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This week, we discuss Siemens Gamesa’s MASSIVE 21 MW turbine prototype, Vestas and Siemens Gamesa layoffs in Europe, trade relations between the US and EU in 2025, and the proper out-of-office email etiquette.

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Allen Hall: If you want to know why Siemens Gamesa is betting big on a 21 megawatt offshore turbine while others scale back, what Norway’s 25 billion oil and gas investment means for renewables, and how manufacturing challenges are reshaping European wind energy, stick around. Plus, we’ve got big news about Wind Energy O& M Australia and a chance to win an exclusive Uptime Podcast mug in our first ever listener survey.

I’m Allen Hall, and this is the Uptime Wind Energy Podcast.

You’re listening to the Uptime Wind Energy Podcast, brought to you by BuildTurbines. com. Learn, train, and be a part of the clean energy revolution. Visit buildturbines. com today. Now here’s your hosts, Allen Hall, Joel Saxum, Phil Totaro, and Rosemary Barnes.

Allen Hall: Just the season of giving, and this year we want to give you a voice in shaping Uptime’s future. As we wrap up another amazing year of wind energy conversations, we’re launching our first in person event. And yes, there’s a special holiday surprise involved. Picture yourself sipping your morning coffee from an exclusive Uptime Podcast mug.

Which could be yours just for participating. All we need is five minutes of your time to tell us what sparks your interest and what you’d love to hear more in 2025. Whether you’ve been with us since day one or just caught your first episode, your thoughts matter to us. So dash over to uptimewindenergy.

com or slay down to the show notes below. And from all of us at Uptime, thank you for making this community possible. Second, wind energy professionals won’t want to miss the premier O& M event in the Asia Pacific region, the Wind Energy O& M Australia conference happening February 11th and 12th in Melbourne.

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Phil Totaro: And we’re pleased to announce Sky Specs is actually going to be joining us as a corporate roundtable sponsor for the event.

Allen Hall: The conference tackles crucial topics that directly impact your operations, leading into erosion, lightning protection, CMS, insurance, and life extension strategies.

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Allen Hall: There’s a dynamic story in international trade relations happening at the moment where the president elect of the United States has issued a statement regarding US EU trade dynamics and through a social media post U. S. leadership has called for a European Union to address its trade deficit with the United States through increased purchases.

Of all things, American oil and gas. Now this threat comes in to light with all the tariff discussions that have been happening over the last several weeks. And the EU and the U. S. I think privately behind closed doors have been talking and trying to tap this down a little bit. But this comes in light of, Joel, that Norway is busy drilling away also, that they plan to spend about 25 billion dollars in 2025 drilling a number of holes, looking for more oil and gas, which I assume are headed right to the EU.

Joel Saxum: Yeah, absolutely. I think the thing about this that we have to understand is we’re, this is a wind energy podcast, so we’re into renewable energy. We want we’re looking for energy transition. I think the thing that we all need to understand is that the energy transition is not going to be a flick of a switch, right?

We’re oil and gas is in literally everything that you touch every day. Like the mouse, my computer, my cell phone, my coffee cup, like petroleum products are in everything. So until we find out. different source for that, those products, it’s not going to go away. So with that being said, the, you also have to understand that it’s going to play a huge factor on global economics because like we’re talking here, EU in the U S and you have Norway, there.

So Norway being the, one of the largest natural gas producers in the world, I think they’re number four behind like the U S Russia and Qatar, however you want to say it. But we saw this in the last few years, the economics and the political geopolitical strife play out in Eastern Europe with the, the conflict we’re having over there.

And then we had this last Presidential campaign series over here in the United States. One of the big things that president elect Trump said was drill, baby drill. We’re going to continue to push the United States on what we can do for output for natural gas and oil, which we’ve hit records year after year in the last few years.

So it’s a way to balance the books globally, right? So if we want to if the U S wants to flex muscle this is a way to do it, definitely force, force some of our trade partners to take some oil and gas.

Allen Hall: Does this change the dynamic though in terms of renewable energy in Northern Europe or greater EU?

Joel Saxum: I don’t think so as of yet. I think people will continue to push for renewable energy projects. They’re just not happening quick enough, right? You can’t, there’s only so many goods, like spots for wind farms, say like in Germany that have been cited for their wind farms are built there, they’re in operation.

So you’re seeing, instead of all kinds of new field, like we have in the United States, a hundred, 120 turbine wind sites that just not being built. So you still have this gap where the thirst for natural gas for heating and power is very. It’s going to continue to happen. I don’t think it’ll change in the near term a whole lot.

I think you still have, in my opinion, we still have 10, 20 years left of the same kind of hydrocarbon thirst that we have right now.

Allen Hall: Phil, is there going to be a big push in terms of growth in the EU to grab more oil and gas exploration while

Phil Totaro: they can? But let’s keep a couple of things in mind with this conversation.

One is that the trade imbalance between the U. S. and Europe is roughly only about 200 billion. Obviously that’s a lot of money, but in the grand scheme of things I don’t know why. This is coming up as a topic when that’s something that could, it could be closed by them buying more, liquefied natural gas from the U.

S., which is what they’re obviously trying to accomplish. But I don’t know why this is a big thing. And in the meantime, Europe has bigger issues with having Norway basically replacing, Norway’s drilling, replacing Russian gas supply when they could also be investing equally as heavily into, repowering repowering in Spain, repowering in France, repowering in Germany.

And Portugal although that’s already happening a little bit but, they’re just not doing what they could be doing to take advantage of renewable energy as power source as opposed to continuing to operate on an oil and gas based infrastructure.

Allen Hall: It just seems like there’s a limited amount of growth in oil and gas in Europe.

I know there’s, they’re trying to deal obviously with a lack of resources coming further from the east, but that won’t last that long. It doesn’t seem like it with all the electricity generation that’s happening. Off the coast of the United Kingdom and other places. There’s going to be a lot of electricity feeding Europe here shortly.

It doesn’t seem like it would be the right time necessarily to put a bunch of money into oil and gas, but Equinor, being one of the players here, is doing it, in which is. Odd also because Equinor is what, the second largest stakeholder in Orsted, which is the renewable energy leader in Europe for the most part.

There is, there’s a lot of dynamics happening here. Do you think that this is going to over the next couple of months as the new administration comes in, do you think this is going to tamper down or is this just going to get elevated even more and more as the discusses about trade deficits and tariffs pick up?

I think it’ll ramp up. To

Joel Saxum: be honest with you, I guess let’s look, let’s go back and look at Norway. Why Norway does what they do in the oil and gas world. Even though they’re touted as, one of the most green societies. They have the highest adoption rate of EVs. They run on a lot of renewable energy themselves.

The majority of it’s renewable, a lot of hydro up there. They’re, they are also like, I believe it is, and Phil correct me if I’m wrong here, but per capita the richest country in the world. Or one of the richest countries, the top three. Because and all of that is based on oil and gas monies in the sovereign wealth fund of the country of Norway.

So they’ve been, they’ve built their economy on oil and gas. They know how to do it. They know how to do it well. And they see that over the next, I think there was a study that came out by 2050. There’s a reserves that they should be exploring internally right now that are worth like 1. 4 trillion.

So they, I think they’re trying to set themselves up for the future. No matter what the future looks like, them, they, themselves, they’re pretty set for renewable energies in that transition. But they’re building as much wealth as they can now

Phil Totaro: for what happens next. To their credit, they have been investing some of that sovereign wealth fund money in but as their pot grows, the percentage that they’re investing in renewables hasn’t necessarily grown.

It’s just that they’re, incrementally as their pie gets bigger, they’re spending more money, as an absolute value, but they’re still spending the bulk of that sovereign wealth fund money and reinvesting in oil and gas exploration and extraction as opposed to, spending more on renewables.

We still need to get them to shift that percentage so that we increase more money flowing to, more capital flowing to to renewable energy projects.

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It, there are effects happening downstream, not directly related, but somewhat related. Siemens Gamesa has reached a pre agreement with unions to implement temporary layoffs, affecting a little over 400 workers at several of its wind turbine manufacturing sites in Spain. Now these temporary layoffs, Involve benefits up to 85 percent of the workers salaries.

