Bloomberg Outlook 2024
According to the Bloomberg EV Outlook Report, the global electric vehicle (EV) market in 2024 shows varied progress across different regions and segments. Most notably, while overall EV sales are increasing, some markets are slowing, and many automakers have delayed their EV targets.
We crunched the report and have the following key takeaways, crucial for everyone interested in the industry to know.
Which Regions Are Charging Ahead in EV Sales?
The EV sales growth slowdown varies globally. China, India, and France continue to see healthy growth, while Germany, Italy, and the US face challenges. Meanwhile, Japan’s market is hampered by a lack of EV commitment from major carmakers and no new mini-car models.

Despite the slowdown, global growth in 2024 aligns with BNEF’s forecasts. Some automakers have reduced their electrification targets, citing high production costs, while others, like Kia and Volvo, show strong results.
- Kia aims for 1.6 million EV sales by 2030 and plans to launch an affordable EV3 SUV. Remarkably, Volvo’s EV sales surged 53% in April 2024, driven by the EX30 model.
BNEF projects that global passenger EV sales will grow, though at a slower pace, rising from 13.9 million in 2023 to over 30 million by 2027. The annual growth rate will average 21%, down from 61% between 2020 and 2023.
By 2027, EVs will comprise 33% of global new passenger vehicle sales, with China and Europe leading at 60% and 41%, respectively.

The Nordics will reach 90%, while Germany, the UK, and France exceed 40%. The US will see 29% EV sales, slowed by election-related uncertainties. Japan lags behind, but emerging economies like Brazil and India will experience rapid growth.
Overall, the global EV fleet will expand to over 132 million by 2027, up from 41 million in 2023.
- The long-term market outlook for electric vehicles is positive despite near-term challenges.
Economic improvements are expected to drive continued growth, with EVs reaching 45% of global passenger vehicle sales by 2030 and 73% by 2040. However, Southeast Asia, India, and Brazil will lag behind the global average and require stronger regulatory support.
Decarbonizing Commercial Vehicles
When it comes to decarbonizing commercial vehicles, including vans, trucks, and buses, electrification is also accelerating.
Electric light-duty delivery vans and trucks are quickly gaining market share in China, South Korea, and parts of Europe, while the US still lags. As seen below, the global e-van market will near one-third of sales by 2030, reaching two-thirds by 2040.

Electric heavy trucks will become economically viable for most uses by 2030, with initial adoption in urban areas and later expansion to long-haul routes.
On the other hand, fuel cell trucks will remain viable for some applications, though their future is less certain. Zero-emission trucks will make up 18% of global sales by 2030 and 43% by 2040.
Who Will Drive the Future of Electric Trucks?
New environmental policies in Europe and the US will drive the adoption of electric and fuel-cell trucks. EU CO2 targets suggest high electrification rates by 2030. For instance, municipal buses are rapidly electrifying, expected to exceed 60% of sales by 2030 and 83% by 2040.
However, global road transport is not yet on a net zero trajectory, and protectionist policies could hinder progress. To achieve zero emissions by 2050, combustion vehicle sales must end by around 2038, with leading markets phasing out earlier, per BNEF analysis.
The Nordic countries are the only ones projected to fully phase out combustion vehicles before 2038 in the Economic Transition Scenario (ETS). Therefore, governments need to balance industrial strategies with maintaining competition and affordability in the EV market. Stronger regulatory pushes are necessary to bridge the gap between the Economic Transition Scenario and the Net Zero Scenario.

- Significant spending is required for both scenarios.
The cumulative value of EV sales across all segments will reach $9 trillion by 2030 and $63 trillion by 2050 in the Economic Transition Scenario. In the Net Zero Scenario, this value jumps to over $98 trillion by 2050.
Governments are fiercely competing to develop local supply chains, with EVs and batteries remaining central to industrial policies for decades.
How Lithium Batteries Are Revolutionizing the EV Market
Lithium-iron-phosphate (LFP) batteries are dominating the EV market, reducing the need for metals like nickel and manganese. Competitive pricing is driving improvements in LFP technology, including super-fast charging, cold temperature performance, and higher energy densities.

