The world’s poorest countries are reeling from debt made worse by exchange rate fluctuations and worsening climate shocks, a new study has found, as officials considered ways to ease the burden at the Spring Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank this week.
On Friday, the International Institute for Environment and Development (IIED) issued new research showing that Least Developed Countries (LDCs) and Small Island Developing States (SIDS) have been required to take out loans for their growth and development in foreign currencies – usually US dollars – forcing them to spend billions of dollars every year repaying sovereign debt.
These poorer countries become vulnerable to currency volatility – and when extreme weather like powerful storms batters their fragile economies, their debt burden grows even bigger.
“With every climate-driven disaster, their requirement to borrow more money increases while their currency simultaneously devalues,” said Ritu Bharadwaj, IIED principal researcher and the paper’s lead author. Moreover, because the global economy is largely structured around the US dollar, “these countries are taking on all the risk associated with currency fluctuations,” she added.
Loss and damage fund to hand out $250 million in initial phase
IIED researchers examined how debt repayments and currency volatility affected 13 representative countries, and cross-referenced that data with climate modelling, showing a clear link between climate disasters and currency depreciation – which in turn leads to spiralling debt.
To solve the problem, they proposed that international financial institutions offer new loans in local currencies, while debtor nations should be allowed to swap existing debt for investments in climate, nature or social protection.
“What we’re suggesting is that creditors should take on some of that risk as part of reforms to make the global financial system fairer,” said IIED’s Bharadwaj.
At energy security talks, US pushes gas and derides renewables
The research – which focused on 13 countries across Africa, Asia and the Americas, using data from 1991 to 2022 – showed that over that 31-year period, the average value of SIDS currencies fell against the US dollar by around 265% and that of LDCs by 366%. As a result, the local currency cost of repaying their debt jumped.
Using the 2022 value of the US dollar as a baseline, the cumulative extra cost for SIDS over those three decades was $10.25 billion, the equivalent of 3% of their GDP per year. For LDCs, the cumulative value of extra repayments was $9.98 billion, equal to 6.6% of GDP.
These huge sums vastly outweigh the amounts SIDS and LDCs can spend on curbing their planet-heating emissions and adapting to climate change, and paying back debt diverts scarce resources from other day-to-day spending on healthcare and education, the study found.
Gaston Browne, prime minister of Antigua and Barbuda, said the analysis provides an “urgent and credible foundation for action”, adding that “the paper makes clear that the hidden cost of repaying debt in foreign currencies, especially during times of crisis, is a silent drain on our economies”.
“For every dollar lost to currency depreciation, there is a clinic not built, a road not repaired, a social protection programme left underfunded,” he said.
Xi commits China to full climate plan but emissions-cutting ambition still unclear
Ghana’s fossil fuel trap
Separately, another report from the Centre for Research on Multinational Corporations (SOMO) and ActionAid Ghana argued that fossil fuel companies have profited from World Bank support for multi-billion-dollar oil and gas projects in Ghana, while its people continue to suffer from power outages, unaffordable electricity and rising public debt.
In the report published on Thursday, the researchers said $2 billion in World Bank funding for oil and gas projects had led to surplus supplies and mainly benefited the private companies running the projects.
Oil and gas projects backed by big multinationals – including the Sankofa gas deal, Jubilee oil and gas project and the West African Gas Pipeline – have over-promised but under-performed, the report said. As a result, they have failed to solve Ghana’s energy and power crisis, causing the country to spend more on fuel imports or buying up costly unused gas.
Joseph Wilde-Ramsing, acting executive director of SOMO, said: “Ghanaians are paying high prices for electricity they can’t afford, while foreign oil and gas companies reap guaranteed profits.” He described the situation as one of “utter negligence, exploitation and a climate disaster rolled into one”.
“Ghana has been compelled to enter into energy agreements that are unaffordable and unsustainable,” said John Nkaw, country director of ActionAid Ghana. “These contracts seem to guarantee profits for oil giants while our government struggles to pay off debts.”
