Long-term uranium contract prices have reached over 16-year highs due to supply uncertainty and increased demand from utilities expanding capacity for AI data centers. Current term prices are around $79 per pound, the highest since 2008, with expectations of further increases.
Cameco, a leading uranium miner, reported securing contract prices with ceilings of $125-130 per pound and floors of $70-75 per pound, the best prices seen in over a decade. Spot uranium prices, which hit a 14-year high in February 2024, are now around $82 per pound.
Uranium Market is Heating Up
Uranium is the primary fuel for nuclear energy. The International Energy Agency predicts that global nuclear generation could double by 2050, calling for a corresponding increase in supply.
However, Plenisfer Investments estimates that prices must exceed the marginal cost of production, currently $90-$100 per pound, by at least 30% to incentivize new projects. This projection suggests a continued market deficit over the next decade.

Goldman Sachs estimated that global data center power demand, currently 1-2% of power use, could grow by 160% by 2030. Nuclear energy companies such as Constellation and Vistra are poised to benefit from the US push for Big Tech to invest in climate-friendly energy to meet the growing needs of AI.
Experts said that rising demand from utilities is narrowing the gap between term and spot prices. They further noted that utilities with ample inventory but those with shortages will be compelled to buy.
Companies like Uranium Energy Corp and Ur-Energy have limited volumes but face high demand. This prompts them to seek higher prices or opt for spot sales, according to Robert Crayfourd, co-fund manager of Geiger Counter.
- RELATED NEWS: Uranium Prices Take a Dip at $89 Per Pound
Major Deals and Mergers Reflect Strong Market Interest
In late June, Australian miner Paladin Energy launched a $1.1-billion bid for Fission Uranium and its high-grade Patterson Lake South project in Saskatchewan. This move aims to address the global nuclear power push amid a decade-long underinvestment in uranium supply.
Paladin CEO Ian Purdy highlighted the shortage of primary uranium production and the strong demand for their Langer Heinrich product. The merger could make Paladin the third largest listed uranium miner globally. The miner has a production potential of 15 million pounds of uranium oxide (U3O8) annually by the decade’s end.
- READ MORE: Paladin Energy Offers C$1.14 B to Canada’s Fission Uranium. What does it mean for Uranium Mining?
In another significant market development, Uranium Royalty Corp. (NASDAQ: UROY) has entered into a binding royalty purchase agreement to acquire an additional royalty on the Churchrock uranium project in New Mexico, USA, owned indirectly by Laramide Resources. The Churchrock Project, an advanced In-Situ Recovery (ISR) project, is one of the largest undeveloped uranium projects in the U.S.
Uranium Royalty is the world’s only uranium-focused royalty and streaming company and the only pure-play uranium listed company on NASDAQ. UROY offers investors exposure to uranium prices through strategic acquisitions in uranium interests. These include royalties, streams, debt, and equity in uranium companies, as well as holdings of physical uranium.
The royalty company aims to support the uranium industry, which requires significant investment to meet the increasing demand for uranium as fuel for carbon-free nuclear energy.
Project Overview and Royalty Details
The Churchrock Project, located in the Grants Mineral Belt of New Mexico, is owned by Laramide’s subsidiary NuFuels. It’s at a development stage with significant ISR uranium resources, which could play a critical role in the U.S. uranium production landscape.
Preproduction wellfield development is expected to take four years, with all other necessary infrastructure already in place. Laramide holds most of the permits and licenses required to start production. The Life of Mine unit operating cost is estimated at US$27.70/lb. U3O8, with a static uranium price assumption of US$75/lb. U3O8.
Boosting U.S. Domestic Uranium Production
The transaction aligns with recent U.S. legislative efforts to eliminate reliance on Russian uranium imports and boost domestic uranium production. These initiatives provide funding to expand uranium, conversion, and enrichment capacity in the U.S., targeting complete phase-out of Russian imports by 2028.
Scott Melbye, CEO of UROY, remarked on this development saying that:
“Our enlarging footprints in the uranium royalty sector in the United States as evidenced by the acquisition of the additional royalty on Churchrock fit squarely in support of those initiatives.”
