Connect with us

Published

on

Welcome to Carbon Brief’s DeBriefed. 
An essential guide to the week’s key developments relating to climate change.

This week

Record heat in 2024

DEADLY DECADE: UN secretary general António Guterres used his new year’s message to declare that “we have just endured a decade of deadly heat”, the Press Association reported. The news outlet said that all of the top 10 hottest years on record took place in this period, with 2024 emerging as the hottest. Meanwhile, China Daily reported that China reached its hottest annual temperature since records began, while ABC News said Australia saw its second-warmest year.

DANGEROUS HEAT: The Associated Press covered research from World Weather Attribution and Climate Central that found people globally experienced “an average of 41 extra days of dangerous heat” last year due to climate change. The analysis also found that climate change intensified 26 of the 29 extreme weather events from last year that the groups studied, according to Euronews.

Turning off Russian gas

GAS BLOCK: Russian gas flowing into several European countries was stopped on New Year’s Day, after Ukraine refused to renegotiate a transit deal “in the hopes of hurting its invader financially”, NBC News reported. Ending the flow of gas via Ukrainian pipelines will cost the Russian state-backed Gazprom around $5bn a year in gas sales, but will also cost Ukraine around $800n a year in transit fees, according to CNN.

EUROPE’S RESPONSE: EU member states prepared for this event by increasing capacity for liquified natural gas (LNG) imports and renewables, according to the Kyiv Independent. LNG from the US and Qatar has also helped the EU move away from Russian gas, Reuters said. However, Euractiv reported on “unease” from negatively affected eastern European countries, with Slovakia “threatening” retaliation against Ukraine, and Moldova – which is not an EU member state – “declaring a state of emergency” amid gas shortages.

Around the world

  • FIRE WEATHER: “Out of control” bushfires are blazing in Australia, with elevated fire danger warnings issued for many states amid high temperatures, according to the Guardian
  • FLOOD DAMAGE: Hundreds of people have been evacuated in north-west England due to flooding, BBC News reported. Meanwhile, the Bank of England warned that climate change-driven floods could “devastate the value” of hundreds of thousands of UK homes, according to the Daily Telegraph.
  • BANK WITHDRAWAL: Morgan Stanley, Bank of America and Citigroup announced that they were quitting the UN-backed net-zero banking alliance, Bloomberg reported. Financial Times described the departures as “the latest sign corporate America may retreat from climate goals” under incoming president Donald Trump.
  • ALL ELECTRIC: Norway is “on the brink” of achieving its target for 100% of new car sales to be electric by 2025, with zero-emission cars making up 88% of new sales last year, the National reported. Meanwhile, the Daily Telegraph said Tesla saw its “first ever drop” in annual electric-vehicle sales, amid pressure from Chinese rivals.

$75 billion

The amount that fossil-fuel companies will be fined over the next 25 years, under a recent New York state law, according to Reuters


Latest climate research

  • The record-long Canadian wildfire season in 2023 was more than five times as likely due to human-caused climate change, according to a new study published in npj Climate and Atmospheric Science.
  • New research in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences concluded that the rate at which carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions increase could affect the pace at which the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), a current moving water, heat and nutrients around the world, slows down.
  • A nationally representative survey of more than 1,000 US adults, published in Environmental Science and Policy, found that only around one-third were aware of the term “climate justice”, but half supported its goals after reading a short description.

(For more, see Carbon Brief’s in-depth daily summaries of the top climate news stories on Thursday and Friday.)

Captured

The UK’s electricity was the cleanest it has ever been in 2024, according to new Carbon Brief analysis that was covered by the Times, the Guardian and other news outlets. CO2 emissions per unit have fallen by 70% over the past decade, as the chart above shows. This trend can be attributed to the UK phasing out coal while expanding its use of renewables, which reached a record 45% of electricity generation last year.

Spotlight

Europe’s forgotten overseas territories and climate change

In the wake of Cyclone Chido, Carbon Brief considers the climate threat facing Europe’s overseas territories.

Cyclone Chido tore through the French island of Mayotte in mid-December, killing at least 39 people and leaving thousands injured or homeless.

The storm, which was made more intense by climate change, was the strongest to hit the tiny Indian Ocean territory in close to a century. Much of the devastation was linked to the lack of sufficient shelter and resources in what has long been France’s poorest region

Chido marks the latest extreme weather event to hit one of Europe’s “overseas territories” – colonial remnants that are largely dotted around the tropics, from the Caribbean to the Pacific.