According to the World Bank, which provides guarantees for such projects in the host country to leverage capital investment, the Sankofa Gas Project – approved by the bank in 2015 – had the objective of increasing the availability of natural gas for “clean power generation”.
Multinational energy firms Eni and Vitol served as private sponsors alongside the Ghana National Petroleum Corporation, while the World Bank provided $700 million in guarantees to reduce financial and political risks.
Makhtar Diop, then World Bank Vice President for Africa, said at the time that the guarantee was the largest provided by the bank, and would allow the country to leverage up to $8 billion in foreign direct investment, thereby transforming electricity, enabling lower-carbon power generation, increasing electricity access and reducing oil imports.
The World Bank also provided guarantees to cover any risk eventualities for the West African Gas Pipeline, including $50 million from its International Development Association, $75 million from its Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency, and $125 million from the Steadfast Insurance Company. Those political risk guarantees helped the project get to financial closure, with the bank saying the project would not have gone forward without them.
The World Bank was contacted for comment but had not responded by the time of publication.
Global finance system reform
Speaking to journalists this week at the IMF/World Bank Spring Meetings in Washington DC, Ceyla Pazarbasioglu, the IMF’s strategy chief, agreed there is an urgent need to address the high debt service burden facing many countries, adding that the situation is becoming more acute in the current global economic environment, Reuters reported.
Noting the growing challenges facing vulnerable low- and middle-income countries, Kristalina Georgieva, the IMF’s managing director, said the global lender must be more active in debt restructuring processes.
Commenting on the IIED’s research, Prime Minister Browne of Antigua and Barbuda said that, as SIDS face worsening climate shocks, deepening debt burdens, and volatile currency markets, the findings provide evidence to advance reforms that are “fair, feasible, and necessary”.
Browne called for change to the current global financial architecture, which he said places an unfair burden on the most vulnerable and creates structural barriers to investment in climate resilience, adaptation and long-term development. “As Co-Chair of the Debt Sustainability Support Service (DSSS), I am committed to taking this issue to the highest levels of international decision-making,” he added.
Under Ghana’s ongoing debt restructuring, SOMO and ActionAid are advocating for an independent process that assesses the historical and current levels of fossil fuel-related debt affecting Ghana’s finances, followed by the cancellation of that debt.
They called for greater transparency and fairness in global energy investments, adding that all energy contracts that shift financial risk onto countries should be reassessed.
“As the US calls for the World Bank to continue investing in fossil fuels, our latest report is a stark warning on what the World Bank’s fossil fuel investment can do to a country’s economy and energy sector,” SOMO’s Wilde-Ramsing said.
The post Climate shocks and volatile currencies hike debt burden for poor countries appeared first on Climate Home News.
Climate shocks and volatile currencies hike debt burden for poor countries
Climate Change
Coles, Woolworths failing on deforestation commitments
SYDNEY, Wednesday 26 August 2026 — New 2026 Sustainability Reports released by supermarket giants Coles and Woolworths this week demonstrate the retailers are failing on their commitments to end deforestation in their supply chains.
Adele Chasson, Nature Policy Lead at Greenpeace Australia Pacific said:
“These so-called sustainability reports are revealing. Despite their public commitments in 2024 and 2025, neither Coles nor Woolworths have taken deforestation-linked beef off their shelves. Meanwhile, bulldozers continue to tear up forests and bushland, pushing wildlife closer to extinction and causing mass toxic runoff to flow into the Great Barrier Reef. Millions of native animals like koalas are losing their homes to beef pastures each year, while the big supermarkets put off action.
“Australians would be shocked to know that beef on the shelves of our biggest supermarkets could be pushing threatened species to the brink of extinction. Collectively Coles and Woolworths have made more than $2 billion in profits in the last year, profiting from the destruction of wildlife and precious Australian nature. Coles and Woolworths owe it to shoppers to deliver on their promises and end deforestation in their supply chains now.
