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The 1.5°C Imperative

To avoid catastrophic climate change, we must stabilize the global climate at 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. This requires drastic action: global greenhouse gas emissions must be halved by 2030 compared to 2020 and reach Net Zero by 2050. 

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) suggests that to meet the 1.5°C climate target, global greenhouse gas emissions in 2050 should not exceed 7 billion tons, and 19 billion tons to stay within a 2°C limit.

Achieving this requires rapid reductions of our current emissions levels, as well as scientific and technological advancements in carbon sequestration and removal (see: Exceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points.)

The Role of Small Businesses

Collectively, small businesses contribute substantially to the economy, underscoring the importance of their participation in carbon offsetting initiatives, since despite what we may think, their carbon footprints are far from being negligible. Even at the lowest end of the scale, office workers at SMEs generate between 1 to 6 tons of CO2 per employee annually (see www.epa.gov/energy/greenhouse-gas-equivalencies-calculator). Stats for employees in industrial and commercial companies are of course much higher. The significant drivers for emissions at most SMEs are: 

  • Air travel
  • Office mobility,
  • Heating / Cooling
  • Electricity
  • Waste management. 

Carbon Credits

While offsets are crucial for businesses and individuals looking to reduce their emissions, the reality is that some emissions will always remain on the balance. These emissions can be neutralized through the purchase of carbon credits, which are certificates representing a reduction of one tonne of carbon dioxide (or its equivalent in other greenhouse gasses).  These credits can be traded on the global carbon market, or purchased directly from businesses, fostering a dynamic market environment driven by reducing GHG emissions. 

Carbon Credits vs. National GHG Policies

Incorporating carbon offsets into national GHG strategies is vital for reducing the overall costs associated with emission reductions. This approach supports both nature-based solutions and technological innovations in achieving a net-zero balance.

Nature-Based Solutions and Their Impact

Nature-based solutions leverage ecosystems to absorb CO2 emissions from the atmosphere. These solutions not only represent avoided emissions but also significantly impact the global climate by removing greenhouse gasses from the air. Trading in carbon credits (see below), which represent these emissions reductions, helps businesses and countries meet their environmental goals.

Market Dynamics and Pricing

The price of carbon credits varies based on the type of credit and prevailing market conditions. Recent demand spikes indicate market volatility and the growing importance of carbon markets in environmental strategies. However, concerns persist about whether current prices are sufficient to meet the objectives of the Paris Agreement. Prices are projected to need an increase to $30-$100 per ton to effectively contribute to these goals.

Key Players in the Carbon Offset Market

The carbon offset market features several key players, including:

  • Project Developers: These entities initiate projects that generate carbon credits, representing the supply side of the market.
  • Carbon Brokers and Trading Firms: These firms play a crucial role in matching supply with demand. They acquire large quantities of credits to create portfolios sold to end buyers or act as intermediaries.
  • End Buyers: Companies and individuals looking to offset their GHG emissions form the demand side of the market.
  • Certification Standards: Non-governmental organizations (NGOs) ensure that projects adhere to specific goals and emission reduction volumes.

Carbon markets comprise two segments: 

  1. The Compliance Market, where companies must comply with governmental emission reduction targets. 
  2. The  Voluntary Market, where companies choose to offset their emissions.

Voluntary Carbon Markets

Voluntary carbon markets (VCM) are platforms that provide a robust, reliable, and secure way to offset emissions that cannot be reduced or sequestered, and as such play an essential role in global efforts to combat climate change. VCMs rely on the principles of supply and demand to determine the value and availability of carbon credits. 

The dynamic nature of voluntary carbon markets is evident from the continuous evolution and recognition within industry circles, as highlighted by the Environmental Finance Voluntary Carbon Market Rankings 2023, where over 4,300 companies participated.

Voluntary carbon markets play a crucial role in directing financial resources toward global emissions reduction or elimination activities that would otherwise be impossible due to insufficient political and economic incentives.

