The global energy shock triggered by the Iran war could give countries the chance to build a “new geopolitical balance” by forging a coalition committed to phasing out fossil fuels, Colombian Environment Minister Irene Vélez Torres said.

Delegates from about 45 nations are set to meet next month in Colombia’s Caribbean city of Santa Marta for the first conference on the transition away from fossil fuels, after a drive by 80 countries at COP30 failed to deliver a roadmap to phase out planet-heating coal, oil and gas.

Vélez Torres told an online press briefing her “maximum aspiration” for the summit was to “incline geopolitics towards a coalition of countries willing to eliminate fossil fuels” that can start taking action without having to negotiate agreements by consensus at UN talks.

“Ever since COP30 there has been growing momentum. The current crisis only gives us more relevance. We have a possibility to materialise a new geopolitical balance,” she said.

She added “it’s not the moment” to formalise this coalition or give it a name, but said that “as conversations move forward, and we can meet at a second conference to consolidate shared visions, something more formal can be created”.

The conflict in the Middle East has disrupted about a fifth of the world’s gas passing through the Strait of Hormuz, particularly heading towards Asia. This has led to growing calls for investment in renewables as a way to strengthen energy security and economic stability, as oil and gas prices skyrocket.

COP30 president André Corrêa do Lago, Brazil’s top climate diplomat, told the online briefing that building a parallel process on phasing out fossil fuels outside the UN climate regime – which requires slow negotiations with oil and gas producers to reach consensus – can be “extremely useful”.

COP30 new roadmap proposal

After governments failed to kickstart the creation of a roadmap away from fossil fuels at COP30, Corrêa do Lago proposed to draft a voluntary proposal instead, which he said would be launched towards the second half of the year.

He added that, because it is not a formal document under the UN process, the voluntary roadmap was not meant to be adopted by countries at COP31 later this year, but to contribute to continued debate.

“The more that we create a document that incorporates the positions, figures and concerns of various countries, the more influence it will have on debates at the UNFCCC and the Paris Agreement,” he said.

UN head calls for platform for “honest dialogue” on fossil fuel transition

Countries have been asked to submit inputs to the Brazil-led roadmap. Meanwhile, the Australian COP31 “president of negotiations” Chris Bowen has vowed to continue debates on the fossil fuel transition, while Turkish COP president Murat Kurum rejected it as a major focus and said he will “safeguard the development priorities of the countries”.

Vélez Torres added that both the Santa Marta conference and Brazil’s roadmap were “deeply complementary”, with the summit focusing more on channelling technical support, finance and “creating an honest space where we can put all the cards on the table”.

Carlos Nobre, a veteran Brazilian climate scientist, said the push for a transition away from fossil fuels was “essential”, and added that countries must focus on accelerating a “super-rapid” energy transition at COP31 to prevent global temperatures from crossing dangerous climate tipping points such as melting permafrost or the collapse of the Amazon rainforest.

Colombia and Brazil head to polls

While both Colombia and Brazil have led the push for a global phase-out of fossil fuels, the two South American countries are heading to the polls later this year. Both countries face anti-climate movements promising to change course if elected.

Vélez Torres warned of “great political risks of a relapse”, referring to a potential new government reversing the current government’s halt on all new coal, oil and gas exploration. Far-right candidate Abelardo de la Espriella has proposed to resume production, particularly venturing into shale gas fracking.

“However, we think we are building a bloc that is bigger than a country. The sense of continuity and sense of progress that we are giving to this discussion, I think are going to be difficult to relapse,” she said.

Corrêa do Lago said “this year we have to show the world what alternatives are viable”.

“We have to work together and not let that those who are betting on a general disaster divide those who are searching for solutions,” he added.

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Iran war could boost fossil fuel phase-out push, says Colombian minister

The new head of the Global Center on Adaptation (GCA) faces a formidable task: raise urgent funding to get the organisation back on track following damaging revelations about its former management, just as tight budgets prompt many donors to rethink their climate spending.

Rindra Rabarinirinarison, who served as Madagascar’s economy and finance minister from 2021-2025, said the change of leadership at the Rotterdam-based GCA was “an opportunity to reset things”, pledging to repair the centre’s reputation after its founding CEO left under a cloud.

“I plan to strengthen partnerships and rebuild this trust. Why? Because people only give you money if they trust you – and they only trust you if they know you well,” she told Climate Home News in her first interview since taking over at the GCA’s floating office in the Netherlands this month.

