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In 2024, hydrogen emerged as a climate-friendly alternative to fuel as well as electricity. Promising projects sparked to life on both the production and consumption fronts. Despite Trump’s pro-oil stance, analysts are optimistic about hydrogen’s future in this new year- 2025.

According to BNEF, clean H2 supply is projected to increase 30X and could reach 16.4 million metric tons annually by 2030. This surge is mostly attributed to supportive policies and a flourishing project pipeline.

As we step into 2025, several crucial moments await the low-carbon, clean hydrogen sector. They could be a mix of challenges and opportunities. Analysts also predict an increase in the fructification of significant projects and financial investment decisions this year.

Wood Mackenzie recently released a report identifying some crucial developments in the hydrogen sector for 2025 that one needs to scrutinize. Let’s study it here.

Blue Hydrogen to Dominate the U.S. Market in 2025

  • In 2025, the U.S. hydrogen market will focus heavily on blue hydrogen, with over 1.5 million tons per annum (Mtpa) of capacity reaching the final investment decision (FID).

This marks a 10X increase compared to green hydrogen. The report revealed that at least three large-scale blue hydrogen projects are expected to mature this year. With this output, the U.S. has all the potential to become the world’s leading blue hydrogen producer.

Green Hydrogen to Face Strong Headwinds in 2025?

Conversely, green hydrogen projects are likely to face major challenges in 2025. FIDs for these projects are expected to fall short of expectations. This could be due to reduced government focus on clean energy under the Trump administration.

Green hydrogen could also face stiff competition for electricity resources from data centers. On top of that, lengthy delays in connecting projects to the grid can slow down the progress.

While some demand will come from companies working toward sustainability goals, short-term growth opportunities are expected to shrink. Many green hydrogen projects, especially those targeting transportation, and heavy industries like steel, and e-fuels, may be delayed or canceled altogether.

BLUE HYDROGEN GREEN HYDROGEN

Nonetheless, it will Shine Through the Storm…

If not in the U.S. green hydrogen will have its niche in emerging economies like South America, the Middle East, India, and China. Eventually, these economies can launch giga-scale projects in 2025. So how can these nations properly green hydrogen progress globally?

Well, these projects leverage cheap solar and wind power and government incentives that reduce costs and ensure financial viability. For instance, India’s Kakinada project utilizes existing ammonia infrastructure and enjoys government subsidies.

Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia’s Neom Helios project benefits from state-led support and a 30-year offtake agreement with Air Products. These factors add a bonus point to green hydrogen.

Emergence of Chinese Electrolyzers 

Most importantly regions like Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and North Africa will benefit abundantly from low-cost renewable energy and affordable electrolyzers from Chinese manufacturers.

By 2025, China can supply at least one-third of orders outside North America and Europe. Competitive pricing, shorter delivery times, and strong manufacturing capacity give Chinese electrolyzers an edge. Moreover, China is also expanding its domestic manufacturing capacity and is most likely to add over 10 GW of capacity this year. This will further strengthen their global presence, especially in areas with fewer trade barriers.

However, entering Europe and North America is more challenging. Trade restrictions and regulatory hurdles, such as the European Union’s 25% content limit for Chinese-made electrolyzers, limit their opportunities. To overcome these challenges, some Chinese companies are localizing production through partnerships and technology licensing.

green hydrogen

Green Hydrogen’s Stance in Europe and North America

While blue hydrogen dominates the U.S., green hydrogen is making headway in Europe and North America. The European Commission (EC) also launched a nearly €2 billion hydrogen auction as part of its broader €4.6 billion initiative to accelerate net-zero technologies. This marked a significant step in the EU’s push for renewable hydrogen.

In Germany, HydrogenPro partnered with J. Heinr. Kramer Group to develop green hydrogen projects ranging from 5 MW to 50 MW. They aim to advance green hydrogen projects in Germany, Austria, and the Benelux region. These projects will power industries and the grid, and fuel hydrogen-powered vehicles.

On October 30, 2024, Avina Clean Hydrogen announced its major green hydrogen project in Vernon, California, near the Port of Long Beach. The facility with a capacity of 4 metric tons of compressed green hydrogen daily can decarbonize heavy-duty transport and advance California’s clean energy goals.

Uncontracted Hydrogen Supply to Persist in 2025

The Woodmack report emphasized another interesting scenario that would prevail in this year’s hydrogen economy. It says uncontracted low-carbon hydrogen capacity will remain a challenge due to difficulties in securing offtake agreements. This means out of the 5.5 Mtpa of low-carbon hydrogen projects that have reached FID, ~ 2.5 million tons of hydrogen remains without contracts.