So the workers get 85 percent of their base salary for the time they’re being laid off. And it requires the workers to agree to this. But you see this kind of ebb and flow within Siemens Gamesa where they’ve had trouble with some of 5X machines that seem to be mostly based in Spain. And the 4X machine just started reselling a couple of months ago.

The 5X, who knows, haven’t heard much about it lately. And meanwhile, Siemens Gamesa is selling offshore turbines that are made elsewhere outside of Spain. And it just seems like Spain and the older Gamesa parts of Siemens Gamesa are going to be impacted over the next couple of months. And similar things are happening up in Vestas in the Isle of Wight.

It’s made of manufacturing facility there. The plan was to shut it all down. There was 600 workers there. But it looks like they’re going to try and negotiate with the UK government to save about 300 manufacturing positions for onshore wind blade projects. Basically they ran out of sales on the offshore blade that was being manufactured there and it was over.

They didn’t have any more orders. So they were just going to close it. That’s a huge problem. Now, remember Vestas and some of the people we. Talk to regularly like Nicholas Goddard and some others. There’s a technology center at the Isle of Wight that is not being affected. So that will remain open and part of their R& D blade development will still exist there, but the manufacturing is in trouble, which leads to the greater discussion of wind turbine manufacturing in Europe is generally in trouble.

You don’t see the amount of growth that you would like to see there at the minute, and with the shifting of resources and the closing of some facilities and temporary layoffs, although they’d be temporary, It’s not indicative of growth over in 2025 or 2026. Is that how you’re reading these tea leaves, Joel?

Joel Saxum: Yeah, a hundred percent. And what I’m seeing is okay, so let’s go let’s dial it back to the Siemens thing we’ve heard for the last year and a half. We were sitting having this same conversation almost last year at this time about the 4X and 5X machines not being sold. And once they do say, you know what, we’ve fixed the problems.

And we’re going to start selling them again. There’s going to be a ramp up period to get those sails back out, to get these, to get wind farms, permitted and sited. And this is going to be our turbine of choice. And in the meantime, there is other 4x and 5x machines out there on the market.

Nordex is out there, I’ve seen some GE 5.5x being installed in the States. So other turbines have backfilled some of that spot. So I think In my mind, I expected this to happen in Spain earlier. I expected this to happen back this past summer. But now that we’re seeing that they’ve gone back to sales of this platform that was manufactured here, and the sales may not look that good or that promising, I think at a certain time you just gotta You got to start trimming the fat.

You got to get back to that what, I guess what GE was saying is going lean.

Allen Hall: Phil, does that bode well? Because we’re not seeing closure in Spain, for example, is not being offset by more factories being built in Brazil or in India. You’re not seeing a shift in manufacturing. You’re just seeing the closing or the reduction of some of the sites.

That can’t be good. And is that just then forcing a real significant play? For European manufacturers, Vestas and Siemens, into offshore. Is that where the money’s going to be?

Phil Totaro: Ultimately, factory closures or even temporary reductions are usually tied to order book. If they’re not getting the order book that those factories normally serve, then it’s just a pay cut.

to ramp down, even though, again, in the case of Siemens Gamesa, they’re going to be paying out 85 percent of the salaries for a period of technically up to two years, according to the agreement they have in place with the the union over there. So You know, I don’t think it’s going to, people are going to be sitting on the sidelines for two years.

At least I certainly hope not their factory workers should be able to get back to work in late 2025, early 2026. But the reality of that is it’s again, as Joel said, it’s predicated on the order book that they’ve got and what they need to be able to do to deliver. Now, in the meantime, as you’ve proposed.

How do they make money? It’s going to be on services for which a lot of the installed capacity in Europe that they’ve deployed, whether it’s Siemens, Vestas, GE, or Nordex, or even Enercon for that matter in the past five or so years, Pretty much, I don’t have a precise number, but I’m going to, I’m going to venture a guess and say it’s got to be 80 to 85 percent of the capacity installed in Europe has an OEM service contract, maybe not a full wrap service contract to go with it, but a lot of it’s, OEM service.

So that is revenue generator for them. And then also, as you mentioned, offshore. Is also a possibility both on the turbine manufacturing and installation as well as services in offshore as well. Talking Vestas

Joel Saxum: in the same thing, downsizing, changing over a facility, what to do with the people.

They’re going to offer the people that lose jobs at theirs. They’re going from 600 people down to 300. They’re going to offer them positions in different places within Vestas greater. So that’s a I like that approach because you keep those employees and you keep some of the knowledge base there.

But on the other side of this, some of the repurposing of that facility that we were talking about with Vestas. is driven by the UK government because they’re going to start making more onshore blades out of what was at a facility for offshore blades. That helps for growth as well. So the Vestas you’re seeing, I don’t want it to be doom and gloom, right?

You’re talking about Siemens layoffs and Vestas cutting jobs and stuff. But some of the Vestas facilities will be repurposed as well.

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Book soon to secure your spot and experience a difference in blade access, speed, and efficiency. Visit BladePlatforms. com and get started today. That leads into another discussion about Siemens Gamesa, because there’s been photos taken and images shown on the interwebs of Siemens offshore wind turbine prototype headed to Denmark’s Österlund Test Center.

And the unannounced turbine, which is being dubbed the SG21 276DD, features 135 meter blades and a 276 meter rotor diameter, making it that would be the largest wind turbine ever built in Europe. And the specifications include Obviously, in the name, direct drive, DD, and a pitch power output of 21 to 23 megawatts, and a 132 kilovolt output voltage.

So that’s unique. Now, this has got to be a huge risk for Siemens Gamesa, just because of the size of the turbine, with all the things we just saw with Bing Yang, and those blades break that dramatic video, and all the problems that GE’s been, Vernova’s been having, offshore in the UK and off the coast of Massachusetts with blades of a pretty significant size.

Is the Siemens Gamesa 21 megawatt make a lot of sense here now that sort of Vestas and GE have backed off and said 15 is where they’re going to stop and GE Vernova basically saying they’re not going to build any offshore wind turbines for a while so they’re just competing with Vestas. Vestas will sit at 15, Siemens Gamesa will be at 21 with completely in their turbine.

How is Siemens Gamesa going to de risk this and get People to the table to order these turbines.

Phil Totaro: You’ve got a couple of things going on here. One is they wouldn’t be building a turbine unless there was demand. Because it’s, 250 million in non recurring engineering costs to design and build a brand new product, turbine.

So there’s that. At the end of the day, if Siemens doesn’t build. A 21 megawatt wind turbine, and the Chinese have them. Aren’t you going to expect that unless there’s some kind of regulation put in place by the EU that says thou shall not buy Chinese wind turbines that what’s their other option going to be?

Developers are going to, again, want the biggest thing they can get their hands on, so if there’s no Western OEM that’s offering them that option, it almost necessitates them, Taking the Chinese offering, product offering, seriously. We know that GE is stopping,

Joel Saxum: right? We know GE said no, we’re not doing the 18 megawatt machine, we’re not doing offshore, all sales stop, everything there.

Alan, do you believe that Siemens move here will force Vestas into

Allen Hall: making a bigger turbine? Vestas isn’t doing anything. I think they’re gonna hold pat. They’re gonna let Siemens Gamesa head down this 20 plus megawatt turbine route. My question is, if Siemens is gonna go after this, how long will they have to test it at the test site before they give it the green light and decide to get into some sort of production sense?

I think it’ll have to sit there at least a year. Maybe longer before they’ll build confidence in it because everything’s new, right? It’s such a risky thing. If you just watch the internet two weeks ago, it would scare the heck out of you. Anything that was above 15 megawatts.

Phil Totaro: Again, it comes back to.

to the developers wanting a turbine of that size. So how long it gets tested for is ultimately going to be down to if there’s a developer that says they need that thing in 36 months for a commercial project, to be, for it to be manufactured at scale for delivery in 36 months to a commercial project, that’s what they’re going to have to do.

