Yesterday, a conservative friend asked me what I thought was going to happen in November.
I responded that I don’t have any insight into this that isn’t available to the rest of the world, but, if we’re simply extrapolating the future from the president, i.e., barring anything unforeseeable, it looks like a Biden victory.
I base this on:
• A starting point: Biden’s 7 million vote win in 2020.
• The president’s accomplishments, albeit not well publicized.
• The 91 felony charges against Trump, and the likely path of progress in the criminal trials between now and November.
• The probable effect of Biden’s advancing age.
• The results of the GOP primaries, in which an average of about 40% of Republicans voted against Trump.
It just seems that Trump has hit a hard limit in terms of his appeal to angry, easily persuaded, uneducated people. There are tens of millions of them, but their numbers can’t grow much further.
Let me ask this about the meme above. Yes, there are some voters who regard it as a fair and meaningful representation of the issue at the southern border, but, if we were guessing at a percentage, what would we estimate? It really couldn’t be more than about 25%.
Most people understand that illegal immigration is a serious, though complicated issue. There are laws, both domestic and international, that must be complied with. This is seen as the ultimate political football to some. But there are people on both sides of the aisle who are working to resolve the situation with intelligence and compassion.
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I’m not sure it’s as simple as this, insofar as Bush 41 and 43 weren’t criminal sociopaths.
I happened to be driving through Manhattan on the very day that Colin Powell was addressing the United Nations just a few miles away and claimed, and I think honestly, that Saddam Hussein had “weapons of mass destruction,” and must be stopped by a U.S. military invasion.
Contrast that against what we’re doing in Iran. Fifteen years ago, the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), included Iran, the P5+1 nations (the United States, China, Russia, France, the United Kingdom, and Germany), alongside the European Union made an agreement in which most of the developed world agreed that Iran must not have a nuclear weapon.
That stood firmly in place until Trump’s latest war crime, which is costing lives and choking the world economy, solely to defend our president’s neuroses.
The Brennan Center at NYU’s seminal report on this issue, The Truth About Voter Fraud, found that most reported incidents of voter fraud are actually traceable to other sources, such as clerical errors or bad data matching practices. The report reviewed elections that had been meticulously studied for voter fraud and found incident rates between 0.0003 percent and 0.0025 percent.
Does that stop liars like Mike Lee from spreading disinformation of the subject? Of course not.
There is no judgement day. There is no Saint Peter standing in front of the Pearly Gates discerning good from evil and acting according.
That’s a lucky break for Mike Lee.
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