Weather Guard Lightning Tech

Microsoft Develops 10.5 GW, Siemens Gamesa Reports Loss in 2nd Quarter, WEG brings 7 MW Turbine Manufacturing to USA
Microsoft is partnering with Brookfield Asset Management to develop 10.5 GW of new wind and solar, Siemens Gamesa reports a €365 million loss in the 2nd quarter of 2024, WEG will begin manufacturing their 7 GW turbine platform in Minnesota, and Canadian Pension Plan Investment Board and Global Infrastructure Partners acquire Allete.
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Allen Hall: I’m Allen Hall, president of Weather Guard Lightning Tech, and I’m here with the founder and CEO of IntelStor, Phil Totaro, and the chief commercial officer of Weather Guard, Joel Saxum. And this is your News Flash. News Flash is brought to you by our friends at IntelStor. If you want market intelligence that generates revenue, then book a demonstration of IntelStor at intelstor. com.
Microsoft has partnered partner with Canada’s Brookfield Asset Management to develop new wind and solar farms aiming to bring 10. 5 gigawatts of generating capacity online. The partnership is expected to help finance renewable electricity projects to be built between 2026 and 2030. 30 starting in the U.
S. and eventually Europe. The deal is estimated to cost over 10 billion U. S. dollars, and it highlights the race to meet clean energy commitments while satisfying the growing energy demands of cloud computing and A. I. Now, Phil, we all know that A. I. is going to be expensive in the electricity world.
Everybody is worried about it. Microsoft is trying to hedge their bets at the minute. Do you expect others like an Amazon to do something similar?
Philip Totaro: Amazon’s been up until this deal, once it officially closes and they actually build and start procuring all this. This is going to be the biggest corporate renewables procurement in history.
Amazon’s been doing their fair share and was leading up until this point. But this is this is massive. So it let’s put it this way. It looks like, deals like this are going to finally get the tech sector in the mood to say, all right, we like, fixed price contracts with, some degree of certainty and, proven technology now between wind and solar particularly for cloud applications or AI applications where, it’s going to be, power intensive, I think, the tech sector in general needs needed to, and is getting more on board with this.
Even, my own company builds on AWS. We’ve, contributed to them procuring some renewables capacity as well. And we’re taking the benefit of that too.
Joel Saxum: It’s nice to see Microsoft getting involved in an early stage here, right? At the pipe, not even during the pipeline exercise, but during the pipeline build out of guys, we were going to want this, we’re going to partner with a major developer being Brookfield Renewables, who has a large capital base behind them, of course.
But at the start of it saying we want to do this because you do see the virtual PPAs and those on the corporate PPAs being, But it’s usually like when they’re about built, of course, along the time, the sales people from that energy company are shopping them. But you don’t see the agreements happen at an earlier stage like this very often.
So with Microsoft, of course, being a large consumer of power for, of course, computing, but also the cooling of these centers is going to be a large cost as well. Being a looking in, into their crystal ball and seeing that energy usage going up and up and up, they’re getting to getting engaged with a major developer at an early pipeline stage, I would look to see the next evolution of this thing being like what RWE did last year and sign a large deal with a turbine manufacturer to say, hey, we will want one gigawatts or one, one or two gigawatts of turbines in the next four years.
Can we guarantee our prices on that as well for a development pipeline? Thanks everyone.
Allen Hall: Siemens Gamesa has reported a 365 million euro loss for the second quarter of 2024. A slight improvement from the 386 million euro loss in the same period last year. The turbine manufacturer’s orders were down sharply at 881 million euros compared to 3.
6 billion euros the year prior. Onshore orders were impacted by the pause in sales activities for the 4X and 5X turbans, and profit continues to be impacted by quality issues, increased product costs, and ramp up challenges in the offshore area. Now, Phil, this has had some ramifications within the management of Siemens Gamesa also.
Philip Totaro: So they’ve Announce their CEO is leaving and they’re going to be restructuring the company, including layoffs, probably in core areas within Spain. And they’ve also announced a couple of things. One is that they’re going to be re evaluating their presence in markets like India, for instance.
You saw GE do the same thing when they started looking at pulled out of Brazil because they were looking at margins and profitability and wanted better financial returns and better financial performance. India may become a market that is, left to the the Indian players and the Chinese and Siemens Gomez is going to try and regroup in in core markets.
The other piece of this that came out was that they’re anticipating starting up sales again in August of this year. There are thereabouts so we all look forward to that and hope that they can get themselves back on track because unfortunately with this, 350 million euro, or I’m sorry, 365 million euro loss indicates is that they’re still not getting enough services revenue that’s offsetting.
Their expenses around having to fix all these blades and pay out all the liquidated damages and interruptions that they’ve had to pay out on as a result of, this quality issue.
Joel Saxum: I think in this quarterly report, the numbers that stick out to me is that 880 million in orders as compared to 3. 6 million. Billion from last year. So that’s 25 percent of the order book. That’s live right now within Siemens since this quarter last year. So expect to see them have larger loss numbers. When Q3 or Q4 revenue gets realized as compared to the year before. Now we all saw this coming. We knew it was going to happen.
