As 2024 turns to 2025, we asked subscribers to our newsletter what the top climate issues of the upcoming year will be. With climate destruction growing, their responses clearly indicate they want to see more ambition in tackling climate change and more honesty on how climate action is going.
Here’s our summary of responses from our always passionate, well-informed readers and our analysis of when, where and how we can judge whether the powers-that-be are stepping up to the challenge or falling short.
1. Governments must make bigger commitments to cut emissions – and stick to them
Under the 2015 Paris climate agreement, all governments have to submit a climate plan – known as a nationally determined contribution (NDC) to the United Nations every five years.
The third round of these plans is due next year, ten years on from Paris. Most will add a 2035 emissions reduction aim on to their existing 2030 target and their more long-term goals to reach net zero in 2050, 2060 or 2070.
Several Climate Home readers said NDCs would be a top climate issue for 2025. One said they should be “challenging but realistic” and another said they “must align with actionable policies”.
They will certainly have to be more ambitious than the last round five years ago if the world stands a chance of limiting global warming to 1.5C or even 2C above pre-industrial levels.
The United Nations said in October that, even if implemented in full, existing NDCs put the world on course for a catastrophic 2.6C of global warming.
2. Governments must prepare for worsening climate change impacts
While the final figures are not out yet, the World Meteorological Organisation has said that 2024 looks set to be the hottest year on record. But it may also be the coolest year we see for a while. Even if emissions peak, the world will keep getting hotter until we reach net zero globally.
Climate change worsened dozens of disasters in 2024 from extreme rain in Spain to a heatwave in West Africa and typhoons in the Phillipines. The World Weather Attribution group found that 26 disasters linked to climate change this year killed over 3,700 people and displaced millions.
We’re likely to see more disasters in 2025. One South American reader reported worries about drought, Amazon rainforest fires and rising temperatures while another said “extreme weather patterns demand immediate attention”.
In this context, adaptating to climate change is key. At COP30 in Belém in November, governments are due to agree on a list of indicators on how to measure whether they are adapting to climate change in areas like water, food and health. The big debate will be whether the provision of finance to developing countries will be one of those indicators.
For the destruction that can’t be adapted to, the new UN loss and damage fund is supposed to help. Its new executive director – Ibrahima Cheikh Diong – hopes to start handing out money to climate victims by the end of 2025 and hire most of its staff in 2026.
A dried out river in Tefé in the Brazilian Amazon rainforest in September 2024 (Photo: Christian Braga/Greenpeace)
3. Nature conservation should pick up pace
Due partly to climate change, species are dying off at a sickening rate. Last year’s biodiversity conference, COP16 in the Colombian city of Cali, hoped to address that. While it had some successes – particularly in handing power to indigenous people – it ran out of time to agree on how to pay for nature protection.
With two years until COP17, governments have agreed to continue COP16 on February 25-27 in Rome. “Securing adequate and predictable financing will be central to our efforts,” said COP16 president Susana Muhamad.
Responses to the survey indicate our readers are concerned about nature, both on land and in the oceans where plastic pollution is a particular threat to nature. Talks to set up a UN treaty to tackle plastic failed in Busan in December 2024 but will continue at some point in 2025.
4. We need less misinformation, accounting tricks and jargon
With Donald Trump coming into power, our readers are worried about misinformation on climate change. Trump has promised to pull out of the Paris Agreement and his often inaccurate criticisms of climate action are likely to influence the public conversation in the US and abroad in 2025.
The United Nations is trying to counter misinformation on climate change with a $10-15 million fund for non-governmental organisations researching the issue and developing communication strategies and public awareness campaigns.
US President-elect Donald Trump (left) is likely to spread climate disinformatoin while UN Secretary-General António Guterres (right) has pledged to combat it
But its not just Trump’s claims that concern readers, they are also concerned that governments that do recognise climate change are overselling their climate action using accounting tricks.
A Canadian reader pointed out that the emissions from international aviation are not included in nations’ greenhouse gas inventories and neither are those from forest fires, as these are considered natural and therefore not the government’s responsibility. Climate Home has highlighted how countries like Guyana use forest carbon accounting techniques to claim to be carbon negative despite booming oil production.
