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US–China Trade Tensions Heat Up Over Graphite and EV Battery Supply Chains

In a major move, the U.S. Commerce Department announces preliminary anti-dumping duties of 93.5% on imports of Chinese graphite—a key input for electric vehicles (EV) batteries—after finding Chinese companies were selling it at unfairly low prices.

The duties affect up to $347 million in annual imports and could further disrupt U.S. battery supply chains. Analysts warn U.S. EV and battery manufacturers may face higher costs and production delays, while alternative suppliers rush to fill the gap.

The Unsung Hero Driving the EV Boom

Graphite is one of the most important materials used in EV batteries. It forms the anode, or negative electrode, in nearly all lithium-ion batteries—the type used in most EVs today. In fact, over 95% of all EV battery anodes rely on graphite.

Each electric vehicle contains between 50 and 100 kilograms of graphite, making it the largest battery component by mass and volume. The mineral allows lithium ions to move in and out of the battery during charging and discharging. This process helps EVs store energy, achieve long driving ranges, and charge quickly.

Graphite is also stable, durable, and cost-effective. It can handle thousands of charging cycles and helps prevent battery overheating. So far, there is no widely used alternative that offers the same performance at scale. Because of this, graphite is considered essential to the clean energy transition and a key mineral for the global EV industry.

U.S. Dependence on Chinese Graphite

As of 2024, the U.S. imported about 60,000 metric tons of natural graphite, down from roughly 84,000 tons in 2023. China remained the largest supplier, accounting for around 67.6% of all natural graphite imports by value. This is worth roughly $375 million. It represents a slight decrease in volume but still a dominant share of the market.

US natural graphite import and CHina share
Sources: USGS 2024; Statista

As the chart shows, China has consistently played a major role in supplying graphite to the U.S., especially in high-purity forms used for EVs. But recent policy changes are reshaping this trade.

Tariff Shock: U.S. Takes Aim at Chinese Graphite

The U.S. government recently declared provisional anti-dumping duties of up to 93.5% on imports of Chinese anode-grade graphite. Officials said Chinese exporters were selling graphite in the U.S. at unfairly low prices, which hurt American manufacturers.

These duties could impact up to $347 million in graphite imports each year. The move is part of a broader effort to support domestic production of critical materials and reduce dependence on foreign sources.

While the tariffs aim to protect U.S. businesses, they could also raise costs for American EV and battery makers. Finding new suppliers—or building up local production—will take time and investment, as analysts warn.

China Strikes Back: Export Curbs Escalate the Conflict

China responded by tightening controls on its own exports of graphite and other critical minerals. In late 2024 and early 2025, China added export licenses for tungsten, molybdenum, tellurium, indium, and bismuth, on top of earlier restrictions for gallium and germanium. These materials are important for electronics, chipmaking, and green energy technologies.

By requiring companies to apply for permission to export these minerals, China aims to protect its national security and gain leverage in trade talks. So far, the approval process has slowed shipments, with more than 60% of applications still waiting for clearance.

Together, these actions show that minerals like graphite are becoming tools in the wider strategic competition between the U.S. and China.

Impacts on the EV and Tech Industry: Who’s Getting Hit the Hardest?

This growing tension is having a ripple effect across industries—especially electric vehicles, batteries, and semiconductors. Here’s how this tension impacts the said industries: 

  • EV Battery Production: Tariffs and export restrictions could raise the price of battery materials, making EVs more expensive to build. Slower or costlier production may hurt efforts to expand EV use across the U.S.
  • Clean Energy Transition: Minerals like graphite, gallium, and rare earths are key to making wind turbines, solar panels, and other low-carbon technologies. Any disruption could delay progress toward climate goals.
  • Semiconductors and AI Chips: The U.S. has already limited exports of advanced chip technology to China. In return, China is squeezing supplies of gallium and germanium, which are used in chipmaking. This tit-for-tat adds risk to global electronics supply chains.

Many countries are now rushing to diversify their sources and build resilient supply chains. The U.S., for example, is investing in domestic mining and processing, as well as partnerships with countries like Australia and Canada. But rebuilding this infrastructure will take time—often 3 to 5 years or more.

What’s Next in the Mineral Cold War?

Several key events will shape how this trade conflict evolves. Analysts predicted these major ones to occur.

Final U.S. Decision on Tariffs:

The current graphite duties are provisional. A final ruling is expected by December 5, 2025, and could keep or adjust the tariffs based on further review.

China’s Export Licenses:

As China decides which companies can continue exporting key minerals, delays and uncertainty may persist well into 2026.

Negotiations and Trade-Offs:

There is still room for dialogue. For example, recent reports suggest the U.S. may allow chipmakers like Nvidia to sell some AI chips to China in exchange for cooperation on rare earth exports.

This back-and-forth could continue for years. But both sides are now deeply focused on economic security, especially in strategic industries like batteries, semiconductors, and clean energy.

Beyond Batteries: How Minerals Shape Global Power Plays

Graphite may seem like just another material, but it plays a big role in shaping the future of transportation and technology. For now, China leads the global market in graphite production and processing, both in 2024 and in 2030, as predicted by the IEA. The U.S., facing a supply risk, is using tariffs and domestic investments to try to close the gap.

graphite 2030 top country producers IEA
Source: IEA

At the same time, companies are watching closely. Automakers, battery makers, and tech giants all depend on stable access to key minerals. The next few years will show whether governments can build secure supply chains. Or whether trade tensions will disrupt the path to a cleaner, more connected world.

The post US–China Trade Tensions Heat Up Over Graphite and EV Battery Supply Chains appeared first on Carbon Credits.