This issue is most common in the U.S. blue hydrogen sector and, to a lesser extent, outside China, where securing agreements is tougher. The Chinese green hydrogen market lacks transparency in offtake contracts. So, the real value of uncontracted investment is not clear.

Moving on European policies like the Emission Trading Scheme (ETS) and the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), make it a key market for blue hydrogen and its derivatives. So, developers may keep production uncontracted to benefit from higher prices in Europe.

Overall, uncontracted hydrogen volumes may shrink for some projects, but overall, they are expected to grow as more blue hydrogen projects reach FID this year.
hydrogen market

The U.S. Treasury Simplifies Clean Hydrogen Tax Credit Rules

The U.S. Department of the Treasury and IRS released final rules for the section 45V Clean Hydrogen Production Tax Credit under the Inflation Reduction Act on January 3. These rules encourage clean hydrogen production from some nuclear power plants that are nearing retirement. The hydrogen will be used in fuel cells.

US Hydrogen market

The new rules included some important changes and added flexibility for the clean hydrogen industry. These updates will propel projects ahead and ensure they comply with the emissions requirement laws to qualify for clean hydrogen.

Notably, they will also provide much-needed clarity, investment stability, and adaptability, especially for participants in the Department of Energy’s Regional Clean Hydrogen Hubs program.

The final rules clarify how hydrogen producers, using electricity from diverse sources, natural gas with carbon capture, renewable natural gas (RNG), or coal mine methane, can qualify for the tax credit.

Nuclear for Clean Hydrogen

As the fresh rules enable at-risk nuclear to produce clean hydrogen, it will subsequently boost nuclear energy demand in sectors like AI. S&P Global reported market optimism surged following the announcement, and energy companies saw significant gains.

For instance, Constellation Energy’s shares rose by 3.8%, closing at $251.74, while Vistra experienced a 7% jump, reaching $160.33. NextEra Energy and its renewable energy unit also saw increases of 1.2% and 3%, respectively. Plug Power recorded a 2.6% rise, closing at $2.39. These positive market movements were witnessed after Constellation announced a $1 billion contract to supply nuclear energy to 13 government agencies.

John Podesta, Senior Advisor to President Biden for International Climate Policy mentioned something very significant that sums up all for the U.S. green hydrogen future. He said,

“The extensive revisions we’ve made in this final rule provide the certainty that hydrogen producers need to keep their projects moving forward and make the United States a global leader in truly green hydrogen.”

The post Hydrogen in 2025: The Journey through Progress, Pitfalls, and Policy Shifts appeared first on Carbon Credits.

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General Fusion’s Nasdaq Listing Pushes Fusion Energy Into the Market Spotlight

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Fusion energy has spent decades on the sidelines of the global energy system. Scientists praised its potential, policymakers admired its promise, and investors waited patiently for proof that it could work outside the lab. Now, that long wait appears to be ending.

General Fusion’s planned listing on Nasdaq marks a clear shift in how fusion energy is viewed. The Vancouver-based company has agreed to merge with Spring Valley Acquisition Corp. III, a move that would make it the world’s first publicly traded pure-play fusion energy company. Once the deal closes, General Fusion is expected to trade under the ticker symbol GFUZ.

More importantly, the transaction signals that fusion is moving beyond theory. It is stepping into capital markets, where timelines, costs, and performance matter.

AI, Electrification, and Data Centers Are Driving a New Energy Boom

Electricity demand is rising faster than grids can comfortably handle. According to the International Energy Agency, global power demand could grow by 40-50% by 2035.

This surge is not coming from a single source. Instead, it reflects a mix of electrified transport, electric heating, advanced manufacturing, and rapid digital expansion.

At the same time, artificial intelligence has become a major driver of energy. Data centers now consume enormous amounts of electricity, and demand continues to climb. In the United States, the Department of Energy estimates that data center power use could double or even triple by 2028.

Solar and wind have expanded quickly and remain essential to decarbonisation. However, they depend on the weather and daylight. Batteries help smooth supply, but they cannot yet support large-scale, long-duration demand on their own. As a result, the need for clean, reliable baseload power is becoming urgent.

This is where fusion enters the conversation.

fusion energy generation
Source: General Fusion

Why Fusion Energy Stands Apart

Fusion works by combining light atoms, usually hydrogen isotopes, to release energy. It is the same process that powers the sun. Unlike nuclear fission, which splits heavy atoms and produces long-lived radioactive waste, fusion generates far less waste and carries no risk of meltdown.