LFP is projected to capture over 50% of the global passenger EV market within two years, particularly in China, where many LFP cell manufacturers are based. This shift results in lower-than-expected consumption of nickel and manganese, with 2025 estimates for nickel at 517,000 metric tons and manganese at 131,000 metric tons.

Plug-in hybrids (PHEVs) are experiencing a resurgence, driven mainly by China, which became the largest PHEV market in 2022. The average electric range of PHEVs reached 80 km in 2023, with some models in China exceeding 100 km.
Chinese PHEV battery packs are nearly twice the size of those in the US and Europe, often designed to meet fuel economy regulations. While PHEVs are seen as a bridge to a zero-emission future, their effectiveness is questionable. If they replace BEVs and aren’t fully utilized in electric mode, they could increase oil demand, undermining their environmental benefits.

Charging into the Future: What Does a Fully Electric Fleet Mean?
A fully electric vehicle global fleet could consume twice the electricity the US did in 2023, per BNEF market outlook. By 2050, in the Net Zero Scenario, an all-electric vehicle fleet will require about 8,313 TWh of electricity, double the US’s 2023 consumption.
Despite the increase, EVs can support energy system electrification through smart charging and flexible pricing. The EV charging industry must rapidly mature, requiring $1.6 to $2.5 trillion in infrastructure, installation, and maintenance investment by 2050.
The adoption of EVs and electrification of commercial vehicles are on the rise, driven by new policies and technological advancements in battery technology. However, significant investments in infrastructure and regulatory support are crucial to sustain this momentum and achieve long-term environmental goals.
The post Is the EV Market’s Momentum Slowing? appeared first on Carbon Credits.
Carbon Footprint
Finding Nature Based Solutions in Your Supply Chain
Carbon Footprint
How Climate Change Is Raising the Cost of Living
Americans are paying more for insurance, electricity, taxes, and home repairs every year. What many people may not realize is that climate change is already one of the drivers behind those rising costs.
For many households, climate change is no longer just an environmental issue. It is becoming a cost-of-living issue. While climate impacts like melting glaciers and shrinking polar ice can feel distant from everyday life, the financial effects are already showing up in monthly budgets across the country.
Today, a larger share of household income is consumed by fixed costs such as housing, insurance, utilities, and healthcare. (3) Climate change and climate inaction are adding pressure to many of those expenses through higher disaster recovery costs, rising energy demand, infrastructure repairs, and increased insurance risk.
The goal of this article is to help connect climate change to the everyday financial realities people already experience. Regardless of where someone stands on climate policy, it is important to recognize that climate change is already increasing costs for households, businesses, and taxpayers across the United States.
More conservative estimates indicate that the average household has experienced an increase of about $400 per year from observed climate change, while less conservative estimates suggest an increase of $900.(1) Those in more disaster-prone regions of the country face disproportionate costs, with some households experiencing climate-related costs averaging $1,300 per year.(1) Another study found that climate adaptation costs driven by climate change have already consumed over 3% of personal income in the U.S. since 2015.(9) By the end of the century, housing units could spend an additional $5,600 on adaptation costs.(1)