“As big beef buyers, Coles and Woolworths have an essential role to play in keeping Australia’s unique forests standing. They can help stop the Great Barrier Reef from being poisoned by runoff and protect iconic forest wildlife by taking deforestation off their shelves. It’s time these big companies put their money where their mouths are and follow through on their promise of sourcing and supplying deforestation-free beef.”
Climate Change
New Zealand moves to protect business with law curtailing climate litigation
New Zealand’s parliament has adopted a controversial new law blocking a whole avenue of climate litigation and shutting down its most advanced corporate lawsuit, which has been blamed by the government for shaking business confidence and investment.
The Climate Change Response (Tort Liability) Amendment Bill, expected to take effect in the coming days after it is formally signed by the Governor-General, prevents all current and future civil claims for climate loss or harm under tort law.
Justice minister Paul Goldsmith said last week that the aim was to give businesses “certainty around their climate change obligations”, noting it would not alter the government’s responsibilities under the Climate Change Response Act 2002 nor business obligations under the Emissions Trading Scheme.
“Our response to climate change is best managed by the Government at a national level and not through piece-meal litigation in the courts,” he added in a statement.
Such litigation, he said, “risks developing a new regime that contradicts the framework Parliament has already enacted” to tackle climate change.
Goldsmith singled out a key domestic climate lawsuit brought by Northland iwi leader and activist Mike Smith against six big companies: dairy firms Fonterra and Dairy Holdings, energy firms Genesis Energy and Z Energy, New Zealand Steel and coal mining firm BT Mining. A seventh original defendant, Channel Infrastructure, was dropped after it permanently decommissioned its Marsden Point oil refinery.
Smith argued that these companies had caused him harm under public nuisance and negligence law, as well as a third breach of a duty to cease contributing to climate change that has yet to be tested domestically. He did not seek financial compensation, instead asking for the companies to immediately stop emitting or contributing to net greenhouse gas emissions.
In one of the most advanced corporate climate accountability lawsuits in the world, a trial had been scheduled for April 2027 after the Supreme Court unanimously allowed the case to continue.
Corporate lobbying in the shadows
Smith described the passing of the bill as “deeply concerning”, particularly as it coincided with the Supreme Court hearing another of his climate lawsuits. In that case, Smith v Attorney-General, he argues that the government’s response to climate change and its impacts on Māori communities in particular breaches rights to life and culture.
“That timing raises profound questions about the separation of powers and the rule of law,” said Smith. “Whatever one’s view of the merits of these cases, it is deeply troubling when parliament intervenes to remove a legal pathway while the courts are actively considering fundamental questions about climate responsibility, rights and the crown’s obligations.”
The bill – which says that no person (including the government) can be found liable in tort for emissions-related climate change effects – followed major lobbying efforts by the companies defending themselves in Smith’s lawsuit. They outlined a proposed legal amendment in a briefing note to the government in 2024.
The centre-right government has been fiercely criticised over its lack of transparency in relation to this lobbying activity. The national ombudsman recently found that the Prime Minister’s Office effectively withheld information requested by the Environmental Law Initiative about meetings, discussions and conversations regarding Smith’s case.
Green groups fail to stop bill
The bill sparked huge concern among environmental campaigners in New Zealand and elsewhere. Greenpeace Aotearoa called it a “shocking abuse of executive power” and the vast majority of submissions to a parliamentary inquiry said it should be rejected.
But in the end, it was adopted with little resistance, moving relatively smoothly through parliament, passing its third reading by 67 votes to 53. Sam Bookman, climate law lecturer at Melbourne Law School, told Climate Home News he was not surprised by this, given that the coalition government has a secure majority.
A complaint has been made to the UN special rapporteur on climate change and human rights by Smith, the National Iwi Chairs Forum Pou Tikanga and youth coalition Climate Clinic Aotearoa over what they see as the government’s heavy-handed approach. Smith is also challenging the new law in yet another lawsuit.
“Pathetic”: New Zealand plans to barely cut emissions between 2030 and 2035
Bookman thinks it “very unlikely” that such a challenge will succeed, noting that New Zealand’s constitution is firmly anchored in parliamentary sovereignty.