Of course, when you stop selling your flagship turbine model on shore you’re going to have some revenue issues, but I think it, it actually extends a little bit further into the market than just the 4x, 5x platforms. Example, I had a conversation last week at, or this week at ACP with an operator.
Who said yeah, we’re looking at some wind farms. We regularly either by Vestas or GE. And that’s probably what we will stick with for one thing. We don’t work on it. We don’t have any Siemens in our fleet, so we don’t work on them. And also at this point in time, we’re not willing to jump into the ring.
on with a company that’s having issues. So there’s not only not selling that 4x, 5x, but the feeling around them is that the operators still aren’t looking at them during their RFPs.
Allen Hall: Brazilian industrial machinery manufacturer WEG is to enter the wind generation market in the United States. The company will utilize his factory in Minneapolis, Minnesota to manufacture its seven megawatt wind turbine platform.
Like it’s not disclosed the investment figure, but states it is not significant and is part of the approved capital budget. The Minneapolis plant with 45, 000 square meters and around 200 employees will start supplying equipment from 2026. In the meantime, we will commence commercial activities to secure sales contracts and develop the local supply chain while maintaining its commitment to win.
generation in Brazil and India. Now, Phil, we were just in Minneapolis for American Clean Power. This is a big discussion on the show floor.
Philip Totaro: Absolutely. And it’s actually pretty interesting news for a couple of reasons. One obviously WEG’s been developing turbines down in Brazil for a little more than 12 years now.
And started off with a license from Northern Power Systems on a turbine, evolved it into a three and then a four and then jumped up to a seven now there’s plenty of kind of opportunity down in Brazil for. A seven megawatt turbine because they’ve got a lot of open space where they can stick those things.
So bringing it to the US market is going to be interesting to see what the appetite is for a turbine that big. However, the one thing that came out of the clean power event was the fact that every. I spoke to said, we want a third option, knowing that GE and Vestas are dominating the U S market at this point.
And that I don’t know what their perception issue is with Nord X, even though it looks like Nord X actually seems fine. It might be some issues with their their services division, but their turbines actually perform pretty well. But like we just talked about with Siemens Gamesa pulling back from selling.
an opportunity open for companies like Weg to step into the U S market. And it’s, it will be something that’s welcomed by the entire market if and when they can get Something bankable and proven into this market. So that’s going to start with them, getting a prototype site up and running, getting their, type certification for, that would be applicable for the U. S. market in place and making sure that the financiers understand that, they’re a third bankable option besides just GE and Vestas.
Joel Saxum: Yeah, interesting thing here is that to enter the market, you almost have to find a gap in it, right? So there, we know that there’s 2 megawatt, 2. 5, 2. 8, 3, 3. 4, 4x, 5x, and now even GE announcing a 6 megawatt quote unquote, workhorse machine at ACP last year.
This 7 megawatt machine fills a hole that doesn’t exist in the market in the U. S. right now. Because I think the big Nordex one, correct me if I’m wrong, fills a hole. That one’s six, isn’t it? Or five and a half? Correct. Not saying it’s filling a gap, because there isn’t a gap there, they’re actually in a spot where there is nobody right now.
That seven megawatt space, if someone wants a seven megawatt machine, This is the machine they got to buy. There’s an opportunity there, but we’ll see how it develops.
Allen Hall: Canadian pension plan investment board and global infrastructure partners have entered into an agreement to acquire us energy firm elite for 6.
2 billion, including the assumption of debt elite. And it’s. Subsidiaries focus on driving clean energy transition through expanding renewables, reducing carbon emissions, enhancing grid resiliency, and driving innovation. The partnership with CPP Investments and GIP will provide Elite with access to significant capital for its planned investments while remaining committed to its existing customers, communities, and employees.
The acquisition is expected to generate substantial value for Elite stakeholders and further GIP’s commitment to serving growing market needs. Now, Phil, this one was unexpected when it was announced. Elite obviously has a really good reputation in the United States. It seems like a nice investment for CPP and GIP.
Philip Totaro: Absolutely, and it gives the Canadian Pension Plan Investment Board and GIP an opportunity to continue growing their footprint, particularly the CPP IB because they’ve got, obviously investments in Canadian renewables and renewables. all over
the place, so the, this, just continues a theme that we’ve been talking about probably for about nine months on the show where infrastructure funds are definitely plowing a lot more money into acquiring. Pipelines of deals sorry, acquiring pipelines of projects through these acquisition deals, acquiring operating portfolios and even companies that can compliment, we go back to a deal like Macquarie acquiring a company like Onyx Insight somebody who can provide them with, some insight into asset management and performance.
This deal for elite is a solid one. 50, more than 52 percent of their portfolio operates at or above a P50 energy yield, according to our analytics at Intel store. It’s a pretty healthy and robust portfolio. It was just wind alone was about $3 billion worth of CapEx investment.
Plus when you add in the solar, I think, the 6 billion plus is a pretty good price tag for for what Elite brings to the table.
Joel Saxum: Something to remember here that Phil actually touched on briefly there is G. I. P. is backed by BlackRock. Okay? BlackRock, of course, one of the, is the biggest investment vehicle in the world, trillions of dollars in assets.