During her first weeks in the job, she plans “to meet with all our partners to correct the communication challenges that have emerged” – a reference to the revelations about the centre’s workplace culture that emerged in a series of investigative articles published by Dutch broadcaster NOS last year.

When the GCA was launched to considerable fanfare in 2018, climate adaptation was largely neglected by politicians, development banks and investors, who were more focused on efforts to cut planet-heating emissions than on helping people cope with their effects. The GCA’s plan, together with the high-powered Global Commission on Adaptation which it co-hosted, was to correct that imbalance.

Former UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon, who served as founding chair of the GCA and is now its emeritus chair, said back then that the commission, of which he was a member, would “play a vital role in elevating the political importance of adaptation, and also in making the case that greater resilience is achievable”.

Today, most experts agree that adaptation – and the increasingly urgent need to invest in it – have won far more prominence on the international agenda, even if dollars have yet to flow on the scale required.

Richard Klein, director of science and innovation at the GCA between September 2018 and December 2019, said the centre had helped propel that progress, alongside other organisations like the United Nations Development Programme and the World Bank.

But Klein, now an independent adaptation expert, told Climate Home News the GCA had squandered the opportunity to generate innovative research and had become “a mid-sized consultancy … that lives way beyond its means”.

“High-pressure” environment

The reporting by NOS portrayed a toxic workplace culture in which staff were expected to put furthering the high-profile advocacy of the GCA’s dynamic ex-boss Patrick Verkooijen ahead of their research to help vulnerable communities adapt to worsening extreme weather and rising seas.

Verkooijen recently stepped down from the GCA after two four-year terms during which he was appointed as chancellor of the University of Nairobi, where the centre planned to set up a dual headquarters.

Asked about the criticism of his leadership, Verkooijen said the GCA had been created as a startup organisation at a time when there was “a very great sense of urgency that adaptation needed to be scaled up – all leading to a huge amount of pressure for delivery”.

“I believe managers and staff did their best, though certainly not every system was perfect – there could be tense and high-pressure moments,” he told Climate Home News in emailed responses.

Conversations with ex-GCA employees, as well as an unpublished editorial authored by several former staffers and shared with Climate Home News, supported the NOS reports about an atmosphere of conflict in which operations were focused on advancing Verkooijen’s efforts to promote adaptation and the centre’s work to leaders, especially in Africa.

“It was painful, how, in the end, just everything was about visibility around him,” Klein said.

Verkooijen said that while he would not discount employees’ personal experiences, the GCA had not received official complaints about its leadership and “did not recognise the environment as it was characterised in media”. The GCA has invested in building up staff systems and safeguards, especially in the last three years, he added.

“Significant” downsizing underway

Rabarinirinarison takes over as the organisation faces tough decisions about its size and capacity going forward. It is being forced to downsize from 60-plus employees because of financial uncertainty following an end to funding from the British government and a question-mark over whether other countries – including the Netherlands, Denmark and Norway – will renew their support.

Other key funders, including France and the Gates Foundation, have agreed to provide continued backing, the GCA said. It denied a report by NOS that it is facing imminent bankruptcy, which Climate Home News understands was based on a confidential internal document outlining a range of scenarios in line with different funding outcomes.

Rabarinirinarison said she could not comment on potential layoffs, which are being discussed as part of a “significant resizing to adjust the head count with the contracted resources available to us”.

But she conceded that the centre’s current financial situation is “very serious right now”. Funding from the Dutch government – which was instrumental in setting up the GCA – is due to run out in May, and earlier efforts to win a new commitment must now be revived after a minority centrist government took office in February. Prime Minister Rob Jetten is a former climate minister and supports the clean energy transition.

“We are hopeful the new government’s approaches to our work will be favourable – and this is the advantages to have a new management, new face, new hope and new explanations,” said Rabarinirinarison, adding that the Netherlands will be her first port of call, followed by other key partners that have backed the GCA up to now.

She is also planning to seek potential new sources of funding in the Middle East and Asia, where the GCA has offices in Bangladesh and China.

The centre’s work so far has been heavily focused on supporting large adaptation projects carried out by the African Development Bank (AfDB) and the World Bank across Africa, to which it has provided consulting services and technical advice.