The International Atomic Energy Agency estimates that fusion can produce four times more energy per unit of fuel than fission and nearly four million times more energy than coal or oil. Just as important, fusion fuel is abundant and widely available.

These features make fusion attractive not just as a clean energy source, but as a foundation for long-term energy security.

general fusion
Source: General Fusion

General Fusion’s Different Path to Fusion Power

While many fusion developers rely on massive superconducting magnets or powerful laser systems, General Fusion has taken a different route. The company focuses on Magnetized Target Fusion, or MTF, a design intended to simplify fusion hardware and reduce costs.

MTF creates a hot plasma and stabilises it with magnetic fields. Then, instead of squeezing the plasma with magnets or lasers, the system mechanically compresses it using a liquid lithium liner. This rapid compression raises temperature and pressure to fusion conditions.

General Fusion argues that this approach avoids some of the complexity that has slowed other fusion concepts. It also allows the use of existing industrial materials, rather than highly specialised components. Over time, this could make fusion power plants more durable and more affordable.

LM26 Marks a Critical Step Forward

In early 2025, General Fusion announced a major milestone. The company had designed, built, and begun operating Lawson Machine 26, known as LM26. This system represents the world’s first large-scale MTF fusion demonstration built at a commercially relevant size.

LM26 operates at half the diameter of a future commercial reactor. It mechanically compresses plasma using a lithium liner, closely mirroring how a full-scale plant would function. The machine aims to reach several critical technical targets, including heating plasma to 10 million degrees Celsius, then to 100 million degrees Celsius, and ultimately achieving the Lawson criterion.

Reaching the Lawson criterion matters because it defines the conditions required for net fusion energy within the plasma. General Fusion plans to use proceeds from the SPAC transaction to advance LM26 testing and move closer to that goal.

General Fusion
Source: General Fusion

Two Decades of Work Behind the Headlines

The company has spent 20 years developing fusion technology, steadily building both scientific credibility and engineering expertise.

During that time, General Fusion assembled a strong intellectual property portfolio, with more than 210 patents issued or pending. It also became one of only a few private fusion companies worldwide to publish peer-reviewed fusion results. Since its founding, it has raised more than US$400 million from institutional investors, strategic partners, venture firms, and government programs.

This long track record helps explain why investors are willing to back the company as it moves into public markets.

General Fusion’s Big Leap into Public Markets

The proposed business combination with Spring Valley Acquisition Corp. III implies a pro-forma equity value of roughly US$1 billion. The transaction includes about US$105 million from a committed and oversubscribed PIPE financing, along with US$230 million from SVAC’s trust account, assuming no redemptions.

The companies expect to complete the transaction in mid-2026, pending regulatory and shareholder approvals. After closing, the combined business plans to operate under the General Fusion name and list its shares and warrants on Nasdaq.

Spring Valley brings deep experience in energy and nuclear markets. Its leadership team has completed dozens of energy and decarbonization transactions and previously helped take NuScale Power public, marking the first listing of a small modular reactor company.

Strong Market Tailwinds Support Fusion

Beyond company-specific progress, broader market forces are pushing fusion forward. Electricity demand continues to rise as economies electrify. Governments are searching for clean energy sources that do not compromise grid stability.

Meanwhile, large technology firms are actively seeking reliable, carbon-free power to support AI growth.

  • Industry estimates suggest the fusion energy sector could reach between US$40 billion and US$80 billion by the mid-2030s. If commercial deployment accelerates, the market could exceed US$350 billion by 2050.

Early fusion plants will likely focus on grid-scale baseload electricity, with hydrogen production and industrial heat applications following later.

general fusion
Source: General Fusion

However, General Fusion’s Nasdaq move does not mean fusion power is ready for mass use yet. The technology still faces major challenges, including scaling reactors, improving materials, and proving long-term reliability.

Still, the listing marks a turning point. Fusion is shifting from a scientific experiment to a real commercial contender. Public markets will bring more funding, clearer timelines, and stronger scrutiny.

The next decade will determine whether fusion can move from demonstrations to operational power plants. With electricity demand rising and clean baseload options limited, fusion is finally stepping into the spotlight. The fusion era is no longer just an idea — it is starting to take shape.

The post General Fusion’s Nasdaq Listing Pushes Fusion Energy Into the Market Spotlight appeared first on Carbon Credits.