UROY’s acquisition of an additional royalty on the Churchrock Project is a strategic move to support U.S. uranium production. This is crucial for the country’s energy security and transition to a low-carbon economy. The transaction is subject to customary closing conditions and is expected to close by the end of July 2024.
Disclosure: Owners, members, directors and employees of carboncredits.com have/may have stock or option position in any of the companies mentioned: UROY
Additional disclosure: This communication serves the sole purpose of adding value to the research process and is for information only. Please do your own due diligence. Every investment in securities mentioned in publications of carboncredits.com involve risks which could lead to a total loss of the invested capital.
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The post Uranium Contract Prices Hit 16-Year Highs, Plus Major Market Development appeared first on Carbon Credits.
Carbon Footprint
The Strategic Case for Nature-Based Carbon Investments
Nature-based carbon investments deserve consideration when they address a specific business dependency and produce outcomes you can measure. Imagine Moonbucks, a global coffee roaster planning next season’s espresso blend. It is considering natural Grade 4 coffee from Jimma, in southwestern Oromia, Ethiopia. Its sourcing decisions affect the roasting schedule and the cash tied up in coffee purchases. Moonbucks needs to understand which measures could protect that supply, what they would cost and how it would judge the results.
1. Define the sourcing problem before choosing a project
Moonbucks needs a dependable component for its espresso blend. Its procurement team wants continuity of volume and an agreed cup profile. Replacing a shipment at short notice could require new sample approval and changes to the blend, and given the schedules for cultivation, processing, and freight delivery, is practically impossible. Moonbucks needs to get this right, and its initial concern is inconsistent deliveries. It commissions an assessment of the supplying farms and post-harvest chain. The questions cover land condition, harvest availability and whether drying or storage problems are affecting saleable lots.
This distinction changes the investment brief. A tree-planting proposal cannot be assumed to fix drying problems. Better storage cannot restore eroded land. The team must establish which problem exists before selecting the response.
CCC’s guide to finding nature-based solutions in your supply chain explains where to look. Here, the next task is to turn a broad concern into a testable proposal.
2. Develop nature-based carbon investments around the actual supply chain
The assessment would trace Moonbucks’ purchases back through the exporter and supplying producer groups. Which farms supply the contracted lots? Who controls land-management decisions? How long does the buyer expect to maintain the purchasing relationship?
Furthermore, Jimma natural Grade 4 cannot be treated as interchangeable with every Ethiopian coffee. Moonbucks would need to test any substitute against its own blend and quality requirements.
Suppose Moonbucks’ assessment identifies an opportunity to maintain shade trees and restore vegetation along exposed streambanks. The IPCC describes agroforestry as a way to store carbon in vegetation and soil, with potential benefits for erosion control and water quality.1 Moonbucks would need local advice on species, growing conditions and maintenance before deciding how these measures fit its sourcing plan.
The proposal now has a defined sourcing connection and a candidate intervention. The next steps are to test its effect on production, assess carbon eligibility and build the financial case.
3. Compare the proposal with other ways to protect supply
WBCSD’s Nature-based Solutions Blueprint recommends comparing nature-based options with other responses across their benefits and costs.2 For Moonbucks, that means evaluating the landscape proposal alongside drying improvements, storage controls and alternative sourcing arrangements.
The product’s natural-process designation matters. Moonbucks should examine the drying and dry-milling chain alongside land conditions. Its team would check storage practices, contamination risks and incoming-lot quality to see whether problems arise before or after the coffee leaves the farms.
The revised proposal might combine land stewardship with separate post-harvest controls. Each component needs its own purpose and budget. A sustainability label should not obscure which activity is expected to solve which problem.
The project develops as the evidence improves. Its scope should follow the diagnosis rather than preserve the first idea unchanged.
4. Establish what the carbon outcome could count toward
Moonbucks’ sustainability team now tests the proposed carbon case separately from the sourcing case. Is the objective a measurable change in Moonbucks’ value-chain emissions, verified credits for separate voluntary use, or distinct outcomes under carefully defined arrangements?