Allen Hall: But that’s a huge risk, Phil. Who’s going to insure that thing? And who’s gonna, who’s gonna backstop it on the downside, on the financing? That’s a big question. It’s particularly for Europe.

Phil Totaro: This has also been the challenge, right? Because the insurance companies are already complaining about the payouts on megawatt turbines.

We haven’t even gotten to the 15 megawatt turbines even operating really yet. And when we get to 20 megawatt turbines, again, we’ve talked about this ad nauseum on the show, we don’t have the vessels to install or service these things. And we don’t have, all these other ancillary things that are going to come into play for deploying anything that large.

So it’s an absolutely enormous risk.

Allen Hall: Wouldn’t the plan be, though, if China’s developing these 20 plus megawatt turbines to use the ships from China and just send them over to France or wherever these things are going to go, Germany, and have them install the turbines

Phil Totaro: there? Works fine for any country that doesn’t have the equivalent of the Jones Act, doesn’t it?

Allen Hall: Yeah, Europe doesn’t have that restriction. So is that then the play that Siemens says, I’m watching all the ship turbines? Building happening in China. So I don’t have to do that infrastructure build here in the EU. I’m just going to tap into the China ship brigade. I’m going to put somebody on a calendar.

I don’t know who that developer is at the minute because there’s been no talk of that at all. I got a couple of guesses, but nothing that’s firm. It does seem like a huge risk, though, that I don’t, it’s not a typical European thing to do. Usually in these new developments, they’re gonna sit there for a year or two and make sure that everything is working just fine and not trying to have the problem that GE is having because Siemens is not in any financial state to take that huge risk at the minute I wouldn’t think.

Joel Saxum: We’ve seen Allen, you and I have talked to people, oh big wind farms, just onshore ones, even. These turbines are getting bought, developed, and everything trucked to site right now and they still don’t have type certificates, right? So we, there’s still, so in my mind, I think if I’m, if I am a certification body or if I’m anybody involved in certifying that turbine to go into a wind farm, whether it’s the person on the hook for insurance, the person on the hook for finance, I’m thinking I’m staring at the third, independent third party that’s supposed to validate this thing.

And if I’m in that person’s shoes, I’m thinking, man, we are need to go through this with a fine tooth comb because the whole ding world in offshore wind is the whole supply chain’s watching. So let’s not get this one

Phil Totaro: wrong. Joel, an independent third party validated LM Wind Power’s blade manufacturing facility in Gaspé, didn’t they?

So I don’t think that certification matters that much.

Joel Saxum: Yeah. I want to think with what has happened lately. In, in the headline news headlines may churn up or spur the, churn the waters up a little bit more, or get someone to stand up and say, Hey, we’ve got to make sure the thing is.

Phil Totaro: But then you’re talking about, now insurance companies are recognizing that maybe the certification body’s not doing their job and they’re going to start raising premiums because there’s more risk exposure for them, which again as we’ve talked about with high insurance rates, high, supply chain limitations and high prices for components, you’re now adding, You know, extra insurance premiums on top of all that, eventually, at some point, that’s got to not make commercial sense to do 21 megawatt wind turbines.

So I, there’s got to be a tipping point here that we haven’t reached yet, but we got to be approaching it.

Joel Saxum: I’m with you, Phil. And I think that at an early stage if deal with the insurance industry quite a bit, there is not a, there is not a. A lot of dedicated engineers there, right?

You’d think at an early stage, you need to get finance and engineering representative for a finance, which would have more likely be a consultant engineering representative for whoever’s going to insure it, or the group that’s going to insure it and more likely a consultant, you would think that you’d want to grab those people and get them involved as early as possible.

And we know that. Unlike industry norms where manufacturers announce turbines at the design stage, Siemens Gamesa has kept this thing very secretive. So that means that more than likely that’s not happening right now.

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Allen Hall: A growing trend in workplace communication is emerging as professionals adopt a more direct and assertive out of office message.

If you’ve seen a lot of the out of office messages around the holidays now they range from, I will be out until January 3rd kind of message, or they’re, I’m going to my ski chalet and I will be back in February. Two, I will be out, however, if you need something, here’s the person to contact. So there’s a wide range of them, and some of them are, don’t try emailing me, don’t try calling me, my cell phone is off, you have no contact with anybody, don’t even try it.

Messages, which, guys, I’m not sure that makes any sense at all, but that seems to be where we’re at right now, and it’s getting a lot of pushback.

Joel Saxum: I think it’s like anything else where the pendulum swings, right? In the United States, we’ve been so Available and open to, making business work and those kind of things forever.

That’s part of our culture here. It’s not more like the European culture. They’re like, I’m on vacation, don’t talk to me. We don’t have that. We’re like, you know what? We’ll make it happen. Just shoot me a note. I think the, I didn’t, I never put an out of office reply in an email until I worked for a Danish company.

Because I was just like, I’m actually not gone. If I’m available, I will try to help. So I think that I just think, while we should respect people’s, time off, from a business standpoint, you’ve got, you can’t, don’t be rude, put it in the hey, I, I’m gonna be gone, if you need to talk contracts, call Phil, if you need to talk lightning, call Alan and give the, whoever’s contacting you some kind of call to action that they can actually make

Allen Hall: Have you seen more aggression in those over the years?

Because when it first started with email years ago, when you could have an automated message go out, it was very direct. And a lot of times the corporate overlords would tell you what you could write on those messages. And it was, it came down to, I will be out of the office from here to here. This is who to reach in my absence.

I’ll see you when I get back kind of message. But really now it could be anything. A lot of them are really snarky. Have you noticed that for whatever reason they get a little bit aggressive and I’m not sure that’s a good idea. I’m not sure your management would approve of that message, but I do see them quite often.

We deal with companies all over the world, obviously. So we see a little bit of everything.

Joel Saxum: I think it’s corporate communications, right? It’s the same thing as someone handing you like when you hire on at a company and they’re like, here’s your email signature. Some companies will give you, here’s what your out of office replies are, this is the template, use this.

And I think that’s smart, because then you can drive it from the proper perspective. Especially people that are more external facing than internal.

Phil Totaro: And some of us don’t I don’t think I’ve ever used ever in 20 plus years of working and out of office thing, not just because I’m some American workaholic, but, it also comes back to what Joel was talking about.

Like work life balance means that you’re available when the company needs you to be, but you can also go manage your time however you want. If you’re a salaried employee, you’re not supposed to be chained to a desk nine to five. And especially in today’s Although everybody’s trying to force everybody to come back to an office now.

But after COVID with the hybrid work or remote work possibilities, I don’t, people are paid to get a job done, not drive a desk for 40 hours a week. So let them get the job done for you. If they’re not, they’re out the door. Yeah, don’t create a hostile environment with potential customers by putting up a message that.

Makes it sound like you’re not open for business.

Allen Hall: And when you do come back, make sure you turn that system off. I’ve been around a lot of email where I know the person is back, but they’re still getting the auto reply back. Hey, you know that auto reply is still on? Oh my gosh, I’ve completely forgot.

That explains a lot. That one’s always a funny one. Same thing with the phones, right? Sometimes they forward their phone number to the The person at the next desk over, and they wonder why they don’t get any phone messages while the person down the row is swamped with work. Yeah, when you come back, you may have to make sure you get back into the system and get rowing again with the rest of the team.

Joel Saxum: This week’s Wind Farm of the Week is Timber Mill Wind over in Chowan County, North Carolina. And this is a, if you’re familiar with North Carolina, this is a rural community. A lot of farming and a lot of of course, Timber Harvesting, hence the name Timber Mill. But the project will have a capacity of up to 189 megawatts producing enough power to juice up 47, 000 homes per year.

It’s gonna have about 45 turbines, spaced a quarter to a half mile apart. And it’s planned to be located on managed timberland and open farmland. So the idea behind it was, we’d love to put some wind in here, we’d love to get some renewable energy and some jobs. And a bit of an economic boom to this rural area, but we do not want to affect how the area actually produces and goes about its daily lives.

