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Vancouver-based Lundin Mining Corporation aims to rank among the world’s top ten copper producers. On June 18, during its Capital Markets Day, the company shared its goal of producing over 500,000 tonnes of copper and 550,000 ounces of gold each year.

The plan includes major expansions at current sites and developing the Vicuña district, one of the richest untapped sources of copper, gold, and silver.

Jack Lundin, President and CEO, commented,

“Lundin Mining is entering an exciting new growth phase, underpinned by a clear path to increase copper production through low-cost brownfield expansions at Candelaria, Caserones, and Chapada. These projects are expected to deliver meaningful production gains over the next three to five years. Across all our operations, we see significant exploration upside, including promising opportunities at Eagle that could meaningfully extend the life of mine. In parallel, our Vicuña Project offers transformational long-term growth potential. Backed by a significantly strengthened balance sheet, reduced cash costs, robust free cash flow generation, and a best-in-class team, we are well-positioned to continue returning capital to shareholders while advancing  ambition of becoming a top-ten global copper producer.”

Lundin’s Copper Expansion Plans Backed by Operational Strength

Lundin Mining plans to boost copper production by 30,000 to 40,000 tonnes annually within three to five years. The company revealed that these increases will mainly come from brownfield expansions at existing operations.

2025 Production Guidance

Lundin copper
Source: Lundin Mining

Here are some of the strategies for achieving the targets:

Candelaria 

At Candelaria in Chile, Lundin is shifting its underground expansion to a more cost-effective model. This change will maintain nearly the same output while improving equipment use and speeding up underground development. Lundin expects to increase annual copper output by about 10%, adding around 14,000 tonnes.

Caserones

In Caserones, Chile, better leaching methods are increasing copper cathode production. By maximizing underused plant capacity and accessing more oxide material, Lundin aims to produce an extra 7,000 to 10,000 tonnes of copper each year.

Chapada

In Brazil, the Chapada mine is set for significant growth. A nearby brownfield project, the Saúva project, could contribute 15,000 to 20,000 tonnes of copper and 50,000 to 60,000 ounces of gold annually. This would boost copper output by 50% and double gold production at Chapada. A prefeasibility study is underway and should be ready by year-end.

Boulderdash Project: U.S. 

In the U.S., exploration continues at the Boulderdash project near the Eagle Mine. Lundin has an agreement with Talon Metals for a 70% stake if the project progresses. A successful discovery here could greatly extend the Eagle operation’s life.

Vicuña Project Could Transform Lundin’s Production Profile

Lundin holds a 50% stake in the Vicuña Project, which includes the Filo del Sol and Josemaria deposits. This area is now seen as one of the largest copper, gold, and silver resource regions worldwide.

An integrated development study is in progress, aiming to detail production outlooks and capital needs. Completion is expected in early 2026. If successful, this project could significantly enhance Lundin’s position among global mining leaders.

largest copper mines
Source: Lundin Mining

Copper and Gold Targets Within Reach

In the coming years, Lundin Mining forecasts steady production growth. Copper output is set to rise by up to 40,000 tonnes annually, while gold production could increase by as much as 70,000 ounces.

  • These efforts support the larger goal of achieving annual production levels of over 500,000 tonnes of copper and 550,000 ounces of gold.

Lundin’s Strong Financial Outlook Supports Growth

Another feather in its cap is: Lundin Mining continues to show strong financial performance. The company plans to return $220 million to shareholders each year through dividends and share buybacks.

Lundin copper
Source: Lundin Mining

For 2025, Lundin anticipates revenue around $3.7 billion, assuming a copper price of $4.40 per pound. Adjusted operating cash flow is expected to reach $1.3 billion, with adjusted free cash flow around $800 million.

From 2025 to 2029, Lundin expects to generate $8.1 billion in cumulative EBITDA, $6.5 billion in operating cash flow, and $4.9 billion in free cash flow.

Recent Copper Output and Cost Savings Boost Confidence

Furthermore, in April and May, Lundin produced 53,000 tonnes of copper. Year-to-date copper production through May is 129,800 tonnes. This kept the company on track to meet its annual targets.

Cash costs at the Chapada mine have decreased due to strong gold prices and a weaker local currency in Brazil. Consequently, Lundin has lowered its overall copper cash cost guidance from $2.05–$2.30 per pound to $1.95–$2.15 per pound.

Lundin Mining Powers Up with 100% Renewables in Candelaria 

Lundin Mining continued to make progress on reducing its greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in 2024. One of the key steps was at its Candelaria operation, where the company increased its renewable electricity supply from 80% to 100% by updating its power purchase agreement. With this change, all of Lundin Mining’s sites in Chile now run entirely on renewable electricity.

Scope 2 Emissions Drop Despite Overall Rise

  • Since 2019, the company’s market-based Scope 1 and Scope 2 GHG emissions have dropped by 62%—from 1,543,612 tonnes in 2019 to 953,051 tonnes in 2024.

However, total gross Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions were slightly higher in 2024 compared to the previous year. This increase was mainly due to including a full year of fuel-related emissions from the Caserones mine. Still, market-based Scope 2 emissions went down by 6%, helped by the shift to fully renewable electricity at Candelaria.

Lundin mining emissions
Source: Lundin Mining

Lundin Mining is on track for a significant increase in copper and gold production. With low-cost expansion and a promising mining district, the company is focused on meeting its growth objectives. Grounded in solid financials and a commitment to shareholder returns, Lundin’s future relies on strong fundamentals and global opportunities.

The post How Lundin Mining (LUN) Plans to Break into the World’s Top Ten Copper Producers? appeared first on Carbon Credits.