Companies engage in these markets, not because of legal obligations but to proactively manage their environmental impacts. By choosing to offset their emissions voluntarily, companies demonstrate environmental responsibility and contribute to a sustainable future.

Voluntary Carbon Markets are Growing 

The voluntary carbon market has seen impressive growth over recent years. According to Ecosystem Marketplace, 2023 saw the value of the market hold at $1.98bn. Key sectors such as energy, consumer goods, finance, and insurance are leading the purchasing of these markets. Additionally, nature-based and renewable energy credits are gaining significant traction within the VCM.

Future Projections for Voluntary Carbon Market

Looking ahead, the demand for carbon credits is projected to surge. By 2030, annual global demand could reach between 1.5 to 2.0 gigatons of CO2, and by 2050 this could increase to as high as 13 gigatons. Market size predictions for 2030 range from $5 billion to more than $50 billion, depending on various price scenarios influenced by factors like rising carbon emissions, the expansion of carbon pricing initiatives, and increased adoption of Net Zero targets.

Voluntary Carbon Market Challenges

Despite these optimistic projections, challenges remain. Annually, about 34 billion tons of CO2 are emitted globally, yet the available offsets listed on registries only cover around 300-400 million tons—less than 1% of total emissions. This highlights a significant gap in the market’s ability to fully compensate for global CO2 emissions. The potential size of the VCM by 2050 will largely depend on global efforts to reduce residual emissions under Net Zero targets. 

The Benefits of Voluntary Carbon Market Action

Participation in voluntary carbon markets offers a unique opportunity. It allows businesses and private individuals to act towards the transition to a lower-carbon economy and help mitigate the worst effects of climate change. The purchase of carbon credits supports projects that reduce or eliminate emissions. This market-driven approach helps channel funds into environmentally beneficial activities and overcomes the aforementioned limitations of inadequate incentives.

U.S. Climate Efforts 

The U.S. is undergoing significant shifts in energy production and consumption patterns to align with national and global climate objectives. Central to these efforts is the shift toward renewable energy sources. Wind energy, particularly offshore wind farms, stands out due to its efficiency and cost-effectiveness compared to other energy sources. As of this week (April 2024), the Biden Administration has announced plans to speed up the approval process for renewable energy projects. 

U.S. Demand for Carbon Credits

As the younger generations, for whom climate issues are a primary agenda, take a growing role in the economy, and as existing state and regional greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction programs and anticipated federal regulations go into effect, a growing number of companies are starting to take action driving an increasing demand for carbon offsets in the U.S. 

The latest stats for carbon credit demand in the US indicate a record demand for carbon offsets in 2023. Companies purchased and retired a record 164 million offsets in 2023, up 6% from the previous year. In December 2023 alone, 37 million credits were retired, marking a 43% increase from the previous highest month. 

This surge in activity demonstrates a strong commitment by companies to achieve their net-zero goals through carbon offsetting, and while most of this is still coming from major corporations, the trend is undeniable.

Conclusion:
Your Strategic Advantages in U.S. VCM

As climate change continues to pose real threats to global economic stability, the engagement of U.S.-based SMEs in these markets is not only an ethical decision but a strategic one as well. By investing in carbon offsets, SMEs can enhance their brand reputation, meet consumer demand for sustainable practices, and gain a competitive edge in a more sustainable future.

The voluntary carbon market provides a flexible and impactful way for U.S. SMEs to address their environmental impact. By purchasing carbon credits, these businesses contribute directly to projects that reduce greenhouse gasses, ranging from renewable energy to forest conservation. This action helps mitigate their own carbon footprint and supports the broader transition to a lower-carbon economy.

Furthermore, as regulatory landscapes evolve and consumer preferences shift towards more sustainable products and services, SMEs that proactively reduce their emissions will find themselves better positioned. The voluntary carbon markets offer a pathway for these businesses to not only comply with upcoming regulations but also to lead in sustainability, creating opportunities for growth and innovation. This proactive approach in the voluntary carbon markets is essential for any SME aiming to secure its place in a future-oriented sustainable U.S. economy.

To learn more about how your organization can become Net Zero see our recent case study.