So they’ve got this thing set up, so it’s not affecting farmland very much. And it’s not affecting timber harvesting, which is a big revenue generator there. So the in Chowin County, I want to focus on that a little bit. It’s a, it’s a good wind resource there. There’s existing onsite transmission lines.

And road infrastructure and they avoided a bunch of sensitive military and environmental areas when they built this thing. So North Carolina, not usually what you think of when you hear of new big wind farms, but the timber mill wind project is just that. So you are our wind farm of the week.

Allen Hall: That’s going to do it for this week’s Uptime Wind Energy podcast. And thanks for listening. And please give us a five star rating on your podcast platform and subscribing the show notes below to Uptime Tech News or Substack Newsletter. And we’ll see you here next week on the Uptime Wind Energy Podcast.

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A Guide for Solar & Battery Storage for Commercial Properties

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If you own or manage a commercial property in Australia right now, energy costs are probably already giving you a headache.

Power prices jump around, demand charges can be high, and tenants are asking tougher questions about sustainability and operating costs.

That’s why solar paired with battery storage has moved far beyond a nice idea. For most of the Australian businesses, it’s now a practical, commercial decision.

Wandering what’s more?

Well, in businesses, solar and batteries aren’t just about cutting emissions; they also protect cash flow, improve property value, and give businesses greater control in an ever-changing energy system.

So, now let’s walk through how it all works, what incentives are available, and why more Australian businesses are making the move now in 2026!

Why Solar & Batteries Matter for Australian Commercial Properties?

Commercial energy use is big and often expensive. Every day, offices, retail stores, manufacturing facilities, and warehouses consume large amounts of electricity during daylight and after dark.

Traditionally, businesses pay peak rates for grid energy during working hours, and then again for nighttime power. That’s where solar plus storage flips the script:

Solar Panels: Cutting Your Daytime Costs

Solar PV systems convert sunlight into electricity. In Australia’s abundant sun-rich climate, rooftop solar is a no-brainer:

  • Australia has among the highest rooftop solar penetration in the world, and commercial rooftops have huge capacity for panels.
  • Solar reduces dependency on the grid during peak rates, ensuring immediate savings on energy bills.

Battery Storage: Power After the Sun Goes Down!

Solar alone is great, but what if your business still needs power at night? So here comes the power of battery storage.

Batteries store surplus solar power generated throughout the day and discharge it when you need it most, such as during evening peak times or during grid outages.

For many commercial setups, having battery storage means:

  • Lower peak demand charges.
  • Backup power resilience during blackouts.
  • More control over energy usage patterns.

Solar panels combined with solar storage can transform a commercial property from a passive energy consumer into an active energy optimiser.

Government Rebates & Incentives for Solar: 2026 Updates!

In Australia, government rebates and
incentives
in 2026 are strengthening the business case for commercial solar and battery systems.

The federal government has dramatically expanded support, making it a particularly compelling time for businesses to
act.

1. Renewable Energy Rebates Under Small-Scale Technology Certificates

Both solar panels and battery storage systems qualify for Small-scale
Technology Certificates
(STCs). These certificates are tradable, that translate into a direct upfront
discount on installation costs:

  • Batteries earn STCs based on their usable capacity, and these are typically applied as an instant point-of-sale
    discount via your installer.
  • Solar PV systems also attract STCs, which substantially reduce the net price.

2. Cheaper Home Batteries Program Extended to Businesses

Since 1 July 2025, the federal Cheaper Home Batteries Program has been
offering significant battery rebates and, importantly, businesses can access benefits too.

Key points:

  • Eligible batteries installed alongside solar PV systems receive STC-based rebates.
  • For 2026:
  • Batteries installed before 1 May 2026 have a higher STC factor (a higher rebate per kWh).

    From 1 May 2026, the rebate is tiered by battery size, with higher support for the first 14kWh and gradually less
    for
    larger capacities.

  • The program runs until 2030, but rebate amounts decrease each year. This means the earlier you install, the more
    you benefit.

The federal rebate is available to commercial
properties
as long as the system meets eligibility requirements.

3. State-Based Rebates & Incentives

State-level
incentives can stack
on top of federal support, giving commercial properties even more value:

  • NSW Peak Demand Reduction Scheme (PDRS) offers additional battery rebates and VPP connection bonus payments.
  • Victoria’s Business Renewables Fund and other local programs support larger solar and storage projects.
  • Queensland offers interest-free loans and targeted incentives.
  • South Australia’s Home Battery Scheme provides rebates for battery installations tied to smart energy networks.

However, these vary greatly by region, so businesses should talk with accredited installers and local energy agencies
to understand stacking opportunities.

4. Tax & Depreciation Benefits

Beyond rebates, commercial solar and storage investments can be tax-effective:

  • Immediate or accelerated depreciation on assets (subject to ATO rules) can produce valuable upfront tax
    deductions.
  • Solar + battery systems are treated as capital assets, which can accelerate the return on investment.

How to Choose the Right Solar & Battery System for Your Commercial Property?

Choosing the
right system
isn’t one-size-fits-all. Here’s a step-by-step guide for sizing and designing what you need.

Step 1: Energy Audit

Start with a detailed energy audit to understand daily and seasonal load patterns. This informs:

  • How much solar capacity do you need
  • What battery size makes sense for backup power

For instance, if you have a warehouse with high daytime loads, you might prioritise solar capacity. For an office
that uses power after hours, a larger battery makes more sense.

Step 2: Solar Panel Selection

Commercial systems range from tens to hundreds of kilowatts (kW). System options:

  • 20–100 kW rooftop systems for small-medium businesses
  • 100 kW and beyond for large facilities or multi-site portfolios

Larger arrays often qualify for LGCs (Large-scale Generation Certificates) if they exceed the STC threshold, which is
another way to reduce costs.

Step 3: Battery Sizing

Battery capacity is measured in kilowatt-hours (kWh). So, ask yourself:

  • Do you want to reduce peak demand charges?
  • Do you want emergency backup?
  • How many hours of stored power do you need?

A battery that is about 20–50% of peak demand can deliver strong savings, but your energy audit will help refine this
estimate.

Smart Management & VPP Integration

Did you know that nowadays most modern batteries are VPP-capable? This means they can join the Virtual Power Plant
network

This connection allows aggregated batteries to transmit stored energy into the grid at peak times for added value,
often with payments from network operators or utilities.

Also look for:

  • Energy management software to optimise usage.
  • Time-of-use tariff compatibility to shift power consumption into cheaper periods.

Commercial Solar in 2026: What the Financial Returns Look Like

Undoubtedly, commercial solar with battery storage isn’t just a green, sustainable solution; it’s financially savvy.

How? Let’s find out!

Reduced Energy Bills

Solar power offsets expensive grid power during daylight. Add batteries, and you reduce:

  • Peak demand charges
  • Night-time grid consumption

Savings vary by site, but on average, many businesses report reductions of 20–50% or more in annual energy spend.

Rebate Impact

Solar STCs can knock thousands off upfront costs. Battery rebates, especially in early 2026, are significant.

An 10kWh commercial battery could attract several thousand dollars in rebate support alone.

Payback Period

For many commercial setups, payback periods of 3 to 7 years are achievable, and tax benefits can further improve them.

In Australia, major tenants also value energy-independent buildings, supporting higher rental premiums.

Solar Panel Policies & Market Trends| What to Watch!

Honestly, understanding government policies and trends in the Australian energy market isn’t everyone’s cup of tea. It takes proper time and research to find your exact match.

So, here are key trends and cautions you should take into account while planning to install solar and battery storage in your property:

Rebate Step-Downs

Rebate values decrease every year through to 2030. Therefore, later installs receive less government support than earlier ones. So, timing matters; act fast.

Feed-In Tariffs Are Evolving

In Australia, state feed-in tariffs for exported solar vary widely and are under review.

In some states, such as Victoria, midday solar export credits have been proposed to drop sharply, making batteries for storing and using your own power even more valuable.

Installer Accreditation

To claim rebates, systems must be installed by accredited professionals and use certified equipment. This ensures compliance and warranty security.

Future Growth Forecast for Commercial Solar in 2030: What’s Next!

