The lithium market has entered a period of price decline, mainly because of weaker demand conditions and an oversupply of lithium carbonate in key regions.
In October, seaborne lithium carbonate prices for Asia dropped by 3.8%, hovering around $10,000 per metric ton, according to S&P Global Commodity Insights analysis.

The price dip reflects the seasonal winding down of demand typically seen at the end of the year when electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers prepare for a slowdown in post-peak sales. While September saw relative price stability, October’s downward shift reveals how the supply chain dynamics are pressing lithium markets. This is especially true in China’s case, which has been the dominant player in global EV sales in 2024.
- The slowdown underscores the lithium market’s key issue: maintaining demand growth and stabilizing prices amid fluctuating EV sales patterns.
China’s lithium market, the largest globally, saw prices fall by 3.3% in October, settling at about 73,000 yuan per ton. While a brief rebound was observed toward the end of the month, prices continue to reflect the underlying pressures of oversupply. This surplus is compounded by high inventories and the slower-than-expected uptake in EV markets outside of China.
The global market’s current inability to absorb excess supply effectively sets the tone for a persistent price slump, possibly extending into the next several years.
Li-FT Power: Exploring & Developing Hard Rock Lithium Deposits In Canada
Li-FT Power Ltd. (TSXV: LIFT) recently announced its first-ever National Instrument 43-101 (NI 43-101) compliant mineral resource estimate (MRE) for the Yellowknife Lithium Project (YLP), located in the Northwest Territories, Canada.
An Initial Mineral Resource of 50.4 Million Tonnes at Yellowknife.
This maiden estimate is a major milestone for the company and marks a significant step forward in the project’s development. Li-FT Power’s upcoming mineral resource is expected to further solidify Yellowknife as one of North America’s largest hard rock lithium resources.
Click to learn more about lithium and Li-FT Power Ltd. >>
Strategic Adjustments Among Lithium Producers
In response to these challenges, major lithium producers are taking action to manage costs and production levels.
Companies like Sinomine Resource Group have opted to cut production in higher-cost regions. In Zimbabwe, for instance, Sinomine has minimized its petalite mining operations to prioritize spodumene extraction, which has a lower production cost. This shift reflects a broader industry trend, where companies focus on streamlining their operations to protect profit margins as market prices dip.
Another significant strategic move within the industry was the recent acquisition of Arcadium Lithium by Rio Tinto. It is a substantial shift in the company’s approach to the lithium sector. This acquisition is particularly important for Rio Tinto as it extends the company’s footprint in lithium production beyond its existing projects in Serbia and Argentina, allowing it to target markets outside of China more effectively.
One of Arcadium’s main competitive advantages lies in its exploration of direct lithium extraction (DLE) technology. DLE can revolutionize the lithium market by unlocking reserves in brine deposits previously considered difficult to exploit using traditional methods.
Presently, there are 13 DLE projects in operation, with total output projected to reach about 124,000 tonnes in 2024. According to Benchmark’s data, DLE technology can account for 14% of the global lithium supply by 2035, producing around 470,000 tonnes of LCE. This growth underscores the increasing role of DLE in meeting lithium demand for battery and EV markets.

Global Investments and Expanding Lithium Supply Chain
Investments in lithium production continue to grow despite the current market downturn, which signals optimism about long-term demand.
In October, General Motors made a notable move by increasing its stake in the Lithium Nevada project to 38% with an additional $625 million investment. This initiative speaks of a long-term commitment to secure local lithium supplies. It aligns with the U.S. government’s strategic push to strengthen domestic EV battery production and reduce reliance on imports.
The U.S. Department of Energy has already extended a substantial loan of $2.26 billion to support phase 1 construction of this project. The figure reveals the critical importance of domestic lithium resources for national energy goals.
While traditional methods dominate current production, the lithium market is also increasingly exploring technological advancements. General Motors and other industry stakeholders are actively pursuing direct extraction methods to unlock challenging lithium deposits.
By experimenting with DLE, the U.S.-based Lithium Nevada project aims to reduce environmental impacts and shorten production timelines. These technological investments indicate that despite current pricing challenges, there’s confidence in lithium’s long-term demand potential. More so as EV adoption grows and global green energy transitions accelerate.
Long-Term Market Forecast and Expected Price Recovery
Looking ahead, lithium prices could remain in a tight range. S&P Global Commodity Insight’s forecasts suggest that the price of lithium carbonate will stay between $9,924 and $11,627 per metric ton until 2026. This projection reflects the industry’s cautious outlook as companies expect that demand growth will take time to balance the current surplus.
- Analysts predict that a substantial price recovery may not materialize until 2028, with a forecasted rise to $14,659 per metric ton, or about a 20.8% increase, as the market finally shifts into a deficit.

