Warm-water coral reefs have crossed a tipping point due to global heating and are dying at an accelerated rate due to repeated mass bleaching events, impacting hundreds of millions of people who rely on them for fishing, tourism and protection from rising seas and storm surges, according to new research.
Global average temperatures are about 1.3-1.4C above pre-industrial times, which is higher than coral reefs can withstand. Their thermal tipping point is estimated to be 1.2C of warming.
If the trend is not reversed, coral reefs around the world will be lost, warned the second Global Tipping Points report, released on Monday and produced by more than 160 scientists in 23 countries, led by the Global Systems Institute at the UK’s University of Exeter.
Of the seven tipping points monitored by the researchers, this is the first to be shown as already passed. “We’ve actually already lost about half our warm-water coral reef cover, and we can expect accelerated change in the next few decades as well,” said Mike Barrett, chief scientific advisor at WWF-UK.
The report also said parts of the West Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets are losing ice at an accelerating speed, coming close to collapse. Greenland’s ice sheet is losing 266 billion tonnes of ice mass per year. If that meltwater flows into the North Atlantic and destabilises its subpolar gyre (large rotating current), it could produce a “Little Ice Age” in Europe, with worsening heatwaves in the summer but freezing months in the winter.
The report also said the Amazon rainforest is at greater risk than previously thought. Steven Smith from the Global Systems Institute told a webinar on the report that “the combined effects of climate change and deforestation put this [the rainforest] under threat between 1.5 to 2 degrees of warming.”
Overshooting the 1.5C warming limit governments promised to try to keep to under the Paris Agreement now looks “pretty inevitable”, and could happen around 2030, according to the report.
The researchers said they are working with Brazil to ensure that tipping points are discussed at the COP30 climate summit it will host in November, highlighting actions that need to be taken fast.
Those include phasing out fossil fuels, increasing support for clean technologies and infrastructure, and switching to more sustainable food systems.
“Governance systems, national policies, rules, multinational agreements – including the Paris Agreement – were not designed with tipping points in mind,” said Manjana Milkoreit from the University of Oslo. “They’re made for linear or gradual changes, not the abrupt, irreversible and interconnected shifts in the Earth systems that we’re now facing.”
The consequences of a warming ocean
Corals not only provide livelihoods, food security and protection from tropical storms for over half a billion people – they also deliver $2.7 trillion annually in global economic benefits, the scientists said.
Melanie McField, founder and director of the Healthy Reefs for Healthy People Initiative (HRI), explained that the tipping point is not necessarily irreversible, as not all corals are affected at the same time – and ocean protection efforts in general could save them from becoming victims of overfishing and pollution.
In recent weeks, new reports have confirmed the effects of heat on the oceans and marine life. The EU Copernicus Ocean State Report showed that almost a quarter of the global ocean surface experienced at least one severe to extreme marine heatwave event in 2023 – a trend that has accelerated since 2005.
And last month, the annual planetary boundaries report from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) said the planetary limit for ocean acidification had been surpassed for the first time, weakening the oceans’ ability to act as Earth’s stabiliser.
Oceans turn more acidic by absorbing CO2 from the atmosphere, a process that threatens marine life, with 1,677 species at risk of extinction, PIK said. The Copernicus report indicates a 16.5% increase in ocean acidity since 1985.
Meanwhile, ocean heatwaves not only have become more frequent but have also caused the planet’s seas to reach new record temperatures. The warmest the ocean has been since satellite data started to be collected was in spring 2024, when the global average hit 21C. More than 90% of the excess heat trapped in the Earth’s system due to human-caused global warming has been absorbed by the oceans, according to the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
Marta Marcos, an associate professor at the University of the Balearic Islands and one of the Copernicus’ study authors, told Climate Home News another key issue is the acceleration in sea level rise, which began speeding up in the 1960s-70s and is now above 4 millimetres per year. “Sea level not only continues to rise, but is rising at an ever faster rate,” she said.
While sea level rise is a global trend, the major risk is in densely populated cities near the sea. For example, in Europe around 200 million people live near coastlines – and higher baseline sea levels increase the threat to their homes and infrastructure from extreme weather. “When a storm comes, with its surge and waves, it has a much greater destructive potential,” explained Marcos.