Australia’s energy landscape is changing fast. More renewables are coming onto the grid, batteries are becoming essential for keeping the system stable, and policymakers and market operators are rolling out new ways for distributed energy resources (DERs) to create value.

Therefore, solar paired with batteries is no longer just about generating power; it’s increasingly seen as a flexible asset that can support the grid when it’s needed most.

At the same time, commercial microgrids are gaining traction, with groups of buildings sharing solar and storage to boost reliability, cut energy costs, and better manage peak demand.

Taken together, these shifts are making commercial solar more valuable than ever, cementing its role as a key part of Australia’s move toward a smarter, more decentralised, and low-carbon energy system by 2030.

Final Thought | Why 2026 Is the Year to Act?

If you’re a commercial property owner, don’t worry much! In Australia in 2026, solar and battery storage isn’t just a sustainability project; it’s a strategic investment.

Also, with current government rebates, state incentives, and tax benefits, you can dramatically lower upfront costs while future-proofing your energy usage.

Plus, as grid export tariffs evolve and demand charges climb, the economics of self-generated and self-stored power only get stronger.

This is the moment when smart businesses make the leap not just to cut costs, but to take control of their energy future.

Wanna join this energy revolution? Contact Cyanergy, your most trusted partner, and win a free solar quote today!

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A Guide for Solar & Battery Storage for Commercial Properties

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Renewable Energy

Morten Handberg Breaks Down Leading Edge Erosion

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Weather Guard Lightning Tech

Morten Handberg Breaks Down Leading Edge Erosion

Morten Handberg, Uptime’s blade whisperer, returns to the show to tackle leading edge erosion. He covers the fatigue physics behind rain erosion, why OEMs offer no warranty coverage for it, how operators should time repairs before costs multiply, and what LEP solutions are working in the field.

Sign up now for Uptime Tech News, our weekly newsletter on all things wind technology. This episode is sponsored by Weather Guard Lightning Tech. Learn more about Weather Guard’s StrikeTape Wind Turbine LPS retrofit. Follow the show on YouTubeLinkedin and visit Weather Guard on the web. And subscribe to Rosemary’s “Engineering with Rosie” YouTube channel here. Have a question we can answer on the show? Email us!

Welcome to Uptime Spotlight, shining Light on Wind. Energy’s brightest innovators. This is the Progress Powering Tomorrow.

Allen Hall: Morten, welcome back to the program.

Morten Handberg: Thanks, Allen. It’s fantastic to be back on on, on the podcast. Really excited to, uh, record an episode on Erosion Today.

Allen Hall: Wow. Leading as erosion is such a huge worldwide issue and. Operators are having big problems with it right now. It does seem like there’s not a lot of information readily available to operators to understand the issue quite yet.

Morten Handberg: Well, it, I mean, it’s something that we’ve been looking at for the, at least the past 10 years. We started looking at it when I was in in DONG or as it back in 2014. But we also saw it very early on because we were in offshore environment, much harsher. Uh, rain erosion conditions, and you were also starting to change the way that the, the, uh, the coatings [00:01:00]that were applied.

So there was sort of a, there was several things at play that meant that we saw very early on, early on offshore.

Allen Hall: Well, let’s get to the basics of rain erosion and leading edge erosion. What is the physics behind it? What, what happens to the leading edges of these blades as rain? Impacts them.

Morten Handberg: Well, you should see it as um, millions of, of small fat, uh, small fatigue loads on the coating because each raindrop, it creates a small impact load on the blade.

It creates a rail wave that sort of creates a. Uh, share, share loads out on, uh, into the coating that is then absorbed by the coating, by the filler and and so on. And the more absorbent that your substrate is, the longer survivability you, you’re leading into coating will have, uh, if you have manufacturing defects in the coating, that will accelerate the erosion.

But it is a fatigue effect that is then accelerated or decelerate depending on, uh, local blade conditions.

Allen Hall: Yeah, what I’ve seen in the [00:02:00] field is the blades look great. Nothing. Nothing. You don’t see anything happening and then all of a sudden it’s like instantaneous, like a fatigue failure.

Morten Handberg: I mean, a lot of things is going on.

Uh, actually you start out by, uh, by having it’s, they call, it’s called mass loss and it’s actually where the erosion is starting to change the material characteristics of the coating. And that is just the first step. So you don’t see that. You can measure it in a, um, in the laboratory setting, you can actually see that there is a changing in, in the coating condition.

You just can’t see it yet. Then you start to get pitting, and that is these very, very, very small, almost microscopic chippings of the coating. They will then accelerate and then you start to actually see the first sign, which is like a slight, a braided surface. It’s like someone took a, a fine grain sandpaper across the surface of the plate, but you only see it on the leading edge.

If it’s erosion, it’s only on the center of the leading edge. That’s very important. If you see it on the sides and further down, then it’s, it’s [00:03:00] something else. Uh, it’s not pure erosion, but then you see this fine grain. Then as that progresses, you see more and more and more chipping, more and more degradation across the, the leading edge of the blade.

Worse in the tip of it, less so into the inner third of the blade, but it is a gradual process that you see over the leading edge. Finally, you’ll then start to see the, uh, the coating coming off and you’ll start to see exposed laminate. Um, and from there it can, it can accelerate or exposed filler or laminate.

From there, it can accelerate because. Neither of those are actually designed to handle any kind of erosion.

Allen Hall: What are the critical variables in relation to leading edge erosion? Which variables seem to matter most? Is it raindrop size? Is it tip speed? What factors should we be looking for?

Morten Handberg: Tip speeds and rain intensity.

Uh, obviously droplet size have an impact, but. But what is an operator you can actually see and monitor for is, well, you know, your tip speed of the blade that matters. Uh, but it is really the rain intensity. So if you have [00:04:00] sort of a, an average drizzle over the year, that’s a much better condition than if you have like, you know, showers in, in, in, in a, in a few hour sessions at certain points of time.

Because then, then it becomes an aggressive erosion. It’s not, it’s, you don’t, you get much higher up on the. On the, on the fatigue curve, uh, then if it’s just an average baseline load over long periods of time,

Allen Hall: yeah, that fatigue curve really does matter. And today we’re looking at what generally is called VN curves, velocity versus number of impacts, and.

The rain erosion facilities I’ve seen, I’ve been able to, to give some parameters to, uh, provide a baseline or a comparison between different kinds of coatings. Is is that the, the standard as everybody sees it today, the sort of the VN curve

Morten Handberg: that is what’s been developed by this scientific, uh, community, these VN curve, that that gives you some level of measure.

I would still say, you know, from what we can do in a rain erosion tester to what is then actually going on [00:05:00] the field is still very two very, very, very different things you can say. If you can survive a thousand hours in a rain erosion tester, then it’s the similar in the field that doesn’t really work like that.

But there are comparisons so you can do, you know, uh, a relationship study, uh, between them. And you can use the VN curves to determine the ERO erosion aggressiveness. Field. We did that in the bait defect forecasting that we did in wind pile up with DCU back in 2019, uh, where we actually looked at rain erosion across Europe.

Uh, and then the, uh, the actual erosion propagation that we saw within these different sites, both for offshore and for onshore, where we actually mapped out, um, across Europe, you know, which areas will be the most erosion prone. And then utilize that to, to then mo then, then to determine what would be the red, the best maintenance strategy and also, uh, erosion, uh, LEP, uh, solution for that wind farm.

Allen Hall: Oh, okay. Uh, is it raindrop size then, or just [00:06:00] quantity of raindrops? Obviously drizzle has smaller impact. There’s less mass there, but larger raindrops, more frequent rain.

Morten Handberg: If you have showers, it tends to be larger drops. Right. So, so they kind of follow each other. And if it’s more of a drizzle. It will be smaller raindrops.

They typically follow each other. You know, if you’ve been outside in a rainstorm before we just showered, you would have sense that these are, these are much higher, you know, raindrop sizes. So, so there is typically an a relation between raindrop size and then showers versus a drizzle. It’s typically more fine, fine grain rain drops.

