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China Briefing handpicks and explains the most important climate and energy stories from China over the past fortnight. Subscribe for free here.

Key developments

China fails to submit 2035 climate pledge

MISSED DEADLINE: China, along with 181 other countries, missed the deadline to submit its next “nationally determined contribution” (NDC), a key climate pledge to the UN that “acts as an accountability measure to ensure countries are taking climate change seriously”, Agence France-Presse reported. It added that, according to unnamed analysts, China is “expected to release its much-anticipated NDC in the second half of 2025”. Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun said China will follow its “own path, approach and pace to fulfil the ‘dual-carbon’ targets to which it has committed”, in comments covered by industry newspaper China Energy Net. According to the outlet, he added that the country has “always been a doer and an activist in addressing climate change” and will submit its NDC “at the proper time”.

WAIT AND SEE: According to the Guardian, China and other countries would prefer “putting off the publication of [NDCs]” until the early disruption caused by the second Trump administration subsides. In a statement, Yao Zhe, global policy advisor at Greenpeace East Asia, said that “China’s submission will happen later this year”, adding that China must set “ambitious” goals that “include both a strong commitment to renewables and clear measures to move away from coal”. Li Shuo, director of the Asia Society Policy Institute’s China climate hub, told Eco-Business that China’s desire to wait and see how the US will “reshape” global political and economic orders is “natural”, adding that “the hope is that more time will lead to better quality”. China was not alone in missing the NDC deadline, with countries accounting for 83% of global emissions falling short, according to Carbon Brief analysis.

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OIL ‘SLOWDOWN’: Elsewhere, a new report by the International Energy Agency (IEA) and covered by Bloomberg found that “China’s use of the three most important fuel products – gasoline, jet/kerosene and gasoil – declined slightly to 8.1m barrels a day in 2024”, marking an “unprecedented” slowdown. The outlet said the shift, attributed by the IEA to the uptake of electric vehicles and economic changes, could drive a plateau in the country’s overall oil demand this decade.

Clean-energy technology’s economic contribution rises

GROWTH DRIVER: Clean-energy technologies contributed 13.6tn yuan ($1.9tn) to the Chinese economy in 2024, comprising more than 10% of GDP for the first time, new research for Carbon Brief has found. Much of the rise was driven by the value of goods and services, which grew 21% compared to 2023, as opposed to investment, which was up 7% year-on-year, the analysis added.

‘NEW THREE’ LEAD: The “new three” industries accounted for most of this growth. Electric vehicles and vehicle batteries “were the largest contributors to China’s clean-energy economy in 2024”, comprising almost 40% of its value. The next largest category was solar power, which generated 2.8tn yuan ($390bn).

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GAINING IMPORTANCE: Clean-energy technologies contributed more to the economy in 2024 than real-estate sales (9.6tn yuan, $1.3tn) and agriculture (9.1tn yuan, $1.3tn), the analysis said. It added that China’s investment in clean energy alone is “close to the global total [investment] put into fossil fuels in 2024”. Investment is set to grow in 2025, due in part to a “race to complete” large-scale projects before the end of the five-year plan period (2021-2025). The importance of clean energy to supporting economic growth now “creates incentives for policymakers to ensure the economic health of the sector”, the analysis added.

Wang Yi’s European tour

STRATEGIC DIALOGUE: Chinese foreign minister Wang Yi met with UK prime minister Keir Starmer in his first official visit to the country in a decade, Reuters said, adding that the two “discussed strengthening cooperation in dealing with climate change, artificial intelligence and clean energy”. Wang also held talks with his UK counterpart David Lammy, English-language state broadcaster CGTN said, in which the two foreign ministers “emphasised the importance of advancing the full and effective implementation of the Paris Agreement and supporting both countries’ green transitions”.

WARM WELCOME?: Bloomberg covered development of China’s “impending listing of an inaugural sovereign green bond in London”, quoting Nneka Chike-Obi, head of Asia-Pacific ESG ratings and research at Sustainable Fitch, saying the move would allow China “to get…feedback from international investors” during roadshows and deliver assurances about its climate plans. China has released a “framework” for its green sovereign bonds, the Communist party-affiliated People’s Daily announced, adding the document will be used as the “basis for issuing Chinese green sovereign bonds overseas”. Meanwhile, the UK’s security services are reviewing whether “Chinese technology such as solar panels or industrial batteries could pose potential future security threats”, the Financial Times reported.

SECURITY TALKS: Wang also travelled to Germany, where he said at the Munich Security Conference that China has “acted earnestly on the Paris Agreement”, adding countries “should tackle common challenges in solidarity, rather than resort to bloc confrontation”, according to a transcript published by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. State news agency Xinhua reported that climate change was also raised in Wang’s meetings with representatives of the EU, France and Germany on the sidelines of the conference.