Blue NDCs bring oceans into climate plans
Marcos believes there is growing government interest in protecting the oceans. In September, the High Seas Treaty, which lays the ground for the creation of marine protected areas (MPAs) in international waters, reached the 60 government ratifications needed for it to take effect.
And during New York Climate Week in September, Chile and the UK committed to include ocean-based solutions in their national climate plans (known as NDCs). Eleven countries have now joined the “Blue NDC” project which encourages governments – depending on their circumstances – to manage marine ecosystems, phase out offshore oil and gas production, expand clean ocean energy, cut emissions and support sustainable fisheries.
Others with Blue NDCs are Brazil, France, Australia, Fiji, Kenya, Mexico, Palau, Madagascar and the Republic of Seychelles.
Such ocean-based solutions can provide 35% of the emissions reductions the world needs by 2035, a study by the High Level Panel for a Sustainable Ocean Economy shows.
Mary Creagh, the UK’s minister for nature, said oceans are central to her country’s NDC – but work is still being finalised on how to count emissions reductions from seagrass and seaweed management and coastal restoration. “We’re working on the science, which we’re happy to share globally once it is complete,” she added.
One key challenge is getting the world’s largest fish-producing countries to sign up to tackle ocean issues in their climate plans, particularly Asian heavyweights such as China, Indonesia, India and Vietnam.
Blue NDC member and COP30 host Brazil, meanwhile, recently announced its largest oil and gas discovery in 25 years in the Santos Basin, 400 kilometres off its coast.
Nonetheless, Marcos said such initiatives are important, adding that any effective action “has to be global, coordinated, and based on data and science”.
Marinez Scherer, a marine biologist and coastal management expert who is the COP30 Special Envoy for Oceans, said the upcoming operationalisation of the High Seas Treaty is a step forward on the path to the climate summit, which she said would discuss a plan to speed up implementation of ocean solutions.
Scherer said COP30 will present measures that are currently working in Brazil and show the world what’s needed to “plan and manage the ocean in a very healthy and sustainable way”.
The post As coral reefs pass tipping point, ocean protection rises up political agenda appeared first on Climate Home News.
As coral reefs pass tipping point, ocean protection rises up political agenda
Climate Change
The Land Came First
An older teaching about land acknowledgement
As I have come to understand the spirit and intention of land acknowledgement, I often return to fond memories of my grandmother and her words of wisdom. She taught that the health of the places we call home comes first, because the wellbeing of the people depends on it.
In her teaching, land acknowledgement began with the land. Long before it became a paragraph read at the start of a meeting, it was a way of recognizing a homeland: its waters, its species, its seasons, and the spirit that revealed whether the place was well.
Her teaching echoes a practice found across many Indigenous Nations. Haudenosaunee gatherings, for example, have long opened with the Ohén:ton Karihwatéhkwen, the Thanksgiving Address, often translated as “the words that come before all else.” The speaker greets and gives thanks to the people, the earth, the waters, the plants, the animals, the winds, the sun, the moon and the stars. Only after everything that sustains life has been acknowledged does the gathering turn to its own business.
That order changes what an acknowledgement is for. Its purpose was to share the story of a place with neighbours and to draw them into the work of tending it. People entered the story second, as the ones responsible for what had just been named.
Understood this way, an acknowledgement does more than open a meeting. It asks us to reconsider where we stand, and what we owe the ground beneath us.
Nations among nations
In her teaching, people are one nation among many. The salmon are a nation. So are the cedars, the bison, the medicine plants, and the pollinators. Each belongs to a place, carries its own responsibilities, and offers gifts no other nation can give.
This idea of kinship runs through many Indigenous philosophies. The phrase “all my relations,” heard in ceremonies and gatherings across Turtle Island, is a reminder that family extends beyond people to the animals, plants, waters and lands that make life possible. Some Indigenous languages carry the same understanding in their grammar, speaking of many plants, animals and natural forces as living beings rather than objects.
Sovereignty, understood through this relationship, is a kind of standing more than a form of control. Each nation belongs fully to its place and carries its share of that place’s life. No nation thrives alone, and none thrives by taking over the whole.
The land is also the source of instruction. Over generations, people watched how a river valley or a stretch of prairie kept itself well: who arrived when, who fed whom, and how much could be taken before the giving stopped. In my grandmother’s telling, those observations became instructions, and those instructions helped shape law and protocol. They guided when to harvest, where to camp, how to enter a neighbour’s territory, and what was owed in return.
