires in France twice as likely and those in Spain twenty times more likely. Smaller fires in the UK were not analysed by the study.
UN Climate Change leader Simon Stiell blamed fossil fuels for the fires, as well as storms in Chile and heatwaves in North America and Japan in recent weeks. “The climate alarm is blaring”, he said on Wednesday.
Guterres criticised new fossil fuel production projects and fossil fuel subsidies for causing hardship across the world. Discussing his speech, a senior UN official – who did not want to be named – said the subsidies amounted to trillions of US dollars a year and criticised pension funds and institutional investors, including insurance companies, for continuing to invest in fossil fuel projects.

Asked why world leaders and the public are not prioritising climate action, Guterres said they are distracted by wars in Ukraine, the Middle East, Sudan and elsewhere and sometimes forget “other aspects that are a sometimes even more dangerous threat”.
Also the fossil fuel industry and “some countries” are campaigning to pretend that climate change does not exist, he said, adding that the UN should be more active in “naming the situations as they are and the responsibilties as they are and mobilising the public opinion”.
After meetings in Paris and Madrid earlier in the week, the UK’s new foreign minister Ed Miliband issued joint statements with his French and Spanish counterparts – Jean-Noël Barrot and José Manuel Albares Bueno – calling on the world to reduce its dependence on fossil fuels.
They promised to do more to reduce emissions and protect their people and encouraged other governments to do the same.
The UK-French statement called on governments to publish UN climate plans, known as nationally determined contributions (NDCs), which are aligned with the Paris Agreement’s goal to limit global average temperatures to 1.5C above pre-industrial levels.
According to Climate Action Tracker, only three countries – the UK, Nigeria and Norway – have submitted NDCs with 2035 emissions reduction targets which are compatible with 1.5C. Fifty-two countries – including Egypt, Vietnam and Argentina – have yet to submit an NDC at all.
Defending science
Beyond action on emissions, the ministers also intervened in an ongoing dispute over the timing of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC)’s next flagship assessment.
Miliband and Barrot’s statement said they “underline the importance” of scientific report feeding into governments’ next global stocktake of progress on climate action in two years’ time, calling it a “critical input” to that process.
The timing of this report has been a contentious issue in government negotiations at the IPCC and at June’s climate talks in Bonn. While a group of nations calling themselves the “friends of science” want the report before the stocktake, others like Saudi Arabia and India have argued that this would make the report of a worse quality and less inclusive of developing countries’ scientists.
Science ‘under attack’ from fossil fuel interests at UN climate talks
The UK-Spanish statement weighed in less explicitly on this issue but said that they “recall the importance of scientific evidence and acknowledge the work of the IPCC in this respect.”
The British and French ministers said they would seek to accelerate reductions of emissions in methane, a particularly potent greenhouse gas, at COP31 in November. They encouraged governments “to work jointly to develop a marketplace for fossil fuels with near-zero methane intensity.”
Methane leaks from oil, gas and coal production are a major contributor to global warming. Over a 20-year period, methane traps around 80 times more heat than carbon dioxide.