MEDIA VOICES: Meanwhile, Chinese media issued a number of editorials and commentaries emphasising the need for China-Europe cooperation. One editorial in state-run newspaper China Daily noted “it is good to see both [the UK and China] oppose decoupling and…promote a nondiscriminatory and open business environment”. Another China Daily editorial said “collaboration on climate change…has borne fruit through joint initiatives such as the China-EU Partnership on Climate Change”. Meanwhile, the state-supporting news outlet Global Times published an editorial arguing “there are broad common interests between China and the EU in maintaining a multilateral framework” to address issues such as climate change. The Global Times also published a commentary under the byline “GT Voice” arguing that there is a “pressing need for the rest of the world, particularly China and the EU, to strengthen cooperation on green development”.

New energy storage plan

STORAGE STRENGTH: China issued a plan to strengthen its energy storage sector, aiming to develop more “leading” manufacturers, improve “innovation” and increase the sector’s “overall competitiveness” by 2027, Xinhua reported. The policy will also “support research into emerging technologies”, such as alternative battery compositions, compressed air and hydrogen energy storage, the Hong Kong-based South China Morning Post said. Chinese news outlet Jiemian said the policy nevertheless warned against “blind investment and disorderly development”. Critical minerals were also covered, according to Reuters, with the government pledging to “strengthen support for exploring domestic mineral resources including lithium, cobalt and nickel” and “strengthen foreign investment and cooperation” towards overseas mineral exploration. 

TIGHTENING CONTROL: Meanwhile, China also issued draft regulations which, if approved, would “tighten [its] control” over its rare-earth resources, Reuters reported, such as through “quotas for mining, smelting and separating” the minerals. Another Reuters investigation found that at least one Chinese company is following a draft proposal by the commerce ministry to restrict exports of certain technologies used to process lithium. The development, according to the Financial Times, is part of a broader move to “keep critical knowhow within [China’s] borders as trade tensions with the US and Europe escalate”, adding that the country has also “made it more difficult for some engineers and equipment to leave the country”. Environment NGO Transport & Environment has warned that Europe must develop a “regulatory framework for knowledge sharing” or else risk becoming “an assembly plant” for Chinese battery makers, another Financial Times report said. Elsewhere, the People’s Daily said China’s wind turbine exports rose 70% year-on-year in 2024, with solar and lithium battery exports showing a “strong performance”.

Spotlight 

How China’s renewable pricing reforms will affect its climate goals

China’s solar and windfarms would no longer be guaranteed sales at a fixed price linked to coal benchmarks, under a new policy released by the central government.

Under the new “sustainable new energy pricing mechanism”, new wind and solar schemes would be paid a fixed price determined at auction.

In this issue, Carbon Brief examines how the new guidelines will affect China’s energy transition.

More ‘market-oriented’

From 2026, China has announced that the price of electricity generated from solar and wind schemes will be determined according to competitive auctions.

This will replace the existing fixed rates solar and wind received for their power, which was pegged to benchmarks for coal-fired power, with the new mechanism likely making prices for renewables much cheaper than coal.

The new system resembles the two-way “contract for difference” (CfD) mechanism used in the UK and elsewhere.

This setup would allow developers to have “reasonable and stable expectations” for revenue, supporting a “healthy” industry and China’s energy transition, a government Q&A said.

Despite some reporting to the contrary, the move does not constitute a rollback of subsidies for renewables. Grid operators have paid wind and solar power the same price as for coal-fired power since 2021.

The policy also cancels mandatory energy storage requirements for new wind and solar projects, which will significantly impact demand for energy storage.

Bringing prices up to date

The change to the rules has been attributed to the sharp reduction in the cost of building new solar and windfarms.

“The coal-fired grid benchmark rate was last updated in 2017 and actually has no relationship to the generation cost of renewables,” David Fishman, senior manager at energy consultancy Lantau Group, told Carbon Brief, adding it was effectively “arbitrary”.

The government Q&A argued that renewable energy schemes operating on a fixed tariff “cannot fully reflect market supply and demand” and do not “fairly [distribute] responsibility for power system flexibility”.

No pain, no gain

The exact impact that this will have on renewable developers will depend on the implementing rules adopted by local governments, according to Lauri Myllyvirta, lead analyst at the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air.

In the short-term, these companies will be hit by the loss of the guaranteed demand and the need to adapt to low prices and fierce competition, Fishman told Carbon Brief.