‘Urgent action’ required

Most of the 34 European overseas territories are part of France, the UK and the Netherlands, due to their histories operating slave plantations on tropical islands. 

These territories vary significantly in governance, wealth and independence. However, they have a shared vulnerability to climate-related threats, such as cyclones and sea level rise.

The EU’s first climate risk assessment report, published last year, called for “urgent action” to protect member states’ overseas territories from climate change, highlighting their “remote locations, weaker infrastructure and economic vulnerability”. UK territories, particularly those in the Caribbean, face similar challenges

“Technically, politically, institutionally, they’re in the global north, but their realities are akin to any other country in the global south,” Dr Vanessa Deane, an urban planning researcher at New York University, told Carbon Brief. 

Carbon Brief analysis of the Emergency Events Database (EM-DAT), run by the Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED) in Belgium, shows that at least 197 people in European overseas territories were killed by extreme weather events over 1990-2024. (EM-DAT is the most comprehensive disaster database, but lacks complete data for poorer countries, meaning this figure is likely to be an underestimate.)

At least another 39 have been killed by Chido in Mayotte, making it the deadliest single event over this period in an overseas territory, according to EM-DAT data. The final death toll may be far higher. 

Another quarter of a million people in these territories have lost their homes, been injured or otherwise affected over this period, mainly due to cyclones, according to EM-DAT.

Mamoudzou, Mayotte after Cyclone Chido in December 2024.
Mamoudzou, Mayotte after Cyclone Chido in December 2024. Credit: Associated Press / Alamy Stock Photo.

‘Lagging behind’

Dr Virginie Duvat, a small islands researcher at the University of La Rochelle in France, said territories such as Mayotte are simply not treated the same as their mainland counterparts by French policymakers:

“Climate adaptation policies are lagging behind. This is paradoxical because these territories are more exposed and more vulnerable to climate change.”

Elise Naccarato, a climate justice advocate at Oxfam France, pointed to the “almost total absence of the overseas territories” in France’s upcoming climate adaptation plan. 

Overseas territories generally lack the financial and technical capacity to implement climate adaptation programmes, or recover from climate-related disasters. Yet they also often cannot access climate-related aid. 

Instead, the territories tend to rely on specialised funds set up by the EU and central governments to support climate-related activities, but these have been described as “insufficient” and “uncertain”.

As an example, Dr Daphina Misiedjan, a legal researcher at Erasmus University in the Netherlands, pointed to the “roundabout way” that the Dutch government provided relief to the territory of Sint Maarten, in the wake of Hurricane Irma. Rather than providing money directly, the government handed control to the World Bank, and funds took years to reach people.

Last year, residents of the Dutch Caribbean island of Bonaire, alongside Greenpeace Netherlands, launched a lawsuit against the Netherlands, claiming the state had not protected them sufficiently from climate change.

“[European countries] really profited from the colonial times, but now they have extra responsibility to make sure these islands are safe during the climate crisis,” Greenpeace climate campaigner Maarten de Zeeuw told Carbon Brief.

Watch, read, listen

THE YEAR IN CLIMATE: After a year of key elections and many extreme weather events, BBC podcast the Climate Question presented a review of the top climate stories from 2024, hosted by an expert panel.

WINE LIST: A “big read” article in the Financial Times, which includes interactive graphics, looked at how the changing climate is pushing wine making into northern regions and “redrawing of Europe’s wine map”.

BEST BOOKS: Mongabay has published a list of 10 “notable” environment-themed books published in 2024. Topics covered range from Indigenous land rights to coral bleaching.

Coming up

Pick of the jobs

DeBriefed is edited by Daisy Dunne. Please send any tips or feedback to debriefed@carbonbrief.org.
This is an online version of Carbon Brief’s weekly DeBriefed email newsletter. Subscribe for free here.

The post DeBriefed 3 January 2025: ‘Decade of deadly heat’; Russian gas cut off; Europe’s forgotten overseas territories and climate change appeared first on Carbon Brief.