The UK and Spanish statement emphasised the importance of supporting the Global South and underlined the need to mobilise sustainable financing “at scale with the challenge we face”. The previous UK government, in which Miliband was energy minister, cut climate finance to developing countries to pay for increases in military spending.
The UK government led by new Prime Minister Andy Burnham has yet to outline any major changes to climate finance in its two weeks in power but has announced it will convert some finance from grants to loans in order to free up money to subsidise bus travel in England.
More adaptation needed
Guterres said that “it is time to stop treating each disaster as an isolated tragedy and recognise the systemic risk that is unfolding before our eyes.” A recent study found that three-quarters of UK media reports about the British June heatwave did not mention climate change.
As well as reducing emissions, the UN Secretary-General called for measures to adapt vulnerable people to extreme heat. Specifically, he said that buildings should be built and retrofitted for extreme heat and that every city and country should have heat-health action plans and early warning systems. Over 250 cities have joined the UN’s ‘beat the heat’ initiative, he said.
The Portuguese diplomat called for governments and employers to do more to protect their workers from heat, criticising global fashion brands for not setting heat standards for the factories that supply them. “No one should have to risk their life to earn a living,” he said.
The post UN chief warns climate crisis “in overdrive” as El Niño threatens to fuel the fire appeared first on Climate Home News.
UN chief warns climate crisis “in overdrive” as El Niño threatens to fuel the fire
Climate Change
‘Ride the wave of momentum’: Australia announces once-in-a-decade Marine Parks Network review
In response to the federal government announcing its once-in-a-decade review of Australia’s Marine Parks Network, the following lines can be attributed to Elle Lawless, Senior Campaigner at Greenpeace Australia Pacific:
“Greenpeace Australia Pacific welcomes today’s announcement that the Albanese Government will review Australia’s Commonwealth Marine Parks Network. This is a rare, once-in-a-decade opportunity to strengthen our marine parks and ban industrial fishing in Australia’s marine protected areas.
“Australians would be appalled to know that more than half of Australia’s Marine Parks Network currently allows for extractive industries, like longlining, bottom trawling and oil and gas mining. These so-called ‘protected’ areas were designed to safeguard our beloved ocean wildlife and underwater ecosystems – that is what Australians expect. Damaging industrial industries should not be given a free pass to trawl, fish, drill or extract from our marine parks.”
“With the first Ocean COP just around the corner, and off the back of Australia’s move to ratify the Global Ocean Treaty earlier this year, the Australian government has a unique opportunity to ride the wave of this momentum and solidify itself as a true global ocean leader.
“Greenpeace Australia Pacific is calling for industrial activities to be banned from our protected waters and for at least 30% of Australia’s ocean to be protected as ocean sanctuaries. This review presents a rare opportunity to create more ocean sanctuaries, true blue havens where ocean life can recover, thrive and repopulate the surrounding waters.”
—ENDS—
‘Ride the wave of momentum’: Australia announces once-in-a-decade Marine Parks Network review
Climate Change
Factcheck: No, Europe is not having its ‘quietest’ year for wildfires
In recent days, prominent climate sceptics and rightwing commentators have shared charts on social media incorrectly implying that Europe is having its “quietest” year for wildfires in 2026.
These include Dr Matthew Wielicki, a former University of Alabama geochemist and self-described “professor in exile”, who was recently appointed by the Trump administration to lead the US Global Change Research Program.
However, these charts paint a misleading picture as they are skewed by encompassing the entirety of Russia in the data – including the vast plains of Siberia.
These charts also use data that include fires that are deliberately lit to manage cropland, which is a declining practice across much of Europe.
In this factcheck, Carbon Brief shows that the area burned by wildfires across the European Union in 2026 is second only to 2022 for this time of year.
The latest data from the European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS) also shows that France has set a new modern record for area burned and Spain’s wildfire season is among the worst on record.
The fires have displaced more than a third of a million people across south-western Europe, while an impending heatwave has also raised fears of the fires worsening in the coming days.
‘Quietest year’
On 27 July, as wildfires raged across multiple European countries, former Conservative peer and climate-sceptic commentator Matt Ridley posted on Twitter that “2026 is the quietest year for wildfires in Europe by some distance”.