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Carbon Footprint

Insetting vs Offsetting: Which Actually Counts Toward Your Scope 3 Targets

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The accounting differences that decide whether your nature investment shows up in inventory, in BVCM, or nowhere at all.

The question reaches a procurement team about three weeks before the next sustainability committee meeting. Someone has read about insetting. Someone else has just signed off on an offset purchase. The CSO wants to know if the two are interchangeable. The answer is no, and the GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard is the reason why.

This article walks through what each term means at audit-grade specificity, what the standards actually say about how each gets counted, and how to decide which tool fits which target. The insetting vs offsetting question is one of the most-searched in corporate climate strategy, and one of the most poorly answered. By the end of this piece, you should be able to brief a committee on the difference without notes.

The two definitions, in plain English

Offsetting means buying carbon credits generated outside your value chain and retiring them against your residual emissions. The reduction happens somewhere else, financed by you, and the credit is the receipt.

Insetting means investing in emission reductions or removals inside your own value chain, typically with suppliers, where the reduction is directly linked to the products and services you buy. The reduction happens inside the boundary of your Scope 3 inventory, and the accounting treatment is fundamentally different.

The shorthand from the University of Oxford’s Nature-based Insetting Initiative is useful: insetting is what you do with the supply chain you have; offsetting is what you do with the supply chain you do not have.

What the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard actually says

The GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard, finalised in 2024 after a multi-year pilot, sets the rules for how land-based emission reductions and removals enter corporate inventories. The Standard distinguishes between inventory accounting (Scope 1, 2, and 3) and project or intervention accounting (a separate methodology for crediting).

For insetting, the practical implication is that supplier-level interventions, when properly measured and attributed, can reduce your Scope 3 category 1 (purchased goods and services) emissions in your inventory. The reduction is not a credit retired against the inventory; it is a lower inventory number, period.

For offsetting, the credit is retired separately. It can be reported as a contribution toward a net-zero claim under the SBTi Beyond Value Chain Mitigation framework or as part of a VCMI Carbon Integrity claim, but it does not lower the inventory number.

A practical consequence: if your Science Based Target requires a 50% absolute reduction in Scope 3 emissions by 2030, insetting moves you toward the target. Offsetting does not. This single point of difference reshapes the procurement decision.

When insetting counts toward Scope 3 (and when it does not)

Insetting counts toward Scope 3 only when several conditions are met:

  • The intervention must occur with an entity in your value chain.
  • The emissions reduction or removal must be measured against a defensible baseline.
  • The reduction must be attributed to your share of that supplier’s output, not double-counted with other buyers.
  • It must follow the inventory accounting rules in the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard, not the project accounting rules used to generate credits.

The most common failure mode is double counting. If your supplier sells the same reduction as a credit on the voluntary market and also reports it to you as a Scope 3 reduction, the math breaks. The Standard requires you to address this risk, typically by purchasing and retiring the supplier-issued credit as part of your inventory or by contractual provisions that prevent the supplier from selling the reduction twice.

When insetting does not count toward Scope 3: when the intervention sits with a supplier you do not buy from, when the baseline is not defensible, when the attribution is unclear, or when the documentation does not survive audit. Those cases default to Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, which is still useful but operates on a different ledger.

The procurement and supplier engagement question

Insetting is harder than offsetting. That is the unfashionable truth most buyers eventually confront. Offsetting is a transaction; insetting is a relationship.

To run an insetting program, you need supplier mapping precise enough to know which farms or facilities sit at which Scope 3 boundary. You need an engagement model that gets suppliers to participate, which usually requires multi-year commitments and shared economics. You need an MRV architecture that measures the right things and produces audit-ready documentation. And you need a contractual structure that prevents double counting and protects both sides.

The trade-off you receive in return is significant. Reductions count against your inventory rather than your residual. Supplier relationships deepen, which protects sourcing continuity. Yield and quality improvements often follow regenerative interventions, which reduces your input cost over time. And the regulatory file, under CSRD, CSDDD, EUDR, and the SBTi FLAG Guidance, is materially stronger.

Choosing the right tool for the right target

A practical decision rule. If your target is a science-based Scope 3 reduction and you operate in a FLAG sector or source FLAG commodities, insetting is the structurally correct tool. If your target is a net-zero claim that includes neutralising hard-to-abate residual emissions outside your value chain, BVCM via high-integrity offsets is the structurally correct tool. Most companies with material Scope 3 exposure need both, in different proportions, sequenced over time.

The sequencing matters. Insetting takes longer to stand up but produces a permanent reduction in the inventory. Offsetting can be transacted faster but does not change the inventory and now sits under tighter claim restrictions. Treat them as complementary tools with different jobs, not as substitutes. The Accountability Framework Initiative and the IUCN Global Standard for Nature-based Solutions both provide useful guardrails for the insetting side, with biodiversity, human rights, and benefit-sharing requirements that go beyond carbon math.

If you are mapping a Scope 3 reduction roadmap and need to scope which interventions count toward your inventory versus which sit in Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, the carbon and sustainability experts at Carbon Credit Capital can help you structure a nature-based supply chain investment program that fits your FLAG exposure, your target architecture, and your audit horizon. Schedule a consultation.

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Carbon Footprint

Net zero needs nature: a carbon credit guide

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Net zero is often described as a balancing act: cut what you can, account for the rest, and reach zero on the ledger. That framing is useful, but it leaves something out. It treats every tonne of carbon as interchangeable and every route to zero as equally sound, while the science tells a more specific story.

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Carbon Footprint

Deforestation in Malawi: causes and solutions

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Malawi has lost a striking share of its forests over the past three decades. Woodlands that once covered well over a third of the country now cover less than a quarter, and the pressure on what remains is increasing. Behind those figures sit two practical questions: what is driving the loss, and what reverses it?

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