Indigenous legal scholars today often describe this as law that comes from the land itself, learned by watching how living systems sustain one another. A plainer name for it is knowing how to live somewhere.
The host and the guest
One of the clearest teachings in this understanding of the world is the relationship between host and guest. My grandmother invited us to recognize that relationship in the lives of plants and animals.
A host prepares the place before anyone arrives. A beaver family dams a stream, and the pond becomes a home for fish, frogs, birds and plants. A fallen tree becomes a nurse log, feeding the next generation of seedlings as it returns to the soil.
A host offers first. A flowering plant sets out nectar. A berry bush ripens fruit. These provisions come in their own season, not whenever a visitor happens to want them.
A host also makes its presence known. Birdsong, scent and the marks left along a trail tell newcomers that a place is already inhabited. The visitor does not arrive in an empty world.
The guest has responsibilities too. A guest attends to the season and to what the place can offer. A guest does not assume that everything within reach is theirs to take. A guest leaves something that helps sustain the relationship.
A bee takes nectar and carries pollen. Read through this teaching, that exchange offers an image of visiting well: receiving a gift while helping the host continue its life.
Many Indigenous harvesting protocols carry the same ethic into daily practice: ask before taking, take only what is needed, offer thanks, and leave enough for others and for the plant or animal to recover.
None of this suggests that every relationship in nature is peaceful or generous. These are ways of seeing responsibilities that people can learn to carry.
Everyone is both
No being is only a host or only a guest.
A tree makes room for other life while depending on soil, water, sunlight, fungi, and relationships beyond itself. People, too, may welcome others into their homes while remaining dependent on the larger homeland that sustains them.
The distinction between host and guest is therefore about roles, not ranks. Everyone receives. Everyone has something to give.
The question is whether the exchange sustains the place.
A visitor who takes without restraint leaves less for those who come next. A host who neglects the place has less to offer. Both have responsibilities, and neither can fulfil them alone.
This is the heart of reciprocity, a principle found across Indigenous philosophies: relationships stay healthy when gifts move in both directions. The Haudenosaunee teaching of the seventh generation extends that exchange across time, asking that decisions made today leave the place well for those not yet born.
Mutual benefit begins here, with the recognition that different beings carry different gifts and obligations.
What people carry forward
My grandmother’s teaching connects these relationships to the ways people meet their neighbours.
The host prepares a place, offers food and rest, and explains where the visitor has arrived. The guest makes themselves known, explains why they have come, listens to the terms of the visit, and brings something in return. The gift may be material. It may also be labour, knowledge, news, or a commitment to help.
Nations around the Great Lakes carried this ethic into treaty. The Dish with One Spoon, an agreement among the Haudenosaunee, Anishinaabe and allied Nations, describes shared hunting grounds as a single dish. Everyone eats from it with one spoon, takes only what they need, leaves enough for others, and keeps the dish clean. The Two Row Wampum, between the Haudenosaunee and European newcomers, shows two vessels travelling side by side on the same river, each keeping its own ways and neither steering the other.
In this understanding, acknowledgement is more than naming the people associated with a territory. It is learning enough about a homeland to behave responsibly within it.
Whose home is this? What sustains it? What laws and agreements guide our presence? What can we receive, and what must we return?
These questions make acknowledgement a relationship rather than a recital.
They also make it diplomatic. A guest who recognizes the host’s homeland recognizes that they have entered a place with its own relationships and responsibilities. A host who welcomes the guest makes room for an encounter governed by those relationships.
Neither arrives without standing. Neither arrives without obligations.
Beginning with place
I write from the shores of the Bay of Quinte. Here, the teaching asks me to begin with the water, the shoreline, and the life they sustain. Before I describe myself, I must attend to where I am.
That does not make people or history less important. It places them within the homeland that gives them meaning. The people, their laws, their agreements, and their responsibilities all belong to the place.
In a time of longer fire seasons, troubled waters, and uncertainty about what the next season will bring, this teaching asks something difficult and useful of us: pay attention before you speak.
An acknowledgement cannot tell the story of a place if the speaker has stopped noticing it.
The land came first. Beginning there again means learning to name what sustains us, and accepting that what sustains us also asks something of us.
By Rye Karonhiowanen Barberstock
Photo by Andrik Langfield on Unsplash
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