A group of Canada’s largest oil sands companies, the Pathways Alliance, is in active discussions with Canada Growth Fund (CGF), the federal government’s $15-billion green investment arm, to secure backing for a substantial carbon capture and storage (CCS) project in northern Alberta.
CCS technology is seen as one of the most effective solutions to reduce emissions in high-polluting sectors like oil, gas, and cement. Canada views this carbon management approach as essential for achieving its net-zero emissions goals.
Carbon Capture Enters the Big Leagues But Price Uncertainty Raises Concerns
The country currently operates several CCS projects that have stored around 44 million tonnes of CO₂ since 2000.
The federal plan calls for tripling national CCS capacity by 2030 to meet its carbon emission reduction targets. This ambitious goal would require adding new facilities capable of capturing 15 million tonnes of CO₂ annually.

The Pathways Alliance project would include a $16.5-billion network for capturing and storing CO₂ emissions from over a dozen oil sands facilities. The captured CO₂ will be transported to a central hub in Cold Lake, Alberta. Once operational, this network would permanently store the captured CO₂ deep underground, supporting efforts to reduce emissions across Alberta’s oil sands industry.
This is a major step in decarbonization efforts for Canada’s oil and gas sector. However, oil sands executives remain wary of the potential financial risks tied to the future price of carbon.
Adam Waterous, executive chairman of Strathcona Resources, emphasized the “stroke-of-the-pen” risk, a term used to describe the industry’s fear that regulatory changes or policy reversals, such as a shift in the carbon tax, could drastically impact the value of carbon credits.
Waterous, whose company is the first in the sector to strike a CCS deal with CGF, suggested that industry leaders are cautious about committing capital to projects that could ultimately result in stranded assets if carbon prices don’t stabilize.
Moreover, Waterous foresees a significant need for sequestered carbon from technology firms looking to offset emissions. In particular, a recent carbon capture deal between Microsoft and Occidental Petroleum, aimed at reducing data center emissions.
The Role of Carbon Contracts for Difference (CCfD)
To address industry apprehensions, experts recommend using Carbon Contracts for Difference (CCfD). It offers a guaranteed floor price for sequestered carbon. CCfDs help “de-risk” investments in emissions reduction technology by providing more stable pricing.
They argue it could be a decisive factor in encouraging the Pathways Alliance and other companies to pursue costly CCS projects.
Canada Growth Fund was partially designed to deploy tools like CCfDs to jumpstart green investments. However, it has not yet offered these to oil and gas producers, who are also seeking loan support for carbon capture technology.
The only oil and gas-related agreement involving CCfDs that CGF has reached thus far is with Entropy, a clean-tech company owned by Advantage Energy. The deal allows Entropy to sell carbon credits with an initial value of up to 185,000 tonnes at $86.50 per tonne.
In contrast, oil producers seeking to meet compliance obligations through carbon credits have been unable to secure similar agreements with CGF, leaving a gap in support for some of the industry’s largest players.
World’s Largest CCS Project by Pathways Alliance
The Pathways Alliance comprises six major oil sands companies:
- Canadian Natural Resources,
- Suncor Energy,
- Cenovus Energy,
- Imperial Oil,
- MEG Energy, and
- ConocoPhillips Canada.
If successful, their carbon capture and storage network would be the world’s largest and a landmark in global CCS projects. The alliance is eager to collaborate with Ottawa, recognizing the role government backing plays in ensuring the viability of large-scale CCS ventures.
Kendall Dilling, president of the Pathways Alliance, expressed optimism over Ottawa’s commitment to de-risking industry investments, stating that they “look forward to continued engagement with the government.”
Other policy experts echoed the sentiment that any successful deal would depend on assurance that the operating costs for carbon capture and storage infrastructure will be viable in the long term. This happens if carbon pricing remains stable.
Carbon Pricing: A Make-or-Break Factor
The fate of the Pathways Alliance’s CCS project will hinge on the development of carbon pricing policies and market demand. The recent surge in carbon credit retirements, representing demand, highlights a potential future trend that could significantly impact carbon prices.
Remarkably, Rich Gilmore, CEO of Carbon Growth Partners, stated that although retirements have fluctuated in the past, 2024 looks set to hit a record high. He shared on LinkedIn some of his interesting insights regarding voluntary carbon market (VCM) growth.

As seen in the chart below, demand surged from November 2023 to January 2024, causing a sharp drop in inventory. This spike was largely due to Shell retiring around 17 million credits to hit its internal net emissions efficiency target. That’s one company offsetting about 28% of its Scope 1 and 2 emissions—without even touching Scope 3.
This shift, spurred by one major player, demonstrates the scale of impact that corporations can have on the VCM.