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Trump’s Davos Nuclear Endorsement Powers a Rally in Oklo, SMRs, and Atomic Stocks

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Trump’s Davos Nuclear Endorsement Powers a Rally in Oklo, SMRs, and Atomic Stocks

At the 2026 World Economic Forum in Davos, former U.S. President Donald Trump spoke in support of nuclear energy. His remarks highlighted nuclear power as a key part of energy security and clean energy supply, saying:

“We’re very much into the world of nuclear energy, and we can have it now at good prices and very, very safe…the progress they’ve made with nuclear is unbelievable, and the safety progress they’ve made is incredible…”

After these comments, nuclear and uranium stocks moved higher in early trading. Investors showed renewed interest in nuclear companies, especially those developing advanced technologies like small modular reactors (SMRs).

Stocks such as Oklo Inc. (NYSE: OKLO), NuScale Power (NYSE: SMR), and Nano Nuclear Energy (NASDAQ: NNE) saw price increases as traders responded to the pro-nuclear sentiment. This trend shows how energy markets are changing.

Many investors now view nuclear energy as a stable, low-carbon power source. This is important as demand grows from data centers and industries.

Oklo Takes Center Stage in the Nuclear Trade

Oklo has become one of the most-watched nuclear stocks in 2025. Oklo’s shares jumped after it signed a big deal with Meta Platforms. They plan to build a 1.2 GW advanced nuclear energy campus in Pike County, Ohio.

The deal positions Oklo to supply clean, reliable power for Meta’s data centers. Analysts described this binding agreement as reducing some business risks for Oklo.

In January 2026, Oklo stock kept rising after President Trump’s pro-nuclear comments at Davos. It hit intraday highs around January 22, with gains across the sector. Bank of America upgraded Oklo to a Buy rating, setting a price target of $111. This shows strong confidence in Oklo’s data center partnerships and regulatory progress.

Oklo stock price

Cathie Wood’s ARK Investment increased its stake in Oklo. They bought over 34,000 shares. This shows a rising interest from institutions in advanced nuclear technology. This purchase followed earlier acquisitions valued at more than $8.9 million, showing sustained investment interest.

Strong Rallies, Sharp Pullbacks

Despite strong gains, Oklo’s stock price has also seen pullbacks. At times, shares fell nearly 10% in a single week due to profit-taking after earlier rallies. Investors sometimes respond to news about sectors. For example, competitive technologies like geothermal power can provide clean energy alternatives for data centers.

Oklo remains pre-revenue, meaning it has not yet begun large-scale power production. The company aims to build its first commercial microreactor system between late 2027 and 2028. Until that point, investor focus remains on contracts, partnerships, and regulatory progress.

SMRs and Speculation: Two Very Different Nuclear Bets

NuScale Power (NYSE: SMR) is another company that benefited from the nuclear rally after Davos. The company’s shares jumped around 15% on early trading days in 2026, along with sector momentum.

NuScale Power stock price

The stock is drawing investor interest because of the rising focus on small modular reactor (SMR) technology. SMRs may be easier to deploy and scale than traditional large plants.

NuScale’s SMRs got design approvals from the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC). This boosts confidence in their technology. Analysts expect the company’s revenue to continue rising as project work expands.

NuScale is a great example of how modular nuclear designs can provide reliable power for industrial and data center needs. Regulatory milestones for SMRs may accelerate deployment timelines through the rest of the decade.

NuScale SMR power plant view
Source: NuScale Power

Nano Nuclear Energy: Early Stage, Strong Moves

Nano Nuclear Energy (NASDAQ: NNE) is a smaller player that also saw stock gains as part of the sector rally. Its shares rose roughly 40% in one trading week amid news of technology deals between U.S. and U.K. partners, and Trump’s recent announcement. This price movement reflected broader investor interest in nuclear technologies and potential future revenues.

Nano Nuclear Energy stock price

Nano Nuclear is still in the early stages without significant revenue, similar to Oklo’s position. Its valuation illustrates how speculative nuclear stocks can be, driven by future expectations about technology deployment and regulatory support.

Why Nuclear Is Back on Investor Radar

Supportive government policy is a key driver for nuclear stocks. In 2025, the U.S. administration moved to speed up nuclear power development as part of a broader energy strategy. These moves include efforts to shorten licensing timelines and enhance domestic infrastructure for nuclear fuel and reactors. This policy backdrop helped lift stocks such as Oklo and NuScale.

President Trump’s Davos statements reinforced this trend by linking nuclear energy to national energy strategy and data center demand. Many investors view nuclear energy as a solution for rising electricity demands. This includes powering artificial intelligence and cloud computing infrastructure.