But they recently came out and said, we’re going to put 12 billion into the renewable energy space and purchasing G. I. P. So what we’re seeing here is G. I. P. and the BlackRock money continuing to filter down through other markets and being the capital being utilized to further the clean energy transition.
https://weatherguardwind.com/microsoft-siemens-gamesa-weg-manufacturing/
Renewable Energy
Wanna-Be Dictators Understand Something that You Should Too
To be successful, would-be fascists need as much ignorance in the population as possible.
Keep this in mind next time you receive hear news about the dismantling of scientific institutions and the destruction of public education.
Renewable Energy
Let’s Deal with REAL Problems
One of the most pathetic themes in modern-day American life is the way be get so upset about things that have essentially zero bearing on the quality of our lives.
Look, we do have real problems. Real problems. Environmental collapse, nuclear war, the devastation of public education, the growing chasm between rich and poor, people dying of treatable diseases.
But rooting out the (very few) trans people from the U.S. military should be of no concern to any of us.
Renewable Energy
Ørsted Explores US Exit, Ming Yang Builds 20MW Turbine
Weather Guard Lightning Tech

Ørsted Explores US Exit, Ming Yang Builds 20MW Turbine
Ørsted closes its European offshore sale to CIP and weighs a $1 billion exit from the US market. Plus MingYang commissions a 20 MW offshore turbine, and ZF’s plain bearings log 36 GW with no measurable wear.
Sign up now for Uptime Tech News, our weekly newsletter on all things wind technology. This episode is sponsored by Weather Guard Lightning Tech. Learn more about Weather Guard’s StrikeTape Wind Turbine LPS retrofit. Follow the show on YouTube, Linkedin and visit Weather Guard on the web. And subscribe to Rosemary’s “Engineering with Rosie” YouTube channel here. Have a question we can answer on the show? Email us!
[00:00:00] The Uptime Wind Energy podcast, brought to you by StrikeTape, protecting thousands of wind turbines from lightning damage worldwide. Visit StrikeTape.com. And now, your hosts
Allen Hall: Welcome to the Uptime Wind Energy podcast. I’m your host for today, Allen Hall, along with Matthew Stead, Rosemary Barnes, and Yolanda Padron. If you’re going to be in Houston for Clean Power 2026, mark Wednesday, June 3rd on your calendar. The Australian American Chamber of Commerce, Texas is hosting an invitation-only panel and networking reception with cocktails from 6:00 to 8:00 PM at the Houston Club, and I’ll be moderating.
We’re bringing together Australian and US wind energy experts to compare notes on how two markets handle O&M, lightning risks, blade inspections, remote monitoring, and where operational gaps [00:01:00] are. The evening also marks the North American commercial launch of EOLOGIX-PING’s satellite-based lightning monitoring system, developed with Adelaide-based satellite IoT company, Myriota.
So in joining me on the panel, our own Matt Stead, co-founder of EOLOGIX-PING, and Mark Norman, VP of Edge Solutions at Myriota, and Weather Guard’s Yolanda Padron. EOLOGIX-PING and Myriota have systems already deployed in Japan and Australia, and a little bit in the US here at Weather Guard, and they’re stepping into the North American market at American Clean Power with this advanced lightning monitoring product.
So you’ll want to be there and see this new product introduced. It is an invitation-only event, so if you’re at Clean Power and want to be in the room, reach out to us on LinkedIn so we can get you on the list. Orsted finished selling off its European offshore wind business to Copenhagen [00:02:00]Infrastructure Partners, better known as CIP or as it’s a-affectionately called CIP.
Now, Bloomberg reports the Danish company is exploring a sale of its US portfolio also, which includes a whole bunch of wind. It’s a decent amount of solar and battery storage in a deal that could bring more than about a billion dollars. Uh, the business generated more than one-fifth of Orsted’s total operating income just last year.
Uh, meanwhile, uh, more than 50 US organizers are urging RWE CEO, Markus Kroeker, not to hand back over $1 billion in US offshore wind leases as part of a reported deal with the Trump administration. Uh, so the, the pattern is clear, everybody. European developers are being pushed towards the exit in the American market.
The Ørsted situation’s been going on several months now. I, I think it’s pretty much common [00:03:00] knowledge, I would assume at this point. W- we’ve known for months, and I th- think a lot of people we’ve talked to have been saying Ørsted is prepping for a sale. The question is who? And the, the RWE getting rid of their offshore leases in the United States would be a little bit of a odd move.
However, a billion dollars back in your bank account is probably a smart move today. So are the, the Germans and the Danish leaving America?
Yolanda Padron: Ørsted’s still keeping their offshore in the US, right?
Allen Hall: Yeah, I don’t know if they’ll be able to sell it off. They own it 100% at this point, right? All the partners have pulled out But I wonder if that’s on the auction block also.
That it could be
Matthew Stead: So why? Why are they, why are they selling? I mean, there has to be a reason. I mean, do they have better use for the money elsewhere, or do they just have lost faith in the, the USA?
Allen Hall: It could be a combination of both, right? Both can be true at the same time. I do think the cash flow is an issue [00:04:00] for renewable energy companies at the minute, so if they can get some money back into the coffers and to get ready for the next big run of development, they probably should do it now.
But things, especially it does seem a little bit on the slow side on the re- renewable development, except in the UK where it’s going crazy.