Whether we realize it or not, Americans are already paying for climate change through higher insurance premiums, energy costs, taxes, and infrastructure repairs. These growing expenses are often referred to as climate adaptation costs.
Without meaningful climate action, these costs are expected to continue rising. Choosing not to invest in climate action is also choosing to spend more on climate adaptation.
Here are a few ways climate change is already increasing the cost of living:
- Higher insurance costs from more frequent and severe storms
- Higher energy use during longer and hotter summers
- Higher electricity rates tied to storm recovery and grid upgrades
- Higher government spending and taxpayer-funded disaster recovery costs
The real debate is not whether climate change costs money. Americans are already paying for it. The question is where we want those costs to go. Should we invest more in climate action to help reduce future climate adaptation costs, or continue paying growing recovery and adaptation expenses in everyday life?
How Climate Change Is Increasing Insurance Costs
There is one industry that closely tracks the financial impact of natural disasters: insurance. Insurance companies are focused on assessing risk, estimating damages, and collecting enough revenue to cover losses and remain financially stable.
Comparing the 20-year periods 1980–1999 and 2000–2019, climate-related disasters increased 83% globally from 3,656 events to 6,681 events. The average time between billion-dollar disasters dropped from 82 days during the 1980s to 16 days during the last 10 years, and in 2025 the average time between disasters fell to just 10 days. (6)
According to the reinsurance firm Munich Re, total economic losses from natural disasters in 2024 exceeded $320 billion globally, nearly 40% higher than the decade-long annual average. Average annual inflation-adjusted costs more than quadrupled from $22.6 billion per year in the 1980s to $102 billion per year in the 2010s. Costs increased further to an average of $153.2 billion annually during 2020–2024, representing another 50% increase over the 2010s. (6)
In the United States, billion-dollar weather and climate disasters have also increased significantly. The average number of billion-dollar disasters per year has grown from roughly three annually during the 1980s to 19 annually over the last decade. In 2023 and 2024, the U.S. recorded 28 and 27 billion-dollar disasters respectively, both setting new records. (6)
The growing impact of climate change is one reason insurance costs continue to rise. “There are two things that drive insurance loss costs, which is the frequency of events and how much they cost,” said Robert Passmore, assistant vice president of personal lines at the Property Casualty Insurers Association of America. “So, as these events become more frequent, that’s definitely going to have an impact.” (8)
After adjusting for inflation, insurance costs have steadily increased over time. From 2000 to 2020, insurance costs consistently grew faster than the Consumer Price Index due to rising rebuilding costs and weather-related losses.(3) Between 2020 and 2023 alone, the average home insurance premium increased from $75 to $360 due to climate change impacts, with disaster-prone regions experiencing especially steep increases.(1) Since 2015, homeowners in some regions affected by more extreme weather have seen home insurance costs increased by nearly 57%.(1) Some insurers have also limited or stopped offering coverage in high-risk areas.(7)
For many families, rising insurance costs are no longer occasional financial burdens. They are becoming recurring monthly expenses tied directly to growing climate risk.
How Rising Temperatures Increase Household Energy Costs