Another reader criticised the “language barrier” caused by the jargon and technical acronyms that are common in climate policy. “Bridging the gap between technical acronyms and the lived experiences of skeptics or reluctant individuals is vital”, they said. Another said climate communicators should “avoid masking global warming’s mechanics with unclear terms” and “focus on transparency”.
Will the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s scientists heed this as they start writing up a special report on climate change and cities this year?
5. The roll-out of green technology must quicken
Decarbonising the world is going to require a huge variety of technology and the good news is that the roll-out of green solutions like solar panels and electric vehicles continues to pick up pace every year.
Our readers highlighted technology like heat-pumps, micro-grids and the recycling of aluminium. Other solutions proposed by our readers include city design which encourages walking and public transport, like Utrecht in the Netherlands, and tackling private plane use as “unnecessary luxury emissions”.
All these solutions have restrained the growth in emissions but have yet to stop them growing completely. Will 2025 be the year that changes and we reach peak emissions? It’s possible but by no means certain.
(Reporting by Joe Lo)
The post Ambition and honesty – What Climate Home readers want in 2025 appeared first on Climate Home News.
Ambition and honesty – What Climate Home readers want in 2025
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IEA slashes pre-war oil demand forecast by nearly a billion barrels per day
Global oil demand is expected to be almost one billion barrels per day less than was forecast before the Iran war, as shortages and soaring costs prompt drastic cutbacks by consumers and businesses, a report by the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Wednesday.
With the closure of the Strait of Hormuz choking off supplies and keeping prices high, less oil is being used to make products such as jet fuel, LPG cooking gas and petrochemicals, the Paris-based IEA said in its monthly oil report, forecasting the biggest quarterly demand drop since the COVID pandemic.
The Iran war “upends our global outlook”, the government-backed agency said, adding that it now expects oil demand to shrink by 80,000 barrels per day in 2026 from last year.
Before the conflict began, the IEA said in February it expected oil demand to rise by 850,000 barrels per day this year, meaning the difference between the pre-war and current estimates is 930,000 barrels a day, or 340 million barrels a year.
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At an intensity of 434 kg of carbon dioxide per barrel of oil – the estimate used by the US Environmental Protection Agency – the annual reduction in carbon dioxide emissions from oil for 2026, compared with the pre-war forecast, is similar to the amount emitted by the Philippines each year.
Harry Benham, senior advisor at Carbon Tracker, told Climate Home News that he expects at least half of the reduction in oil demand to be permanent because of efficiency gains, behavioural change and faster electrification.
The oil shock is leading to oil being replaced, especially in transport, with electricity and other fuels, just as past oil shocks drove lasting reductions in consumption, he said. “The shock doesn’t delay the transition – it reinforces it,” he added.
Demand takes a hit
While demand for oil has fallen significantly, supplies have fallen even further. Supply in March was 10 million barrels a day less than February, the IEA said, calling it the “largest disruption in history”.
This forecast relies on the assumption that regular deliveries of oil and gas from the Middle East will resume by the middle of the year, the IEA said, although the prospects for this “remain unclear at this stage”.
Last month, US Energy Secretary Chris Wright told the CERAWeek oil industry conference that prices were not high enough to lead to permanent reductions in demand for oil, known as demand destruction.
But the IEA said on Wednesday that “demand destruction will spread as scarcity and higher prices persist”.
Industries contributing to weaker demand for oil include Asian petrochemical producers, who are cutting production as oil supplies dry up, the report said, while consumers are cutting back on liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), which is mainly used as a cooking gas in developing countries, the IEA said.
Flight cancellations caused by the war have dampened demand for oil-based jet fuel, the IEA said. As well as cancellations caused by risk from the conflict itself, airports have warned that fuel shortages could lead to disruption.
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IEA urged to help “future-proof” economies
Meanwhile, the IEA came under fire last week from energy security experts, including former military chiefs, who signed an open letter in which they accused the agency of offering “only a temporary response to turbulent markets”, calling for stronger structural action “to future-proof our economies”.
They said that besides releasing emergency oil stocks and offering advice on how to reduce oil demand in the short term, the IEA should show countries how to reduce their exposure to volatile oil and gas markets.
The IEA has also been under pressure from the Trump administration to talk less about the transition away from fossil fuels.
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https://www.climatechangenews.com/2026/04/15/iea-slashes-pre-war-oil-demand-forecast-by-nearly-a-billion-barrels-per-day/
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