Do you think then that they’re looking for American people to sell it to?
Allen Hall: Or Canadian. If Ørsted sells their onshore business, uh, to CIP, it still remains in Danish hands, so it wouldn’t necessarily be a, uh, removal of the Danes from America, not, not quite.
Matthew Stead: Yeah. I’m just a bit confused why, you know, why, you know, why would it, um, attract a good price at the moment? So I would’ve thought, you know, if it was me, I would’ve take the long-term view and just hang onto it.
Allen Hall: Well, the, the tax credit’s already built into those businesses, right? I, I at least that’s what I would assume, that the, the tax credits are still [00:05:00] available on a number of the Ørsted sites.
They’re not that old. A lot of the wind sites are not that old, so you could gain that tax advantage. It may make sense. It may be a, a Berkshire Hathaway or somebody like that may, may jump into the mix.
Rosemary Barnes: Yeah, and maybe because there’s not so much opportunity for new developments at the moment, that might be maybe it’s appealing for that reason, that there’s, yeah, not, not so many wind opportunities around, and companies want wind in their portfolios, so.
Allen Hall: Or data centers like we just saw with NextEra and Dominion. The, the drive for, for data centers, uh, is pushing the, the power demand, and if you could buy wind, solar, and battery all together, most of it kind of co-located, you could put some data centers in Texas ’cause a vast majority of that Ørsted fleet is in a place where you could plant a data center right next to it.
Maybe that’s, maybe that’s the thought. Uh, if they saw NextEra and Dominion join hands, maybe there’s another partnership in the mix. That would be really interesting. Maybe it’s Elon. Maybe [00:06:00] SpaceX or, uh, Tesla could just buy Ørsted’s onshore wind business. That would be a- amazing.
Matthew Stead: I thought they were going into space.
Why would they be bothering with the Earth?
Allen Hall: You gotta power the rockets before you launch them, right? You get so-
Matthew Stead: gotta get some power from somewhere.
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China has commissioned what is being called the world’s largest offshore wind turbine. It’s a 20-megawatt machine built by MingYang Smart Energy, installed off the coast of China in the South China Sea. The structure stands about 240 meters tall with blades around 128 meters long. That’s a pretty good-sized blade.
And it’s rated to survive gusts up to 80 meters per second. But the real story is what researchers are watching after the turbine starts up. Early reports say that the rotor that is massively big will create measurable changes in local air currents and temperature distribution. At this scale, offshore wind creating a physical footprint that scientists want to measure and We have seen this effect here at Weather Guard Lightning Tech, watching storms go through the big wind farms [00:08:00] in the United States.
So you can actually see storm behaviors change because of the quantity of turbines, and the turbines are getting to be high enough with the hub heights approaching 100 meters. But nothing as big as a 20 megawatt machine out on the ocean. It’s mixing the t- the, the air quite a bit, changing the temperature.
Uh, is this something that climatologists are looking at, Rosemary, or, or, or watching closely, particularly with the, uh, fish life and sea life around the wind turbines?
Rosemary Barnes: I don’t know. My thing with MingYang is that they’re always, like, you only ever hear about them ’cause they’re announcing the biggest something, right?
Um, that’s like the extent of it. It’s not like you hear about, oh, there’s a wind farm near you and it’s gonna have MingYang turbines in it. You never hear that. You only hear about they’ve got the biggest, and now next year they’ve got the new biggest, the biggest, the biggest, the biggest. And, uh, it’s like I know that they do actually make some, like, a lot of turbines.
I think they’re in the, we mentioned last week, they’re in the top five manufacturers, um, mostly or maybe [00:09:00] pretty much entirely for the Chinese market. Um, so it’s not like I think they don’t make anything. But I do think it’s quite easy to announce the biggest something. This announcement is also like, yeah, okay, but is it real?
Like it’s the, it’s a big, it’s a really big turbine. It’s going pretty high, but like offshore, um, there are, I think, onshore turbines being announced that are gonna go as high or higher because, you know, onshore, um, turbines have much taller towers than, than offshore. So I actually don’t think that it probably is a record for the tallest, like, tip that’s scraping.
This is a thing that’s always happened, and sure, that’s interesting to have a look at and see if it has any local impact. It’s not like it’s, it’s not creating energy, right? It’s not gonna warm up, um, the, the planet. I mean, it’s, yeah, taking energy out of the, the air and then converting it to electricity.
Um, so overall you’re gonna end up with the same amount of, of energy. But yeah, could be interesting to study, study what’s happening specifically.
Matthew Stead: I think it’s a so what question. You know, so what? I mean, I can sneeze and [00:10:00] I’d change the local environment, but who cares if I sneeze and change the local environment?
You know, the, you know, the weather is inherently turbulent and, you know- There’s mixing and there’s all sorts of stuff naturally occurring. Yeah, my question is, so what?
Rosemary Barnes: Yeah. I mean, it’s interesting in terms of, like, wakes of wind turbines and, you know, there’s, uh, people are researching that more because it’s not well enough understood, I think, for some of the really big offshore wind regions where there’s heaps of different wind farms and, you know, like, you’re gonna wanna know if you’ve got a win- an existing wind farm or you’re planning one, and then they sell, um, rights to build one immediately upstream of you, then, you know, you’re gonna wanna understand how, how all that local atmospheric stuff is, is happening exactly.