The financial impacts of climate change extend beyond insurance. Rising temperatures are also changing how much energy Americans use and how utilities plan for future electricity demand.
Between 1950 and 2010, per capita electricity use increased 10-fold, though usage has flattened or slightly declined since 2012 due to more efficient appliances and LED lighting. (3) A significant share of increased energy demand comes from cooling needs associated with higher temperatures.
Over the last 20 years, the United States has experienced increasing Cooling Degree Days (CDD) and decreasing Heating Degree Days (HDD). Nearly all counties have become warmer over the past three decades, with some areas experiencing several hundred additional cooling degree days, equivalent to roughly one additional degree of warmth on most days. (1) This trend reflects a warming climate where air conditioning demand is increasing while heating demand generally declines. (4)
As temperatures continue rising, households are expected to spend more on cooling than they save on heating. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that by 2050, national Heating Degree Days will be 11% lower while Cooling Degree Days will be 28% higher than 2021 levels. Cooling demand is projected to rise 2.5 times faster than heating demand declines. (5)
These projections come from energy and infrastructure experts planning for future electricity demand and grid capacity needs. Utilities and grid operators are already preparing for higher peak summer electricity loads caused by rising temperatures. (5)
Longer and hotter summers also affect how homes and buildings are designed. Buildings constructed for past climate conditions may require upgrades such as larger air conditioning systems, stronger insulation, and improved ventilation to remain comfortable and energy efficient in the future. (10)
For many households, this means higher monthly utility bills and potentially higher long-term home improvement costs as temperatures continue to rise.
How Climate Change Affects Electricity Rates
On an inflation-adjusted basis, average U.S. residential electricity rates are slightly lower today than they were 50 years ago. (2) However, climate-related damage to utility infrastructure is creating new upward pressure on electricity costs.
Electric utilities rely heavily on above-ground poles, wires, transformers, and substations that can be damaged by hurricanes, storms, floods, and wildfires. Repairing and upgrading this infrastructure often requires substantial investment.
As a result, utilities are increasing electricity rates in response to wildfire and hurricane events to fund infrastructure repairs and future mitigation efforts. (1) The average cumulative increase in per-household electricity expenditures due to climate-related price changes is approximately $30. (1)
While this increase may appear modest today, utility costs are expected to rise further as climate-related infrastructure damage becomes more frequent and severe.
How Climate Disasters Increase Government Spending and Taxes
Extreme weather events also damage public infrastructure, including roads, schools, bridges, airports, water systems, and emergency services infrastructure. Recovery and rebuilding costs are often funded through taxpayer dollars at the federal, state, and local levels.
The average annual government cost tied to climate-related disaster recovery is estimated at nearly $142 per household. (1) States that frequently experience hurricanes, wildfires, tornadoes, or flooding can face even higher public recovery costs.
These expenses affect taxpayers whether they personally experience a disaster or not. Climate-related recovery spending can increase pressure on public budgets, emergency management systems, and infrastructure funding nationwide.
Reducing Climate Costs Through Climate Action
While this article focuses on the growing financial costs associated with climate change, the issue is not only about money for many people. It is also about recognizing our environmental impact and taking responsibility for reducing it in order to help preserve a healthy planet for future generations.
While individuals alone cannot solve climate change, collective action can help reduce future climate adaptation costs over time.
For those interested in taking action, there are three important steps:
- Estimate your carbon footprint to better understand the emissions connected to your lifestyle and activities.
- Create a plan to gradually reduce emissions through energy efficiency, cleaner technologies, and more sustainable choices.
- Address remaining emissions by supporting verified carbon reduction projects through carbon credits.
Carbon credits are one of the most cost-effective tools available for climate action because they help fund projects that generate verified emission reductions at scale. Supporting global emission reduction efforts can help reduce the long-term impacts and costs associated with climate change.
Visit Terrapass to learn more about carbon footprints, carbon credits, and climate action solutions.
The post How Climate Change Is Raising the Cost of Living appeared first on Terrapass.
Carbon Footprint
Carbon credit project stewardship: what happens after credit issuance
A carbon credit purchase is not a transaction that closes at issuance. The credit may be retired, the certificate filed, and the reporting box ticked. But on the ground, in the forest, in the field, and in the community, the work continues. It endures for years. In many cases, for decades.
![]()
-
Climate Change10 months ago
Guest post: Why China is still building new coal – and when it might stop
-
Greenhouse Gases10 months ago
Guest post: Why China is still building new coal – and when it might stop
-
Greenhouse Gases2 years ago嘉宾来稿:满足中国增长的用电需求 光伏加储能“比新建煤电更实惠”
-
Climate Change2 years ago嘉宾来稿:满足中国增长的用电需求 光伏加储能“比新建煤电更实惠”
-
Climate Change2 years ago
Bill Discounting Climate Change in Florida’s Energy Policy Awaits DeSantis’ Approval
-
Renewable Energy7 months agoSending Progressive Philanthropist George Soros to Prison?
-
Carbon Footprint2 years agoUS SEC’s Climate Disclosure Rules Spur Renewed Interest in Carbon Credits
-
Greenhouse Gases11 months ago
嘉宾来稿:探究火山喷发如何影响气候预测