Companies will also need to develop stronger marketing and sales capabilities, and focus on “high-efficiency” and “large-capacity” technologies, said Wang Jihong, senior counsel at law firm Zhong Lun.

This may impact China’s growing distributed solar and wind sector. Distributed projects are much more likely to be run by smaller companies who may not have the resources to adapt to the new mechanism, according to Fishman, which could cause opportunities for distributed energy to “dry up”.

At the same time, the new policy may also force renewable energy power companies to innovate – both in terms of technology, and of business models and management practices, Dr Muyi Yang, senior energy analyst for Asia at the thinktank Ember, told Carbon Brief.

Stronger in the long-term?

The new pricing system may nevertheless give wind and solar the advantage in the long-term. Reform of the power market has long been seen as crucial to increasing uptake of renewables.

Myllyvirta wrote that wind and solar, as the “most affordable” sources of power, should be able to “hold their own in competition if the rules are set right”.

Yang told Carbon Brief that the pressure of being subjected to the market could make low-carbon energy “more competitive” and “help reduce inefficient investment”, which will be a “critical factor for the long-term transition of China’s energy sector”.

But local governments would need to take steps to maintain investor confidence in the face of low prices, Fishman said. For example, significantly raising provincial renewable consumption targets could provide a strong demand signal, showing wind and solar developers that there is still a “way to make money” through increased volume.

If the government “gets the numbers just a little bit wrong”, he added, the amount of new wind and solar being added to the grid “will drop off a cliff”.

At the same time, coal-fired power plants are continuing to receive policy and financial support, in the form of guaranteed demand from long-term contracts and compensation to keep excess capacity online.

China has ramped up construction of new coal plants, with almost 100 gigawatts of new capacity expected to come online in the next few years.

If coal plants are not also exposed to competition, Myllyvirta argued, then renewables may be “crowded out from the power market”.

Fishman was more sanguine, telling Carbon Brief that the new policy may give coal plants “a little bit of a boost” in the short-term, but that China’s carbon peaking goal sets a hard deadline for reducing their role in the power system.

He added that the real competition for coal plants are other coal plants, as only the “newest, the most efficient [and] the super-critical” plants will have a future as China moves towards carbon neutrality.

A full-length version of the article is available on the Carbon Brief website.

Watch, read, listen

FARMERS PROTEST: Current affairs news outlet Sixth Tone looked at how China is reversing its “zero-tolerance stance on crop burning” in the face of backlash from farmers.

PROSPECTS FOR DIPLOMACY: Laurence Tubiana, head of the European Climate Foundation [which funds Carbon Brief] and one of the architects of the Paris Agreement, gave a lecture at the University of Oxford on her outlook for climate diplomacy and China’s role within it.

CLIMATE NATIONALISM: Environmental Politics Journal interviewed the authors of a new study on how China uses “populist narratives” in propaganda to “mitigate the political costs” of its climate policies.

HYDROPOWER HISTORY: The New Books in Environmental Studies podcast discussed the history of hydropower development in China in the early-to-mid 1900s.

Captured

New and resumed construction of coal capacity in China between 2015-2024, gigawatts. Credit: GEM and CREA.

China began building 94.5 gigawatts (GW) of new coal-power capacity and resumed 3.3GW of suspended projects in 2024, according to new research by energy thinktanks the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA) and Global Energy Monitor (GEM) covered by Carbon Brief. This burst, spurred on mostly by investments from the coal mining industry, marks the highest level of new construction in the past 10 years, the report added.

New science 

Elderly vulnerability to temperature-related mortality risks in China

Science Advances

Intensity and duration are the most important factors to consider when assessing the impact of extreme heat on mortality risk in elderly people in China, a new study found. The authors assessed survey data of more than 27,000 “elderly Chinese citizens”, collected between 2005-2018, to determine the links between extreme heat, temperature variability and mortality risk. The authors said their paper “highlights the compound effects of rising temperatures for elderly populations”.

Weakened future surface warming in China due to national planned afforestation through biophysical feedback

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science

A new study found that afforestation in China, in line with the government’s afforestation plan, would cool the land surface by 0.21C in the day and cause nighttime heating of 0.05C. The authors used models to simulate how afforestation would affect land surface temperature in China over the coming decades. They found that under the mid-warming SSP2 scenario, afforestation will cause “significant cooling” between 2041 and 2060 – especially in winter. According to the study, the cooling would offset 3.7% of the projected increase in land surface temperature due to global warming on average, and “even overcompensates” for global warming in southwest China.

China Briefing is compiled by Wanyuan Song and Anika Patel. It is edited by Wanyuan Song and Dr Simon Evans. Please send tips and feedback to china@carbonbrief.org

The post China Briefing 20 February 2025: Missed climate deadline; Clean-tech’s economic contribution; New renewables pricing system appeared first on Carbon Brief.