The expected long-term supply shortage is largely tied to the anticipated increase in EV adoption and the renewable energy transition. Both of these demand drivers require significant lithium resources.
However, automakers worldwide are adjusting their production strategies to balance profitability with sustainable growth. This brings uncertainty to the exact timing of the demand shift that will absorb today’s excess supply.
In summary, the lithium market in 2024 reflects a complex blend of challenges and opportunities. Prices remain low due to oversupply and fluctuating EV demand, especially outside of China, but the long-term outlook for lithium still holds promise.
The lithium industry’s ability to adapt to today’s market conditions will shape the future landscape of this essential resource, ensuring its place in the global shift toward a sustainable energy future.
The post Can the Lithium Market Overcome Falling Prices and Weak Demand in 2024? appeared first on Carbon Credits.
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Finding Nature Based Solutions in Your Supply Chain
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How Climate Change Is Raising the Cost of Living
Americans are paying more for insurance, electricity, taxes, and home repairs every year. What many people may not realize is that climate change is already one of the drivers behind those rising costs.
For many households, climate change is no longer just an environmental issue. It is becoming a cost-of-living issue. While climate impacts like melting glaciers and shrinking polar ice can feel distant from everyday life, the financial effects are already showing up in monthly budgets across the country.
Today, a larger share of household income is consumed by fixed costs such as housing, insurance, utilities, and healthcare. (3) Climate change and climate inaction are adding pressure to many of those expenses through higher disaster recovery costs, rising energy demand, infrastructure repairs, and increased insurance risk.
The goal of this article is to help connect climate change to the everyday financial realities people already experience. Regardless of where someone stands on climate policy, it is important to recognize that climate change is already increasing costs for households, businesses, and taxpayers across the United States.
More conservative estimates indicate that the average household has experienced an increase of about $400 per year from observed climate change, while less conservative estimates suggest an increase of $900.(1) Those in more disaster-prone regions of the country face disproportionate costs, with some households experiencing climate-related costs averaging $1,300 per year.(1) Another study found that climate adaptation costs driven by climate change have already consumed over 3% of personal income in the U.S. since 2015.(9) By the end of the century, housing units could spend an additional $5,600 on adaptation costs.(1)
Whether we realize it or not, Americans are already paying for climate change through higher insurance premiums, energy costs, taxes, and infrastructure repairs. These growing expenses are often referred to as climate adaptation costs.
Without meaningful climate action, these costs are expected to continue rising. Choosing not to invest in climate action is also choosing to spend more on climate adaptation.
Here are a few ways climate change is already increasing the cost of living:
- Higher insurance costs from more frequent and severe storms
- Higher energy use during longer and hotter summers
- Higher electricity rates tied to storm recovery and grid upgrades
- Higher government spending and taxpayer-funded disaster recovery costs
The real debate is not whether climate change costs money. Americans are already paying for it. The question is where we want those costs to go. Should we invest more in climate action to help reduce future climate adaptation costs, or continue paying growing recovery and adaptation expenses in everyday life?
How Climate Change Is Increasing Insurance Costs
There is one industry that closely tracks the financial impact of natural disasters: insurance. Insurance companies are focused on assessing risk, estimating damages, and collecting enough revenue to cover losses and remain financially stable.
Comparing the 20-year periods 1980–1999 and 2000–2019, climate-related disasters increased 83% globally from 3,656 events to 6,681 events. The average time between billion-dollar disasters dropped from 82 days during the 1980s to 16 days during the last 10 years, and in 2025 the average time between disasters fell to just 10 days. (6)
According to the reinsurance firm Munich Re, total economic losses from natural disasters in 2024 exceeded $320 billion globally, nearly 40% higher than the decade-long annual average. Average annual inflation-adjusted costs more than quadrupled from $22.6 billion per year in the 1980s to $102 billion per year in the 2010s. Costs increased further to an average of $153.2 billion annually during 2020–2024, representing another 50% increase over the 2010s. (6)
In the United States, billion-dollar weather and climate disasters have also increased significantly. The average number of billion-dollar disasters per year has grown from roughly three annually during the 1980s to 19 annually over the last decade. In 2023 and 2024, the U.S. recorded 28 and 27 billion-dollar disasters respectively, both setting new records. (6)
The growing impact of climate change is one reason insurance costs continue to rise. “There are two things that drive insurance loss costs, which is the frequency of events and how much they cost,” said Robert Passmore, assistant vice president of personal lines at the Property Casualty Insurers Association of America. “So, as these events become more frequent, that’s definitely going to have an impact.” (8)
After adjusting for inflation, insurance costs have steadily increased over time. From 2000 to 2020, insurance costs consistently grew faster than the Consumer Price Index due to rising rebuilding costs and weather-related losses.(3) Between 2020 and 2023 alone, the average home insurance premium increased from $75 to $360 due to climate change impacts, with disaster-prone regions experiencing especially steep increases.(1) Since 2015, homeowners in some regions affected by more extreme weather have seen home insurance costs increased by nearly 57%.(1) Some insurers have also limited or stopped offering coverage in high-risk areas.(7)
For many families, rising insurance costs are no longer occasional financial burdens. They are becoming recurring monthly expenses tied directly to growing climate risk.