Scope 3 covers value-chain emissions. A purchasing relationship alone does not prove that a farm intervention can be included in Moonbucks’ inventory. The team needs an applicable accounting method, defensible boundaries and evidence supporting attribution.
SBTi’s FLAG Guidance (forest, land and agriculture), version 1.2, says purchased credits used as offsets cannot meet near-term FLAG or energy and industry targets. Eligible land-based removals are subject to accounting requirements.3 Moonbucks needs to test its proposal against those rules before including an outcome in its targets.
For Moonbucks’ Jimma proposal, maintaining existing trees and establishing new vegetation could involve different carbon questions. Specialists must examine the baseline and additionality, meaning what changes because the project proceeds. They must also assess measurement and the risk that stored carbon is lost. CCC’s MRV and additionality article introduces those tests.
Until that work is complete, Moonbucks should not budget an assumed Scope 3 reduction or credit-sale receipt. Direct emissions reductions remain the priority.
5. Build a financial case that survives weaker assumptions
Moonbucks’ finance team would now build a multi-year budget. UNEP’s State of Finance for Nature 2023 compares current finance with the investment needed to meet climate, biodiversity and land-restoration goals.4 The company would cost its proposed activities, farmer participation and ongoing monitoring. Verification, where required, is a separate expense. Maintenance and responsibility for replacing failed plantings must remain visible after the initial establishment budget ends.
Operational benefits need equally careful treatment. If fewer rejected lots reduce emergency purchasing, count that saving once. Do not add “supply resilience” as another financial benefit when it represents the same avoided cost.
Moonbucks should compare a base case with slower benefits, higher implementation costs and no carbon revenue. It should also distinguish production outcomes from quality and shipment outcomes. A single good harvest would not prove that the landscape intervention caused better delivery performance.
A project can remain worth funding even when its carbon case needs more work. That decision must rest on the operational evidence and the company’s objectives, without unsupported environmental claims.
6. Fund a pilot with a clear expansion decision
Moonbucks’ first approval would fund a bounded pilot, rather than commit the entire sourcing program. Before spending, Moonbucks would agree on participating farms, responsibilities and the evidence needed at review.
Its scorecard could track farmer participation, implementation costs and plant survival, alongside accepted coffee volumes and lot-quality results. Carbon measurements would follow the selected method. Farm-level traceability must connect the intervention to the actual sourcing relationship.
Suppose Moonbucks’ review later finds that storage changes explain most quality improvements, while the land measures need longer observation. Those findings would shape the next decision: expand the proven component, adjust the landscape work or pause further spending. They would not justify crediting all improvements to tree planting.
This gives nature-based carbon investments a practical place in a multi-year strategy. Funding increases as the evidence supports it, and the project can change direction before a larger commitment.
Discuss a sourcing opportunity with CCC
Carbon Credit Capital’s nature-based supply-chain investment service uses its Dual-Value Model to examine supply-chain economics alongside potential sustainability outcomes.
Schedule a consultation to discuss your sourcing exposure and the questions to resolve before allocating capital.
Sources
- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Climate Change 2022: Mitigation of Climate Change, Chapter 7, Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Uses, section 7.4.3.3 (Agroforestry).
- World Business Council for Sustainable Development (WBCSD), Nature-based Solutions Blueprint, 5 June 2024.
- Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi), Forest, Land and Agriculture Science-Based Target-Setting Guidance, version 1.2, March 2026, section 3.1.4, pp. 37–38.
- United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), State of Finance for Nature 2023, 2023.
Carbon Footprint
How to buy plastic credits, and what to check before you do
A plastic credit funds the collection of plastic waste in places where no formal system exists to collect it. Each credit represents a measured, independently audited quantity of plastic taken out of the environment or returned to use, tracked on a public registry.
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Carbon Footprint
EU carbon credit claims after 27 September 2026
EU carbon credit claims changed on 27 September 2026, the day the Directive (EU) 2024/825 began to apply across the European Union. The change is narrow. It changes how a company can talk about the credits it buys. A product can no longer be called neutral on the strength of compensation alone; however, every specific, evidenced statement about what a company measured, reduced, and funded stays fully available.
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