China Briefing 20 February 2025: Missed climate deadline; Clean-tech’s economic contribution; New renewables pricing system

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DeBriefed 15 August 2025: Raging wildfires; Xi’s priorities; Factchecking the Trump climate report

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Welcome to Carbon Brief’s DeBriefed. 
An essential guide to the week’s key developments relating to climate change.

This week

Blazing heat hits Europe

FANNING THE FLAMES: Wildfires “fanned by a heatwave and strong winds” caused havoc across southern Europe, Reuters reported. It added: “Fire has affected nearly 440,000 hectares (1,700 square miles) in the eurozone so far in 2025, double the average for the same period of the year since 2006.” Extreme heat is “breaking temperature records across Europe”, the Guardian said, with several countries reporting readings of around 40C.

HUMAN TOLL: At least three people have died in the wildfires erupting across Spain, Turkey and Albania, France24 said, adding that the fires have “displaced thousands in Greece and Albania”. Le Monde reported that a child in Italy “died of heatstroke”, while thousands were evacuated from Spain and firefighters “battled three large wildfires” in Portugal.

UK WILDFIRE RISK: The UK saw temperatures as high as 33.4C this week as England “entered its fourth heatwave”, BBC News said. The high heat is causing “nationally significant” water shortfalls, it added, “hitting farms, damaging wildlife and increasing wildfires”. The Daily Mirror noted that these conditions “could last until mid-autumn”. Scientists warn the UK faces possible “firewaves” due to climate change, BBC News also reported.

Around the world

  • GRID PRESSURES: Iraq suffered a “near nationwide blackout” as elevated power demand – due to extreme temperatures of around 50C – triggered a transmission line failure, Bloomberg reported.
  • ‘DIRE’ DOWN UNDER: The Australian government is keeping a climate risk assessment that contains “dire” implications for the continent “under wraps”, the Australian Financial Review said.
  • EXTREME RAINFALL: Mexico City is “seeing one of its heaviest rainy seasons in years”, the Washington Post said. Downpours in the Japanese island of Kyushu “caused flooding and mudslides”, according to Politico. In Kashmir, flash floods killed 56 and left “scores missing”, the Associated Press said.
  • SOUTH-SOUTH COOPERATION: China and Brazil agreed to “ensure the success” of COP30 in a recent phone call, Chinese state news agency Xinhua reported.
  • PLASTIC ‘DEADLOCK’: Talks on a plastic pollution treaty have failed again at a summit in Geneva, according to the Guardian, with countries “deadlocked” on whether it should include “curbs on production and toxic chemicals”.

15

The number of times by which the most ethnically-diverse areas in England are more likely to experience extreme heat than its “least diverse” areas, according to new analysis by Carbon Brief.


Latest climate research

  • As many as 13 minerals critical for low-carbon energy may face shortages under 2C pathways | Nature Climate Change
  • A “scoping review” examined the impact of climate change on poor sexual and reproductive health and rights in sub-Saharan Africa | PLOS One
  • A UK university cut the carbon footprint of its weekly canteen menu by 31% “without students noticing” | Nature Food

(For more, see Carbon Brief’s in-depth daily summaries of the top climate news stories on Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.)

Captured

Factchecking Trump’s climate report

A report commissioned by the US government to justify rolling back climate regulations contains “at least 100 false or misleading statements”, according to a Carbon Brief factcheck involving dozens of leading climate scientists. The report, compiled in two months by five hand-picked researchers, inaccurately claims that “CO2-induced warming might be less damaging economically than commonly believed” and misleadingly states that “excessively aggressive [emissions] mitigation policies could prove more detrimental than beneficial”80

Spotlight

Does Xi Jinping care about climate change?

This week, Carbon Brief unpacks new research on Chinese president Xi Jinping’s policy priorities.

On this day in 2005, Xi Jinping, a local official in eastern China, made an unplanned speech when touring a small village – a rare occurrence in China’s highly-choreographed political culture.

In it, he observed that “lucid waters and lush mountains are mountains of silver and gold” – that is, the environment cannot be sacrificed for the sake of growth.

(The full text of the speech is not available, although Xi discussed the concept in a brief newspaper column – see below – a few days later.)

In a time where most government officials were laser-focused on delivering economic growth, this message was highly unusual.

Forward-thinking on environment

As a local official in the early 2000s, Xi endorsed the concept of “green GDP”, which integrates the value of natural resources and the environment into GDP calculations.

He also penned a regular newspaper column, 22 of which discussed environmental protection – although “climate change” was never mentioned.

