Tesla may be getting ready for one of the biggest solar manufacturing moves in America. Reuters reports that the company is looking at buying about $2.9 billion worth of equipment from Chinese suppliers to make solar cells and solar panels in the United States.
If the plan moves forward, it could help Tesla build up to 100 gigawatts of solar manufacturing capacity on American soil by the end of 2028. That is a huge number. It also shows how serious Elon Musk may be about turning solar into a much bigger part of Tesla’s future.
But the report also reveals a bigger problem for the U.S. clean energy sector. Even when companies want to manufacture in America, they still often depend on Chinese tools, machinery, and supply chains to make it happen.
Tesla’s Solar Dream Is Getting Bigger
According to Reuters, Tesla is in talks with several Chinese companies that make solar manufacturing equipment. Suzhou Maxwell Technologies is one of the main names in the discussion. The company is known as the world’s biggest maker of screen-printing equipment used in solar cell production.
Other possible suppliers include Shenzhen S.C New Energy Technology and Laplace Renewable Energy Technology, Reuters said, citing people familiar with the matter.
Some of the equipment may need export approval from China’s commerce ministry before it can be shipped. Reuters reported that the companies were asked to deliver the machinery before autumn, and two sources said the equipment would likely head to Texas.
These details suggest Tesla’s plan is not just an idea or a long-term goal. The company seems to be preparing for a major manufacturing buildout in the U.S. However, the company has not publicly confirmed the reported order. The Chinese suppliers and China’s commerce ministry also did not respond to Reuters’ requests for comment, according to the report.
In January, Musk said solar power could meet all of America’s electricity needs, including rising demand from data centers. Reuters also noted that Tesla job postings said the company wants to deploy 100 GW of “solar manufacturing from raw materials on American soil before the end of 2028.”
The Cost Gap Keeps China in Charge of Solar Supply Chains
After years of heavy investment, China controls most of the world’s solar manufacturing chain. According to Wood Mackenzie, China is expected to hold more than 80% of global polysilicon, wafer, cell, and module manufacturing capacity from 2023 to 2026.
Wood Mac also said a solar module made in China is about 50% cheaper than one made in Europe and 65% cheaper than one made in the United States. That price gap makes it hard for U.S. factories to compete, especially in the early stages.
So even when U.S. companies want to build locally, they still often need Chinese equipment and expertise. Reuters pointed out that the Biden administration excluded solar manufacturing equipment from tariffs in 2024 after U.S. solar companies said they had no real alternative source for the machines needed to launch domestic factories. That exemption has since been extended by the Trump administration.
In other words, America’s solar manufacturing push still depends, at least in part, on Chinese technology.
- READ MORE: Two Solar Stories, Two Different Directions: Why China Builds Faster as the U.S. Hits Pause
Why Tesla May Be Making This Move Now
Tesla’s reported plan is about much more than one company. It highlights a major challenge for the United States as it tries to build a stronger clean energy economy.
U.S. electricity demand is rising again, and solar is growing fast. The Energy Information Administration said U.S. power use hit its second straight record high in 2025. It also expects demand to keep rising in 2026 and 2027.
At the same time, solar is becoming one of the country’s fastest-growing power sources. In its latest outlook, the EIA said utility-scale solar generation in the U.S. is expected to grow from 290 billion kilowatt-hours in 2025 to 424 billion kilowatt-hours by 2027.
The EIA also said nearly 70 GW of new solar capacity is scheduled to come online in 2026 and 2027. That would increase U.S. solar operating capacity by 49% compared with the end of 2025.
Texas Solar Capacity Supports Tesla and SpaceX
Texas is expected to lead much of that growth. Solar generation in the ERCOT grid is forecast to rise from 56 billion kilowatt-hours in 2025 to 106 billion kilowatt-hours by 2027. Battery storage is also growing to help balance solar power throughout the day.
This helps explain why Texas is such an important part of Tesla’s reported plan. The state already plays a big role in Tesla’s manufacturing footprint. It is also one of the hottest solar markets in the country.
For Tesla, building solar equipment or solar products in Texas could support more than just the grid. Reuters said Musk plans to use much of the capacity for Tesla itself, while some could also help power SpaceX satellites.
That would turn solar into a strategic asset across Musk’s wider business empire. It would also tie clean power more closely to Tesla’s long-term growth story, especially as energy demand from artificial intelligence and data infrastructure keeps rising across the country.
Snapshot of US Solar Imports
Even with more local manufacturing, the U.S. solar market still depends heavily on imported parts. Solar Power World reviewed U.S. International Trade Commission data and found that the United States imported 33 GW of silicon solar panels in 2025. It also imported 21 GW of silicon solar cells.