Feel free to contact us for an initial consultation.

Carbon Footprint

SBTi Net-Zero Standard V2: What the Revision Means for Every Business

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The Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi) just rolled out a major revision to its Net-Zero Standard, Version 2.0. It changes how companies set climate targets, how much room they actually have to hit those targets, and how carbon credits fit into a credible net-zero strategy. Below, we break down what’s changing, when it takes effect, and why it matters even if your business isn’t formally an SBTi participant.

Key takeaways

  • SBTi is the default reference point for corporate climate action: 51% of Fortune Global 500 companies now hold net-zero targets, up from 8% in 2020, and over 11,000 organizations worldwide have SBTi-validated targets.
  • Net Zero Standard V2 redefines climate leadership as reducing emissions and mitigating ongoing emissions, not reduction alone.
  • The new standard adds flexibility through five-year cycles, a “best efforts” standard, and an Asset Transition Method for companies whose path to net-zero doesn’t fit a straight-line trajectory.
  • Voluntary carbon credits are formally recognized for the first time, with reduction and removal credits accepted from 2027, and removals required from 2035.
  • Companies with 2030 targets keep using V1 for their current cycle and move to V2 in 2028; companies without targets can start using V2 on February 1, 2027.

Why every business needs to understand the SBTi Net-Zero Standard revision

The Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi) has become the default reference point for credible corporate climate action. Net-zero targets are now held by 51% of Fortune Global 500 (FG500) companies, up dramatically from just 8% in 2020, and more than 11,000 organizations worldwide have set SBTi-validated targets.

However, SBTi’s influence extends well beyond the companies formally participating in the program. Every business in the value chain of an SBTi participant will have to reduce its own carbon emissions, and businesses that aren’t SBTi participants themselves still look to the program for guidance on climate action.

In short, SBTi gives every business a credible blueprint for climate action, and companies that follow its principles can pursue climate action with confidence, whether or not they’re formally part of the program.

How will the Net Zero Standard revision affect business climate action?

SBTi participation is expected to grow. Despite strong target-setting participation among the F500, only 17% of companies use the SBTi Net Zero Standard V1 beyond target setting, largely because its rules have been seen as too rigid to apply in practice. Much of the Net Zero Standard revision has focused on creating more flexibility to enable higher participation. Medium and small businesses will also increasingly feel pressure for climate action, since SBTi mandates that its participants reduce carbon emissions across their value chains.

Net Zero Standard V2 also redefines climate leadership: leading climate action now means reducing emissions and mitigating ongoing emissions. Reducing your own emissions while ignoring the emissions you continue to release along the way is no longer considered leadership. Supporting voluntary carbon projects with high-integrity carbon credits is now backed by the leading authority on corporate climate action.

What lessons shaped the Net Zero Standard V2 revision?

The revision reflects a few learnings about what actually drives climate progress, and how SBTi built those lessons into the new standard.

Net Zero Standard V1 Learnings Net Zero Standard V2 Implementation
Making real short-term progress is more important and more difficult than making big long-term promises Focus on short-term climate progress
Every company has a different path to net zero that doesn’t always fit generalized net-zero rules Create asset transition plans based on each company’s unique asset lifecycles and capital planning
We need to mitigate our ongoing emissions to keep global carbon emissions in check Reduce global carbon emissions by financing voluntary carbon projects with high-integrity carbon credits

What are the key changes between the old and new Net Zero Standard?

Both versions of the standard are grounded in net-zero by 2050. However, the old standard treated climate leadership as simply reducing emissions, expected a long-term commitment to net zero, based emission reduction targets on generalized net-zero goals, revoked status from companies that fell behind on targets, and ignored voluntary carbon projects entirely.

The new standard treats climate leadership as reducing emissions and mitigating ongoing emissions. It shifts the focus to short-term progress through five-year cycles, and it bases emission reduction targets on both the net-zero goal and a company’s own asset decarbonization plan. A new Asset Transition Method lets companies set decarbonization targets through asset plans with committed, verifiable steps; an ambitious but achievable path based on a company’s starting point, financial resources, and technology, with multiple pathways to reflect the unique opportunities and constraints of different industries and companies.