Flagship Africa investment programme

The GCA threw its weight behind the Africa Adaptation Acceleration Program (AAAP), which launched its second phase last September at the Africa Climate Summit in Ethiopia and the United Nations General Assembly.

The AAAP investment initiative for climate adaptation on the continent began in 2021 and was implemented through a partnership involving the African Union Commission, the AfDB and the GCA.

According to the GCA’s website, its first phase embedded “climate adaptation solutions” into more than $20 billion of development investments across some 40 African nations.

Global South’s climate adaptation bill to top $300 billion a year by 2035: UN

An article by NOS, published last October, accused the centre of misleading donors by overstating its role in the AAAP and other projects, saying documentation examined by NOS did not back up the extent of GCA’s claimed contributions to the work.

The GCA, for its part, put out a statement rejecting the NOS findings, which it said “provide an inaccurate representation of the Center’s work and achievements, as well as our relationships with partners”.

A GCA spokesperson told Climate Home News that, after sharing information with NOS and requesting corrections from the outlet which were not made, it recently filed a complaint about the coverage with the Dutch ombudsman.

In emailed comments, Verkooijen defended the achievements of the centre under his stewardship, saying it had made a “substantial contribution” to developing knowledge including through its co-management of the Global Commission on Adaptation and its “State and Trends on Adaptation series” of reports. He said that, at the advocacy level, GCA had made “clear-cut contributions to elevating the level of political priority for adaptation” and had participated in embedding climate considerations into around 100 large development projects delivered by international financial institutions.

In most cases, he wrote, “these projects … would not have factored in climate risks and adaptation without the GCA’s contribution – or not to the same degree”.

Pitching adaptation as a “driver for growth”

In the future, Rabarinirinarison thinks the GCA can continue to act as a “solutions broker” on adaptation, while facilitating access to international climate finance for Global South governments and communities which have limited capacity to develop bankable adaptation projects and navigate complex processes.

The GCA can use its expertise to help countries understand the significant risks of failing to protect their economies from extreme weather and serve as a strong proponent of adaptation as a “driver for growth”, she said.

The centre still has “room to grow”, she added, by delivering more “technical expertise reports” and “technical advocacy”, ensuring that adaptation is “effectively included in large-scale financial institutional lending” and bridging the gap between discussions and implementation at scale.

Climate adaptation can’t be just for the rich, COP30 president says

Some in the sector question the need for a Global North-based organisation to be doing such work for the benefit of Global South countries, despite its shift to African leadership. The GCA board also has a new chair, with Mauritius President Ameenah Gurib-Fakim this month taking over the role from Senegal’s former leader, Macky Sall, who is bidding to become the next UN chief.

Finding a USP in a maturing sector

Sander Chan, who was a senior researcher at the GCA from 2020 to 2022, criticised the organisation for focusing too heavily on building the business case for adaptation, mobilising money and seeking private-sector involvement, while doing too little to include or strengthen the perspectives and voices of local and Indigenous communities.

The centre has, however, developed a training and advocacy network for some 35,000 youth supporters of adaptation across the Global South, as well as hosting an online platform for locally led adaptation intended to showcase and connect community groups and practitioners.

Klein and Chan, now an associate professor at Radboud University in the Netherlands, also questioned the value added by the centre beyond its awareness-raising and brokering roles, which they argue are now less important and can be fulfilled by other better-established institutions.

Klein said it will be tough for the GCA’s new leadership to develop a unique selling point unless it goes beyond its current activities, given that more organisations today are offering similar services and looking for a larger share of the pie.

“I think it’s more than just a matter of rebuilding trust in how [the centre] used to operate,” he said. “It’s also: is there still a need for what they’re doing?”

Rabarinirinarison’s strategy, if the GCA can procure funding to get itself back on course, is to expand its work and knowledge base to pitch adaptation as key to economic growth and “selling this product as our main asset”.

“I do believe that GCA is able to perform essential services, and its partners are able to notice its value and continue to support us if we communicate well,” she said.

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Unusually high March temperatures are shattering records out West—and the heat wave isn’t over yet.

By Kiley Price

Communities across the Western United States are in for another week of unusually high temperatures amid an ongoing and historic early-season heat wave. It has broken March temperature records in nearly 180 cities, including Phoenix, which hit 105 degrees Fahrenheit last Thursday.

As Storms Pummel Hawaii, the Western U.S. Continues to Bake Amid Record-Breaking Heat Wave