Um, but yeah, like, it’s not, it’s not quite new and it’s not, yeah, like you said, it’s not unique to wind turbines. Um, so yeah, it is, like, slightly interesting, I would say. 5 out of 10 interesting.
Allen Hall: How much time should we spend on contrails? [00:11:00] Because we spent a good 20 minutes before we started this podcast talking about contrails, which is a one or maybe a negative one on the scale of should I follow this?
Rosemary Barnes: How interesting is the fact that air travel is contributing to climate change? How interesting is that on a scale of one to 10?
Allen Hall: Zero.
Matthew Stead: Eight.
Allen Hall: It’s like the, it’s like the cow argument, right?
Rosemary Barnes: Allen doesn’t care about climate change. That’s okay.
Allen Hall: You asked me to put it on a ranking of where it is in importance.
It’s, it’s nowhere near m- even a five.
Rosemary Barnes: Yeah. So Yves said zero. Matt said eight. What about you, Yolanda? How, how interesting is the fact that air travel impacts climate change?
Yolanda Padron: I think it’s, like, a six.
Rosemary Barnes: Six. Okay. And so did you know that, um, airplanes are 2.5% of the world’s emissions, um, come from air, air travel?
And did you know that I think it’s [00:12:00] 4% of the world’s warming comes from air travel? Of the warming, two-thirds of the warming that is caused by air travel or airplanes, uh, could be freight as well, it’s not to do with CO2. So some of that is, you know, like other, um, gases like NOx is a pretty potent greenhouse gas.
Contrails are the biggest single component, the single biggest factor causing warming from, um, from air travel. And it’s not, it’s not necessary. You know, every airplane doesn’t create contrails in every trip. It’s, it’s a small number. Like, it’s a pretty small number of trips that are making contrails, and if we can better understand how
like, what are the factors that lead to a contrail being formed or not, then we can avoid them and, you know, get rid of a, a percent or two of the world’s global warming. I think that’s just really huge.
Matthew Stead: What would you do about it, Rosie?
Rosemary Barnes: There’s a couple of solutions I know that other people are working on that sound very interesting to me.
So the first is that if you change the fuel, like, [00:13:00] um, to sustainable aviation fuel, like a, a biofuel, some of those that have been tested also produce less contrails. I don’t know the exact reason why. Would be interesting to find out. That’s one thing. But secondly, um, if you can get good data about, like, very local atmospheric conditions and, you know, let the world’s airplane fleet can communicate with each other and some AI processing in real time, you can make small changes to your flight path to avoid making contrails, and yeah, you get, um, a small increase in, in f- fuel burn, I guess, from deviating from the most efficient route, but a big, big inc- um, decrease in contrails.
Uh, so I think both of those are really promising solutions.
Allen Hall: It’s not that easy It isn’t like every airplane’s out there changing its altitude to keep away from creating contrails. There’s whole systems, thousands of people working at any one moment to keep airplanes up in the air. So it, it’s not something you just willy-nilly say, [00:14:00] “AI can adjust my altitude or my flight plan to deviate so I can prevent contrails.”
It’s not that easy. It’s actually a huge undertaking, and it may end up burning more fuel.
Rosemary Barnes: Oh, I mean, it’s an incredibly complex system to keep airplanes up and not colliding. Um, I believe it’s not centrally planned. It’s not like you’re not logging your whole flight path any- anymore. I, I listened to a podcast about this the other day, and in the past you used to log your entire flight plan and not deviate from it, but now it, it’s done a bit on the fly.
So I’m sure that there are already hundreds or thousands of factors that an aircraft computer is taking into account, um, when it’s figuring out exactly where it’s gonna go, and this would be another bit of complexity. I don’t, I don’t think it’s easy, otherwise we’d already be doing it. But I think it’s, it’s promising.
And I think it’s easier than making hydrogen airplanes, for example. I think it’s easier than electrifying airplanes. And the fact of it is that even if you do [00:15:00] have sustainable aviation fuel, if it’s still making contrails, it’s still causing warming. So if you wanna actually s- solve, uh, you know, heating from flying, then you have to, you have to tackle the contrail part of the problem.
It’s the biggest, it’s the biggest chunk on its own, bigger than CO2.
Matthew Stead: So did we get here by talking about possible contrails from wind turbines? Is that what we were talking about?
Rosemary Barnes: No. It was because Allen was saying before that we were gonna go off the rails, and he’s like, “Oh, you know what? In no time we’ll be talking about contrails,” like using it as an example of a tinfoil hat-wearing person.
And I’m like, “Actually, that is a tinfoil hat that I do like to wear,” the contrails one. Um, not because I think the government is controlling me, uh, with with, you know, targeted hor- hormone or chemical releases via contrails, but because of the global warming potential.
Matthew Stead: Could a, a really tall wind turbine create contrails?
What, what’s the physics behind that?
Allen Hall: [00:16:00] It’s just, um, water, right? So you’re just condensing water and shoving it out the back. When you’re burning hydrocarbons, it’s one of the byproducts, right? It’s like in, when, in an internal combustion engine, you see water dripping out the tailpipe. It’s this very similar kind of thing.