Crucially, the new standard moves to a “best efforts” basis that creates real flexibility on progress against targets. Businesses that miss their targets can keep their status if they’ve used “every lever” within their control, and minimum progress rules will be set out in the SBTi Assurance Manual.

Finally, the new standard formally uses voluntary carbon projects to mitigate ongoing emissions. From 2027 through 2034, this mitigation is recognized, and both carbon reduction and removal credits are accepted. From 2035 forward, mitigation with carbon removal credits becomes required, with durability matching between the removal and the emission it offsets.

Old Net Zero Standard New Net Zero Standard
Grounded in net-zero by 2050 Grounded in net-zero by 2050
Climate leadership is reducing emissions Climate leadership is reducing emissions and mitigating ongoing emissions
Make a long-term commitment to net-zero Focus on short-term progress in 5-year cycles
Emission reduction targets are based on net-zero goal
  • Emission reduction targets are based on net-zero goal and asset decarbonization plan
  • Adds SBTi’s Asset Transition Method
  • Decarbonization targets are set through asset plans with committed, verifiable steps
  • Ambitious but achievable path based on starting point, financial resources, technology
  • Multiple pathways for unique opportunities and constraints of industries and companies
Businesses who fall behind targets lose status
  • “Best efforts” basis creates flexibility on progress to targets
  • Businesses that miss targets can keep status if they used “every lever” in their control
  • Minimum progress rules will be provided in the SBTi Assurance Manual
Ignores voluntary carbon projects
  • Uses voluntary carbon projects to mitigate ongoing emissions
  • 2027–2034: Mitigation is recognized. Carbon reduction and removal credits are accepted.
  • 2035 forward: Mitigation with carbon removal credits is required, with durability matching.

When does the new Net Zero Standard take effect?

Companies with existing 2030 targets should continue using the old Net Zero Standard for their current cycle, and start using the new Net Zero Standard in 2028 to set targets for the next cycle (2030–2035).

Companies that don’t yet have targets can use the new Net Zero Standard starting February 1, 2027.

What are SBTi’s Category A and Category B companies?

The new Net Zero Standard splits companies into two categories, with different requirements attached to each.

Category A covers large companies from all countries and medium-sized companies from high-income countries. A company from any country qualifies if it meets at least one of: net turnover of €450 million or more, or 1,000 or more full-time employees. A company from a high-income country qualifies if its Scope 1 and 2 emissions are 10,000 tCO2e or more, or if it meets at least two of: balance sheet of €25 million or more, net turnover of €50 million or more, or 250 or more full-time employees.

Category B covers small companies from all countries and medium-sized companies from lower-income countries.

How do Scope 1 targets work under Net Zero Standard V2?

Scope 1 targets aim to transition companies to net-zero direct emissions by 2050 or sooner, and companies can choose from three approaches.

  1. Absolute emissions reduction follows a straight-line emissions trajectory from the target base year to the net-zero year.
  2. Emissions intensity reduction lets companies follow sector-specific pathways designed to reflect the reduction opportunities available in sectors like steel, cement, or chemicals.
  3. Asset transition is designed for companies whose capital stock turnover doesn’t follow a linear or sector pathway. These companies design a transition plan to operate existing assets efficiently and replace them with low-carbon assets, using predetermined milestones.

How do Scope 2 targets work under Net Zero Standard V2?

Scope 2 targets address emissions from purchased electricity through three pathways:

  1. Reducing electricity consumption,
  2. Reducing grid consumption by installing onsite or direct-line offsite clean energy generation, and
  3. Cleaning up the regional grid using market-based tools like PPAs, RECs, and GOs that drive clean energy development.

V2 introduces a dual Scope 2 framework requiring two separate targets, with an overall goal of 100% low-carbon electricity by 2040.