How Rising Temperatures Increase Household Energy Costs

The financial impacts of climate change extend beyond insurance. Rising temperatures are also changing how much energy Americans use and how utilities plan for future electricity demand.
Between 1950 and 2010, per capita electricity use increased 10-fold, though usage has flattened or slightly declined since 2012 due to more efficient appliances and LED lighting. (3) A significant share of increased energy demand comes from cooling needs associated with higher temperatures.
Over the last 20 years, the United States has experienced increasing Cooling Degree Days (CDD) and decreasing Heating Degree Days (HDD). Nearly all counties have become warmer over the past three decades, with some areas experiencing several hundred additional cooling degree days, equivalent to roughly one additional degree of warmth on most days. (1) This trend reflects a warming climate where air conditioning demand is increasing while heating demand generally declines. (4)
As temperatures continue rising, households are expected to spend more on cooling than they save on heating. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that by 2050, national Heating Degree Days will be 11% lower while Cooling Degree Days will be 28% higher than 2021 levels. Cooling demand is projected to rise 2.5 times faster than heating demand declines. (5)
These projections come from energy and infrastructure experts planning for future electricity demand and grid capacity needs. Utilities and grid operators are already preparing for higher peak summer electricity loads caused by rising temperatures. (5)
Longer and hotter summers also affect how homes and buildings are designed. Buildings constructed for past climate conditions may require upgrades such as larger air conditioning systems, stronger insulation, and improved ventilation to remain comfortable and energy efficient in the future. (10)
For many households, this means higher monthly utility bills and potentially higher long-term home improvement costs as temperatures continue to rise.
How Climate Change Affects Electricity Rates
On an inflation-adjusted basis, average U.S. residential electricity rates are slightly lower today than they were 50 years ago. (2) However, climate-related damage to utility infrastructure is creating new upward pressure on electricity costs.
Electric utilities rely heavily on above-ground poles, wires, transformers, and substations that can be damaged by hurricanes, storms, floods, and wildfires. Repairing and upgrading this infrastructure often requires substantial investment.
As a result, utilities are increasing electricity rates in response to wildfire and hurricane events to fund infrastructure repairs and future mitigation efforts. (1) The average cumulative increase in per-household electricity expenditures due to climate-related price changes is approximately $30. (1)
While this increase may appear modest today, utility costs are expected to rise further as climate-related infrastructure damage becomes more frequent and severe.
How Climate Disasters Increase Government Spending and Taxes
Extreme weather events also damage public infrastructure, including roads, schools, bridges, airports, water systems, and emergency services infrastructure. Recovery and rebuilding costs are often funded through taxpayer dollars at the federal, state, and local levels.
The average annual government cost tied to climate-related disaster recovery is estimated at nearly $142 per household. (1) States that frequently experience hurricanes, wildfires, tornadoes, or flooding can face even higher public recovery costs.
These expenses affect taxpayers whether they personally experience a disaster or not. Climate-related recovery spending can increase pressure on public budgets, emergency management systems, and infrastructure funding nationwide.
Reducing Climate Costs Through Climate Action
While this article focuses on the growing financial costs associated with climate change, the issue is not only about money for many people. It is also about recognizing our environmental impact and taking responsibility for reducing it in order to help preserve a healthy planet for future generations.
While individuals alone cannot solve climate change, collective action can help reduce future climate adaptation costs over time.
For those interested in taking action, there are three important steps:
- Estimate your carbon footprint to better understand the emissions connected to your lifestyle and activities.
- Create a plan to gradually reduce emissions through energy efficiency, cleaner technologies, and more sustainable choices.
- Address remaining emissions by supporting verified carbon reduction projects through carbon credits.
Carbon credits are one of the most cost-effective tools available for climate action because they help fund projects that generate verified emission reductions at scale. Supporting global emission reduction efforts can help reduce the long-term impacts and costs associated with climate change.
Visit Terrapass to learn more about carbon footprints, carbon credits, and climate action solutions.
The post How Climate Change Is Raising the Cost of Living appeared first on Terrapass.
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