Allen Hall: And what impact does dirt and debris mixed in with the rain, uh, affect leading edge erosion? I know a lot of, there’s a lot of concern. And farm fields and places where there’s a lot of plowing and turnover of the dirt that it, it, it does seem like there’s more leading edge erosion and I, I think there’s a little bit of an unknown about it, uh, just because they see leading edge [00:07:00]erosion close to these areas where there’s a lot of tilling going on.

Is it just dirt impact worth a blade or is it a combination of dirt plus rain and, and those two come combining together to make a worse case. Uh, damage scenario.

Morten Handberg: Technically it would be slightly worse than if it were, if there is some soil or, or sand, or sand contamination in the raindrops. But I mean, logically rain typically, you know, comes down from the sky.

It doesn’t, you know, it doesn’t mix in with the dirt then, you know, it would be more if you have dirt on the blades. It’s typically during a dry season where it would get mixed up and then blown onto the blades. Honestly, I don’t think that that is really what’s having an impact, because having contamination in the blade is not something that is, that would drive erosion.

I think that that is, I think that is, that is a misunderstanding. We do see sand, sand erosion in some part of the world where you have massive, uh, sand, uh, how do you say, sandstorms [00:08:00] coming through and, and that actually creates an, an abrasive wear on the plate. It looks different from rain erosion because it’s two different mechanisms.

Uh, where the sand is actually like a sandpaper just blowing across the surface, so you can see that. Whereas rain is more of this fatigue effect. So I think in the, theoretically if you had soil mixed in with rain, yes that could have an impact because you would have an a, a hardened particle. But I do, I don’t think it’s what’s driving erosion, to be honest.

Allen Hall: Okay, so then there’s really two different kinds of failure modes. A particle erosion, which is more of an abrasive erosion, which I would assume be a maybe a little wider, spread along the leading edge of the blade versus a fatigue impact from a raindrop collision. They just look different, right?

Morten Handberg: Yeah, so, so sand erosion you could have spreading across a larger surface of the blade because it, because it doesn’t bounce off in the same way that a raindrop would, you know, because that’s more of an impact angle and the load that it’s applying.

So if it comes in at a, at a st [00:09:00] at a, um, at the, at the, at a, at a steep angle, then it would just bounce off because the amount of load that it’s impacting on would be very limited. So that’s also why we don’t really see it on the, um, uh, outside of the leading edge. Whereas sand erosion would have a, would, would have a different effect because even at a steep angle, it would still, you know, create some kind of wear because of the hardened particle and the effect of that.

Allen Hall: Okay. So let’s talk about incubation period, because I’ve seen a lot of literature. Talking about incubation period and, and what that means. What does incubation period mean on a leading edge coating?

Morten Handberg: So that is, that, that is from when you start having the first impacts until you get the, the, the change in structure.

So when you get to the mass loss or first pitting, that would be your incubation period, because that is from when it starts until you can see the actual effects. Would say that, that that is what would be defined as the incubation period of leading into erosion.

Allen Hall: Okay. So you wanna then maximize the incubation period where the coating still looks mostly pristine [00:10:00] once incubation period is over and you get into the coating.

Are there different rates at which the coatings will deteriorate, or are they all pretty much deteriorating at roughly the same rate?

Morten Handberg: I mean, for the really high durability. We don’t really have good enough data to say anything about whether the, um, the, the period after the incubation period, whether that would actually, how that would work in the field.

We don’t really know that yet. I would say, because the, um, some of the, the shell solutions, some of the high end polyurethane coatings, if they fail, typically it’s because of workmanship. Or adhesion issues. It’s has so far not really been tied in directly in, into leading edge erosion. Uh, the ones that I’ve seen, so typically, and, and, you know, all of these high-end coatings, they’re just, they, they have shown, you know, some of them you couldn’t even wear down in a rain erosion tester.

Um, so, so we don’t really know. Um, how, [00:11:00] how the, how the shells, they would, they, they, they, they, how they would react over the five, 10 year period because we haven’t seen that much yet. And what we have seen have been more of a mechanical failure in, in the bonding

Allen Hall: that, I guess that makes sense. Then operators are still buying wind turbine blades without any leading edge coating at all.

It is basically a painted piece of fiberglass structure. Is that still advisable today or are there places where you could just get away with that? Or is that just not reality because of the tip speeds?

Morten Handberg: For the larger, I would say anything beyond two megawatt turbines, you should have leading edge protection because you’re at tip speeds where, you know, any kind of rain would create erosion within, um, within the lifetime of the late.

That is just a fact. Um, so. I don’t, I don’t see any real areas of the world where that would not apply. And if it, if you are in a place where it’s really dry, then it would typically also mean that then you would have sand erosion. Is that, that, [00:12:00] that would, I would expect that it would be one of the two.

You wouldn’t be in an area where it couldn’t get any kind of erosion to the blades. Um, so either you should have either a very tough gel code, um, coating, or you should have have an LEP per urethane based coating. On the blades,

Allen Hall: well do the manufacturers provide data on the leading edge offerings, on the coatings, or even the harder plastic shells or shields.

Does, is there any information? If I’m an operator and I’m buying a a three megawatt turbine that comes along with the blade that says, this is the li, this is the estimated lifetime, is that a thing right now? Or is it just We’re putting on a coating and we are hoping for the best?

Morten Handberg: The OEMs, as far as I, I haven’t seen any.

Any contract or agreement where today, where erosion is not considered a wear and tear issue, there is simply no, no coverage for it. So if you buy a turbine and there’s any kind of leading [00:13:00] edge erosion outside of the end of warranty period, it’s your your problem. There is no guarantee on that.

Allen Hall: So the operator is at risk,

Morten Handberg: well, they’re at risk and if they don’t take matters into their own hands and make decisions on their own.

But they would still be locked in because within the warranty period, they will still be tied to the OEM and the decisions that they make. And if they have a service agreement with the OEM, then they would also be tied in with what the OEM provides.

Allen Hall: So that does place a lot of the burden on the owner operator to understand the effects of rate erosion, particularly at the at a new site if they don’t have any history on it at all.

To then try to identify a, a coating or some sort of protecting device to prevent leading edge erosion. ’cause at the end of the day, it does sound like the operator owner is gonna be responsible for fixing it and keeping the blades, uh, in some aerodynamic shape. That that’s, that’s a big hurdle for a lot of operators.

Morten Handberg: The problem is that if you have a service [00:14:00]contract, but you are depending on the OEM, providing that service. Then you have to be really certain that any leading edge erosion or anywhere on the leading edge is then covered by that contract. Otherwise, you’re in, you’re in a really bad, you’re in a really risky situation because you can’t do anything on your own.

Because if you’re a service contract, but you’re beholden to whatever the, your service provider is, is, is agreeing to providing to you. So you might not get the best service.

Allen Hall: And what are the risks of this? Uh, obviously there can be some structural issues. Particularly around the tips of the blaze, but that’s also power loss.

What are typical power loss numbers?

Morten Handberg: Well, there is a theoretically theoretical power loss to it, but for any modern turbine, the blade, the, the turbine would simply regulate itself out of any leading erosion loss. So, so the blades would just change their behavior that the turbine would just change, its its operation [00:15:00]conditions so that it would achieve the same lift to the blade.

So. Uh, any study that we have done or been a part of, uh, even, you know, comparing blades that were repaired, blades that were cleaned, blades that were, uh, left eroded, and then operating the, uh, the deviation was within half, half percent and that was within the margin of error. We couldn’t read, we couldn’t see it even for really, you know, really er road blades.

Of course there is different between turbines. Some turbines, they, they could show it, but I haven’t seen any data that suggests that erosion actually leads to a lot of power loss. There is a theoretical loss because there is a loss in aerodynamic performance, but because blades today they’re pitch controlled, then you can, you can regulate yourself out of that.

Some of that, uh, power laws,

Allen Hall: so the control laws in the turbine. Would know what the wind speeds are and what their power output should be, and it’ll adjust the [00:16:00]pitch of each of the blades sort of independently to, to drive the power output.

Morten Handberg: Typically, erosion is a uniform issue, so what happens on one blade happens on three.