Uh, so how much water comes out is dependent upon somewhat the fuel, as Rosie’s pointed out, so you can slightly change it, but a lot of it has to do with the temperature, altitude, pressure moisture content of the air, all those different factors play into it. So you’d have to have, in order to go look at it, you’d have to have a bunch of sensors on the airplane, which, which the aircraft may have some of them, but probably not enough to determine if they’re creating contrails besides looking out the window to see what’s coming out on the backside of the engine.
Matthew Stead: A wind turbine could not create contrails. The pressure differential and the, the vapor pressure-
Allen Hall: Yeah, it’s not enough to, you’re, you’re not, you’re not changing temperatures enough, [00:17:00] right? So you, you basically have to change the dew point. That’s the way I would think about it. You have to change the dew point somehow, which I guess you could do maybe by a degree or so locally, you may be able to, to change it, and maybe you could.
Um, well, we have seen tip vortices, right? So tip vortices, you have seen these contrails off the, the tips of, of, of aircraft wings.
Rosemary Barnes: But are they durable? You know, ’cause like, yeah, you see tip vortices off, yeah, off wing, wingtips, off wind turbine tips as well. But I don’t think they stay in the air after, you know, they, um, you can see them, and then they dissipate usually.
Allen Hall: Yeah, it, it depends. You’ll see it when aircraft land quite a bit. Depends on what the temperature, humidity is at that particular moment, but th- those will, those will hang around a little bit
Rosemary Barnes: But I mean, certainly you can, you can, um, cause droplets to freeze from a wind turbine being there. That’s how they get iced up, is that their…
Or either their water was super cooled to begin with and it just needs a, a surface to latch onto so that the crystal can, [00:18:00] um, form or also, yeah, like, I mean, in the aerodynamics there is that point between where the air goes over and under and you, um, sta- stagnation or-
Allen Hall: Stagnation point?
Rosemary Barnes: Yeah. So you can, um, you, you could get some freezing there.
Allen Hall: You can create cold zones.
Rosemary Barnes: I, as far as I know, all that stuff is just causing ice to build up on the blade. I don’t think that it’s, um… Yeah. And anyway, even if it did, like even if you did affect the, um, you know, have some ice particles forming in the, um, the wake then it’s just going to, or I don’t know, get hit the next time the, the, the blade goes through or, yeah, fa- fall out I would think ’cause it’s quite close to the ground
Allen Hall: but- Just to tie into what Rosemary’s saying, although I think wasting time on contrails is not worth the effort, I do think meteorologists do not do enough work on big changes that are happening to the planet in regards to, like, renewable energy is one of them, like wind turbines.
I [00:19:00] haven’t seen a lot of work done about are wind turbines changing the temperature locally or not. I mean, they- I’ve seen some top level things, solar panels, but the same thing could be seen about shipping.
Rosemary Barnes: Oh, I mean shipping, shipping was, shipping was, um, cooling the planet until we, um, brought in restrictions on how much, um, sulfur emissions that you could, you could make.
But can I use this to actually plug a, um, a, a pro- a collaborative project that we’re about to start where actually, uh, this is quite specific to Australia, to Queensland and Northern New South Wales. We’ve got a study, uh, collaborative study from a bunch of wind farms in that area and getting some academic researchers involved to look at how, like very detailed how lightning is in that region.
And one of the questions that we’re gonna look at is what, h- how has the, um, the presence of wind farms, like when wind farms are built, how has that affected the local lightning, um, area? [00:20:00] So we’re gonna be able to answer, uh, you know, like to what extent have these wind farms caused increases in In lightning
Allen Hall: Or decreases
Rosemary Barnes: Or decreases.
I’d, I, oof, yeah. I, I’d be surprised if it was decreases, and I will say, like, yeah, that area of Queensland, northern New South Wales, um, you know, they get kind of tropical storms, um, heaps and heaps of lightning, you know, hundreds hundreds of, um, strikes in a single storm sometimes, you know, and, you know, in one wind farm.
But even if you think, like, uh, down in Victoria, New South Wales and Victoria, where you look at a lightning map and there should be very little lightning there, there are certain sites that are actually having huge problems with lightning, like way more strikes than you would expect based on the map, and I think that partly that’s also ’cause it just varies locally.
But the other thing is, like, a l- a lot more of really damaging strikes. It is something that’s the world needs to do more of, is looking into, like, really local lightning, understanding how the wind farm is interacting with the lightning, causing lightning, how it differs from place to place. [00:21:00] I’m really hoping that, yeah, this, this one study that we’re working on now, and anyone who has a wind farm in that area, Queensland, northern New South Wales, if you wanna be involved, get in touch.
The more people involved, the cheaper it is. But I think that that’s definitely something that can improve how lightning protection systems are, are designed, if we just know, like, what’s, what’s happening. ‘Cause there aren’t great links between OEMs doing the design and people in the field experiencing damage.
Like, they don’t talk. Even when it’s the same company, you know, if it’s Vestas or GE that designed the turbine and is now servicing the turbines, they, they don’t necessarily talk to each other as much as, um, would be ideal.