This focus carried over to China’s national agenda when Xi became president.

New research from the Asia Society Policy Institute tracked policies in which Xi is reported by state media to have “personally” taken action.

It found that environmental protection is one of six topics in which he is often said to have directly steered policymaking.

Such policies include guidelines to build a “Beautiful China”, the creation of an environmental protection inspection team and the “three-north shelterbelt” afforestation programme.

“It’s important to know what Xi’s priorities are because the top leader wields outsized influence in the Chinese political system,” Neil Thomas, Asia Society Policy Institute fellow and report co-author, told Carbon Brief.

Local policymakers are “more likely” to invest resources in addressing policies they know have Xi’s attention, to increase their chances for promotion, he added.

What about climate and energy?

However, the research noted, climate and energy policies have not been publicised as bearing Xi’s personal touch.

“I think Xi prioritises environmental protection more than climate change because reducing pollution is an issue of social stability,” Thomas said, noting that “smoggy skies and polluted rivers” were more visible and more likely to trigger civil society pushback than gradual temperature increases.

The paper also said topics might not be linked to Xi personally when they are “too technical” or “politically sensitive”.

For example, Xi’s landmark decision for China to achieve carbon neutrality by 2060 is widely reported as having only been made after climate modelling – facilitated by former climate envoy Xie Zhenhua – showed that this goal was achievable.

Prior to this, Xi had never spoken publicly about carbon neutrality.

Prof Alex Wang, a University of California, Los Angeles professor of law not involved in the research, noted that emphasising Xi’s personal attention may signal “top” political priorities, but not necessarily Xi’s “personal interests”.

By not emphasising climate, he said, Xi may be trying to avoid “pushing the system to overprioritise climate to the exclusion of the other priorities”.

There are other ways to know where climate ranks on the policy agenda, Thomas noted:

“Climate watchers should look at what Xi says, what Xi does and what policies Xi authorises in the name of the ‘central committee’. Is Xi talking more about climate? Is Xi establishing institutions and convening meetings that focus on climate? Is climate becoming a more prominent theme in top-level documents?”

Watch, read, listen

TRUMP EFFECT: The Columbia Energy Exchange podcast examined how pressure from US tariffs could affect India’s clean energy transition.

NAMIBIAN ‘DESTRUCTION’: The National Observer investigated the failure to address “human rights abuses and environmental destruction” claims against a Canadian oil company in Namibia.

‘RED AI’: The Network for the Digital Economy and the Environment studied the state of current research on “Red AI”, or the “negative environmental implications of AI”.

Coming up

Pick of the jobs

DeBriefed is edited by Daisy Dunne. Please send any tips or feedback to debriefed@carbonbrief.org.

This is an online version of Carbon Brief’s weekly DeBriefed email newsletter. Subscribe for free here.

The post DeBriefed 15 August 2025: Raging wildfires; Xi’s priorities; Factchecking the Trump climate report appeared first on Carbon Brief.

DeBriefed 15 August 2025: Raging wildfires; Xi’s priorities; Factchecking the Trump climate report

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Cropped 13 August 2025: Fossil-fuelled bird decline; ‘Deadly’ wildfires; Empty nature fund

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We handpick and explain the most important stories at the intersection of climate, land, food and nature over the past fortnight.

This is an online version of Carbon Brief’s fortnightly Cropped email newsletter. Subscribe for free here.

Key developments

‘Deadly’ wildfires

WINE BRAKE: France experienced its “largest wildfire in decades”, which scorched more than 16,000 hectares in the country’s southern Aude region, the Associated Press said. “Gusting winds” fanned the flames, Reuters reported, but local winemakers and mayors also “blam[ed] the loss of vineyards”, which can act as a “natural, moisture-filled brake against wildfires”, for the fire’s rapid spread. It added that thousands of hectares of vineyards were removed in Aude over the past year. Meanwhile, thousands of people were evacuated from “deadly” wildfires in Spain, the Guardian said, with blazes ongoing in other parts of Europe.

MAJOR FIRES: Canada is experiencing its second-worst wildfire season on record, CBC News reported. More than 7.3m hectares burned in 2025, “more than double the 10-year average for this time of year”, the broadcaster said. The past three fire seasons were “among the 10 worst on record”, CBC News added. Dr Mike Flannigan from Thompson Rivers University told the Guardian: “This is our new reality…The warmer it gets, the more fires we see.” Elsewhere, the UK is experiencing a record year for wildfires, with more than 40,000 hectares of land burned so far in 2025, according to Carbon Brief.