So it’s rare to see that one blade is just completely erod in the two other they look fine. That’s really rare unless you start, you know, doing uh, abnormal repairs on them. Then you might get something. But even then, I mean, we’re not talking, you know, 10 per 10 degrees in, in variation. You know, it’s not, it’s not anything like that.

It’s very small changes. And if they would do a lot of weird DA, you know, uh, different angles, you would get instant imbalance and then, you know, you would get scatter alarm. So, so you would see that quite fast.

Allen Hall: Well, let me, let me just understand this just a little bit. So what the control logs would do would increase the pitch angle of the blaze, be a little more aggressive.

On power production to bring the power production up. If leading edge erosion was knocking it down a percentage point or two, does that have a consequence? Are like when you [00:17:00] start pitching the blades at slightly different angles, does that increase the area where rain erosion will occur? Is like, are you just.

Keep chasing this dragon by doing that,

Morten Handberg: you could change the area a little bit, but it’s not, it’s not something that, that changes the erosion, uh, that the erosion zone, that that much. It’s very minimal. Um, and one, one of the, another, another reason why, why you might see it might, might not see it as much is because voltage generator panels is widely used in the industry today.

And, and Vortex panel, they are. Uh, negating some of the negative effect from, uh, leading erosion. So that also adds to the effect that there, that the aerodynamic effect of leading erosion is limited, uh, compared to what we’ve seen in the past.

Allen Hall: Okay. So there’s a couple manufacturers that do use vortex generators around the tip, around the leading edge erosion areas right outta the factory, and then there’s other OEMs that don’t do that at all.

Is, is there a benefit to [00:18:00] having the VGs. Right out of the factory. Is that, is that just to, uh, as you think about the power output of the generator over time, like, this is gonna gimme a longer time before I have to do anything. Is, is in terms of repair,

Morten Handberg: it does help you if you have contamination of the blade.

It does help you if you have surface defects off the blade. That, that any, uh, any change to the air, to the aerodynamics is, is reduced and that’s really important if you have an optimized blade. Then the negative effect of leading erosion might get, uh, you know, might, might, might get, might get affected.

But there are, there are still reasons why I do want to do leading erosion repairs. You should do that anyway, even if you can’t see it on your power curve or not, because if you wait too long, you’ll start to get structural damages to the blade. As we talked about last time. It’s not that leading edge erosion will turn into a critical damage right away, but if you need, if you go into structural erosion, then the, then the cost of damage.

The cost of repairing the damage will multiply. Uh, [00:19:00] and at, at a certain point, you know, you will get a re structure. It might not make the blade, you know, uh, cost a, a condition where the blade could collapse or you’re at risk, but you do get a weakened blade that is then susceptible to damage from other sources.

Like if you have a lighting strike damage or you have a heavy storm or something like that, then that can accelerate the damage, turning it into a critical damage. So you should still keep your leading edge in, in shape. If you want to do to, to minimize your cost, you should still repair it before it becomes structural.

Allen Hall: Okay. So the blades I have seen where they actually have holes in the leading edge, that’s a big problem just because of contamination and water ingress and yeah, lightning obviously be another one. So that should be repaired immediately. Is is that the, do we treat it like a cat four or cat five when that happens?

Or how, what? How are we thinking about that?

Morten Handberg: Maximum cat, cat four, even, even in those circumstances because it is a, it is a severe issue, but it’s not critical on, on its own. So I would not treat it as a cat five where you need to stop [00:20:00] the turbine, stuff like that. Of course, you do want, you don’t want to say, okay, let’s wait on, let’s wait for a year or so before we repair it.

You know, do plan, you know, with some urgency to get it fixed, but it’s not something where you need to, you know, stubble works and then get that done. You know, the blade can survive it for, for a period of time, but you’re just. Susceptible to other risks, I would say.

Allen Hall: Alright. So in in today’s world, there’s a lot of options, uh, to select from in terms of leading edge protection.

What are some of the leading candidates? What, what are some of the things that are actually working out in the field?

Morten Handberg: What we typically do, uh, when we’re looking at leading edge erosion, we’re looking at the, the raw data from the wind farm. Seeing how, how bad is it and how long have the wind farm been operated without being repaired?

So we get a sense of the aggressiveness of the erosion and. Um, if we have reliable weather data, we can also do some modeling to see, okay, what is the, what is the, the, uh, environmental conditions? Also, just to get a sense, is this [00:21:00] material driven fatigue or is it actually rain erosion driven fatigue?

Because if the, if the coating quality was not, was not very good, if the former lead leading edge, it was not applied very, very, very good, then, you know, you still get erosion really fast. You get surface defects that, uh, that trigger erosion. So that’s very important to, to, to have a look at. But then when we’ve established that, then we look at, okay, where do we have the, the, the, uh, the structural erosion zone?

So that means in what, in what part of the BA would you be at risk of getting structural damage? That’s the part where that you want to protect at all costs. And in that, I would look at either shell solution or high duty, um, put urethane coating something that has a a long durability. But then you also need to look at, depending on whether you want to go for coating or shell, you need to look at what is your environmental condition, what is your, you know, yeah.

Your environmental conditions, because you also wanna apply it without it falling off again. Uh, and if you have issues with [00:22:00] high humidity, high temperatures, uh, then a lot of the coatings will be really difficult to process or, you know, to, to. Uh, to handle in the field. And, you know, and if you don’t, if you don’t get that right, then you just might end up with a lot of peeling coating or uh, peeling shells.

Um, so it’s very important to understand what is your environmental conditions that you’re trying to do repairs in. And that’s also why we try not to recommend, uh, these shell repairs over the entire, out a third of the blade. Because you’re, you’re just putting up a lot of risk for, for, uh, for detaching blades if you put on too high, um, uh, how do you say, high height, sea of solutions.

Allen Hall: Yeah. So I, I guess it does matter how much of the blade you’re gonna cover. Is there a general rule of thumb? Like are we covering the outer 10%, outer 20%? What is the. What is that rule of thumb?

Morten Handberg: Typically, you know, you, you get a long way by somewhere between the outer four to six meters. Um, so that would [00:23:00]probably equivalate to the, out of the outer third.

That would likely be something between the outer 10 to 15 to 20% at max. Um, but, but it is, I, I mean, instead of looking at a percentage, I usually look at, okay, what can we see from the data? What does that tell us? And we can see that from the progression of the erosion. Because you can clearly see if you have turbines that’s been operating, what part of the blade has already, you know, exposed laminate.

And where do you only have a light abrasion where you only have a light abrasion, you can just continue with, and with the, with, with the general coating, you don’t need to go for any high tier solutions. And that’s also just to avoid applying, applying something that is difficult to process because it will just end up, that it falls off and then you’re worse off than, than before actually.

Allen Hall: Right. It’s about mitigating risk at some level. On a repair,

Morten Handberg: reducing repair cost. Um, so, so if you, if you look at your, your conditions of your blades and then select a solution that is, that is right for that part of [00:24:00] the blade

Allen Hall: is the best way to repair a blade up tower or down tower is what is the easiest, I guess what’s easier, I know I’ve heard conflicting reports about it.

A lot of people today, operators today are saying we can do it up tower. It’s, it’s pretty good that way. Then I hear other operators say, no, no, no, no, no. The quality is much better if the blade is down on the ground. What’s the recommendation there?

Morten Handberg: In general, it can be done up tower. Um, it is correct if you do a down tower, the quality is better, but that, that, that means you need to have a crane on standby to swap out blades.

Uh, and you should have a spare set of blades that you can swap with. Maybe that can work. Um. But I would say in general, the, your, your, your, your cheaper solution and your more, you know, you know, uh, would be to do up tower. And if, and again, if you do your, your, your homework right and, and selecting the right, uh, products for, for your [00:25:00] local environments, then you can do up tower then leading it, erosion.

Not something that you need to, you should not need to consider during a down tower. Unless you are offshore in an environment where you only have, uh, 10 repair days per year, then you might want to look at something else. But again, if we talk for offs for onshore, I would, I would always go for up, up tower.

