Ecosystem Marketplace (EM) releases the 2023 State of the Voluntary Carbon Market (SOVCM) report, thoroughly analyzing global voluntary carbon credit supply and demand. The report combines interviews and disclosures from key market players with registry data from major carbon credit standards. While retrospective, the report also provides insights into future market trends.
2023 marked a significant year for the market, characterized by more scrutiny due to media coverage of unethical carbon projects. Despite this, the market’s value rose for the fourth consecutive year since 2020, reaching $723 million in 2023. This trend, which began in 2020 and peaked in 2021 with over $2 billion in carbon credits traded, has partially offset declining transaction volumes.
Overall, 49% of the total VCM value reported to EM since 2005 occurred between 2020 and 2023, signaling significant market growth and resilience. We crunch the EM report, with the following highlights.
The Big Picture: Volume, Value, and Price Dynamics
In 2023, the voluntary carbon market (VCM) experienced a significant downturn, with total transactions plummeting by 56% to 111 million tons CO2e compared to the previous year. Despite this steep decline in volume, the average price per ton of CO2e only saw a moderate decrease of 11%, reaching $6.53.

Consequently, the total market value also took a hit, dropping by 61% year-over-year to $723 million. This decline in market activity was primarily attributed to both a reduction in volume and a retreat from the peak carbon prices observed in 2022.

The decrease in the number of market respondents further contributed to the downturn, with some entities merging and others temporarily halting credit sales as they awaited the establishment of stronger integrity and quality norms within the VCM. As a result, the number of respondents providing transaction data decreased from the previous year.
Qualitative feedback from market participants revealed divergent trends among different segments of the market. Remarkably, there was a notable preference among buyers for credits sourced from nature-based and community-focused projects, which offer additional environmental and social co-benefits alongside emissions reductions.
This shift in preference away from carbon removal projects contributed to the decline in overall market volume. However, the impact on market value was less pronounced.
Buyer Behavior: Premiums and Preferences
The EM report further highlighted notable variations in credit prices depending on the buyer type. End users, who directly use carbon credits for emission reduction purposes, paid a premium of 33% over intermediaries, consistent with the previous year. This premium reflects the value end users place on credits for achieving their sustainability goals.
Notably, transactions involving Energy Efficiency/Fuel Switching and Renewable Energy credits saw the largest premium for end users. This indicates a reliance on intermediaries for project quality assessment.

Among different credit standards, Gold Standard credits commanded the highest premium for end-user sales, amounting to 140%, up from 83% in 2022. This suggests a growing preference among buyers for trusted intermediaries to vet project quality.
Similarly, Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) and Verified Carbon Standard (VCS) credits also saw substantial increases in premiums for end-user sales. The shift towards intermediaries for project quality assessment is particularly pronounced in CDM transactions, with 73% of sales going to intermediaries in 2023.
These trends may reflect market uncertainty surrounding the transition of CDM projects to future mechanisms under the Paris Agreement. This prompted buyers to rely more on intermediaries for quality assurance.
Registry Round-Up: Project Registrations and Trends
Analysis of registry data from credit standard registries provides insights into the dynamics of project registrations, issuances, and retirements in the VCM.
Despite challenges, the total number of newly registered projects increased to 694 in 2023, with Household/Community Devices projects leading the growth. Registrations in Forestry and Land Use, Renewable Energy, Agriculture, and Waste Disposal categories also saw year-on-year increases.

In terms of credit issuances, it decreased by 93 MtCO2 e in 2023 compared to 2022. Meanwhile, retirements increased by 2.6 MtCO2 e, indicating a tightening surplus supply of carbon credits.
Declines in issuances were observed in Chemical Processes/Industrial Manufacturing and Energy Efficiency/Fuel Switching categories, while Household/Community Devices and Transportation projects experienced increases.
Forestry and Land Use, and Chemical Processes/Industrial Manufacturing categories saw the greatest growth in retirements, suggesting a preference for projects with clear carbon removals and emissions reductions. Conversely, retirements of Renewable Energy, Waste Disposal, and Transportation credits decreased.
Total annual credit retirements have remained around 170 MtCO2 e for the past three years, indicating steady fundamental demand. However, there’s potential for increased retirements if corporate buyers can claim credits as offsets against their Scope 3 emissions targets. These trends reflect shifting preferences towards projects with stronger additionality and clear carbon impact within the VCM.
Evolving Project Preferences
The decline in total market value for all categories of VCM credits in 2023 was accompanied by various factors affecting each category. While some categories experienced increases in volume and/or average transaction price, others faced declines.