But the expert in climate law does not see the bill as the end of legal action in the country, noting that New Zealand has a “sophisticated climate litigation landscape with a growing number of specialist and experienced lawyers and NGOs”.
The country is also approaching its next general election in November, and some opposition parties have pledged to restore access to the courts if elected.
Amanda Larsson, global project lead on agriculture for Greenpeace International, said: “This law deserves to be tested, and I strongly encourage the international climate litigation community to unite and help defend New Zealanders’ fundamental right to hold polluters accountable before this becomes a global blueprint.”
Copycat legislation on the rise
New Zealand’s move is part of a small but growing legislative effort to shut down climate litigation around the world.
In the US, Republican politicians introduced legislation in the House and Senate in April that would shield fossil fuel firms from climate liability lawsuits. Similar laws have already been passed at state level in Tennessee, Utah, Iowa and Louisiana.
The German state of Bavaria has put forward a similar proposal to the Federal Council, aiming to block private climate claims as well as the recognition and enforcement of foreign judgments imposing such liability. There are also proposals to limit available remedies and actions in the Netherlands and Belgium.
UN General Assembly backs “climate obligations” set by world’s top court
Bookman said he expects more efforts to counter climate damages litigation and advised plaintiffs to think about how to respond, including drawing on broader support in opposing them.
“Even though it’s very hard for plaintiffs to win these types of cases, companies are very eager to avoid the expense, embarrassment and political accountability that come even with unsuccessful lawsuits,” he said.
The post New Zealand moves to protect business with law curtailing climate litigation appeared first on Climate Home News.
New Zealand moves to protect business with law curtailing climate litigation
Climate Change
Indonesia’s nickel production cuts are not enough to create a sustainable industry
Bhima Yudhistira Adhinegara is the Executive Director of the Center of Economic and Law Studies (CELIOS), an Indonesia-based economic think tank. Muhammad Zulfikar Rakhmat is the Director of the China-Indonesia desk at CELIOS.
Indonesia produces around 60% of the world’s nickel, a metal used to manufacture batteries for electric vehicles (EVs) – more than any other country in the world. But in 2026, the government sharply reduced how much of its nickel can be extracted from the ground.
Production quotas were reduced by around 40% this year compared to 2025. Weda Bay, the largest nickel mine on Earth, had its allowance cut by more than 70% and exhausted its full-year quota by the end of May, halting mining entirely; it cannot resume large-scale extraction until next year unless regulators grant an extension.
The policy has sparked a vivid debate in Indonesian policy circles: how can the country shift its strategy from a decade of mining vast quantities of cheap nickel to producing a high-value and low-carbon material that the rest of the world wants for EV batteries.
The cuts aren’t a silver bullet to clean up Indonesia’s nickel industry, whose smelters are powered by coal – the most polluting fossil fuels. But alongside stricter enforcement of environmental rules, it is one side of efforts to produce more sustainable nickel for a premium.
Restricting Indonesia’s nickel output
Production quotas were introduced to stop the collapse of nickel prices because of oversupply in the market. Prices had fallen more than 40% in 2023 alone and kept sliding as Indonesian supply kept growing, hitting a four-year low of around $13,900 a ton in late 2025.
Critics called the recent tightening of production quotas proof that Indonesia’s nickel strategy has failed, arguing that the industry shouldn’t need to throttle its own output to survive. But when assessed against what the policy was supposed to do – push up nickel prices – it has worked. Prices jumped to $20,000 a ton in May, the highest since 2024.
Chinese industry groups representing companies that have invested billions to mine and refine the country’s nickel were furious, warning Indonesia’s president Prabowo Subianto that the cuts put $50 billion worth of investment at risk. But much of that Chinese capital is sunk into smelters and processing plants built specifically to run on Indonesian ore, and cannot simply be moved elsewhere. That gives Jakarta more room to hold its ground than the warning suggests.
