Nigerian campaigners at the Africa Climate Summit in Addis Ababa this week said Ethiopia is better positioned to host COP32 than Nigeria – which is also bidding for the 2027 UN climate summit – because the East African country has good infrastructure, a simpler visa process and stronger political support.
The Ethiopian government last week announced its intention to host the COP32 conference, due to be held in Africa, six months after Nigeria first threw its hat into the ring. Ethiopian President Taye Atske Selassie told UN Climate Week in Addis Ababa that the country has “the capacity, the facilities, the location, the connectivity to host the much-anticipated climate summit”.
Then, at the opening ceremony of the second Africa Climate Summit (ACS2) this week, Ethiopia’s Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed officially launched the country’s bid to host the annual UN negotiations, saying Ethiopia is “proud to present its candidacy to host COP32 in 2027”.
“We invite the world to Africa’s capital, a global city in climate ambition, to witness our solutions and to help shape the future,” Ahmed said.
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Back in March, Nigeria unveiled its intention to host the climate conference in its most populous city of Lagos during a visit by UN climate chief Simon Stiell.
The country’s then climate council director Nkiruka Chidia Maduekwe said Nigeria “has what it takes to host COP32”. She told journalists that Nigeria has shown leadership as a “champion” of climate action and so it is time for the country to host a COP summit.
This announcement was not reinforced by any official statement from Nigeria’s presidential team, signalling that the bid may not have had top-level political backing.
Maduekwe has since been sacked and replaced with climate finance expert and environmental lawyer Omotenioye Majekodunmi. When asked by Climate Home in Addis this week about Nigeria’s continued interest in hosting the climate talks, Majekodunmi declined to comment.
The UN COP summits rotate around global regions and attract tens of thousands of international delegates, from world leaders and CEOs to Indigenous people and youth activists. This year, COP30 will take place in Brazil, in the Amazon city of Belém, which is struggling to offer enough reasonably priced accommodation.
The location of next year’s COP is still undecided, as Australia and Turkey are locked in a battle over which will host the summit, with Australia said to have greater support. In 2027, it will be Africa’s turn – and 54 countries under the umbrella of the African Group of Negotiators (AGN) will collectively decide on the winning candidate before the end of next year.
Ismaila Shittu, a climate campaigner at the Nigeria-based International Climate Change Development Initiative, told Climate Home he believes Ethiopia has the edge.
“Ethiopia is more ready than Nigeria,” Shittu said. Ethiopia’s efforts to build modern infrastructure, transform its capital city and show its readiness to take on big global events such as ACS2 show “that they are actually ready to host COP”, he said.
These are areas where Nigeria is currently lacking, he added, criticising its tendency towards a “fire-brigade approach” in which event-planning happens at the last minute.
Ethiopia polishes its green credentials
Ethiopia has been strategically positioning itself as a key player in international climate diplomacy and a leader in climate action and green growth. The African Union is headquartered in the country, and it hosted the UN’s second annual climate week right before this month’s Africa Climate Summit, which was attended by more than 25,000 delegates from governments, the private sector and civil society.
On Tuesday, the country launched the largest hydroelectric dam in Africa – the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) on the Nile, a controversial project that took 14 years to complete and is aimed at supporting national energy independence and clean economic growth.
In March, the country also opened a new International Convention Centre where it is hosting global events. They include the ongoing ACS2, which proves it can handle major gatherings, campaigners said.
Nigerian climate activist Olumide Idowu said Ethiopia also appears to have more leverage when it comes to international diplomacy, especially with the AU and the UN having head offices in the country. These institutions can help channel resources to support Ethiopia in hosting the conference, he added.
Nigeria lags in terms of accommodation and transport networks, which could need as much as three years to get up to scratch, so “we need to start early to put necessary infrastructure in place”, he said.
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Ethiopia has also won praise for its easy and flexible visa application and approval process. While some participants at the ACS2 and UN Climate Week faced challenges with the online payment system, the electronic visas were granted within 24 hours of applying, and in some cases even within two hours.
Nigeria, on the other hand, is more challenging to enter from abroad. With visa system delays, payment processing errors and long application wait times, campaigners said they doubted whether Nigeria could offer a quick turnaround for thousands of COP participants and would need to address bottlenecks if it is serious about hosting the summit.
Nigeria’s silence rings loud
To the surprise of some, Nigeria has yet to recommit to its bid to host COP32 since Ethiopia announced its plan to do so. At ACS2, Nigerian President Bola Tinubu’s opening-ceremony speech – delivered by Faruk Yusuf, permanent secretary for solid minerals development – made no mention of hosting COP32.
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Campaigners said this could mean the West African country has backtracked on its initial intentions to host the conference.
Nnaemeka Oruh, a senior policy analyst at the Nigeria-based Society for Planet and Prosperity, agreed with others that Ethiopia is ahead on logistics and political support for now, adding that “nothing has shown that there is political backing to Nigeria’s bid”. However, if that were to change, Nigeria “can be ready in less than six months”, he added.
The post Ethiopia’s preparedness puts it ahead of Nigeria in bid to host COP32, campaigners say appeared first on Climate Home News.