That cell figure is especially important because it shows that U.S. panel assembly is growing faster than domestic cell production. America may be building more panels at home, but it still imports many of the core components needed to make them.
The report said the U.S. has around 50 GW of silicon panel assembly capacity, but less than 5 GW of domestic cell manufacturing output. That means plenty of cells still have to be imported. Notably, most imported cells came from Indonesia and Laos in 2025, while South Korea was also a major supplier.
This is where Tesla could make a difference. If it builds large-scale solar cell and panel manufacturing in the U.S., it could help close one of the biggest gaps in the domestic solar supply chain.
Still, there is an irony here. To reduce America’s dependence on foreign solar products, Tesla may first need to buy Chinese machines.
A Massive Opportunity, But Also a Huge Challenge
If the deal happens, it would be a major win for Chinese solar equipment companies. Many of them have faced weak domestic demand because China has already built too much manufacturing capacity.
For Tesla, the order could lay the foundation for a giant U.S. solar platform. It could support the company’s long-term energy strategy at a time when America needs more electricity, more solar, and more battery storage.
But the challenge is enormous.
Building 100 GW of solar manufacturing capacity in just a few years would be a staggering task. Tesla would need factories, workers, permits, raw materials, logistics, and smooth equipment delivery. It would also need stable trade rules and a supportive policy environment.
The company has already faced supply chain setbacks before. Reuters previously reported that production preparations for the Cybertruck and Semi in the U.S. were disrupted last year after component shipments from China were suspended following higher tariffs on Chinese goods. This history shows how exposed U.S. manufacturing can still be to trade tensions.
If speculations are true, Musk appears to be thinking far beyond electric vehicles, i.e., building a larger clean energy system around solar, batteries, manufacturing, and power demand from new technologies like AI.
For now, Reuters’ report shows a simple reality. The U.S. wants a homegrown solar industry. Tesla may want to help build one. But China still holds many of the tools needed to make that goal real.
The post Is Tesla Building a 100 GW U.S. Solar Giant With Chinese Equipment? appeared first on Carbon Credits.
Nature-based carbon investments deserve consideration when they address a specific business dependency and produce outcomes you can measure. Imagine Moonbucks, a global coffee roaster planning next season’s espresso blend. It is considering natural Grade 4 coffee from Jimma, in southwestern Oromia, Ethiopia. Its sourcing decisions affect the roasting schedule and the cash tied up in coffee purchases. Moonbucks needs to understand which measures could protect that supply, what they would cost and how it would judge the results.
1. Define the sourcing problem before choosing a project
Moonbucks needs a dependable component for its espresso blend. Its procurement team wants continuity of volume and an agreed cup profile. Replacing a shipment at short notice could require new sample approval and changes to the blend, and given the schedules for cultivation, processing, and freight delivery, is practically impossible. Moonbucks needs to get this right, and its initial concern is inconsistent deliveries. It commissions an assessment of the supplying farms and post-harvest chain. The questions cover land condition, harvest availability and whether drying or storage problems are affecting saleable lots.
This distinction changes the investment brief. A tree-planting proposal cannot be assumed to fix drying problems. Better storage cannot restore eroded land. The team must establish which problem exists before selecting the response.
CCC’s guide to finding nature-based solutions in your supply chain explains where to look. Here, the next task is to turn a broad concern into a testable proposal.
2. Develop nature-based carbon investments around the actual supply chain
The assessment would trace Moonbucks’ purchases back through the exporter and supplying producer groups. Which farms supply the contracted lots? Who controls land-management decisions? How long does the buyer expect to maintain the purchasing relationship?
Furthermore, Jimma natural Grade 4 cannot be treated as interchangeable with every Ethiopian coffee. Moonbucks would need to test any substitute against its own blend and quality requirements.
Suppose Moonbucks’ assessment identifies an opportunity to maintain shade trees and restore vegetation along exposed streambanks. The IPCC describes agroforestry as a way to store carbon in vegetation and soil, with potential benefits for erosion control and water quality.1 Moonbucks would need local advice on species, growing conditions and maintenance before deciding how these measures fit its sourcing plan.
The proposal now has a defined sourcing connection and a candidate intervention. The next steps are to test its effect on production, assess carbon eligibility and build the financial case.
3. Compare the proposal with other ways to protect supply
WBCSD’s Nature-based Solutions Blueprint recommends comparing nature-based options with other responses across their benefits and costs.2 For Moonbucks, that means evaluating the landscape proposal alongside drying improvements, storage controls and alternative sourcing arrangements.
The product’s natural-process designation matters. Moonbucks should examine the drying and dry-milling chain alongside land conditions. Its team would check storage practices, contamination risks and incoming-lot quality to see whether problems arise before or after the coffee leaves the farms.