Now, imagine the impact when more companies commit to scaling their carbon reduction strategies taking Shell as an example. The demand could quickly outpace supply, driving up carbon credit prices and creating a more competitive market for offsets.
Shell’s industry has a strong reliance on carbon capture technology to help meet decarbonization targets. Canada, as part of its Emissions Reduction Plan, focuses on achieving substantial emission cuts in the oil and gas sector.
As the country navigates its decarbonization goals, the Pathways Alliance’s CCS negotiations with CGF show the complexities of advancing green initiatives within a competitive, carbon-intensive sector.
With potential government support on the horizon, Canada’s oil sands companies could help make significant progress toward lowering emissions. Once it happens, it will set a precedent for industry-government collaboration on climate action in the years to come.
The post Canada’s $16.5 Billion Bet on Carbon Capture: Could It Cut Oil Sands Emissions? appeared first on Carbon Credits.
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How Climate Change Is Raising the Cost of Living
Americans are paying more for insurance, electricity, taxes, and home repairs every year. What many people may not realize is that climate change is already one of the drivers behind those rising costs.
For many households, climate change is no longer just an environmental issue. It is becoming a cost-of-living issue. While climate impacts like melting glaciers and shrinking polar ice can feel distant from everyday life, the financial effects are already showing up in monthly budgets across the country.
Today, a larger share of household income is consumed by fixed costs such as housing, insurance, utilities, and healthcare. (3) Climate change and climate inaction are adding pressure to many of those expenses through higher disaster recovery costs, rising energy demand, infrastructure repairs, and increased insurance risk.
The goal of this article is to help connect climate change to the everyday financial realities people already experience. Regardless of where someone stands on climate policy, it is important to recognize that climate change is already increasing costs for households, businesses, and taxpayers across the United States.
More conservative estimates indicate that the average household has experienced an increase of about $400 per year from observed climate change, while less conservative estimates suggest an increase of $900.(1) Those in more disaster-prone regions of the country face disproportionate costs, with some households experiencing climate-related costs averaging $1,300 per year.(1) Another study found that climate adaptation costs driven by climate change have already consumed over 3% of personal income in the U.S. since 2015.(9) By the end of the century, housing units could spend an additional $5,600 on adaptation costs.(1)
Whether we realize it or not, Americans are already paying for climate change through higher insurance premiums, energy costs, taxes, and infrastructure repairs. These growing expenses are often referred to as climate adaptation costs.
Without meaningful climate action, these costs are expected to continue rising. Choosing not to invest in climate action is also choosing to spend more on climate adaptation.
Here are a few ways climate change is already increasing the cost of living:
- Higher insurance costs from more frequent and severe storms
- Higher energy use during longer and hotter summers
- Higher electricity rates tied to storm recovery and grid upgrades
- Higher government spending and taxpayer-funded disaster recovery costs
The real debate is not whether climate change costs money. Americans are already paying for it. The question is where we want those costs to go. Should we invest more in climate action to help reduce future climate adaptation costs, or continue paying growing recovery and adaptation expenses in everyday life?
How Climate Change Is Increasing Insurance Costs
There is one industry that closely tracks the financial impact of natural disasters: insurance. Insurance companies are focused on assessing risk, estimating damages, and collecting enough revenue to cover losses and remain financially stable.
Comparing the 20-year periods 1980–1999 and 2000–2019, climate-related disasters increased 83% globally from 3,656 events to 6,681 events. The average time between billion-dollar disasters dropped from 82 days during the 1980s to 16 days during the last 10 years, and in 2025 the average time between disasters fell to just 10 days. (6)
According to the reinsurance firm Munich Re, total economic losses from natural disasters in 2024 exceeded $320 billion globally, nearly 40% higher than the decade-long annual average. Average annual inflation-adjusted costs more than quadrupled from $22.6 billion per year in the 1980s to $102 billion per year in the 2010s. Costs increased further to an average of $153.2 billion annually during 2020–2024, representing another 50% increase over the 2010s. (6)
In the United States, billion-dollar weather and climate disasters have also increased significantly. The average number of billion-dollar disasters per year has grown from roughly three annually during the 1980s to 19 annually over the last decade. In 2023 and 2024, the U.S. recorded 28 and 27 billion-dollar disasters respectively, both setting new records. (6)
The growing impact of climate change is one reason insurance costs continue to rise. “There are two things that drive insurance loss costs, which is the frequency of events and how much they cost,” said Robert Passmore, assistant vice president of personal lines at the Property Casualty Insurers Association of America. “So, as these events become more frequent, that’s definitely going to have an impact.” (8)
After adjusting for inflation, insurance costs have steadily increased over time. From 2000 to 2020, insurance costs consistently grew faster than the Consumer Price Index due to rising rebuilding costs and weather-related losses.(3) Between 2020 and 2023 alone, the average home insurance premium increased from $75 to $360 due to climate change impacts, with disaster-prone regions experiencing especially steep increases.(1) Since 2015, homeowners in some regions affected by more extreme weather have seen home insurance costs increased by nearly 57%.(1) Some insurers have also limited or stopped offering coverage in high-risk areas.(7)
For many families, rising insurance costs are no longer occasional financial burdens. They are becoming recurring monthly expenses tied directly to growing climate risk.