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WESTERN US: The US state of Colorado has recorded one of its largest wildfires in history in recent days, the Guardian said. The fire “charred” more than 43,300 hectares of land and led to the temporary evacuation of 179 inmates from a prison, the newspaper said. In California, a fire broke out “during a heatwave” and burned more than 2,000 hectares before it was contained, the Los Angeles Times reported. BBC News noted: “Wildfires have become more frequent in California, with experts citing climate change as a key factor. Hotter, drier conditions have made fire seasons longer and more destructive.”

FIRE FUNDING: “Worsening fires” in the Brazilian Amazon threaten new rainforest funding proposals due to be announced at the COP30 climate summit later this year, experts told Climate Home News. The new initiatives include the Tropical Forests Forever Facility, which the outlet said “aims to generate a flow of international investment to pay countries annually in proportion to their preserved tropical forests”. The outlet added: “If fires in the Amazon continue to worsen in the years to come, eligibility for funding could be jeopardised, Brazil’s environment ministry acknowledged.”

Farming impacts

OUT OF ORBIT: US president Donald Trump moved to “shut down” two space missions which monitor carbon dioxide and plant health, the Associated Press reported. Ending these NASA missions would “potentially shu[t] off an important source of data for scientists, policymakers and farmers”, the outlet said. Dr David Crisp, a retired NASA scientist, said the missions can detect the “glow” of plant growth, which the outlet noted “helps monitor drought and predict food shortages that can lead to civil unrest and famine”.

FARM EXTREMES: Elsewhere, Reuters said that some farmers are considering “abandoning” a “drought-hit” agricultural area in Hungary as “climate change cuts crop yields and reduces groundwater levels”. Scientists warned that rising temperatures and low rainfall threaten the region’s “agricultural viability”, the newswire added. Meanwhile, the Premium Times in Nigeria said that some farmers are “harvest[ing] crops prematurely” due to flooding fears. A community in the south-eastern state of Imo “has endured recurrent floods, which wash away crops and incomes alike” over the past decade, the newspaper noted.

SECURITY RISKS: Food supply chains in the UK face “escalating threats from climate impacts and the migration they are triggering”, according to a report covered by Business Green. The outlet said that £3bn worth of UK food imports originated from the 20 countries “with the highest numbers of climate-driven displacements” in 2024, based on analysis from the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit. The analysis highlighted that “climate impacts on food imports pose a threat to UK food security”. Elsewhere, an opinion piece in Dialogue Earth explored how the “role of gender equity in food security remains critically unaddressed”.

Spotlight

Fossil-fuelled bird decline

This week, Carbon Brief covers a new study tracing the impact of fossil-fuelled climate change on tropical birds.

Over the past few years, biologists have recorded sharp declines in bird numbers across tropical rainforests – even in areas untouched by humans – with the cause remaining a mystery.

A new study published this week in Nature Ecology and Evolution could help to shed light on this alarming phenomenon.

The research combined ecological and climate attribution techniques for the first time to trace the fingerprint of fossil-fuelled climate change on declining bird populations.

It found that an increase in heat extremes driven by climate change has caused tropical bird populations to decline by 25-38% in the period 1950-2020, when compared to a world without warming.

In their paper, the authors noted that birds in the tropics could be living close to their “thermal limits”.

Study lead author Dr Maximilian Kotz, a climate scientist at the Barcelona Supercomputing Center in Spain, explained to Carbon Brief:

“High temperature extremes can induce direct mortality in bird populations due to hyperthermia and dehydration. Even when they don’t [kill birds immediately], there’s evidence that this can then affect body condition which, in turn, affects breeding behaviour and success.”

Conservation implications

The findings have “potential ramifications” for commonly proposed conservation strategies, such as increasing the amount of land in the tropics that is protected for nature, the authors said. In their paper, they continued:

“While we do not disagree that these strategies are necessary for abating tropical habitat loss…our research shows there is now an additional urgent need to investigate strategies that can allow for the persistence of tropical species that are vulnerable to heat extremes.”

In some parts of the world, scientists and conservationists are looking into how to protect wildlife from more intense and frequent climate extremes, Kotz said.

He referenced one project in Australia which is working to protect threatened wildlife following periods of extreme heat, drought and bushfires.

Prof Alex Pigot, a biodiversity scientist at University College London (UCL), who was not involved in the research, said the findings reinforced the need to systematically monitor the impact of extreme weather on wildlife. He told Carbon Brief:

“We urgently need to develop early warning systems to be able to anticipate in advance where and when extreme heatwaves and droughts are likely to impact populations – and also rapidly scale up our monitoring of species and ecosystems so that we can reliably detect these effects.”

There is further coverage of this research on Carbon Brief’s website.