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Insetting vs Offsetting: Which Actually Counts Toward Your Scope 3 Targets

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The accounting differences that decide whether your nature investment shows up in inventory, in BVCM, or nowhere at all.

The question reaches a procurement team about three weeks before the next sustainability committee meeting. Someone has read about insetting. Someone else has just signed off on an offset purchase. The CSO wants to know if the two are interchangeable. The answer is no, and the GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard is the reason why.

This article walks through what each term means at audit-grade specificity, what the standards actually say about how each gets counted, and how to decide which tool fits which target. The insetting vs offsetting question is one of the most-searched in corporate climate strategy, and one of the most poorly answered. By the end of this piece, you should be able to brief a committee on the difference without notes.

The two definitions, in plain English

Offsetting means buying carbon credits generated outside your value chain and retiring them against your residual emissions. The reduction happens somewhere else, financed by you, and the credit is the receipt.

Insetting means investing in emission reductions or removals inside your own value chain, typically with suppliers, where the reduction is directly linked to the products and services you buy. The reduction happens inside the boundary of your Scope 3 inventory, and the accounting treatment is fundamentally different.

The shorthand from the University of Oxford’s Nature-based Insetting Initiative is useful: insetting is what you do with the supply chain you have; offsetting is what you do with the supply chain you do not have.

What the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard actually says

The GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard, finalised in 2024 after a multi-year pilot, sets the rules for how land-based emission reductions and removals enter corporate inventories. The Standard distinguishes between inventory accounting (Scope 1, 2, and 3) and project or intervention accounting (a separate methodology for crediting).

For insetting, the practical implication is that supplier-level interventions, when properly measured and attributed, can reduce your Scope 3 category 1 (purchased goods and services) emissions in your inventory. The reduction is not a credit retired against the inventory; it is a lower inventory number, period.

For offsetting, the credit is retired separately. It can be reported as a contribution toward a net-zero claim under the SBTi Beyond Value Chain Mitigation framework or as part of a VCMI Carbon Integrity claim, but it does not lower the inventory number.

A practical consequence: if your Science Based Target requires a 50% absolute reduction in Scope 3 emissions by 2030, insetting moves you toward the target. Offsetting does not. This single point of difference reshapes the procurement decision.

When insetting counts toward Scope 3 (and when it does not)

Insetting counts toward Scope 3 only when several conditions are met:

  • The intervention must occur with an entity in your value chain.
  • The emissions reduction or removal must be measured against a defensible baseline.
  • The reduction must be attributed to your share of that supplier’s output, not double-counted with other buyers.
  • It must follow the inventory accounting rules in the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard, not the project accounting rules used to generate credits.

The most common failure mode is double counting. If your supplier sells the same reduction as a credit on the voluntary market and also reports it to you as a Scope 3 reduction, the math breaks. The Standard requires you to address this risk, typically by purchasing and retiring the supplier-issued credit as part of your inventory or by contractual provisions that prevent the supplier from selling the reduction twice.

When insetting does not count toward Scope 3: when the intervention sits with a supplier you do not buy from, when the baseline is not defensible, when the attribution is unclear, or when the documentation does not survive audit. Those cases default to Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, which is still useful but operates on a different ledger.

The procurement and supplier engagement question

Insetting is harder than offsetting. That is the unfashionable truth most buyers eventually confront. Offsetting is a transaction; insetting is a relationship.

To run an insetting program, you need supplier mapping precise enough to know which farms or facilities sit at which Scope 3 boundary. You need an engagement model that gets suppliers to participate, which usually requires multi-year commitments and shared economics. You need an MRV architecture that measures the right things and produces audit-ready documentation. And you need a contractual structure that prevents double counting and protects both sides.

The trade-off you receive in return is significant. Reductions count against your inventory rather than your residual. Supplier relationships deepen, which protects sourcing continuity. Yield and quality improvements often follow regenerative interventions, which reduces your input cost over time. And the regulatory file, under CSRD, CSDDD, EUDR, and the SBTi FLAG Guidance, is materially stronger.

Choosing the right tool for the right target

A practical decision rule. If your target is a science-based Scope 3 reduction and you operate in a FLAG sector or source FLAG commodities, insetting is the structurally correct tool. If your target is a net-zero claim that includes neutralising hard-to-abate residual emissions outside your value chain, BVCM via high-integrity offsets is the structurally correct tool. Most companies with material Scope 3 exposure need both, in different proportions, sequenced over time.

The sequencing matters. Insetting takes longer to stand up but produces a permanent reduction in the inventory. Offsetting can be transacted faster but does not change the inventory and now sits under tighter claim restrictions. Treat them as complementary tools with different jobs, not as substitutes. The Accountability Framework Initiative and the IUCN Global Standard for Nature-based Solutions both provide useful guardrails for the insetting side, with biodiversity, human rights, and benefit-sharing requirements that go beyond carbon math.

If you are mapping a Scope 3 reduction roadmap and need to scope which interventions count toward your inventory versus which sit in Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, the carbon and sustainability experts at Carbon Credit Capital can help you structure a nature-based supply chain investment program that fits your FLAG exposure, your target architecture, and your audit horizon. Schedule a consultation.

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Net zero needs nature: a carbon credit guide

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Net zero is often described as a balancing act: cut what you can, account for the rest, and reach zero on the ledger. That framing is useful, but it leaves something out. It treats every tonne of carbon as interchangeable and every route to zero as equally sound, while the science tells a more specific story.

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Carbon Footprint

Deforestation in Malawi: causes and solutions

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Malawi has lost a striking share of its forests over the past three decades. Woodlands that once covered well over a third of the country now cover less than a quarter, and the pressure on what remains is increasing. Behind those figures sit two practical questions: what is driving the loss, and what reverses it?

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