Stronger environmental enforcement
Since the start of the year, Indonesia’s forestry task force has seized more than four million hectares of land from mines and plantations operating illegally in protected forests, collecting over two trillion rupiah ($113 million) in fines.
This included 148 hectares seized from Weda Bay for lacking a forestry permit. The share of nickel produced from illegal small-scale mining also fell from about a quarter in 2022 to roughly 10% by 2024.
The crackdown responds to serious environmental damages in the nickel industry. On Obi Island, a waste pond collapsed after heavy rain in June 2025, flooding three villages and killing a resident. Internal company tests found chromium-6 – a carcinogen – in the water, in quantities far above the legal limit. The footprint of another mine near Raja Ampat, which is home to some of the world’s richest coral reefs, grew 60-fold in just eight years.

The market is responding to early cleanup efforts. Low-carbon nickel now sells for a real premium, roughly $18,800 to $19,300 a ton compared with $17,900 to $18,300 otherwise, as carmakers seek to source cleaner materials to comply with the European Union’s new emissions rules for imports.
In turn, this is incentivising the industry to do more to green its operations. Vale Indonesia’s smelter in South Sulawesi now runs almost entirely on hydropower, for example.
None of this addresses coal use, however. Major Indonesian nickel producers still emitted an estimated 15 million metric tons of greenhouse gases in 2023. Indonesia may be cracking down on illegal mining and rewarding cleaner producers but it is still running its mines on the dirtiest fuel available.
Unequal benefits
For Indonesia to truly benefit from producing cleaner and high-value nickel, it needs to reap the economic benefits too. Although the industry has boosted the country’s economic growth, the reality on the ground tells a different story.
Konawe in Southeast Sulawesi is home to a major smelting complex. Growth in the district jumped from 6% to 22% between 2015 and 2023, driven almost entirely by the nickel industry, according to a study by the Lowy Institute study. At the same time, poverty levels increased slightly and unemployment remained unchanged.
In Halmahera, another epicentre of the nickel industry, spending by the poorest fifth grew just 5% between 2019 and 2022, compared with 28% for the wealthiest fifth, according to a separate study.
Part of the reason for this inequality is the system for transferring mining royalties to district authorities where the mines are located. In theory, they are entitled to the largest share. But in practice, payments are delayed, companies routinely dispute what they owe and royalties are pooled and distributed across a larger area.
The Natural Resource Governance Institute has found that decentralisation handed local governments power to approve new mines faster than they could build their capacity to manage them. Higher output raises national income on paper, but local governments remain constrained by fiscal rules and infrastructure costs that scale with mining.
None of this makes the 2026 quota cuts a mistake. Indonesia has every right to defend its pricing power over a resource it controls. But limiting extraction isn’t going to fix underlying issues around environmental enforcement and revenue-sharing. That requires rules that are consistently enforced, royalties that reach communities living by the mines, and a plan to wean smelters off coal.
The post Indonesia’s nickel production cuts are not enough to create a sustainable industry appeared first on Climate Home News.
Indonesia’s nickel production cuts are not enough to create a sustainable industry
-
Climate Change1 year ago
Guest post: Why China is still building new coal – and when it might stop
-
Greenhouse Gases1 year ago
Guest post: Why China is still building new coal – and when it might stop
-
Greenhouse Gases2 years ago嘉宾来稿:满足中国增长的用电需求 光伏加储能“比新建煤电更实惠”
-
Climate Change2 years ago嘉宾来稿:满足中国增长的用电需求 光伏加储能“比新建煤电更实惠”
-
Climate Change2 years ago
Bill Discounting Climate Change in Florida’s Energy Policy Awaits DeSantis’ Approval
-
Renewable Energy10 months agoSending Progressive Philanthropist George Soros to Prison?
-
Greenhouse Gases1 year ago
嘉宾来稿:探究火山喷发如何影响气候预测
-
Carbon Footprint2 years agoUS SEC’s Climate Disclosure Rules Spur Renewed Interest in Carbon Credits