The location-based target addresses the carbon intensity of a company’s physical power use, and requires companies to show that their grid consumption is falling and/or that their physical grid use is getting cleaner; in other words, that their market-based solutions are actually making the grid cleaner.

The market-based (or zero-carbon electricity) target tracks a company’s use of low-carbon power generation contracts and Energy Attribute Certificates. It requires geographical matching of these certificates with electricity consumption based on deliverability regions (grid regions); annual matching is allowed, though hourly matching is encouraged. Category A companies with large electricity loads must report the percentage of their Scope 2 electricity consumption matched with low-carbon attributes on an hourly basis, and there’s an optional recognition framework for companies that meet hourly matching thresholds.

How do Scope 3 targets work under Net Zero Standard V2?

Scope 3 targets share the same 2050-or-sooner net-zero goal, but companies set near-term targets only for material emissions sources in their value chain and areas where they have real influence. Long-term Scope 3 targets are generally not required.

Limited, justified exclusions are allowed for near-term targets, including categories that individually account for less than 5% of total Scope 3 emissions, and activities where a company lacks practical influence, like leased assets it doesn’t operationally control, or the processing of sold products. Optional exclusions are also available in specific categories.

Companies can choose from three approaches to near-term Scope 3 targets:

  1. An overarching emissions reduction target, which follows a linear contraction of emissions from the base year to residual emissions of 10% or less by 2050 or sooner;
  2. An overarching supplier/customer alignment target, benchmarked against a growing share of tier 1 suppliers and customers reaching net-zero by 2050 or sooner; or
  3. A category- or activity-specific target, tailored for companies with concentrated emissions in particular Scope 3 categories or high-emitting activities.

What is “ongoing emissions mitigation” under the new SBTi standard?

This is one of the most significant additions in Net Zero Standard V2. Accelerated climate contributions are needed to help the world achieve climate objectives, limit temperature overshoot, mitigate transition risks, and support the scale-up of climate solutions, and V2 formally recognizes that. Ongoing emissions mitigation runs as a parallel track to companies also reducing their own emissions.

The framework is initially voluntary, with recognition available at three contribution levels to encourage early action.

  1. Engaged companies address more than 1% of total Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions.
  2. Advanced companies address more than 10% of total Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions, including 100% of Scope 1 and 2 emissions.
  3. Leadership companies address 100% of total Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions with a contribution budget of $80/tCO2e.

Carbon credits used for this purpose have to meet certain quality standards. They must be ex-post (issued after the mitigation has actually occurred), independently third-party-assured, emissions reductions or removals, measured in tCO2e, that occur within five years prior to the reporting year. They must be sourced from outside the company’s own value chain. Further minimum criteria will be set to align with high-integrity frameworks, with additional details on the recognition program expected in the second half of 2026.

Starting in 2035, carbon removals become mandatory for Category A companies. From that point, the carbon removal coverage requirement rises linearly from 1% of Scope 1–3 emissions to 100% by a company’s net-zero year. Within that, 10% of long-lived GHG emissions must specifically be covered by durable removals, also rising linearly to 100% by the net-zero year.

How must companies neutralize residual emissions?

At a company’s net-zero target year and thereafter, it must reduce its Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions to zero or to residual levels, and neutralize all residual emissions using eligible carbon removals. Those removals have to meet two conditions: they must occur within the same reporting period as the residual emissions they’re neutralizing, and long-lived GHGs must be neutralized with long-lived removals, matching the durability of the removal to the atmospheric lifetime of the emission being addressed.

What is the SBTi implementation hierarchy?

Net Zero Standard V2 also lays out how companies should prioritize their actions for credible target delivery, in three tiers.

  1. Direct actions, at the activity level, are actions that reduce emissions at the source within a company’s own operations and value chain; things like efficiency improvements, fuel switching, and engaging suppliers and customers to reduce their emissions.
  2. Actions within shared systems, or activity pools that reduce the emissions of shared systems like electricity or gas grids. This includes market instruments that convey low-carbon attributes, such as PPAs, RECs, and GOs, all of which must meet minimum integrity criteria that SBTi will elaborate on in future guidance.
  3. Sector-level actions relate to the same type of activity occurring in a relevant geography or system, in a way that meaningfully reduces the emissions a company is responsible for.