The revised proposal might combine land stewardship with separate post-harvest controls. Each component needs its own purpose and budget. A sustainability label should not obscure which activity is expected to solve which problem.
The project develops as the evidence improves. Its scope should follow the diagnosis rather than preserve the first idea unchanged.
4. Establish what the carbon outcome could count toward
Moonbucks’ sustainability team now tests the proposed carbon case separately from the sourcing case. Is the objective a measurable change in Moonbucks’ value-chain emissions, verified credits for separate voluntary use, or distinct outcomes under carefully defined arrangements?
Scope 3 covers value-chain emissions. A purchasing relationship alone does not prove that a farm intervention can be included in Moonbucks’ inventory. The team needs an applicable accounting method, defensible boundaries and evidence supporting attribution.
SBTi’s FLAG Guidance (forest, land and agriculture), version 1.2, says purchased credits used as offsets cannot meet near-term FLAG or energy and industry targets. Eligible land-based removals are subject to accounting requirements.3 Moonbucks needs to test its proposal against those rules before including an outcome in its targets.
For Moonbucks’ Jimma proposal, maintaining existing trees and establishing new vegetation could involve different carbon questions. Specialists must examine the baseline and additionality, meaning what changes because the project proceeds. They must also assess measurement and the risk that stored carbon is lost. CCC’s MRV and additionality article introduces those tests.
Until that work is complete, Moonbucks should not budget an assumed Scope 3 reduction or credit-sale receipt. Direct emissions reductions remain the priority.
5. Build a financial case that survives weaker assumptions
Moonbucks’ finance team would now build a multi-year budget. UNEP’s State of Finance for Nature 2023 compares current finance with the investment needed to meet climate, biodiversity and land-restoration goals.4 The company would cost its proposed activities, farmer participation and ongoing monitoring. Verification, where required, is a separate expense. Maintenance and responsibility for replacing failed plantings must remain visible after the initial establishment budget ends.
Operational benefits need equally careful treatment. If fewer rejected lots reduce emergency purchasing, count that saving once. Do not add “supply resilience” as another financial benefit when it represents the same avoided cost.
Moonbucks should compare a base case with slower benefits, higher implementation costs and no carbon revenue. It should also distinguish production outcomes from quality and shipment outcomes. A single good harvest would not prove that the landscape intervention caused better delivery performance.
A project can remain worth funding even when its carbon case needs more work. That decision must rest on the operational evidence and the company’s objectives, without unsupported environmental claims.
6. Fund a pilot with a clear expansion decision
Moonbucks’ first approval would fund a bounded pilot, rather than commit the entire sourcing program. Before spending, Moonbucks would agree on participating farms, responsibilities and the evidence needed at review.
Its scorecard could track farmer participation, implementation costs and plant survival, alongside accepted coffee volumes and lot-quality results. Carbon measurements would follow the selected method. Farm-level traceability must connect the intervention to the actual sourcing relationship.
Suppose Moonbucks’ review later finds that storage changes explain most quality improvements, while the land measures need longer observation. Those findings would shape the next decision: expand the proven component, adjust the landscape work or pause further spending. They would not justify crediting all improvements to tree planting.
This gives nature-based carbon investments a practical place in a multi-year strategy. Funding increases as the evidence supports it, and the project can change direction before a larger commitment.
Discuss a sourcing opportunity with CCC
Carbon Credit Capital’s nature-based supply-chain investment service uses its Dual-Value Model to examine supply-chain economics alongside potential sustainability outcomes.
Schedule a consultation to discuss your sourcing exposure and the questions to resolve before allocating capital.
Sources
- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Climate Change 2022: Mitigation of Climate Change, Chapter 7, Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Uses, section 7.4.3.3 (Agroforestry).
- World Business Council for Sustainable Development (WBCSD), Nature-based Solutions Blueprint, 5 June 2024.
- Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi), Forest, Land and Agriculture Science-Based Target-Setting Guidance, version 1.2, March 2026, section 3.1.4, pp. 37–38.
- United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), State of Finance for Nature 2023, 2023.
A plastic credit funds the collection of plastic waste in places where no formal system exists to collect it. Each credit represents a measured, independently audited quantity of plastic taken out of the environment or returned to use, tracked on a public registry.
EU carbon credit claims changed on 27 September 2026, the day the Directive (EU) 2024/825 began to apply across the European Union. The change is narrow. It changes how a company can talk about the credits it buys. A product can no longer be called neutral on the strength of compensation alone; however, every specific, evidenced statement about what a company measured, reduced, and funded stays fully available.