Ridley, who sits on the academic advisory council of the Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF), a UK-based climate-sceptic lobby group that refuses to reveal the sources of its funding, was responding to an article by Daily Telegraph columnist Tim Stanley.
Stanley’s column, headlined: “Climate change is real – and the right needs to get serious about it”, warned:
“This is no longer a matter of speculation: the wildfires of Europe, pitiless and persistent, are the way we live now.”
Ridley included a chart from Our World In Data, showing the cumulative area burned by wildfires by week for Europe. The chart puts 2026 as having the smallest area for this time of year in a dataset going back to 2012.
Ridley’s post was widely shared by prominent rightwing figures – including Richard Tice, deputy leader of the hard-right, climate-sceptic Reform UK party, former Conservative cabinet minister Jacob Rees-Mogg and multiple commentators.
Separately, Wielicki also shared a chart on Twitter to imply that wildfires in Europe are declining. Wielicki has previously claimed that the “science is not settled on climate change”.
The charts posted by Ridley and Wielicki both use data from the Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS). The GWIS category for “Europe” encompasses all the countries on the continent and includes the whole of Russia.
As a result, Russia accounts for about 74% of the area included in the GWIS definition of “Europe”.
Wildfires in Russia typically account for 80-90% of the burned area in the GWIS Europe dataset. In 2026, fires in Russia are substantially below average. Therefore, including Russia in this comparison creates the false impression that wildfire activity across Europe is unusually low.
Dr Calum Cunningham, a research fellow at the University of Tasmania’s Fire Centre, says that such claims are “highly misleading”, noting that “they rely on aggregating fire activity across an enormous and climatically diverse region”. He tells Carbon Brief:
“A relatively quiet season in Russia can easily mask an exceptionally active season in France or Spain. If the analysis is focused on the regions actually experiencing the current fires, the picture is very different.
“The reality is that western Europe has experienced an extraordinary sequence of climate conditions this year.”
In contrast, the EFFIS provides a subset of wildfire data specifically for the area covered by the 27 nations of the EU, which, therefore, excludes Russia.
Another difference between the two datasets is that GWIS monitors all fires – including those on agricultural land that are intentionally set alight. The burned area as measured by GWIS contains significant cropland area.
By contrast, EFFIS uses land-cover data and other information to filter specifically for forest fires.
Looking at the EU-only data from EFFIS reveals that Europe is far from having its “quietest” year. The bloc’s burned area, as of 29 July, is almost 435,000 hectares (ha) – second only to 2022 for this time of year.

Notably, Wielicki has actually continued to post charts based on GWIS data, even after acknowledging that “includ[ing] all of Russia, including vast areas of Siberia…isn’t a good proxy for Europe”.
French fires
Even looking at EU-wide data misses the scale of this year’s wildfires for some individual countries.
The chart below shows the surge in burned area in France since mid-July.
For much of the first half of the year, the country was having a wildfire season that was only slightly above average in terms of total burned area. However, a notable uptick began in the first week of July.
The third week of the month saw France break its previous cumulative annual record by more than 19,000ha. That gap has widened as the fires continue to burn; as of 29 July, the cumulative burned area in France during 2026 was nearly 24,700ha above the previous record.

The fires in France follow a record-breaking June heatwave that “dried out vegetation across the region, allowing fires to spread quickly”, wrote the New York Times.
On 27 July, French president Emmanuel Macron called a “crisis cabinet meeting” in order to address the fires “ravaging several areas of south-west France”, said France 24.
More than 220,000 people have been evacuated due to the Gironde fire, west of Bordeaux, in “what may be France’s largest peacetime evacuation”, reported the Associated Press.
In the Conversation, Cunningham and two other University of Tasmania researchers write that evacuation orders “protec[t] human lives, but makes it more likely houses and other structures will burn if there’s no one to defend them”. They add:
“There is little doubt climate change has made France and Spain’s wildfires worse. They represent yet another reason to redouble our efforts to tackle climate change and stabilise our climate.”
Central Spain scorched
While Spain’s fire season has not broken records in the same way that France’s has, it is on track to be among the worst since EFFIS began reporting data in 2006.
The chart below shows the rapid increase in burned area in Spain since 8 July. The latest data from EFFIS reveal that, as of 29 July, Spain has almost matched its previous record at this point in the year. It is also nearly five times the average area burned for this time of year.

In Spain, the wildfires have been concentrated in the central part of the country, near Madrid.
BBC News reported that the fires outside the capital have burned “an area more than twice as large as the city itself”.
Nearly 90,000 people were forced from their homes in central Spain by the fires, said the Associated Press.
Pedro Sánchez, Spain’s prime minister, called the fires a “painful expression” of climate change.
Meanwhile, the UK, French and Spanish governments have issued joint statements this week in response to the fires. The UK/Spain statement begins:
“This summer’s wildfires demonstrated that climate change was now a national security emergency facing Europe and threatening our way of life.”
Related
The post Factcheck: No, Europe is not having its ‘quietest’ year for wildfires appeared first on Carbon Brief.
Factcheck: No, Europe is not having its ‘quietest’ year for wildfires
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