News and views

EMPTY CALI FUND: A major voluntary fund for biodiversity remains empty more than five months after its launch, Carbon Brief revealed. The Cali Fund, agreed at the COP16 biodiversity negotiations last year, was set up for companies who rely on nature’s resources to share some of their earnings with the countries where many of these resources originate. Big pharmaceutical companies did not take up on opportunities to commit to contributing to the fund or be involved in its launch in February 2025, emails released to Carbon Brief showed. Just one US biotechnology firm has pledged to contribute to the fund in the future.

LOSING HOPE: Western Australia’s Ningaloo reef – long considered a “hope spot” among the country’s coral reefs for evading major bleaching events – is facing its “worst-ever coral bleaching”, Australia’s ABC News reported. The ocean around Ningaloo has been “abnormally” warm since December, resulting in “unprecedented” bleaching and mortality, a research scientist told the outlet. According to marine ecologist Dr Damian Thomson, “up to 50% of the examined coral was dead in May”, the Sydney Morning Herald said. Thomson told the newspaper: “You realise your children are probably never going to see Ningaloo the way you saw it.”

‘DEVASTATION BILL’: Brazil’s president, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, signed a “contentious” environmental bill into law, but “partially vetoed” some of the widely criticised elements, the Financial Times reported. Critics, who dubbed it the “devastation bill”, said it “risked fuelling deforestation and would harm Brazil’s ecological credentials” just months before hosting the COP30 climate summit. The newspaper said: “The leftist leader struck down or altered 63 of 400 provisions in the legislation, which was designed to speed up and modernise environmental licensing for new business and infrastructure developments.” The vetoes need to be approved by congress, “where Lula lacks a majority”, the newspaper noted.

RAINFOREST DRILLING: The EU has advised the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) against allowing oil drilling in a vast stretch of rainforest and peatland that was jointly designated a “green corridor” earlier this year, Climate Home News reported. In May, the DRC announced that it planned to open the conservation area for drilling, the publication said. A spokesperson for the European Commission told Climate Home News that the bloc “fully acknowledges and respects the DRC’s sovereign right to utilise its diverse resources for economic development”, but that it “highlights the fact that green alternatives have facilitated the protection of certain areas”.

NEW PLAN FOR WETLANDS: During the 15th meeting of the Ramsar Convention on Wetlands, held in Zimbabwe from 23 to 31 July, countries agreed on the adoption of a new 10-year strategic plan for conserving and sustainably using the world’s wetlands. Down to Earth reported that 13 resolutions were adopted, including “enhancing monitoring and reporting, capacity building and mobilisation of resources”. During the talks, Zimbabwe’s environment minister announced plans to restore 250,000 hectares of degraded wetlands by 2030 and Saudi Arabia entered the Convention on Wetlands. Panamá will host the next COP on wetlands in July 2028.

MEAT MADNESS: DeSmog covered the details of a 2021 public relations document that revealed how the meat industry is trying to “make beef seem climate-friendly”. The industry “may have enlisted environmental groups to persuade people to ‘feel better’ about eating beef”, the outlet said, based on this document. The strategy was created by a communications agency, MHP Group, and addressed to the Global Roundtable for Sustainable Beef. One of the key messages of the plan was to communicate the “growing momentum in the beef industry to protect and nurture the Earth’s natural resources”. MHP Group did not respond to a request for comment, according to DeSmog.

Watch, read, listen

MAKING WAVES: A livestream of deep-sea “crustaceans, sponges and sea cucumbers” has “captivated” people in Argentina, the New York Times outlined.

BAFFLING BIRDS: The Times explored the backstory to the tens of thousands of “exotic-looking” parakeets found in parks across Britain.

PLANT-BASED POWER: In the Conversation, Prof Paul Behrens outlined how switching to a plant-based diet could help the UK meet its climate and health targets.

MARINE DISCRIMINATION: Nature spoke to a US-based graduate student who co-founded Minorities in Shark Science about her experiences of racism and sexism in the research field.

New science

  • Applying biochar – a type of charcoal – to soils each year over a long period of time can have “sustained benefits for crop yield and greenhouse gas mitigation”, according to a Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences study. 
  • New research, published in PLOS Climate, found that nearly one-third of highly migratory fish species in the US waters of the Atlantic Ocean have “high” or “very high” vulnerability to climate change, but the majority of species have “some level of resilience and adaptability”.
  • A study in Communications Earth & Environment found a “notable greening trend” in China’s wetlands over 2000-23, with an increasing amount of carbon being stored in the plants growing there.