DeBriefed 3 January 2025: ‘Decade of deadly heat’; Russian gas cut off; Europe’s forgotten overseas territories and climate change

Continue Reading

Climate Change

Governments defend energy transition as US snubs renewables agency

Published

on

After the United States announced last week it would withdraw from the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA), effectively slashing more than a fifth of its core budget, the organisation’s head said it could “manage” the US exit, as top officials argued the energy transition is “unstoppable”.

Speaking to reporters at IRENA’s 16th Assembly in Abu Dhabi, Director-General Francesco La Camera said the US had yet to formally notify the agency it would be leaving. IRENA’s statute says withdrawal of a member country takes effect at the end of the year in which it is notified.

Until that point, they remain a member with all its rights, including the right to vote, but also “the duty to pay”, La Camera added.

    On Sunday, IRENA’s member countries – around 170 in total – adopted a budget for the coming two years, which shows the US is expected to contribute 22% of IRENA’s core funding, with its share amounting to nearly $5.7 million for 2026.

    La Camera said IRENA is already talking to governments and the private sector to fill the potential financial hole if the US does not deliver on its financial obligations, as has been the case in previous years with the UN climate secretariat and the Green Climate Fund.

    “We know that some of these usual donors are considering to put something in our budget – we are also trying to get some money from the companies that are part of our initiatives… and we will see other ways that we can pursue,” he added. “I know that we can manage one way or another.”

    During country statements made on Sunday afternoon, which were closed to the media, there had been expectations that China might step up to close the gap, but that did not happen.

    The United Arab Emirates, Germany and other European nations are substantial government donors to IRENA, although the agency’s core budget has barely risen since 2018, documents show. That has limited its ability to expand its activities even as demand rises across developing countries and small island states for greater technical and policy support to boost renewables.

    La Camera noted that, following the US decision to pull out under Donald Trump, IRENA’s council may need to propose amendments to its approved budget for 2026-2027 ahead of its next meeting in May.

    Melford Nicholas, minister of information technologies, utilities and energy for Antigua and Barbuda, who is also a newly elected vice president of IRENA, told Climate Home News the US move would “not be an insignificant development” but Europeans had indicated they could help make up the shortfall.

    Clean energy for “opportunity and necessity”

    At the opening session of the two-day assembly, La Camera and other top officials affirmed the importance of renewable energy as the best choice for energy and economic security at a time of rising geopolitical tensions driven by fossil fuel interests.

    Selwin Hart, special adviser to the UN Secretary-General on Climate Action and Just Transition, said the world is clearly changing its energy system to clean sources “not out of idealism, but out of opportunity and necessity”.

    He noted that three out of four people live in countries that are net importers of fossil fuels, exposing them to geopolitical shocks, volatile prices and balance of payment pressures.

    Examples of this include the rise in gas prices in Europe after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2024 led to sanctions.

    “The energy transition is taking place… not only based on climate considerations, but based on costs, based on competitiveness and energy security and energy independence,” Hart added. “These are the driving forces now – hardcore economic, hardcore national security [and] strategic reasons.”

    Brazil’s Lula requests national roadmap for fossil fuel transition

    In a video message, Annalena Baerbock, president of the UN General Assembly and former foreign minister of Germany, said “we are living in heavy, challenging times” – but despite setbacks and political headwinds, “the march to a renewable energy future has proven unstoppable”.

    She added that global renewable capacity has now reached more than 4,400 gigawatts, almost 30 times that of 2015 when the Paris climate agreement was adopted, while a record $2.4 trillion was invested in the energy transition in 2024. “There is no way back,” she added.

    However, she and Hart both noted that more needs to be done to support African countries to unlock finance for clean energy, as it lags far behind other regions and receives only around 2% of investment in the sector.

    Challenges for small island states

    The substantial needs of small island developing states (SIDS) are also front and centre at the IRENA Assembly, where ministers have discussed the challenges of shifting away from costly diesel and other polluting fuels while being exposed to rising climate shocks such as destructive cyclones.

    Antigua and Barbuda’s minister Nicholas pointed to the difficulty of gaining insurance for renewable energy facilities as a key barrier in an era when storms can cause huge damage.

    This happened in Barbuda in 2017 when Hurricane Irma wiped out a solar plant that was not insured. Governments including the United Arab Emirates and New Zealand helped to rebuild it.