Allen Hall: Using the EOLOGIX-PING lightning sensors, we just completed a study over a five-year period, uh, just about that subject.
Rosemary Barnes: Where, where did you do that?
Allen Hall: In the States.
Rosemary Barnes: And will you be publishing the results and sending a, a letter to Vestas and GE and Siemens and whoever else and send them a letter, “Attention lightning expert”? [00:22:00]
Matthew Stead: We’re probably just gonna put it on the website.
Rosemary Barnes: But is there even a, a, a conference, a, a conference for wind turbines and lightning?
Con- considering it’s, like, one of the number one O&M things, like we’re-
Matthew Stead: There’s one in Melbourne next year in February.
Rosemary Barnes: I wasn’t attempting to, um, set the stage for, uh, this is why everyone has to come to our event. I mean, it, it, it’s so strange to me that there isn’t just, you know, like, a big conference every year.
I mean, it could be every two years where all of the univ- like there’s heaps of people researching it, heaps of people working on designing on it, heaps of people working on operating it, repairing it when it doesn’t work, and, um-
Allen Hall: I think they’re looking at it from a very, uh, local scale And looking at a turbine taking a lightning strike and the things you can do to reduce damage or what the, the physics are locally, ’cause we don’t understand all that much about lightning, honestly.
However, on a, on a larger scale, which is what the effort we’re working on right now, is that we’re looking at several states that are right in the thunderstorm alley and where [00:23:00] there’s a lot of wind turbines, thousands and thousands of wind turbines. What you see is, uh, a real change in the, in the weather patterns and in lightning, but it depends on the time of year.
And having the EOLOGIX-PING lightning sensors on gives us a better sense of the number of strikes that are occurring, where they’re occurring on the wind farms. Uh, o- otherwise, all the other services that you could use wouldn’t be nearly as accurate. A lot of false positives.
Rosemary Barnes: But I wanna say, like, I think you’re so right that lightning it- it’s very local, like, and s- lightning behaves differently depending where you are.
It dep- dep- behaves differently or it affects your turbine differently depending on what kind of LPS you’ve got. But the problem is that it’s not like there’s, um, you know, a catalog of LPSs and you’re like, “This one suits the lightning in Japan, and this one suits the lightning in Queensland.” It’s one– Y- if you want a GE turbine, this is the, it comes with a certain type of LPS, and the same with, with Vestas and, you know, ev- every other manufacturer.
And they’ve all, I’m sure, got types of lightning that [00:24:00] they are better or worse suited to, but the information is, is certainly not out there for someone who’s choosing a turbine, and I don’t think that it’s actually properly understood by, by anyone. Because, like, who’s measuring all of the characteristics that you would need to know to design the LPS better?
Almost no one. Most of the people doing that in the world are probably, yeah, on this podcast today. Um, but it’s, uh… And, and when they are being measured, is it being communicated back to every OEM so they can know? Like, of course it’s, it’s not.
Allen Hall: I’ll give you a good example because it happened over the past week or two.
Looking at a wind turbine blade that had some damage to it, and the question was, was it caused by lightning? That was the question. And that’s a really good question. So I thought, “Oh, this will be easy,” because there’s gonna be a plethora of- lightning test data reports talking about testing of this particular kind of aluminum mesh on fiberglass surfaces, and [00:25:00] there really is not much.
I was shocked by it. So I always think like if, if I can’t put my fingers on it readily, then what is a blade engineer or a site supervisor or someone who owns an asset’s gonna do?
Rosemary Barnes: I saw a presentation at Wind Europe last year or whenever I went, when I met with, with you both, probably both of you there, um, uh, that Polytech did where they had done some fatigue testing, um, of copper mesh and its lightning, um, protecting capabilities.
And they did f- they, so they, you know, put some mesh into, um, fatigue testing, I, I think, or they, they damaged it a bit with a bit fatigue, some micro cracks and stuff. And they just did find that it heated up a lot after that. Um, you know, after it was a bit damaged, they were getting like real hot spots.
And so then you’re gonna start to see laminate damage, um, in the, the area underneath that. So yeah, I, I think that more, more, like it’s a, it’s a good step that we’re now thinking [00:26:00] of, you know, protecting better than what we used to do with just, you know, one receptor in the, the tip and a cable, especially, you know, throw in carbon fiber and you, you know, make a second electrically conductive path and have flashover and stuff.
It’s really great that, you know, we’ve evolved beyond that design, but it’s not finished yet. Like th- all those designs are new. There’s a lot of them out there. It sound like everyone’s like, “Oh, it’s, you know, we don’t have to worry if it’s got mesh over the whole blade.” It’s like, okay, maybe you don’t have to worry.
Maybe, maybe you do. We, we kind of have to, have to keep on monitoring those for a few years and sharing the information.
Allen Hall: As wind energy professionals, staying informed is crucial, and let’s face it, difficult. That’s why the Uptime Podcast recommends PES Wind Magazine. PES Wind offers a diverse range of in-depth articles and expert insights that dive into the most pressing issues facing our energy future.
Whether you’re an industry veteran or new to wind, PES Wind has the high-quality content you need. Don’t miss out. Visit [00:27:00] peswind.com today. In the current issue of PES Wind Magazine, there are a number of great articles. If you haven’t received your copy, you should just go to peswind.com and where you can read it and download a copy.