Ethiopia’s preparedness puts it ahead of Nigeria in bid to host COP32, campaigners say
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Curbing methane is the fastest way to slow warming – but we’re off the pace
Gabrielle Dreyfus is chief scientist at the Institute for Governance and Sustainable Development, Thomas Röckmann is a professor of atmospheric physics and chemistry at Utrecht University, and Lena Höglund Isaksson is a senior research scholar at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.
This March scientists and policy makers will gather near the site in Italy where methane was first identified 250 years ago to share the latest science on methane and the policy and technology steps needed to rapidly cut methane emissions. The timing is apt.
As new tools transform our understanding of methane emissions and their sources, the evidence they reveal points to a single conclusion: Human-caused methane emissions are still rising, and global action remains far too slow.
This is the central finding of the latest Global Methane Status Report. Four years into the Global Methane Pledge, which aims for a 30% cut in global emissions by 2030, the good news is that the pledge has increased mitigation ambition under national plans, which, if fully implemented, could result in the largest and most sustained decline in methane emissions since the Industrial Revolution.
The bad news is this is still short of the 30% target. The decisive question is whether governments will move quickly enough to turn that bend into the steep decline required to pump the brake on global warming.
What the data really show
Assessing progress requires comparing three benchmarks: the level of emissions today relative to 2020, the trajectory projected in 2021 before methane received significant policy focus, and the level required by 2030 to meet the pledge.
The latest data show that global methane emissions in 2025 are higher than in 2020 but not as high as previously expected. In 2021, emissions were projected to rise by about 9% between 2020 and 2030. Updated analysis places that increase closer to 5%. This change is driven by factors such as slower than expected growth in unconventional gas production between 2020 and 2024 and lower than expected waste emissions in several regions.
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This updated trajectory still does not deliver the reductions required, but it does indicate that the curve is beginning to bend. More importantly, the commitments already outlined in countries’ Nationally Determined Contributions and Methane Action Plans would, if fully implemented, produce an 8% reduction in global methane emissions between 2020 and 2030. This would turn the current increase into a sustained decline. While still insufficient to reach the Global Methane Pledge target of a 30% cut, it would represent historical progress.
Solutions are known and ready
Scientific assessments consistently show that the technical potential to meet the pledge exists. The gap lies not in technology, but in implementation.
The energy sector accounts for approximately 70% of total technical methane reduction potential between 2020 and 2030. Proven measures include recovering associated petroleum gas in oil production, regular leak detection and repair across oil and gas supply chains, and installing ventilation air oxidation technologies in underground coal mines. Many of these options are low cost or profitable. Yet current commitments would achieve only one third of the maximum technically feasible reductions in this sector.
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Agriculture and waste also provide opportunities. Rice emissions can be reduced through improved water management, low-emission hybrids and soil amendments. While innovations in technology and practices hold promise in the longer term, near-term potential in livestock is more constrained and trends in global diets may counteract gains.
Waste sector emissions had been expected to increase more rapidly, but improvements in waste management in several regions over the past two decades have moderated this rise. Long-term mitigation in this sector requires immediate investment in improved landfills and circular waste systems, as emissions from waste already deposited will persist in the short term.
New measurement tools
Methane monitoring capacity has expanded significantly. Satellite-based systems can now identify methane super-emitters. Ground-based sensors are becoming more accessible and can provide real-time data. These developments improve national inventories and can strengthen accountability.
However, policy action does not need to wait for perfect measurement. Current scientific understanding of source magnitudes and mitigation effectiveness is sufficient to achieve a 30% reduction between 2020 and 2030. Many of the largest reductions in oil, gas and coal can be delivered through binding technology standards that do not require high precision quantification of emissions.
The decisive years ahead
The next 2 years will be critical for determining whether existing commitments translate into emissions reductions consistent with the Global Methane Pledge.
Governments should prioritise adoption of an effective international methane performance standard for oil and gas, including through the EU Methane Regulation, and expand the reach of such standards through voluntary buyers’ clubs. National and regional authorities should introduce binding technology standards for oil, gas and coal to ensure that voluntary agreements are backed by legal requirements.
One approach to promoting better progress on methane is to develop a binding methane agreement, starting with the oil and gas sector, as suggested by Barbados’ PM Mia Mottley and other leaders. Countries must also address the deeper challenge of political and economic dependence on fossil fuels, which continues to slow progress. Without a dual strategy of reducing methane and deep decarbonisation, it will not be possible to meet the Paris Agreement objectives.
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The next four years will determine whether available technologies, scientific evidence and political leadership align to deliver a rapid transition toward near-zero methane energy systems, holistic and equity-based lower emission agricultural systems and circular waste management strategies that eliminate methane release. These years will also determine whether the world captures the near-term climate benefits of methane abatement or locks in higher long-term costs and risks.
The Global Methane Status Report shows that the world is beginning to change course. Delivering the sharper downward trajectory now required is a test of political will. As scientists, we have laid out the evidence. Leaders must now act on it.
The post Curbing methane is the fastest way to slow warming – but we’re off the pace appeared first on Climate Home News.
Curbing methane is the fastest way to slow warming – but we’re off the pace
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