Energy Efficiency/Fuel Switching, Agriculture, and Household/Community Devices categories saw volume growth, indicating increased activity. However, Forestry and Land Use and Renewable Energy credits witnessed the largest declines in volume, despite being popular project types.
However, Blue Carbon credit volume plummeted, with prices driven down, particularly for Wetland Restoration/Management projects without ARR activities.
Notably, North American industrial process efficiency credits were transacted at lower prices, contributing to the price decline in the Chemical Processes/Industrial Manufacturing category. These trends illustrate shifting dynamics within different segments of the VCM, reflecting evolving market preferences and supply factors.
Access full copy of the report here.
The post Why The Voluntary Carbon Market Took a Hit in 2023 appeared first on Carbon Credits.
Carbon Footprint
Insetting vs Offsetting: Which Actually Counts Toward Your Scope 3 Targets
The accounting differences that decide whether your nature investment shows up in inventory, in BVCM, or nowhere at all.
The question reaches a procurement team about three weeks before the next sustainability committee meeting. Someone has read about insetting. Someone else has just signed off on an offset purchase. The CSO wants to know if the two are interchangeable. The answer is no, and the GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard is the reason why.
This article walks through what each term means at audit-grade specificity, what the standards actually say about how each gets counted, and how to decide which tool fits which target. The insetting vs offsetting question is one of the most-searched in corporate climate strategy, and one of the most poorly answered. By the end of this piece, you should be able to brief a committee on the difference without notes.
The two definitions, in plain English
Offsetting means buying carbon credits generated outside your value chain and retiring them against your residual emissions. The reduction happens somewhere else, financed by you, and the credit is the receipt.
Insetting means investing in emission reductions or removals inside your own value chain, typically with suppliers, where the reduction is directly linked to the products and services you buy. The reduction happens inside the boundary of your Scope 3 inventory, and the accounting treatment is fundamentally different.
The shorthand from the University of Oxford’s Nature-based Insetting Initiative is useful: insetting is what you do with the supply chain you have; offsetting is what you do with the supply chain you do not have.
What the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard actually says
The GHG Protocol Land Sector and Removals Standard, finalised in 2024 after a multi-year pilot, sets the rules for how land-based emission reductions and removals enter corporate inventories. The Standard distinguishes between inventory accounting (Scope 1, 2, and 3) and project or intervention accounting (a separate methodology for crediting).
For insetting, the practical implication is that supplier-level interventions, when properly measured and attributed, can reduce your Scope 3 category 1 (purchased goods and services) emissions in your inventory. The reduction is not a credit retired against the inventory; it is a lower inventory number, period.
For offsetting, the credit is retired separately. It can be reported as a contribution toward a net-zero claim under the SBTi Beyond Value Chain Mitigation framework or as part of a VCMI Carbon Integrity claim, but it does not lower the inventory number.
A practical consequence: if your Science Based Target requires a 50% absolute reduction in Scope 3 emissions by 2030, insetting moves you toward the target. Offsetting does not. This single point of difference reshapes the procurement decision.
When insetting counts toward Scope 3 (and when it does not)
Insetting counts toward Scope 3 only when several conditions are met:
- The intervention must occur with an entity in your value chain.
- The emissions reduction or removal must be measured against a defensible baseline.
- The reduction must be attributed to your share of that supplier’s output, not double-counted with other buyers.
- It must follow the inventory accounting rules in the GHG Protocol Land Sector Standard, not the project accounting rules used to generate credits.
The most common failure mode is double counting. If your supplier sells the same reduction as a credit on the voluntary market and also reports it to you as a Scope 3 reduction, the math breaks. The Standard requires you to address this risk, typically by purchasing and retiring the supplier-issued credit as part of your inventory or by contractual provisions that prevent the supplier from selling the reduction twice.
When insetting does not count toward Scope 3: when the intervention sits with a supplier you do not buy from, when the baseline is not defensible, when the attribution is unclear, or when the documentation does not survive audit. Those cases default to Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, which is still useful but operates on a different ledger.
The procurement and supplier engagement question
Insetting is harder than offsetting. That is the unfashionable truth most buyers eventually confront. Offsetting is a transaction; insetting is a relationship.
To run an insetting program, you need supplier mapping precise enough to know which farms or facilities sit at which Scope 3 boundary. You need an engagement model that gets suppliers to participate, which usually requires multi-year commitments and shared economics. You need an MRV architecture that measures the right things and produces audit-ready documentation. And you need a contractual structure that prevents double counting and protects both sides.
The trade-off you receive in return is significant. Reductions count against your inventory rather than your residual. Supplier relationships deepen, which protects sourcing continuity. Yield and quality improvements often follow regenerative interventions, which reduces your input cost over time. And the regulatory file, under CSRD, CSDDD, EUDR, and the SBTi FLAG Guidance, is materially stronger.
Choosing the right tool for the right target
A practical decision rule. If your target is a science-based Scope 3 reduction and you operate in a FLAG sector or source FLAG commodities, insetting is the structurally correct tool. If your target is a net-zero claim that includes neutralising hard-to-abate residual emissions outside your value chain, BVCM via high-integrity offsets is the structurally correct tool. Most companies with material Scope 3 exposure need both, in different proportions, sequenced over time.
The sequencing matters. Insetting takes longer to stand up but produces a permanent reduction in the inventory. Offsetting can be transacted faster but does not change the inventory and now sits under tighter claim restrictions. Treat them as complementary tools with different jobs, not as substitutes. The Accountability Framework Initiative and the IUCN Global Standard for Nature-based Solutions both provide useful guardrails for the insetting side, with biodiversity, human rights, and benefit-sharing requirements that go beyond carbon math.
If you are mapping a Scope 3 reduction roadmap and need to scope which interventions count toward your inventory versus which sit in Beyond Value Chain Mitigation, the carbon and sustainability experts at Carbon Credit Capital can help you structure a nature-based supply chain investment program that fits your FLAG exposure, your target architecture, and your audit horizon. Schedule a consultation.
Carbon Footprint
Net zero needs nature: a carbon credit guide
Net zero is often described as a balancing act: cut what you can, account for the rest, and reach zero on the ledger. That framing is useful, but it leaves something out. It treats every tonne of carbon as interchangeable and every route to zero as equally sound, while the science tells a more specific story.
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Carbon Footprint
Deforestation in Malawi: causes and solutions
Malawi has lost a striking share of its forests over the past three decades. Woodlands that once covered well over a third of the country now cover less than a quarter, and the pressure on what remains is increasing. Behind those figures sit two practical questions: what is driving the loss, and what reverses it?
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