I, I don’t, I don’t really see the need for, for, for taking the blades down.

Allen Hall: So what is the optimum point in a blaze life where a leading edge coating should be applied? Like, do you let it get to the point where you’re doing structural repairs or. When you start to see that first little bit of chipping, do you start taking care of it then there I, there’s gotta be a sweet spot somewhere in the middle there.

Where is that?

Morten Handberg: There is sweet spot. So the sweet spot is as soon as you have exposed laminate, because from exposed laminate, uh, the repair cost is exactly the same as if it was just, you know, uh, a light abrasion of the coating because the, the, the time to, to, um, prepare the [00:26:00] surface to apply the coating is exactly the same.

From, you know, from, from, from light surface damage to exposed laminate. That is the same, that is the same repair cost. But as soon as you have a structural damage to your blade, then you have to do a structural repair first, and then you’re, you’re multiplying the repair time and your repair cost. So that is the right point in time.

The way to, to determine when that is, is to do inspections, annual inspections, if you do 10% of your wind farm per year. Then you would know why, what, how the rest of your wind farm looks like because erosion is very uniform across the wind farm. Maybe there are some small deviations, but if you do a subset, uh, then, then you would have a good basic understanding about what erosion is.

You don’t need to do a full sweep of the, of the wind farm to know, okay, now is my right time to do repairs.

Allen Hall: Okay, so you’re gonna have a, a couple years notice then if you’re doing drone inspections. Hopefully you put, as you put your blades up, doing a drone inspection maybe on the ground so you [00:27:00] have a idea of what you have, and then year one, year two, year three, you’re tracking that progression across at least a sampling of the wind farm.

And then, then you can almost project out then like year five, I need to be doing something and I need to be putting it into my budget.

Morten Handberg: When you start to see the first minor areas of exposed laminate. Then the year after, typically then you would have a larger swat of, of laminated exposure, still not as structural.

So when you start to see that, then I would say, okay, next year for next year’s budget, we should really do repairs. It’s difficult when you just direct the wind farm, maybe have the first year of inspection. It’s difficult to get any, any kind of, you know, real sense of what is the, you know, what is the where of scale that we have.

You can be off by a factor of two or three if, you know, if, um, so I would, I would give it a few years and then, uh, then, then, then see how things progresses before starting to make, uh, plans for repairs. If you [00:28:00] don’t have any leading edge erosion protection installed from the start. I would say plan, at least for year, year five, you should expect that you need to go out, do and do a repair.

Again, I don’t have a crystal ball for every, you know, that’s good enough to predict for every wind farm in the world, but that would be a good starting point. Maybe it’s year three, maybe it’s year seven, depending on your local conditions. That is, but then at least you know that you need to do something.

Allen Hall: Well, there’s been a number of robotic, uh, applications of rain erosion coatings. Over the last two, three years. So now you see several different, uh, repair companies offering that. What does the robotic approach have to its advantage versus technicians on ropes?

Morten Handberg: Obviously robots, they don’t, they don’t, uh, get affected by how good the morning coffee was, what the latest conversation with the wife was, or how many hours of sleep it got.

There is something to, with the grown operator, uh, you know how good they are. But it’s more about how well, uh, [00:29:00] adjusted the, the controls of the, of the, the robot or the drone is in its application. So in principle, the drone should be a lot better, uh, because you can, it will do it the right, the same way every single time.

What it should at least. So in, so in principle, if you, you, you, when we get there, then the leading it then, then the robot should be, should outmatch any repair technician in, in the world. Because repair technician, they’re really good. They’re exceptionally good at what they do. The, the, the far majority of them, but they’re, they’re still people.

So they, you know, anyone, you know, maybe standing is not a hundred percent each time, maybe mixing of. Um, of materials and they’re much better at it than I am. So no question there. But again, that’s just real reality. So I would say that the, the, the draw, the robots, they should, uh, they should get to a point at some, at some point to that they will, they will be the preferable choice, especially for this kind of, this kind of repair.

Allen Hall: What should [00:30:00] operators be budgeting to apply a coating? Say they’re, you know, they got a new wind farm. It’s just getting started. They’re gonna be five years out before they’re gonna do something, but they, they probably need to start budgeting it now and, and have a scope on it. ’cause it’s gonna be a capital campaign probably.

How much per turbine should they be setting aside?

Morten Handberg: I would just, as a baseline, at least set aside 20,000 per per blade

Allen Hall: dollars or a Corona

Morten Handberg: dollars.

Allen Hall: Really. Okay.

Morten Handberg: Assuming that you actually need to do a repair campaign, I would say you’re probably ending up in that region again. I can be wrong with by a factor of, you know, uh, by several factors.

Uh, but, um, but I would say that as a starting point, we don’t know anything else. I would just say, okay, this should be the, the, the, the budget I would go for, maybe it’ll be only 10 because we have a lesser campaign. Maybe it will be twice because we have severe damages. So we need just to, to, to source a, um, a high end, uh, LEP solution.

Um, so, so [00:31:00] again, that would just be my starting point, Alan. It’s not something that I can say with accuracy that will go for every single plate, but it would be a good starting point.

Allen Hall: Well, you need to have a number and you need to be, get in the budget ahead of time. And so it, it’s a lot easier to do upfront than waiting till the last minute always.

Uh, and it is the future of leading edge erosion and protection products. Is it changing? Do you see, uh, the industry? Winning this battle against erosion.

Morten Handberg: I see it winning it because we do have the technology, we do have the solutions. So I would say it’s compared to when we started looking at it in 14, where, you know, we had a lot of erosion issues, it seems a lot more manageable.

Now, of course, if you’re a, if you’re a new owner, you just bought a wind farm and you’re seeing this for this first time, it might not be as manageable. But as an, as an industry, I would say we’re quite far. In understanding erosion, what, how it develops and what kind of solutions that that can actually, uh, withstand it.

We’re still not there in [00:32:00] terms of, uh, quality in, in repairs, but that’s, um, but, but, uh, I, I think technology wise, we are, we are in a really good, good place.

Allen Hall: All the work that has been done by DTU and RD test systems for creating a rain erosion test. Facility and there’s several of those, more than a dozen spread around the world at this point.

Those are really making a huge impact on how quickly the problem is being solved. Right? Because you’re just bringing together the, the, the brain power of the industry to work on this problem.

Morten Handberg: They have the annual erosion Symposium and that has been really a driving force and also really put DTU on the map in terms of, uh, leading edge erosion, understanding that, and they’re also trying to tie, tie it in with lightning, uh, because, uh.

If you have a ro, if you have erosion, that changes your aerodynamics. That in fact changes how your LPS system works. So, so there is also some, some risks in that, uh, that is worth considering when, when, when discussing [00:33:00]repairs. But I think these of you, they’ve done a tremendous amount of work and r and d system have done a lot of good work in terms of standardizing the way that we do rain erosion testing, whether or not we can then say with a hundred uncertainty that this, uh, this test will then match with.

With, um, how say local environment conditions, that’s fine, but we can at least test a DP systems on, on the same scale and then use that to, to, to look at, well how, how good would they then ferry in in the, um, out out in the real world.

Allen Hall: Yeah, there’s a lot too leading edge erosion and there’s more to come and everybody needs to be paying attention to it.

’cause it, it is gonna be a cost during the lifetime of your wind turbines and you just need to be prepared for it. Mor how do people get ahold of you to learn more about leading edge erosion and, and some of the approaches to, to control it?

Morten Handberg: Well, you can always re reach me, uh, on my email, meh, at wind power.com or on my LinkedIn, uh, page and I would strongly advise, you know, reach out if you have any concerns regarding erosion or you need support with, um, [00:34:00] uh, with blade maintenance strategies, uh, we can definitely help you out with that.

Or any blade related topic that you might be concerned about for your old local wind farm.

Allen Hall: Yes. If you have any blade questions or leading edge erosion questions, reach out to Morton. He’s easy to get ahold of. Thank you so much for being back on the podcast. We love having you. It

Morten Handberg: was fantastic being here.

Cheers. A.

Morten Handberg Breaks Down Leading Edge Erosion

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