Nuclear power generates low-carbon electricity. This attracts companies that need to meet emissions targets while also dealing with growing power demand.

Globally, nuclear power already contributes a significant share of clean energy. According to the World Nuclear Association, nuclear energy generated about 9% of the world’s electricity from existing reactors. Supporters say that expanding nuclear power can meet future demand and reduce carbon emissions.

nuclear energy power share 2024
Source: World Nuclear Association

AI’s Power Hunger Fuels the Nuclear Case

The growth of data centers, particularly for AI, is driving interest in reliable baseload power. Tech companies, including Meta, have pursued long-term nuclear power agreements.

Meta has deals with companies like Oklo and TerraPower. These agreements aim to secure nuclear-generated electricity for its AI infrastructure. They involve spending tens of billions of dollars on building AI data centers. This corporate demand creates new business models for nuclear power. It makes future reactor deployments more financially viable.

Electricity demand from industrial and tech sectors continues to rise worldwide, increasing focus on clean, consistent power sources. Nuclear energy’s high capacity factor, meaning it can provide steady power output, is a key strength in this context.

What the Next Nuclear Decade Could Look Like

Industry analysts expect nuclear capacity to grow over the next few decades. Some forecasts tied to long-term pledges suggest that global nuclear capacity could triple by 2050 as part of decarbonization goals. This aligns with commitments from large utilities, governments, and corporate coalitions.

Nuclear Power Req in 2050 - CC (1)

Stock forecasts differ, but long-term demand for nuclear reactors and fuel is expected to grow. This growth is driven by electrification and carbon reduction goals.

Small modular reactors are key to industry growth. They offer shorter construction times and lower upfront costs than large traditional reactors. If SMRs get regulatory approval and have stable supply chains, companies like Oklo and NuScale could start commercial operations in the 2030s.

Analysts provide mixed views on nuclear stocks. Many forecasts highlight the potential upside if technologies succeed at scale, especially for SMRs. Analyst price targets for NuScale Power suggest there is a lot of potential for growth from current prices.

A Renewed Nuclear Narrative

After President Trump’s supportive comments on nuclear energy at Davos, nuclear stocks climbed as traders reacted to potential industry growth. Oklo saw strong investor interest following major deals and institutional purchases. NuScale benefited from regulatory milestones and rising demand for modular reactors. Nano Nuclear showed how early-stage players can also capture attention.

Government support, corporate demand for reliable low-carbon power, and rising electricity needs from AI and data centers are key drivers behind the nuclear sector’s resurgence. Analysts still see challenges, but they expect nuclear capacity, especially smaller modular systems, to grow in the global energy mix.

The post Trump’s Davos Nuclear Endorsement Powers a Rally in Oklo, SMRs, and Atomic Stocks appeared first on Carbon Credits.

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Nickel Price Today: Indonesia’s Production Cuts Spark Supply Concerns

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The nickel price is trading at $18,614.49 USD today, reflecting a modest 0.36% gain over the last seven days. While the weekly movement appears stable, the metal has seen significant volatility recently, contributing to an impressive 11.30% year-to-date (YTD) surge. Investors are closely monitoring supply-side constraints in Southeast Asia, which have become the primary catalyst for the metal’s strong performance in early 2026.

Nickel Price

Unit: USD/Tonne

Loading Chart…

Nickel Price Market Drivers: Indonesia’s Quota Crackdown

The primary driver supporting the nickel price this week is the tightening regulatory landscape in Indonesia, the world’s largest producer. The Indonesian government has confirmed a sharp reduction in its 2026 mining production quotas (RKAB), setting a target of 250-260 million tonnes—a significant drop from the 379 million tonnes approved in 2025. This policy shift is designed to preserve high-grade ore reserves and align output with domestic smelting capacity.

Market concerns were further amplified by reports that major players, including Vale Indonesia, were forced to temporarily halt operations at key sites due to delays in receiving these new mining permits. The Indonesian Nickel Miners Association (APNI) has warned that the approved quotas may fall short of industrial demand, which is projected to reach 410 million tonnes this year, creating a potential deficit that is keeping a floor under prices.

Technical Outlook and Future Trends

From a technical perspective, nickel is consolidating gains after testing resistance near the $18,800 level. Traders are weighing the bullish supply news against signs of softening demand in China, where profit-taking has capped upward momentum. Immediate support is forming around $17,500. While the short-term outlook remains bullish due to supply anxiety, some analysts caution that the long-term structural surplus in Class 2 nickel could limit upside potential once the initial regulatory shock subsides.

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