Well, uh, this issue has an article from ZF and talking about gearboxes. And as we all know, inside every gearbox there are bearings and surfaces. Those tend to be the weak links when things break. And for decades, the industry has used roller bearings and, uh, the same kind basically you find in other machines.
Uh, they work, but they do wear out. And how many times have you seen bearings, roller bearings wear out inside of gearboxes? Quite a bit. So– And they, they, they break down, they go offline. It’s, it’s a big problem. But ZF Wind Power says it has cracked the code with its hydrodynamic plain bearings. The company has already installed 36 gigawatts of gearboxes [00:28:00] using this technology, and they say field inspections show no measurable wear.
Uh, the next generation, uh, which is a single film design, is heading to production in 2027. So ZF uses a different technique to keep their gearboxes running for a long time, which is, uh, it’s a simple device mechanically, but it is quite complicated in the way you have to design materials. Uh, basically plain bearings are what’s used in, in internal combustion engine around camshafts and things of that sort.
But designing those and making sure you have the right materials is the trick, Matthew, and you’ve been around cars for quite a while. It’s, it’s the right approach if you can make it work, and it looks like ZF has done a really good job of making these, uh, bearing services work.
Matthew Stead: Yeah, it sounds like a, a perfect, uh, innovation.
I, I heard about this the first time, I think it was a couple of years ago. And, and like you said, Allen, um, you know, cars for the [00:29:00] last 100 years or so have, have been using journal bearings. I probably need to fact check that one. It may not be 100 years yet, but definitely cars from a long time ago have been using these, um, these bearings.
Um, I, I think, uh, one question is, though, around condition monitoring. You know, how do you actually monitor the condition of the, the s- the surfaces? Um, you know, with a traditional roller bearing, you can use, you know, vibration techniques. I’m not aware of as many condition monitoring techniques for, for the journal bearings.
Um, perhaps, um, obviously the oil, oil particle and, you know, checking the oil quality, et cetera, et cetera. But, um, that might be where the gap might occur. But You know, if they’re lasting, if they’re not degrading, um, there’s no moving parts, um, yeah, great
Allen Hall: The issue is lubrication, right? Because you’ve got basically two well-designed flat metal surfaces that you have to provide lubrication to, and those two surfaces are moving relative to one another.
The lubrication [00:30:00] matters ’cause you’re literally riding on a very, very thin layer of lubricant. So making sure the lubricant gets in there, that it’s, it’s clean, and it’s always available, uh, is the trick. That’s why in today’s world, a lot of internal combustion engines can go several hundred thousand miles in a vehicle because the lubrication systems have gotten so much better over the last 50, 60 years.
And ZF is probably using something very similar, where the, the technology has gotten better and the metallurg- the metallurgy has gotten way better, and control of that. Because the, the bearing surface really matters, and there’s two pieces to it, right? You got this rotating– To simplify it, you got a rotating shaft, and then you have this bearing surface that that shaft sits on.
The, the rotating shaft is gonna be made out of something relatively hard, where the bearing surface is gonna be made out of a mixture of metals that is a little bit soft. So if anything goes wrong, that bearing surface, that little race right there, uh, will wear, [00:31:00] and you can replace it. But if kept lubricated and cleaned and proper, that will run dang near forever, as ZF has proven.
Matthew Stead: I think it’s the starting load. I think it’s when it’s at stationary and then starts. So I’m getting that initial lubrication. From my understanding, that’s where the, where the challenge lies. And, you know, obviously in a combustion engine in a vehicle, it’s starting and stopping all the time. So, um, but I just wonder, are the loads higher?
Um, how does that occur in a, in a actual, um, gearbox on a, a turbine?
Allen Hall: Right. It’s not like a main, uh, shaft bearing, right? The– It’s, it’s in a gearbox. You have a lot of planetary gears and a lot of rotating com- pieces there But the, I think the trick is, one, understanding what’s happening load-wise, and hydrodynamic bearings can have some issues if things are twisting in weird ways.
So a gearbox is probably the right place to do this technique because of it’s a [00:32:00] controlled environment necessarily.
Matthew Stead: Alignment.
Allen Hall: Yeah. So you can, you can control how the, the loads are carried internally to it, which would make it last a lot longer. S- because roller bearings and, and all of the complexities around that, uh, we’ve seen those fail so many times inside of wind turbines because it’s hard to control everything about that.
Al- although they, they can be extremely durable, I would say ZF is onto something in, in terms of delivering a gearbox that can actually run longer using, uh, good engineering. That’s what it is. It’s just really good engineering. So if you haven’t seen this issue of PES Wind, you should download it today.
Go to peswind.com. That wraps up another episode of the Uptime Wind Energy podcast. If today’s discussion sparked any questions or ideas, we’d love to hear from you. Reach out to us on LinkedIn. And don’t forget to subscribe so you [00:33:00] never miss an episode. And if you found value in today’s conversation, please leave us a review.
It really helps other wind energy professionals discover the show. So for Rosie, Yolanda, and Matthew, I’m Allen Hall, and we’ll see you here next week on the Uptime Wind Energy podcast.
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