In the diary

Cropped is researched and written by Dr Giuliana Viglione, Aruna Chandrasekhar, Daisy Dunne, Orla Dwyer and Yanine Quiroz. Please send tips and feedback to cropped@carbonbrief.org

The post Cropped 13 August 2025: Fossil-fuelled bird decline; ‘Deadly’ wildfires; Empty nature fund appeared first on Carbon Brief.

Cropped 13 August 2025: Fossil-fuelled bird decline; ‘Deadly’ wildfires; Empty nature fund

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Holding the line on climate: EPA

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A white man sits at a conference room style table, with papers in front of him, gesturing as he speaks. Three other people in business attire sit in the seats next to him.

CCL submits a formal comment on EPA’s proposed endangerment finding rollback

By Dana Nuccitelli, CCL Research Manager

On July 29, the EPA proposed to rescind its 2009 endangerment finding that forms the basis of all federal climate pollution regulations. 

Without the endangerment finding, the EPA may not be allowed or able to regulate greenhouse gas pollution from sources like power plants or vehicle tailpipes, as they have done for years. News coverage has framed this as a “radical transformation” and a “bid to scrap almost all pollution regulations,” so it has appropriately alarmed many folks in the climate and environment space.

At CCL, we focus our efforts on working with Congress to implement durable climate policies, and so we don’t normally take actions on issues like this that relate to federal agencies or the courts. Other organizations focus their efforts on those branches of the government and are better equipped to spearhead this type of moment, and we appreciate those allies. 

But in this case, we did see an opportunity for CCL’s voice — and our focus on Congress — to play a role here. We decided to submit a formal comment on this EPA action for two reasons.

First, this decision could have an immense impact by eliminating every federal regulation of climate pollutants in a worst case scenario. Second, this move relates to our work because the EPA is misinterpreting the text and intent of laws passed by Congress. Our representatives have done their jobs by passing legislation over the past many decades that supports and further codifies the EPA’s mandate to regulate climate pollution. That includes the Clean Air Act, and more recently, the Inflation Reduction Act. We at CCL wanted to support our members of Congress by making these points in a formal comment.

There has been a tremendous public response to this action. In just over one week, the EPA already received over 44,000 public comments on its decision, and the public comment period will remain open for another five weeks, until September 15. 

To understand more about the details and potential outcomes of the EPA’s actions, read my article on the subject at Yale Climate Connections, our discussion on CCL Community, and CCL’s formal comment, which represents our entire organization. As our comment concludes,

“In its justifications for rescinding the 2009 endangerment finding, the Reconsideration has misinterpreted the text of the Clean Air Act, Congress’ decadeslong support for the EPA’s mandate to regulate greenhouse gas emissions from motor vehicles and other major sources, and the vast body of peer-reviewed climate science research that documents the increasingly dangerous threats that those emissions pose to Americans’ health and welfare. Because the bases of these justifications are fundamentally flawed, CCL urges the EPA to withdraw its ill-conceived Reconsideration of the 2009 endangerment finding. The EPA has both the authority and the responsibility to act. Americans cannot afford a retreat from science, law, and common sense in the face of a rapidly accelerating climate crisis.”

After the EPA responds to the public comment record and finalizes its decision, this issue will ultimately be decided by the Supreme Court several years from now. 

In the meantime, CCL will continue to focus our efforts on areas where we can make the biggest difference in preserving a livable climate. Right now, that involves contacting our members of Congress to urge them to fully fund key climate and energy programs and protect critical work at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), and Department of Energy. We’ve set an ambitious goal of sending 10,000 messages to our members of Congress, so let’s all do what CCL does best and make our voices heard on this critical issue.

This action by the EPA also reminds us that federal regulations are fragile. They tend to change with each new administration coming into the White House. Legislation passed by Congress – especially when done on a bipartisan basis – is much more durable. That’s why CCL’s work, as one of very few organizations engaging in nonpartisan advocacy for long-lasting climate legislation, is so critical. 

That’s especially true right now when we’re seeing the Trump administration slam shut every executive branch door to addressing climate change. We need Congress to step up now more than ever to implement durable solutions like funding key climate and energy programs, negotiating a new bipartisan comprehensive permitting reform bill, implementing healthy forest solutions like the Fix Our Forests Act, and advancing conversations about policies to put a price on carbon pollution. Those are the kinds of effective, durable, bipartisan climate solutions that CCL is uniquely poised to help become law and make a real difference in preserving a livable climate.

For other examples of how CCL is using our grassroots power to help ensure that Congress stays effective on climate in this political landscape, see our full “Holding the Line on Climate” blog series.

The post Holding the line on climate: EPA appeared first on Citizens' Climate Lobby.

Holding the line on climate: EPA

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