    Antigua and Barbuda’s Minister Melford Nicholas speaks at the IRENA 16th Assembly in Abu Dhabi, UAE, on January 11, 2026 (Photo: IRENA)

    Antigua and Barbuda’s Minister Melford Nicholas speaks at the IRENA 16th Assembly in Abu Dhabi, UAE, on January 11, 2026 (Photo: IRENA)

    Nicholas said SIDS are still in need of concessional finance, which could “become increasingly challenging for us” in the current international environment.

    “It’s an issue, because that retards the speed at which we’re able to get to renewable energy transition,” he added, noting his country is likely to reach an energy mix of around 60% renewables by 2030 rather than the 100% it had aimed for.

    Despite the obstacles, ministers from Caribbean countries like St Kitts and Nevis and Dominica showcased examples of planned geothermal plants that will enable them to phase down fossil fuels dramatically.

    IRENA’s La Camera said he was optimistic the world would get very close to realising a global goal of tripling renewable energy capacity by the end of this decade, but was still lagging behind on a twin target of doubling energy efficiency by 2030.

    To help catalyse a global transition away from fossil fuels, he added that IRENA would work with COP host nations on a roadmap to that end, which they are due to present at the COP31 UN climate summit in Turkey in November, as well as a potential target for electrification consistent with that plan.

    The post Governments defend energy transition as US snubs renewables agency appeared first on Climate Home News.

    Governments defend energy transition as US snubs renewables agency

    Continue Reading

    Climate Change

    Renewables create fewer jobs globally as energy transition enters “new phase”

    Published

    on

    Jobs in renewable energy expanded only slightly in 2024 to reach 16.6 million worldwide, new figures show, suggesting that the industry’s ability to create employment is slowing as it matures.

    According to an annual report from the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) and the International Labour Organization (ILO), the number of renewables jobs rose by just 2.3% between 2023 and 2024. This was partly due to Chinese solar manufacturers already producing more components than they could sell, and laying off workers to cut costs.

    Other factors included a shift from rooftop solar installations to utility-scale systems in major markets like India and Germany, as well as increasing automation in the sector – a trend that is expected to accelerate with the use of robots, drones and artificial intelligence.

    Employment in the sector has risen steadily from 7.3 million in 2012, when the data series began, along with the increase in solar, wind and geothermal energy, hydropower and biofuels around the world. But far fewer new jobs were created in 2024 – 400,000 – compared with 2023, which saw a jump of 2.5 million.

      In a foreword to the report released on Sunday, IRENA Director-General Francesco La Camera and ILO Director-General Gilbert F. Houngbo wrote that the slowdown in the rate of job creation points to “the emergence of a new phase in the energy transition”.

      “Growing automation and economies of scale mean that comparatively less human labour is required for each new unit of capacity – although impacts vary across countries, technologies and segments of the renewable energy value chain,” they said.

      IRENA currently projects that, with the right policies in place, the renewable energy workforce could expand to 30 million jobs by 2030. But the latest figures – which do not reflect the impact of Donald Trump’s squashing of US renewables incentives in 2025 – indicate reaching that level could be a stretch.

      Michael Renner, IRENA’s head of socioeconomics and policy, told Climate Home News on the sidelines of the agency’s assembly in Abu Dhabi that, in the past 10-20 years, the renewable energy sector has been far more labour-intensive than the fossil fuel industry – which has largely been automated – but the difference is starting to narrow.

      “I think renewables are still looking favourable [for job creation], and I don’t think that advantage will be lost – but I think it will be less massive, less dramatic,” he added.

      Notes:
      a) Includes liquid biofuels, solid biomass and biogas.
      b) Direct jobs only.
      c) “Others” includes geothermal energy, concentrated solar power, heat pumps (ground based), municipal and industrial waste,
      and ocean energy.
      Source: IRENA / Renewable Energy and Jobs
      Annual Review 2025

      Notes:
      a) Includes liquid biofuels, solid biomass and biogas.
      b) Direct jobs only.
      c) “Others” includes geothermal energy, concentrated solar power, heat pumps (ground based), municipal and industrial waste,
      and ocean energy.
      Source: IRENA / Renewable Energy and Jobs
      Annual Review 2025

      Geographical imbalances

      The world needs to add a huge amount of solar, wind, hydro and geothermal capacity to meet a global goal of tripling renewable power capacity to reach 11.2 terawatts (TW) by the end of the decade. That will require installing an average of about 1.1 TW each year from 2025 to 2030, which is about double the power added in 2024, IRENA says.