How Terrapass helps businesses meet the new SBTi standard

As the rules around carbon credits become more rigorous, the quality of the credits behind them matters more than ever. Terrapass has expanded our global network of carbon projects: more project types, locations, prices, ICVCM CCPs, and UN SDGs, spanning super-pollutant destruction, nature-based solutions, and durable removals. We offer Green-e® Climate Certification and we only source from third-party-verified projects on ICVCM-Eligible registries.

We also help clients with impact beyond carbon: EACs, RECs, and GOs including Green-e® Certified credits that support leading renewable energy projects; water credits that support water restoration projects; and custom environmental product needs like RNG and SAF. Wherever your organization is on its sustainability journey, we help clients around the world address climate risk, advance their environmental and social goals, and get the most out of their sustainability budgets.

FAQ: SBTi Net-Zero Standard revision

What is the SBTi Net-Zero Standard?

It’s the framework the Science Based Targets initiative publishes for companies that want validated, credible net-zero targets tied to limiting global warming.

What is changing in the SBTi Net Zero Standard V2 revision?

The biggest changes are more flexibility (five-year cycles and a “best efforts” standard), a new Asset Transition Method for companies whose emissions don’t follow a straight-line path, and formal recognition of voluntary carbon credits for mitigating ongoing emissions.

When do companies need to switch to the new SBTi standard?

If your company already has 2030 targets, you keep using V1 for your current cycle and move to V2 in 2028. If you don’t have targets yet, you can start using V2 as of February 1, 2027.

Can companies use carbon credits to meet SBTi targets?

They can. Under V2, high-integrity carbon reduction and removal credits count toward mitigating ongoing emissions from 2027 through 2034. Starting in 2035, only removal credits count, and they need to be durability-matched to the emissions they offset.

What’s the difference between Category A and Category B companies under SBTi?

Category A is large companies everywhere plus medium-sized companies in high-income countries, based on thresholds like revenue, headcount, or emissions. Category B is small companies everywhere and medium-sized companies in lower-income countries.

What happens if a company misses its SBTi target?

Under the old standard, falling behind could cost a company its SBTi status. Under V2’s “best efforts” approach, a company can hold onto its status as long as it’s used every lever within its control, with minimum progress rules coming in the SBTi Assurance Manual.

Sources: This post is based on Terrapass’s internal analysis of the SBTi Corporate Net-Zero Standard V2.0. Facts and figures were checked against SBTi’s official V2.0 announcement, SBTi’s Corporate Net-Zero Standard V2.0 — Chapter 6: Ongoing Emissions Responsibility, Trellis’s coverage of the standard, Trellis’s reporting on Ongoing Emissions Recognition costs, Sylvera’s analysis of what comes next, Anthesis Group’s Fortune 500 net-zero commitments research, and Climate Impact Partners’ seventh annual FG500 analysis, as reported by CarbonUnits.com.

The post SBTi Net-Zero Standard V2: What the Revision Means for Every Business appeared first on Terrapass.

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How to improve Scope 3 data accuracy for CSRD

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For most businesses, the emissions that matter most sit outside their own walls. Scope 3 emissions, everything generated across your value chain, from the suppliers who make your inputs to the customers who use your products, typically make up the majority of a company’s total carbon footprint. Under the Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD), those value-chain emissions now have to be measured and disclosed with a rigour that spend-based estimates alone struggle to satisfy. This guide sets out how to improve Scope 3 data accuracy for CSRD: the calculation methods open to you, how to move from estimates to verified supplier data, and how to govern that data so it holds up to audit.

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How community stewardship makes carbon credits durable

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A carbon credit is a commitment that extends well into the future. The tonne of CO₂ compensated for today from a nature-based carbon project must remain out of the atmosphere for good, which means the forest behind the credit has to remain standing long after the transaction is complete. For any buyer, this raises a defining question: What ensures that the forest endures?

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