How Rising Temperatures Increase Household Energy Costs

The financial impacts of climate change extend beyond insurance. Rising temperatures are also changing how much energy Americans use and how utilities plan for future electricity demand.
Between 1950 and 2010, per capita electricity use increased 10-fold, though usage has flattened or slightly declined since 2012 due to more efficient appliances and LED lighting. (3) A significant share of increased energy demand comes from cooling needs associated with higher temperatures.
Over the last 20 years, the United States has experienced increasing Cooling Degree Days (CDD) and decreasing Heating Degree Days (HDD). Nearly all counties have become warmer over the past three decades, with some areas experiencing several hundred additional cooling degree days, equivalent to roughly one additional degree of warmth on most days. (1) This trend reflects a warming climate where air conditioning demand is increasing while heating demand generally declines. (4)
As temperatures continue rising, households are expected to spend more on cooling than they save on heating. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that by 2050, national Heating Degree Days will be 11% lower while Cooling Degree Days will be 28% higher than 2021 levels. Cooling demand is projected to rise 2.5 times faster than heating demand declines. (5)
These projections come from energy and infrastructure experts planning for future electricity demand and grid capacity needs. Utilities and grid operators are already preparing for higher peak summer electricity loads caused by rising temperatures. (5)
Longer and hotter summers also affect how homes and buildings are designed. Buildings constructed for past climate conditions may require upgrades such as larger air conditioning systems, stronger insulation, and improved ventilation to remain comfortable and energy efficient in the future. (10)
For many households, this means higher monthly utility bills and potentially higher long-term home improvement costs as temperatures continue to rise.
How Climate Change Affects Electricity Rates
On an inflation-adjusted basis, average U.S. residential electricity rates are slightly lower today than they were 50 years ago. (2) However, climate-related damage to utility infrastructure is creating new upward pressure on electricity costs.
Electric utilities rely heavily on above-ground poles, wires, transformers, and substations that can be damaged by hurricanes, storms, floods, and wildfires. Repairing and upgrading this infrastructure often requires substantial investment.
As a result, utilities are increasing electricity rates in response to wildfire and hurricane events to fund infrastructure repairs and future mitigation efforts. (1) The average cumulative increase in per-household electricity expenditures due to climate-related price changes is approximately $30. (1)
While this increase may appear modest today, utility costs are expected to rise further as climate-related infrastructure damage becomes more frequent and severe.
How Climate Disasters Increase Government Spending and Taxes
Extreme weather events also damage public infrastructure, including roads, schools, bridges, airports, water systems, and emergency services infrastructure. Recovery and rebuilding costs are often funded through taxpayer dollars at the federal, state, and local levels.
The average annual government cost tied to climate-related disaster recovery is estimated at nearly $142 per household. (1) States that frequently experience hurricanes, wildfires, tornadoes, or flooding can face even higher public recovery costs.
These expenses affect taxpayers whether they personally experience a disaster or not. Climate-related recovery spending can increase pressure on public budgets, emergency management systems, and infrastructure funding nationwide.
Reducing Climate Costs Through Climate Action
While this article focuses on the growing financial costs associated with climate change, the issue is not only about money for many people. It is also about recognizing our environmental impact and taking responsibility for reducing it in order to help preserve a healthy planet for future generations.
While individuals alone cannot solve climate change, collective action can help reduce future climate adaptation costs over time.
For those interested in taking action, there are three important steps:
- Estimate your carbon footprint to better understand the emissions connected to your lifestyle and activities.
- Create a plan to gradually reduce emissions through energy efficiency, cleaner technologies, and more sustainable choices.
- Address remaining emissions by supporting verified carbon reduction projects through carbon credits.
Carbon credits are one of the most cost-effective tools available for climate action because they help fund projects that generate verified emission reductions at scale. Supporting global emission reduction efforts can help reduce the long-term impacts and costs associated with climate change.
Visit Terrapass to learn more about carbon footprints, carbon credits, and climate action solutions.
The post How Climate Change Is Raising the Cost of Living appeared first on Terrapass.
Carbon Footprint
Carbon credit project stewardship: what happens after credit issuance
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