      In a statement on the jobs report, La Camera noted that renewable energy deployment is “booming, but the human side of the story is as important as the technological side”.

      He pointed to geographical imbalances in the deployment of clean energy and related job creation. Africa has particularly struggled to attract foreign investment in building out renewables, with much of the growth currently concentrated in Asia.

      Outdated geological data limits Africa’s push to benefit from its mineral wealth

      “Countries that are lagging behind in the energy transition must be supported by the international community,” La Camera said. “This is essential not only to meet the goal of tripling renewable power capacity by 2030, but also to ensure that socioeconomic benefits become lived realities for all, helping to shore up popular support for the transition.”

      Some countries like Nigeria are trying to boost their solar equipment manufacturing supply chains, with the government saying it plans to ban solar panel imports, and two large assembly plants announced to support public electrification programmes.

      China leads on jobs but solar stumbles

      In 2024, China was home to nearly half – 44% – of the world’s renewable energy jobs with an estimated 7.3 million. But in that year, employment in its solar photovoltaics (PV) sector actually contracted slightly, as five leading manufacturers cut their workforce.

      This was in response to efforts by the Chinese government to curb what it has dubbed “disorderly” competition by reducing excess capacity across the solar PV supply chain, in a bid to boost prices and product quality.

      Renewables jobs stayed flat in the European Union in 2024, meanwhile, at 1.8 million jobs, and India and the US saw small rises, accounting for 1.3 million and 1.1 million respectively. Brazil was also a big employer, with 1.4 million jobs, partly thanks to its biofuels industry based on soy and sugarcane.

      Trump to pull US out of UN climate convention and climate science body

      On the impact of Trump’s efforts to roll back incentives and subsidies for green energy in the US, Renner said it will likely mean fewer new renewable power installations, with the report documenting examples of solar and wind projects that were cancelled or halted in 2025.

      He also noted the dampening effects of US tariff hikes on the production of solar panels in Southeast Asia, which has led to job losses in some countries including Thailand, while others such as India have been able to increase their exports to the US thanks to relatively lower taxes on their exports.

      Limited opportunities for women and people with disabilities

      The report also highlights a lack of progress on increasing women workers in the renewables industry. While higher than in fossil fuels, it has plateaued at about one job in three.

      Those jobs are concentrated in administrative roles, which account for 45% of female employment in renewable energy, as well as in technical positions unrelated to science, technology or engineering, such as legal work.

      The report calls for greater efforts by companies, education and skills training bodies to open up more opportunities for women in clean energy, as well as for people with disabilities who face high barriers to participating in labour markets across the board, with only three in 10 being employed worldwide.

      There are some positive cases where proactive policies have made a difference, such as in India’s electric vehicle industry, which has a relatively high level of women at the management level.

      How Belém launched the Just Transition mechanism

      In Brazil, meanwhile, national legislation requires companies with more than 100 employees to reserve 2-5% of jobs for people with disabilities, including those in renewable energy.

      And in Spain, energy utility Endesa and municipalities trained over 300 people with intellectual and psycho-social disabilities in tasks like vegetation management and composting at solar energy sites, with nearly 40% securing jobs after six months.

      ILO’s Houngbo called for greater efforts on disability inclusion in the clean energy transition, not just as a matter of justice but also to advance resilient labour markets and sustainable development.

      “This requires accessible training systems, inclusive hiring practices, and workplaces that accommodate, welcome and respond to diverse needs and respect every worker’s rights,” he added.

      Climate Home News received support from IRENA to travel to Abu Dhabi to covers its 16th Assembly.

      The post Renewables create fewer jobs globally as energy transition enters “new phase” appeared first on Climate Home News.

      Renewables create fewer jobs globally as energy transition enters “new phase”

      Continue Reading

      Climate Change

      Looking Ahead to a Deepening Affordability Crisis, an Election and the Threat of an AI Investment Bubble

      Published

      on

      Seven experts weigh in on what they expect in 2026.

      U.S. energy markets and policy are heading toward the equivalent of a multicar pileup in 2026.

      Looking Ahead to a Deepening Affordability Crisis, an Election and the Threat of an AI Investment Bubble

      Continue Reading

      Trending

      Copyright © 2022 BreakingClimateChange.com